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Riding with the Seahawks of late has been beneficial, but the Cardinals have been experts at keeping games close even when falling short. Their win over the Cowboys last week opened my eyes given how they were able to limit that explosive offense. Seattle is a far different beast defensively, however, and it has only grown more dominant since the first meeting when Arizona needed two late TDs to overcome a 14-point deficit. Jacoby Brissett is certainly playing better than Kyler Murray, but Sam Darnold is the best QB in this game, and he has both Cooper Kupp and AJ Barner active. This spread seems large, but the number is not a coincidence at home. Take -6.5 (up to -120) or -7 (-105).

McBride’s production has gone up with Jacoby Brissett under center. In the past 3 games, McBride has 23 receptions on 33 targets & 4 TDs. He has 4 end zone targets as well, and I like his odds to score for a 4th straight game. .5u play
The spread is too wide for this division rivalry. Cardinals backup QB Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 6 TD/ 1 INT over his 3 starts, and had 250+ passing yards in each of those games. Arizona lost to the Colts & Packers by 4 in competitive affairs, and then shut down the Cowboys last week in an impressive 27-17 win. The Seahawks have been excellent on both sides of the ball this season, but it does feel like they’re due for regression eventually. Seattle beat Arizona 23-20 when these teams played in Week 4, and I’d argue the Cardinals are better now with Brissett running the show. 7 points is too many to lay in this division rivalry.

Being traded mid-season as a wide receiver is typically a bypass in the prop markets for me. I’ll make an exception with Rashid Shaheed going from the Saints to the Seahawks. He enters a situation with one of the best deep ball passers in Sam Darnold, and a pass heavy offense that should get him an extra target or two. Additionally, Shaheed began the season facing the Arizona Cardinals, and may have a takeaway or two to give to Darnold. Take Shaheed’s over.
The Seahawks are 3-1 to the Over at home this season, and have scored 27+ points in 5/8 games. The Cardinals offense has been far more efficient with backup QB Jacoby Brissett at the helm. Both defenses will be missing a number of starters- Arizona is down starting CBs Max Melton & Will Johnson, along with LBs Mack Wilson & B.J Ojulari. The Seahawks will likely be without LB Ernest Jones and CB Josh Jobe. I expect a competitive game that goes over the total with a 27-24 type of score.

FanDuel. The Seahawks running-back rotation is frustratingly fluid, but I’m looking to fade Zach Charbonnet on his rushing plus receiving yards line. He’s under this total in six of seven games, and is coming off his lowest snap share of the season (37%). Kenneth Walker has been the more efficient back this season, and should once again have the first crack at the running back work. Plus, the Cardinals are above average in running back yards allowed. I’d bet this down to under 47.5 yards.

Mack Wilson Is out, which sets up linebacker Akeem Davis-Gaither for increased production. He’s cleared this prop total in six of eight games. He’s facing a Seattle team that runs the ball at the second-highest rate (49.7 percent). I would also play this Over 7.5 for plus money.
QB Jacoby Brissett has been effective enough off the bench that speculation swirls in the desert that Arizona might part with mainstay Kyler Murray, now on injured reserve, after the season. Brissett has exceeded 300 passing yards in all three starts and produced an average of 25 ppg. With and without Murray, the most one-sided of the Cards' five SU losses came by four points, well within this spread. Last week's win at Dallas halted the slide, putting them in a positive mood for this trip. Seattle has suffered an epidemic of injuries at WR, prompting a trade for Rashid Shaheed this week, and run-stuffing DT Jarran Reed was ruled out Saturday.

As mentioned in Rashid Shaheed's anytime touchdown scorer writeup, we've got a player who is familiar with the scheme, is lethal running down the field and gets the best play-action passer in football throwing him the ball in Sam Darnold. The Seahawks will want people to know how they can use Shaheed, so he should get several deep looks in this game. He cleared this number in 4/5 games last year before being injured and has gone over it three times this year with much, MUCH worse quarterbacks throwing him the ball.

The Seahawks traded for Rashid Shaheed this week, which would normally make us nervous about playing his props. But Shaheed is very familiar with Klint Kubiak's scheme, having played for him in 2024, when he was a beast downfield, averaging 17.5 yards per catch in six games before suffering a season-ending injury. The Seahawks will want to get him some shots down the field to put some scary tape out there for defensive coordinators. I fully expect 2-3 play-action shots for the new weapon from Sam Darnold and think one of them ends with the speedster scoring.

Short-yardage specialist Zach Charbonnet has been pretty inefficient all year. But he's better in gap-scheme runs than zone-scheme. That's not a good fit for him this week -- Arizona has let up 4.2 yards per attempt and a 7.4% explosive rush rate on zone runs versus 3.6 yards per carry and a 4.2% explosive rate on gap scheme. This proved to especially true in Week 4 when the Seahawks gashed the Cardinals with zone runs; Charbonnet had 39 yards on 12 carries. Kenneth Walker has been the better zone-scheme runner since forever in Seattle and he already came out of the bye playing more snaps than Charbonnet last week, a change for Seattle.
The Cardinals took Seattle to the buzzer in the first meeting, losing 23-20, and I like this one to be close too. Arizona is much better offensively with Jacoby Brissett under center, and the Cards' defense got a huge boost last week from the return of first-round pick Walter Nolen and starting nickel corner Garrett Williams. They held a previously dominant Dallas passing attack to 4.8 yards per attempt. Look for Seattle, which has played better on the road, to win a tight one.
The first game between the Seahawks and the Cardinals was in Week 4, and the Cardinals were 2-1 at the time. They fell behind 20-6, but then scored two touchdowns in the final six minutes of the game. They saved too much time on the clock, and Seattle won the game in the last second, 23-20. It was the eighth straight win by the Seahawks over the Cardinals. Kyler Murray is out, but the Cardinals have Jacoby Brissett, who has looked better in the offense. He's already getting praise from the receivers because he communicates better. Brissett doesn't spend all his time playing video games. Their biggest defeat this season has been by four-points. They've been in every game they've played this year. Cardinals

Marvin Harrison is coming off both a season high in targets and his second highest yardage total after dropping 96 yards on 10 targets versus the Dallas Cowboys. While it’s fair to argue that Jacoby Brissett appears to be an upgrade over Kyler Murray, I don’t believe that Harrison is suddenly going to be heavily featured in what is a significantly more difficult matchup against the Seahawks. Seattles pass defense ranks 10th in Success Rate and 13th in EPA allowed per dropback, however their season long defensive metric are somewhat skewed considering their secondary has been missing numerous starters throughout the majority of the season. In 3 games with Brissett under center, Harrison Jr is arriving approximately 6 targets per game.
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