Looks hot in Baltimore which should help the hitters. Gunnar Henderson faces Jake Irvin, who's allowed seven home runs in 30 innings vs. lefties (.273 avg). He uses a curveball/fastball/changeup combo to lefties and all have worse expected wOBA and SLG than the actual numbers. Averaging better than 90 mph exit velocity on those pitches, opposing hitters are also putting the fastball in the air at a high clip. Pair that with a .768 xSLG by left handed batters on that pitch, and it sets up for Henderson to hit the ball hard in the air somewhere. Wind blowing out, and he was 0-5 yesterday in a brutal loss. Their Manager was fired this AM, narrative play that Henderson steps up in a good matchup.

Did you know the Orioles are 27-36 at home since June 20 of last year, bottom 4 in MLB? Kyle Gibson has been a trainwreck who is probably cooked and got no spring training as a late signing. Nats are 3-1 vs O's with one close loss. Orioles are batting below .190 with runners in scoring position and are 20th in runs scored since June 20 of last season. O's closer won't be available. Looks like Ryan O'Hearn, one of their three best hitters, tweaked his neck last night. James Wood, a Maryland native, is destroying the Birds this season and Jake Irvin is the kind of soft-tosser who befuddles them.