loading...

Expert Picks (1 Live)

Most Recent

Minnesota 8 @ Chi. White Sox 2 | 07/06 | 12:10 AM UTC

Chi. White Sox -135

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Minnesota took forever with its starting lineup -- why waited. This line moved a little after the Twins scratched pitcher Chris Archer for rookie Josh Winder but still a very manageable number on the Pale Hose, whom I think will play well/hard after frankly embarrassing themselves on the bases in Monday's extra-inning loss. Michael Kopech (2.78 ERA) hasn't been great of late but can dominate at anytime. Definitely would take him over Winder everyday of the week, and Kopech has been quite a bit better at home. The Sox are way overdue to beat the Twins as they haven't yet this year. Minnesota is 4-15 in its past 19 following a win.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1651 205-129 IN LAST 334 MLB PICKS
+1148 24-9 IN LAST 33 CHW ML PICKS
+710 15-5 IN LAST 20 MIN ML PICKS

Chi. Cubs 8 @ Milwaukee 3 | 07/06 | 12:10 AM UTC

Milwaukee -130

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Josh Hader surely isn't available for the Brewers tonight, but the Cubs used their two best relievers on Monday as well in blowing a late lead and losing in 10. Chicago is resting two of its best hitters in rookie Christopher Morel and catcher/DH Willson Contreras. Kyle Hendricks has a 6.14 ERA in 14.2 innings this year vs. Milwaukee and he rarely pitches well in Beer Town. A few Brewers regulars who didn't start Monday are here, and George Constanza (Jason Alexander) has been generally competent on the mound.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1651 205-129 IN LAST 334 MLB PICKS
+1215 33-15 IN LAST 48 CHC ML PICKS

Washington 0 @ Philadelphia 11 | 07/05 | 11:05 PM UTC

Philadelphia -164

WIN

ANALYSIS: I'm not going to play the Phillies near as much as before without Bryce Harper, and I don't trust their starting pitcher, Christopher Sanchez, all that much. However, the Phils were off Monday while the Nats had to play extra innings for the second day in a row vs. Miami so their bullpen is a bit worn down. And I buried the lead: No Juan Soto again.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1651 205-129 IN LAST 334 MLB PICKS
+691 11-3 IN LAST 14 WAS ML PICKS
+363 31-19 IN LAST 50 PHI ML PICKS

San Francisco 2 @ Arizona 6 | 07/06 | 1:40 AM UTC

Arizona 143

WIN

ANALYSIS: Im kicking myself for not playing Diamondbacks yesterday as I was thinking about them but then got off it because of Carlos Rodon’s dominance lately. Well, they got to the lefty yesterday, and I think they can get to the worse lefty today in Alex Wood. The Giants are 3-11 in their past 14 games, good for dead last in the league in that span. Maybe they break out of their slump tonight but I am more than willing to pay +145 to find out if they do. The Diamondbacks aren’t much better at 5-8 in the past two weeks, but they are actually 4-3 at home in that span. Tyler Gilbert hasn’t been good for the Diamondbacks at all, but Alex Wood has also struggled. If the Diamondbacks can get a decent start out of Gilbert, they should have success here. Take the value in the Diamondbacks.

author-image

John Bollman

The Executive
+828 179-148 IN LAST 327 MLB ML PICKS
+1451 57-39 IN LAST 96 SF ML PICKS
+596 19-12 IN LAST 31 ARI ML PICKS

Minnesota 8 @ Chi. White Sox 2 | 07/06 | 12:10 AM UTC

Chi. White Sox -135

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Josh Winder is now starting for Chris Archer who was scratched. He pitched really well in his one start since May and pitched well against the White Sox earlier this season. However, I think if the White Sox can somehow get to him or at least get him out of the game in the 5th or 6th inning, they should be able to win it off the backend of the Twins bullpen. Michael Kopech has struggled lately but he has been much better at home overall with a 2.08 ERA and he didn’t allow a run to the Twins his first time facing them. I think this will be another close game like last night, but I don't expect a boneheaded baserunning play again to get a triple play and kill a White Sox rally. I like the White Sox at home.

author-image

John Bollman

The Executive
+828 179-148 IN LAST 327 MLB ML PICKS
+324 38-32 IN LAST 70 CHW ML PICKS
+1793 62-40 IN LAST 102 MIN ML PICKS

St. Louis 1 @ Atlanta 7 | 07/05 | 11:20 PM UTC

St. Louis 122

LOSS

ANALYSIS: This is a good bounceback spot for the Cardinals, who got down big early last night and lost 6-3 while stranding 11 runners. They have the starting pitching edge with rookie Andre Pallante (2.10 ERA) opposing Atlanta's Ian Anderson; he posted a 6.91 ERA in June. And the Cards' key relievers are far more rested. St. Louis' bullpen has thrown 9.1 consecutive scoreless innings. Take a shot with the road dog.

author-image

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
+1719 42-19 IN LAST 61 MLB PICKS
+477 12-6 IN LAST 18 ATL ML PICKS

L.A. Angels 1 @ Miami 2 | 07/05 | 10:40 PM UTC

Miami -145

WIN

ANALYSIS: I think Sandy Alcantara is my favorite starter in MLB, and part of that can be attributed to Marlins manager Don Mattingly bucking the system. Alcantara has all the numbers and stats as a traditional ace, but what I love the most is that he’s allowed to finish his own mess at the end of games regardless of pitch count. He has two complete games, which is twice as many as any other starter in the majors. The Marlins have won five straight, and the Angels have lost three straight. Marlins win.

author-image

Micah Roberts

Former Vegas Bookmaker
+1823 46-28 IN LAST 74 MLB ML PICKS
+986 26-15 IN LAST 41 LAA ML PICKS
+438 11-7 IN LAST 18 MIA ML PICKS

Seattle 6 @ San Diego 2 | 07/05 | 8:10 PM UTC

Seattle 122

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Mariners have sneakily been playing much better on the road lately as they are 9-2 on the road in their past 29 games compared to 8-10 at home. They have now won three games in a row and they are just 2 games below .500. The Padres have actually done the opposite, they are much better on the road, they are just 21-17 at home this season. Logan Gilbert is starting today and he is also actually better on the road at 5-1 with a 2.55 ERA. He has yet to allow more than four runs or pitch fewer than five innings in a start this season. Mike Clevinger has pitched well but he doesn’t get deep into the game. The Padres bullpen has actually been the 7th best in the league in the past 30 days, the Mariners have actually been the third best during the same stretch though. I like the value on the Mariners on the road.

author-image

John Bollman

The Executive
+828 179-148 IN LAST 327 MLB ML PICKS
+1063 53-39 IN LAST 92 SEA ML PICKS
+544 27-19 IN LAST 46 SD ML PICKS

L.A. Angels 1 @ Miami 2 | 07/05 | 10:40 PM UTC

Miami -145

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Marlins just pulled off the four-game sweep on the road and now they head home where they are much better on the season at 19-16. They face off in an interleague matchup against the Angels. The Angels were just swept by the Astros, and they are 10-17 in their past 27 games. They are also 16-21 on the road. Sandy Alcantara is starting for the Marlins, and he has been one of the best pitchers in the league. The Marlins should have their bullpen back and available to pitch after him as well, after most of them were unavailable yesterday. I like the Marlins to stay hot.

author-image

John Bollman

The Executive
+828 179-148 IN LAST 327 MLB ML PICKS
+2429 52-26 IN LAST 78 LAA ML PICKS
+1646 51-29 IN LAST 80 MIA ML PICKS

Washington 0 @ Philadelphia 11 | 07/05 | 11:05 PM UTC

Philadelphia -165

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Phillies are 18-9 in their past 27 games and a decent amount of those are without Bryce Harper. The Nats are 9-18 in their past 27 games and they were just swept at home in four games by the Marlins. Cristopher Sanchez should be opening for the Phillies and they will have a bullpen game with the Ranger Suarez injury. Their bullpen has actually been very good lately, they are ranked 13th in the league in bullpen ERA in the past 30 days. The Nats are ranked 21st in that same span. Paolo Espino has been good but he has yet to pick up a win and he’s been showing cracks lately. I like the Phillies at home.

author-image

John Bollman

The Executive
+828 179-148 IN LAST 327 MLB ML PICKS
+1721 29-13 IN LAST 42 PHI ML PICKS

N.Y. Yankees 2 @ Pittsburgh 5 | 07/05 | 11:05 PM UTC

N.Y. Yankees -195

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Sportsbooks can be very weird/different, which I've noted many times previously both on here and Twitter. DraftKings opened this yesterday afternoon at -165 (where it stayed for about 30 minutes) while Caesars opened it at -235. Why it's always wise to shop around. Both have it in the -195 ballpark now. We will use the Caesars line, and I think I have to jump now that it's under -200 because I don't think it should be under that number -- not a big runline guy in terms of giving +1.5, especially to a home team. I would go meatballs (underrated Bill Murray movie from yesteryear; Spaz deserved his own spin-off) if the Bucs hit a solo homer in the bottom of the ninth to only lose by one run tonight. This will matter quite a bit to Yanks starter Jameson Taillon as he was the second overall pick in the 2010 MLB draft by Pittsburgh, debuted with the team in 2016 and was traded to New York before the 2021 season. Taillon (9-1, 3.32 ERA) has been better on the road with a 2.70 ERA. Pittsburgh's Jose Quintana (1-4, 3.43 ERA) is decent enough to where I don't think this will be a blowout but I will be surprised if NYY loses.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1651 205-129 IN LAST 334 MLB PICKS
+474 18-8 IN LAST 26 PIT ML PICKS
View All Picks