This game just has all the ingredients for an under. Luis Severino takes the bump for the Yankees, and while he's been dominant all season, he's been even better at home. In eight starts at Yankee Stadium he's posted a 1.52 ERA and opponents have hit .167/.225/.242 against him. Meanwhile, Seattle's James Paxton isn't exactly a slouch himself. The Big Maple has a 3.20 ERA in eight road starts with opponents slashing .219/.269/.353 against him. Thursday won't be a fun day to hit at Yankee Stadium.
9-3 IN LAST 12 MLB O/U PICKS | +582
4-0 IN LAST 4 N.Y. YANKEES O/U PICKS | +400
The Rockies have the Mets' number, winning five of six. That includes consecutive 10-8 victories the last two nights in Denver. Look for Colorado to continue its bounceback from a recent slump to get back into the NL West race by locking up the sweep here.
55-39 IN LAST 94 MLB ML PICKS | +1070
16-6 IN LAST 22 COLORADO ML PICKS | +869
The Mets are hitting a rough .239 over the last week, and they?re the absolute worst in the majors against trying to hit lefty pitching (.209). Compare those splits to that of the Rockies, who are .280 over the last week and among the best against LHPs (.270). Colorado?s average rises to .370 when it comes to facing Mets starter Steven Matz. Colorado needs to improve upon a brutal 12-20 home mark, and this seems like a good spot to start.
84-45 IN LAST 129 MLB ML PICKS | +2974
4-1 IN LAST 5 COLORADO ML PICKS | +274
The Mets are a slim underdog, but when the spread is where it is, they're 2-10. Few teams are struggling more on offense right now more than the Mets. Take the Rockies to lay it on big against Steven Matz.
The Mariners may be 10-5 when James Paxton starts, but the Yankees are 13-2 when Luis Severino takes the hill. Severino hasn't allowed more than three runs in a start in more than a month, and he's a wicked 6-0 with a 1.52 ERA at home. The Yankees are a premier hitting team at home, as well. Go with the Yankees.
19-10 IN LAST 29 N.Y. YANKEES ML PICKS | +1042
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