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Expert Picks (4 Live)

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Boston @ Chi. White Sox | 05/25 | 12:10 AM UTC

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ANALYSIS: The Red Sox visit the White Sox on Tuesday. Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2434 131-75 IN LAST 206 MLB PICKS
+981 28-13 IN LAST 41 BOS ML PICKS
+1085 19-6 IN LAST 25 CHW ML PICKS

Calgary @ Edmonton | 05/25 | 1:30 AM UTC

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ANALYSIS: The Oilers look for a 3-1 series lead over the Flames on... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2915 124-63-4 IN LAST 191 NHL PICKS
+341 12-5 IN LAST 17 CGY ML PICKS
+573 13-4 IN LAST 17 EDM ML PICKS

Carolina @ N.Y. Rangers | 05/24 | 11:00 PM UTC

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ANALYSIS: The Rangers look to even their series vs. the Hurricanes on... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2915 124-63-4 IN LAST 191 NHL PICKS
+1538 31-12 IN LAST 43 CAR ML PICKS
+915 22-10 IN LAST 32 NYR ML PICKS

Kansas City 5 @ Arizona 9 | 05/24 | 1:40 AM UTC

Arizona -120

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Diamondbacks are on a roll lately, and had it not been for a four game series against the Dodgers, they would have won even more. They head home to face a Royals team that just blew a 6-0 lead yesterday. Both their best relievers threw about 30 pitches in that game too. Zack Greinke will probably be good against his former team but Zach Davies should also have success against a Royals team that struggles against righties.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+1470 88-66 IN LAST 154 MLB ML PICKS
+1027 19-10 IN LAST 29 KC ML PICKS
+728 15-7 IN LAST 22 ARI ML PICKS

Cleveland 6 @ Houston 1 | 05/24 | 12:10 AM UTC

Houston -180

LOSS

ANALYSIS: This was north of -200 and I'm not really sure why it has come so far down -- perhaps because it potentially was going to be Zach Plesac on the mound but will be Triston McKenzie instead for Cleveland. He's pretty good but all his strong numbers come in day starts. His one night outing was not good (not clear if roof will be open in H-Town). Astros starter Luis Garcia is holding opponents to a .201 average through seven outings. The Houston pitching staff has been dominant at home, posting MLB-bests in ERA (2.22) and WHIP (1.01). Cleveland has lost its past six vs. a right-handed starter.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2434 131-75 IN LAST 206 MLB PICKS
+1115 26-10 IN LAST 36 HOU ML PICKS

Philadelphia 7 @ Atlanta 3 | 05/23 | 11:20 PM UTC

Philadelphia -127

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Phillies send Zack Wheeler to the mound here and he's in a good place right now. He had two rough starts in his first three, but since then he's pitched to a 1.04 ERA (1.98 FIP) with 30 strikeouts in 26 innings while holding foes to a .189/.240/.289 slash. The Braves hit righties worse than lefties and Wheeler dominated them last year in five starts (1.60 ERA, 0.89 WHIP with 41 K in 33 2/3 IP). He's stretched out enough to give the Phillies a big workload, maybe even eight innings or a complete game. On the other end, the Braves send lefty Tucker Davidson and while he was good last time out, his track record suggests he can be gotten to. Plus, the Phillies are 8th in the majors in wRC+ against lefties. Almost everything turns up Phillies here except that they're on the road, but they've been better there than at home so far anyway.

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Matt Snyder

Stick With What Works
+777 29-18 IN LAST 47 MLB PICKS
+317 13-9 IN LAST 22 ATL ML PICKS
+970 12-2 IN LAST 14 PHI ML PICKS

Chi. Cubs 7 @ Cincinnati 4 | 05/23 | 10:40 PM UTC

Cincinnati 110

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I just think the wrong team is favored here. At first, I couldn’t get over the fact that Vladimir Gutierrez hasn’t even had one good start yet and that means a lot of innings for the Reds struggling bullpen. However, the Reds get Nick Senzel back to make their lineup stacked with righties. Drew Smyly allows a .311 batting average against righties and it won’t get any easier in that small stadium. The Cubs will be without Wilson Contreras again, and I think the Reds would win in a slugfest. I like the value on the home team.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+1470 88-66 IN LAST 154 MLB ML PICKS
+971 35-18 IN LAST 53 CHC ML PICKS

Chi. Cubs 7 @ Cincinnati 4 | 05/23 | 10:40 PM UTC

Cincinnati +1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I may need to have my head examined for backing Vladimir Gutierrez (0-5, 8.65), but he's simply not that bad -- and he was quite good against the Cubs as a rookie in 2021. The Reds have won nine of 15 games since a 3-22 start. They got Joey Votto back from the injured list over the weekend and he had a hit in every game of the Blue Jays series, including the game-winning homer on Sunday. Nick Senzel has been activated off the COVID list for this game. I simply don't think the Cubs -- who are without Willson Contreras -- should be road favorites over anyone. I believe Cincinnati has a very good chance of winning (FiveThirtyEight has Cincy winning 51 percent of time) but will take the RL at -150. Chicago's Drew Smyly is 0-4 with a 5.85 ERA at night this year.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2434 131-75 IN LAST 206 MLB PICKS
+558 10-4 IN LAST 14 CHC ATS PICKS

Florida 0 @ Tampa Bay 2 | 05/23 | 11:00 PM UTC

Tampa Bay -130

WIN

ANALYSIS: Really weird that there is back-to-back in the playoffs, and honestly, I hate it. However, I think that benefits the home team and whichever team currently has the momentum, and that team is the Lightning for both. The Panthers have been completely shut down in this series and they aren’t set up to win a defensive type of game. The Lightning have the chance to sweep them on home ice tonight and honestly, I haven’t seen anything from the Panthers yet to show me they have some fight left. I like the Lightning at this price.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+145 2-1 IN LAST 3 NHL ML PICKS
+495 30-21 IN LAST 51 FLA ML PICKS
+219 37-28 IN LAST 65 TB ML PICKS

Toronto 3 @ St. Louis 7 | 05/23 | 11:45 PM UTC

OVER 7.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Five straight Cardinals games would have cashed the over at 7.5. Unfortunately, Toronto's offense hasn't been hot, but they've managed to play well enough to pick up some low-scoring wins. On the other hand, the Cards offense just scored 18 runs in Pittsburgh yesterday. Jose Berrios has been hit or miss, but still worse on the road. There's no doubt that Miles Mikolas has been excellent, but I still expect Toronto to keep it somewhat competitive. The under has been the move for recent Jays games, but at 7.5, there's value in the over at +105.

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Allie O'Neill

Allie-Bama
+671 28-19-3 IN LAST 50 MLB PICKS

N.Y. Mets 13 @ San Francisco 3 | 05/24 | 1:45 AM UTC

N.Y. Mets 125

WIN

ANALYSIS: David Peterson has won all three of his starts for New York this season. But more important to me here is the Giants being in a funk. They are riding a four-game losing streak and were just swept at home by San Diego. San Francisco has scored just one run in each of its last two contests. The Mets own an eight-game lead in the National League East and have won five of their last seven. Look for them to continue to roll.

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Micah Roberts

Former Vegas Bookmaker
+675 17-10 IN LAST 27 MLB ML PICKS
+798 15-6 IN LAST 21 NYM ML PICKS
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