In consecutive games, the Nationals have struggled at the plate, scoring five runs total. Sunday, they'll face Nick Pivetta, who's coming off a two-run, four-hit performance. But Pivetta suffered his worst start of the season on May 4, when he yielded six runs in only one inning of work in Washington. Expect enough runs to eclipse Sunday's total.
68-50 IN LAST 118 MLB PICKS | +1803
3-0 IN LAST 3 WASHINGTON O/U PICKS | +300
Over his last seven starts, going back to May 16, when he pitched a gem in Seattle, we notice an obvious trend about Bartolo Colon. After each great game he pitches, he regresses like the oldest MLB pitcher should. In his starts after winning decisions, Colon has allowed earned run totals of six, six and eight, respectively. The Twins can't afford to be swept at home by the lowly Rangers. Lay the price.
6-2 IN LAST 8 MLB ATS PICKS | +307
Laying more than 2/1 for any MLB game is like playing with fire, but not when Chris Sale is on the mound, like he is on Sunday. Sale has dominated the Mariners in his last two starts, fanning 25 batters. Mariners pitcher Marco Gonzales was beat up in his last start and will get a rude awakening in his first-ever start versus MLB's highest run-producing team, the Red Sox. This price is steep, but well worth it. Look for Boston to take its sixth home decision in the last eight games against the M's.
5-2 IN LAST 7 BOSTON ML PICKS | +384
Jason Vargas has been up and down this season for the Mets, who started 11-1 and are now 11 games under .500. Still, they should keep it close at home against Dodgers starter Rich Hill, possessor of an unsightly 4.99 ERA. Don't be surprised if New York wins this one outright, but let's play it safe and take the Mets on the run line.
76-49 IN LAST 125 MLB PICKS | +2475
6-3 IN LAST 9 N.Y. METS ATS PICKS | +133
On the surface, it makes sense that only 33 percent of the public are backing the Blue Jays. Marcus Storman is winless at 0-5 with an embarrassing 7.71 ERA. Despite his early struggles, Stroman has dominated the Angels as of late. Last April, he pitched a complete game while allowing one earned run against the Halos. Since they're a healthy underdog on Saturday, I have no problem laying close to even money with the run line.
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