On Friday, the Cubs and Reds barely shot over 8.5 runs. Saturday, expect both sides to hit better at an earlier start time. The Cubs should be able to take advantage of Anthony DeSclafani, who remains susceptible to allowing many runs, and an untrustworthy Chicago bullpen. Grab the Over.
67-49 IN LAST 116 MLB PICKS | +1803
Sonny Gray has stayed Under the total in his last four starts, which is in line with the entire Yankees' rotation and bullpen. They've stayed Under in 16 of their last 17 games. Wilmer Font has done a good job in his three starts for the Rays, in which he pitches for only about four innings. All three of his starts stayed Under, and the Rays have remained Under in nine of their last 10. You get the gist, Under again.
32-18-1 IN LAST 51 MLB O/U PICKS | +1236
14-7-2 IN LAST 23 N.Y. YANKEES O/U PICKS | +630
This is an example of two teams heading in opposite directions. The A's had won five straight games entering Friday night's twin-bill finale and the Sox had dropped eight straight. Dating back to last season, Chicago has lost its last six against Oakland and allowing 55 runs during that span -- more than nine per game. Throw in the A's winning six of the previous eight road starts by Daniel Mengden, and not surprisingly, the simulations show Oakland winning this one nearly two-thirds of the time.
73-47 IN LAST 120 MLB PICKS | +2356
5-0 IN LAST 5 OAKLAND ML PICKS | +543
Both starters have fared well against each other in previous meetings, but have struggled in recent outings. Luis Castillo of the Reds has lost his last four starts while yielding 16 earned runs and six homers. Cubs starter Jose Quintana is winless in his last three outings and has struggled with control issues. Look for both lineups to have some success Friday and send this one Over the posted total.
4-3 IN LAST 7 MLB ATS PICKS | +120
4-0 IN LAST 4 CHI. CUBS O/U PICKS | +400
Bettors have been attacking Cubs starter Jose Quintana?s strong road ERA, while Reds starter Luis Castillo had a strong home start against the Cubs on May 19. But he has struggled of late, and is particularly vulnerable to giving up home runs. Take the reverse angle here on the total and play the Over on Friday.
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