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4 Expert Picks

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NFL | Kansas City @ Tampa Bay | 10/03 | 12:20 AM UTC

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ANALYSIS: The Bucs are getting healthier. ... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

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Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
+285 15-11 IN LAST 26 NFL PICKS
+1390 24-9 IN LAST 33 KC ATS PICKS
+535 10-4 IN LAST 14 TB ATS PICKS

NFL | L.A. Rams @ San Francisco | 10/04 | 12:15 AM UTC

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ANALYSIS: The 49ers' offense looks dreadful. ... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

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Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
+285 15-11 IN LAST 26 NFL PICKS
+856 29-18 IN LAST 47 LAR ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 SF ATS PICKS

MLB | N.Y. Mets 3 @ Atlanta 5 | 10/02 | 11:08 PM UTC

N.Y. Mets +115

LOSS

ANALYSIS: It’s gut check time for the Mets. If they win tonight, they are tied in the standings with the Braves but own the tiebreaker. If they lose, the Braves go up 2 games in the division and they own the tiebreaker with 3 games left. I think the Mets pull through and win this game and stay in control of their own destiny to win the NL East.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+1907 191-145 IN LAST 336 MLB ML PICKS
+1818 56-34 IN LAST 90 ATL ML PICKS
+1747 48-30 IN LAST 78 NYM ML PICKS

NFL | Denver 23 @ Las Vegas 32 | 10/02 | 8:25 PM UTC

Denver +2.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Broncos are inching up to getting a full field goal ahead of kickoff, but we’re running out of time. Though neither team has impressed early in the season, the Raiders are completely out of sorts. Derek Carr will be the best quarterback that the Broncos have faced at this early juncture – their defense has feasted on far worse offenses than Las Vegas’ – but without Hunter Renfrow, it’s tough to see the hosts finding enough consistency through four quarters. Denver, meanwhile, seemed to finally put things together in the fourth quarter against San Francisco last week and could easily win this outright. This will be a half-bet for me at +2.5 (+100), but I'd go with a whole wager at +3 (-110) if you can get it.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+360 9-5-1 IN LAST 15 NFL PICKS
+280 5-2 IN LAST 7 LV ATS PICKS

NFL | Arizona 26 @ Carolina 16 | 10/02 | 8:05 PM UTC

Arizona +1

WIN

ANALYSIS: Here's four people I do not trust: Kyler Murray, Baker Mayfield, Kliff Kingsbury and Matt Rhule. It’s problematic that all will have significant roles in this game, yet, there’s no doubt that Murray has been far superior to Mayfield, arguably the worst starter in the NFL this season. The Cardinals are getting James Conner back healthy with Marquise Brown and Rondale Moore both playing. Arizona also plays well historically as a road underdog with Kingsbury leading the charge. Christian McCaffrey is back for the Panthers, but it’s not enough to get me to side with the home team.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+360 9-5-1 IN LAST 15 NFL PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 ARI ATS PICKS
+165 5-3 IN LAST 8 CAR ATS PICKS

NFL | New England 24 @ Green Bay 27 | 10/02 | 8:25 PM UTC

Green Bay -9.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: If the Packers were playing a generic team with the same statistics as their actual opponent Sunday, Green Bay might be a 12-point home favorite. The Patriots and Bill Belichick are receiving a benefit of the doubt here that they do not deserve. As creative as Belichick has been when dealing with obstacles in the past, those teams were at least good; this one is not. The Pats' lone win this season was by three against dreadful Steelers team. Against teams with actual offenses, they've lost by 13 and 11. And now they see a Packers team with a legitimate homefield advantage and the best running game and defense they've seen so far this season. Oh yeah, and Aaron Rodgers is playing. I'm not concerned about Green Bay's lacking pass catchers; it should have more than enough to win by double digits.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+360 9-5-1 IN LAST 15 NFL PICKS
+1290 25-11 IN LAST 36 GB ATS PICKS
+430 12-7-1 IN LAST 20 NE ATS PICKS

NFL | Buffalo 23 @ Baltimore 20 | 10/02 | 5:00 PM UTC

Baltimore +3

PUSH

ANALYSIS: Two banged-up defenses meet in a second straight tough road game for the Bills coming off their loss to the Dolphins last week. The Ravens were able to bounce back from their own Dolphins loss to find some answers on both sides of the ball against the Patriots, but it will be tough for Buffalo to do the same against a team that has the offensive weaponry to keep the visitors on their toes. The weather is also an issue here, which makes the field goal incredibly valuable. The hope in waiting to pick was that the Ravens would get the hook before kickoff; that may still happen -- +3.5 (-110) would be preferred -- but +3 (+100) is great value for the home team in a better spot with a quarterback in Lamar Jackson who appears to be on an MVP track.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+360 9-5-1 IN LAST 15 NFL PICKS
+440 23-17-2 IN LAST 42 BAL ATS PICKS
+290 4-1-1 IN LAST 6 BUF ATS PICKS

NFL | N.Y. Jets 24 @ Pittsburgh 20 | 10/02 | 5:00 PM UTC

Pittsburgh -3

LOSS

ANALYSIS: It’s difficult enough to play the Steelers. Doing so in Pittsburgh as a quarterback in his first action of the season is particularly rough. The Jets present an opportunity for the Steelers to finally move the ball offensively, and if Pittsburgh is willing to use Jaylen Warren to spell Najee Harris more frequently, it could be a breakout effort for the running game. Mike Tomlin also had extra time to prepare, and I do prefer to side with the Steelers in potentially ugly football games with a spread sitting around or inside a field goal. Pittsburgh should be favored by 4.5-5 in this game.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+360 9-5-1 IN LAST 15 NFL PICKS
+390 5-1-2 IN LAST 8 NYJ ATS PICKS
+164 15-12-1 IN LAST 28 PIT ATS PICKS

NFL | Washington 10 @ Dallas 25 | 10/02 | 5:00 PM UTC

Dallas -3

WIN

ANALYSIS: When you consider the Cowboys were an underdog last week to the Giants, it's clear this line is a significant market adjustment for Dallas. And yet, it is still the right side going against a Washington team that cannot protect its quarterback and appears headed towards a top five pick in next year's NFL Draft. Cooper Rush is playing well enough in a game manager role, but its the Cowboys running game and defense that gets me excited about this spread. Try to avoid the forthcoming hook if possible. It's worth taking the 'Boys up to -3 (-120).

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+360 9-5-1 IN LAST 15 NFL PICKS
+645 12-5 IN LAST 17 DAL ATS PICKS
+851 13-4 IN LAST 17 WAS ATS PICKS

NFL | New England 24 @ Green Bay 27 | 10/02 | 8:25 PM UTC

New England +9.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Although many bettors seem willing to lay double figures in points with the Packers, this might not be quite the mismatch it appears at first glance. Green Bay still has limited weapons in the passing game, and the Patriots defense will be determined to stop the run and force long down and distance. New England will use its own run-powered drives to shorten the game and limit possessions. New England outgained Baltimore in a loss last week and held Miami's potent offense to 13 points in the opener (7 came on a defensive TD). Look for an ugly punt-filled festival that ends in a one-score game.

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Josh Nagel

Senior Analyst
+330 10-6 IN LAST 16 NFL ATS PICKS
+160 5-3 IN LAST 8 GB ATS PICKS
+300 3-0-1 IN LAST 4 NE ATS PICKS
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