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4 Expert Picks
Miles Mikolas has struggled for Washington. ...
Is it too little too late for Cremonese? ...
This is Wolves last home game in the Premier League. ...
Rui Hachimura has shot 50 percent or better from 3-point range for 14 straight games. That's no misprint. In the playoffs, he's 29 of 50 (58 percent). In this series, he has played 37, 39 and 39 minutes, making three, four and five treys. The minutes and volume should continue to be there in a must-win Game 4. This calendar year, Hachimura has played 37 or more minutes 11 times, and he's cleared this prop total in nine of them.
The Thunder and Lakers have played seven times this season, including the postseason. The Thunder have won all seven, covered in all seven, and have won by an average of 25.1 points per game. In six of the seven games, OKC has scored 119 or more points. The one they didn't hit over 113.5 was Game 1 vs. the Lakers (scored 108), after having 8 days off.
OKC PF Chet Holmgren went 0-for-4 on 3-pointers in Game 3, but also 9-of-10 from inside the arc. The Lakers can’t let Chet run past them anymore, so expect more sagging here. That’s OK, as Holmgren hit two-plus 3’s in five of the previous six Thunder playoff games.
Lu Dort has started every playoff game with Jalen Williams out, and he’s mostly asked to stay out of the way. Still, he’s scored between 8-10 points in four out of seven, and the Lakers’ small forward defense allows for opportunities. So far, 35 of his 41 shots have been behind the arc, so we’ll side with Over 1.5 3’s instead of the 6.5-point prop.
No team allows more 3’s made to opposing power forwards than the Thunder. LeBron James hit two of them in Game 3 and three of them in Game 1. He’s only 32.6% on 3’s in the postseason, but all eyes will be on King James to produce. The Lakers were 3-0 when he hit two-plus 3’s in Round 1, and OKC will be happy to let him shoot from out there.
FanDuel. Running it back with Ajay Mitchell. The breakout star for the Thunder has assumed the Jalen Williams role, complementing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander on the wing as a playmaker and scorer. Mitchell is now over this line in four of five games since Williams went down (with one miss against the Suns in a 5/20 shooting performance), with a usage rate of at least 25% in each game. Against a Lakers team that lacks a defensive presence on the perimeter, look for Mitchell to continue to thrive in Game 4.
Caesar’s. Roku Sasaki pushed past the five inning mark in his last start against St. Louis, albeit he might have got a bit lucky (47% hard hit rate, 5.63 xFIP, .222 BABIP). He’s struggled mightily with his zone control and pitch efficiency this season, and I’m counting on that to resurface tonight against the Giants. Before the St. Louis start, he was under this line in 5/5 starts this season, and 6/8 last season. Even against a weaker Giants lineup, Sasaki has proven that working into the sixth is an anomaly.
The Dodgers got smoked by Atlanta on Sunday for a second straight defeat but have only lost three in a row once this season. And Mookie Bettis is set to be activated ahead of Monday's game. Now we finally get to see what that full lineup can do. Certainly would prefer any other LA starting pitcher than Roki Sasaki (1-3, 5.97 ERA), but this would be more expensive if so. The Giants can't hit much and are 6-12 away. They taxed the bullpen plenty in Sunday's 12-inning win over Pittsburgh.
D’backs starter Mike Soroka has a 4.14 ERA. Texas starter Nathan Eovaldi is at 4.15. Most every other aspect of Monday’s matchup favors the Rangers. That Soroka has a 1.59 home ERA and it’s 12.46 on the road doesn’t hurt. The snakes have scored 0-2 runs in four of the last five games and went 1-5 on its last road trip. Texas just blanked a strong Cubs lineup in back-to-back days.
Avalanche coach Jared Bednar is making a goalie change as Mackenzie Blackwood will get his first start in about a month. Seems like a bit of a panic move to me, but all I want is overtime. Colorado was 11-3-2 in games following a regulation loss during the season. On the other side, Minnesota's Jesper Wallstedt was notably benched for Game 2, and that didn't work out for the Wild at all. He was terrific back as the guy in the Game 3 victory. Minny's only home loss in these playoffs was in double OT.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are 5 and 0 in the playoffs at home, but have not won consecutive postseason games since game two against the Raptors. Each playoff game they seem to have that crucial down stretch, that allows the opponent to surge. Expect Detroit’s bench guards to perform better in game three when they went a combined 4 of 16. At the very least I expect the spread to finally be worthy for the underdog. Grab the points with Detroit.












