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Expert Picks (2 Live)

Detroit @ N.Y. Yankees | 04/30 | 11:05 PM UTC

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ANALYSIS: Cy Young favorite Cole on mound for Yankees vs. Tigers. ... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

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Matt Severance

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+170 4-2 IN LAST 6 NYY ATS PICKS
+83 2-1 IN LAST 3 DET ATS PICKS

Colorado 3 @ Arizona 5 | 04/30 | 1:40 AM UTC

Arizona -135

WIN

ANALYSIS: Cheap price on the Snakes considering Colorado is 1-8 away from home -- although Arizona is only 3-4 at home. Rox starting pitcher Antonio Senzatela is 2-4 with a 5.08 ERA in nine career games at Chase Field. Arizona's Luke Weaver (1-2, 4.57) doesn't instill a ton of confidence overall, but he was stellar in his lone home start this year. His battery-mate Stephen Vogt is 14-for-43 (.326) in his past 11 starts vs. Colorado with two homers, five doubles and five RBIs.

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Matt Severance

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Colorado 3 @ Arizona 5 | 04/30 | 1:40 AM UTC

Arizona -153

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Diamondbacks are 13-0 as home 140+ favorites when coming off a game as underdogs when they lost by one run in their starter's last start. Colorado has not done well in series openers vs. divisional opponents ahead of them in the standings, going 0-9 SU in the first game of a series with no rest as a 140+ underdog vs. a divisional opponent with more wins. Finally, the Rockies are 0-8 when Antonio Senzatela starts as a road 130-plus dog when their starter went fewer than six innings their last two games. Colorado lost every game by multiple runs and Senzatela has allowed an average of 4.38 runs in an average of 3.71 innings pitched.

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SDQL Gurus

Serious Scientists
+408 9-3 IN LAST 12 COL ML PICKS
+241 6-2 IN LAST 8 ARI ML PICKS

Colorado 3 @ Arizona 5 | 04/30 | 1:40 AM UTC

Arizona -1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: I’ll continue to fade the Rockies until they show me reason to do otherwise. I still consider their only road win a fluke and they are continuing their road trip with a series against the Diamondbacks. This is a great spot to take a plus-money spread as Arizona lost 12-3 to the Padres on Wednesday and I imagine they want to save face and notch a concrete win tonight. Statistically I am intrigued by Colorado’s ATS record. They’ve only covered a spread in a road loss once out of eight times, while the Diamondbacks have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 outings. At this price it feels almost too good to be true, this is a must-play spread for me at +140.

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Justin Perri

Model Guy
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Toronto 111 @ Denver 121 | 04/30 | 1:00 AM UTC

Denver -145

WIN

ANALYSIS: I was probably going to pass on this game because Denver is in the second of a back-to-back and had to work for it late against New Orleans on Wednesday night, but the Nuggets at least don't have to travel. What cinched backing them, however, is that the Raptors have ruled out Fred VanVleet in addition to Gary Trent and Chris Boucher. That's a lot of missing firepower. While I'm not taking the spread here, Toronto is just 1-9 ATS in its past 10 road games.

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Matt Severance

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New Orleans 109 @ Oklahoma City 95 | 04/30 | 1:00 AM UTC

New Orleans -9

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Pelicans are on the second half of a back to back. They gave a game away on Wednesday in Denver. They had way too many turnovers but still managed to cover. Now the Nuggets meet an undersized and undermanned OKC team. Love the Pelicans here by double digits.

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Tim Doyle

Big Ten Baller
+1040 17-6-1 IN LAST 24 NBA ATS PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 OKC ATS PICKS

Calgary 3 @ Edmonton 1 | 04/30 | 1:00 AM UTC

Calgary +120

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Flames have outshot eight of their past 10 foes while Edmonton has been outshot in eight of its past 10 games. The Oilers won on Wednesday despite getting outshot and winning fewer face-offs. The game was physical as the Jets dished out 38 hits while Edmonton hit Winnipeg 24 times. The Flames have a +56 shot differential while the Oilers are -65 this season. Great spot for the road team.

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Jeff Hochman

West Coast Wiseguy
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Detroit @ Chi. White Sox 11 | 04/30 | 12:10 AM UTC

Chi. White Sox -140

WIN

ANALYSIS: To begin the season, Tigers pitcher Matthew Boyd has delivered two big underdog payouts, against the Indians and Astros. His ERA is 1.82, and the team’s only losses with him on the mound have been by one run. Boyd's success has moved the line too far to Detroit's side and has created value with the White Sox in the second game of a doubleheader. Take Chicago.

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Zack Cimini

Contrarian with Chutzpah
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+903 22-10 IN LAST 32 CHW ML PICKS

Florida 4 @ Chicago 3 | 04/30 | 12:00 AM UTC

Chicago +1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Chicago has lost back-to-back games by multiple goals but is fairly well-rested. Florida, meanwhile, is playing a third road game in four nights and going with essentially fourth-string goalie and rookie Spencer Knight. He hasn't played since beating Columbus on April 20 -- Knight's first NHL start. The Panthers are without a few key injured players. The Hawks are playing to stay alive in the playoff race, although it would take a miracle to get there. The home team has won the past six in the series. Chicago may well win but we'll take the puckline at -170.

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Matt Severance

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Golden St. 114 @ Minnesota 126 | 04/30 | 12:00 AM UTC

Minnesota +4

WIN

ANALYSIS: Tempted to give this a shot on the moneyline as the Warriors are without Kelly Oubre Jr. in addition to guys we knew were out such as Damion Lee, Eric Paschall and James Wiseman. Minnesota is quite healthy and playing with confidence on a season-high three-game winning streak -- two of those over Utah. The Wolves could have been caught in a trap Tuesday in Houston but rallied to win. When Karl-Anthony Towns, D'Angelo Russell and Anthony Edwards are all healthy, this team isn't that bad. Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its past seven as a home dog.

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Matt Severance

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Brooklyn 130 @ Indiana 113 | 04/29 | 11:00 PM UTC

Brooklyn -8.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Pacers have been dreadful at home, recording an 8-21 record ATS. They are also 2-8 ATS as a home underdog. Add in Domantas Sabonis (back) and Myles Turner (toe) still being out and the Nets could win this game in a landslide.

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Mike Barner

NBA Specialist
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