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Angelo MaglioccaAmagsSat at 2:00 PM24Extra Innings: Saturday MLB Betting
8 Expert Picks
Cristopher Sanchez is a Cy Young contender. …
Christopher Sanchez looks to make it nine for 13 at home in this player prop market. …
The Yankees are in a tricky spot off SNB. ...


The UFC visits Belgrade this weekend. ...
The Yankees look for the sweep here on Sunday Night Baseball. ...
Cristopher Sanchez has dominated at home. ...
Can the Phillies avoid the sweep at home on Sunday night?
Here. We. Go!
DraftKings. Jose Soriano is under this line in 12 of his last 17 starts this season. Rumors are that the reeling Angels have him on the trade block, and with a rested bullpen, they might be less inclined to push Soriano today. The Giants are prudently throwing six lefties in the lineup - Soriano sees both his walk rate (12.2%) and average against (.239) spike against southpaws.
Call-up lefty Carson Whisenhunt has struggled with his control, while the Angels’ Jose Soriano appears to have recaptured his early-season form. Last time out, Soriano fanned seven over seven innings, allowing two runs on four hits against the Cardinals. Back the Angels to end their three-game skid.
MGM. Ronel Blanco makes his second start since returning from Tommy John surgery. His first start wasn’t great - 4.2 innings 2 hits (both home-runs), 4 earned runs and 3 walks. While he’s built up to 86 pitches, he’s yet to even finish five innings in the minors or majors yet. He’s struggled with his command, specifically against lefties, which won’t bode well against the southpaw-heavy White Sox today. The Astros bullpen is in good shape, and I don’t see Houston pushing Blanco. Bet it down to under 15.5 outs with confidence.
Undoubtedly one of the pitching mismatches of the season on paper between Colorado's Kyle Freeland (0-6, 8.28 ERA away) and Milwaukee's Jacob Misiorowski, the NL Cy Young favorite and MLB ERA/strikeout leader. I suppose I have a minor concern that the Brewers are being really cautious of late with their young star, and he pitched only four innings last time out. But he's also on extra rest so I'd think he goes at least five today short of wildness or shockingly getting rocked. I doubt he goes much longer than five, though, so better have the lead then.
Jacob Misiorowski is coming off a short outing where it was thought to be Milwaukee limiting his innings, but manager Pat Murphy said after the game that Miz was "out of sorts with his delivery, his velocity fell and he leaned on his breaking stuff." That makes it seem like an isolated decision, and I would not be surprised to see him be dominant again and have a big game for strikeouts. This is about as severe of a starting pitcher mismatch as you will see if Miz is healthy, and the Brewers offense should be able to score against Kyle Freeland, who's allowed 4+ runs in five of his last seven starts. Milwaukee has a significant bullpen edge to hold down the win too.
DraftKings. Coming off a brutal outing against the Cubs, I like Framber Valdez to rebound against the Royals today. The lefty has cleared this outs line in 5/8 full starts at home, and he gets a prime matchup against the Royals. Kansas City has some pretty stark home/road splits against lefties this season, with a .677 OPS on the road, compared to .738 at home. Without their two best right-handed hitters (Bobby Witt and Maikel Garcia), I like the Tigers southpaw to finish six innings today.
Feels like a major intangibles spot against the Dodgers as they have been on the road -- on the East Coast -- since the All-Star break ended. Guys ready to get home. And it's their weak link of the rotation in Emmet Sheehan (4-7, 5.13). The bullpen is quite taxed. New York's Freddy Peralta has been a massive disappointment, but one dominant start against a good team like L.A, and all of a sudden his free-agent value goes up a bit. Quite possibly his last start with NYM before being traded. And he will be traded.
After getting only one hit yesterday in a shutout loss to Dylan Cease and Toronto, I'm backing Boston to win the weekend series against the AL East doormats. The Blue Jays have lost seven straight Kevin Gausman starts as the veteran right hander continues to give up plenty of runs and simultaneously get little run support. Red Sox starter Ranger Suarez threw eight innings of one-hit ball with 10 strikeouts against Toronto in April. I think the home team continues their impressive roll as they try to climb back into the American League playoff race.
Despite losing four of their last five games, the Pirates continue to show significant improvement offensively this season. Pittsburgh is batting .272 at home and will face Jameson Taillon, who owns a 5.38 ERA. In 11 career innings against Pittsburgh, Taillon has allowed 10 earned runs and five home runs. Braxton Ashcraft has been one of the Pirates' most consistent starters this season, especially at home, where he has posted a 3.68 ERA. Pittsburgh has also been one of the top teams in the majors against right-handed pitching at home.
The Rays have won five of their last six games after having a 5 game losing streak. Tampa Bay will tell you that winning is much better than losing, and I think they want to keep winning at home and sweep Cleveland this weekend. Drew Rasmussen won his last outing against Toronto 12-2, where he allowed two runs in five innings, but I think this is more about the team knowing where they are right now. When Tampa Bay is at home, they are 37-15. While they're at home, they’re going for another sweep Sunday. Tampa Bay to win.
DraftKings. Andre Pallante has stayed under this line in 12/19 starts. He’s the rare groundball pitcher (94th percentile) who is also able to suppress hard contact (75th percentile), leading to a .240 xBA (ground ball pitchers are typically failed by the xBA metric). The Reds are not a good righty-hitting team (.234 over the last 30 days), and have a baffling approach at the plate. Pallante pumps the zone, not ideal for an under in the hits allowed department (efficient with his pitches), but the Reds have the fourth lowest zone swing rate.
DraftKings. Nolan McLean is rolling - he’s cleared this line in each of his last six starts. But the rookie arguably faces the toughest matchup of his young career with the Dodgers. The two-time champs do not chase, with the second lowest out of zone swing rate, and drive up pitch counts at 3.94 per plate appearance. Look for the Dodgers, who’ve accrued a 122 wRC+ over their last 300+ road plate appearances against righties, to push the rookie.
Two things you should never do: Go to Costco hungry (end up spending the GNP of a small island nation on five pounds of tater tots that I end up throwing out anyways) or bet angry. I'm definitely a bit irked at the Tigers losing so will go ahead and chase that with this. Not much of a road guy in anything but no Juan Soto for the Mets makes this relatively palatable. Now I go eat my 10 gallons of Dinty Moore beef stew -- which apparently never expires. If there is a nuclear winter, I am definitely good right now.
Seattle Mariners starting pitcher Bryan Woo has had his issues on the road this season with an era of 6.28. Since getting a win at Houston on May 12th, Seattle has lost each of the last five road starts from Woo. In what is an important series for Seattle, I expect Woo’s road woes to end today. Nathan Eovaldi is coming off giving up three home runs his last start against Atlanta, and Texas has lost five out of his last six starts against Seattle. Back the Mariners.
You are probably fine taking Rangers moneyline, but I'm just not wired that way -- if I get among our limited options what I think is a wrong number, I'm going to take it. I prefer insurance as you probably can tell from all my parlays. Honestly don't get why Seattle is favored as Bryan Woo is the most schizo home/road starter in the majors. Dude looks like Cy Young at home but Anthony Young away (1-6, 6.28 ERA). "Woo-woo-woo" has allowed at least four runs in six straight road games.













