Did the Mets freeze on the big stage last night? ...

Will the Padres be upset at home again? ...

Value on Chet Holmgren again in Game 7?...

The Jets are 0-5 on the road in the playoffs...

Winnipeg is winless on the road in these playoffs. ...

Why would I want to shorten this game, again? ...

Not the Bay Bridge Series these days with the A's de-camped to Sacramento (how about the I-80 Series instead?), but Mark Kotsay has just the man he wants on the mound after his pitching staff was battered the past two night by the Dodgers, allowing a whopping 28 runs. JP Sears has allowed only six runs across 28 IP (1.93 ERA) in his last five starts, all wins by the A's, who also check the "humiliation bounce-back box" after last night's humbling 19-2 loss at Chavez Ravine. Sears will have to outduel Logan Webb, who has been the Giants' most effective starter with his 2.60 ERA, but Bob Melvin's side has also been slumping, dropping five of its last six. Play A's on Money Line

DraftKings. I don't think the books have caught up to Logan Webb's strikeout metrics yet. Webb has cleared this line in seven of his eight fully stretched out starts, and in all three home starts (where he traditionally dominates). His tweaked changeup 37% whiff rate this season compared to 22% last year) has really opened up the rest of his arsenal. The Athletics are a tough matchup, but have still allowed 10 of the last 17 righties to clear this line against them. Webb's strikeout rate is in the 85th percentile, and should clear this line within six innings.

JP Sears is a guy we back a lot, especially against a lineup like this that does most of its damage vs righties. Gigantes have just a .291 OBP vs lefties and Sears is a good one. When he gets to pitch without traffic he is especially tricky. This big ballpark will be a godsend for him too compared to SacTown. The A's 13-10 on the RL on the road and the Giants 9-15 on the RL as a favorite.

Logan Webb has been the most reliable starter for the Giants, and MLB overall, for a few years now. He's taken a step forward this season, though, as his strikeout rate has increased with a new fastball and improved changeup.

Seems a little light on the Padres, who have been one of the best teams in the majors at home. Seattle is starting to show its flaws -- i.e. can't hit -- in a 3-7 run. Rookie pitcher Logan Evans was torched in his lone road start. Anyone who has Miles Mastrobuoni in their starting lineup as Seattle does should lose. If this were my Best Friend's Fat Greek Wedding or something, maybe I want Miles around. Although Mastrobuoni is probably Italian. OK, Nonnas then (good flick).

Grabbing the 1.5 for the best value on the board. Auto fade vs a team deadset on being the worst in MLB history from the owner on down. Rockies are 3-10 on the RL vs the mighty NL West and 6-16 on the RL on the road. Corbin Burnes has it going after a slow start to his D-Backs career.

Josh Naylor offers excellent value at +560 on FanDuel, especially when compared to other books listing him as low as +360. Naylor is hitting .324 this season with all 5 of his home runs coming against right-handed pitching. He'll face Rockies starter Tanner Gordon, who has surrendered 10 home runs in just 40.2 innings and holds an 0-7 record in 9 career starts. We set Naylor's line to hit a HR at +420.

The Brewers have won five of the last six meetings against the Twins over the last 2 years, but the Twins have an 11-game win streak going with one of their best pitchers in Joe Ryan, who has been sharp lately. He's only allowed two earned runs between his last three starts. The Brewers send Chad Patrick to the mound, and he's given up five runs in his last 11 innings pitched. The Twins hope that Byron Buxton and Carlos Correa are alright after a collision yesterday, but a winning streak is a powerful force. The Brewers have lost five of their last seven. Twins win.

The Twins are absolutely on fire but it seems like both Byron Buxton and Carlos Correa will sit today after they collided on Thursday in Baltimore and landed in the concussion protocol. And the bullpen is pretty thinned-out having played a DH on Wednesday and then having to use their two top guys again Thursday. I tend to think the 11-game skid ends here but obviously we don't turn down +1.5. Milwaukee was off Thursday and is 12-7 at home.