Arguably the two best pitchers in the MLB faceoff tonight. Both pitchers starting the year off with well under an ERA of two set the table for a battle tonight. Last June, Scherzer put on a show for the ages against the Dodgers going seven unearned tossing out 14 K's. I have no problem fading the public and taking Nationals with the runline in what should be a low scoring one run outcome.
7-2 IN LAST 9 MLB PICKS | +604
This line should be labeled the Bronx Bombers luxury tax. On paper, the Yankees are better than the Jays, but starting the season hovering over the .500 mark proves they do not deserve to lay anywhere near 2/1 against a top tier pitcher in the AL and the 12-6 Blue Jays. Even thinking that the Blue Jays may win 45 Percent of these contests makes this underdog a profitable play in the long term. I will gladly back Estrada as the +170 dog who has gone seven strong against the Yankees giving up a total of four runs in his last three starts.
The Royals are in the midst of the season to forget, but at the very least bettors must realize that the worst teams in the MLB still find a way to scrape out 60 wins a year. In the midst of a nine game collapse, the Royals have their Ace Jacob Junis on the mound and will beat a well below average Tigers squad just as he did against this lineup earlier this month.
Chris Archer has a horrid 7.84 ERA through four starts, but he is not the pitcher the Twins wants to see standing on the mound. The Rays hurler is a career 6-1 with a 1.84 ERA against Minnesota. To add to that, Minnesota's current lineup is a career .175 against Archer. Twins counterpart Lance Lynn hasn't gotten going, with a 5.00 ERA, and while Tampa is typically a good place to turn things around for opponents, look for the Rays -- coming off a series win over the Rangers -- to ride Archer to another victory.
21-13 IN LAST 34 MLB PICKS | +604
Rays starter Chris Archer historically is vastly overrated in the betting market, but his abysmal campaign thus far (7.84 ERA in four starts) has provided some value on his adjusted price Friday against the Twins. He's 6-1 with a 1.84 ERA in his career against Minnesota, He struck out 11 while allowing two runs in a win over the Twins in his last outing against them. Minnesota starter Lance Lynn went 0-1 with a 3.77 ERA in three appearances against the Rays last season.
4-2 IN LAST 6 MLB PICKS | +218
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