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Kansas City 3 @ Detroit 4 | 07/02 | 8:10 PM UTC

UNDER 9

WIN

ANALYSIS: Kris Bubic led the Royals to a 3-1 win against the Tigers earlier this season. Beau Briske has yet to face the Royals, but I don't expect him to run into too much trouble, as has been much better at home with his 2.76 ERA. The Tigers' bullpen has been excellent this season. Unfortunately, the same cannot be said about the Royals'. Still, we have two of the worst offenses playing each other. The Royals only average 3.81 runs per game, and the Tigers only average 2.97. Take the under.

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Allie O'Neill

Allie-Bama
+549 8-2 IN LAST 10 MLB PICKS

Milwaukee 4 @ Pittsburgh 7 | 07/02 | 8:05 PM UTC

Milwaukee -1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Brewers laid into the Pirates last night to pick up a 19-2 win. To be fair, Aaron Ashby and Bryse Wilson pitched relatively well against their respective opponents when playing in Pittsburgh back in April, but both pitchers have really struggled in their recent starts. This is a great opportunity for Ashby to bounce back, but I lack the same confidence about Wilson. I'm mostly betting against an overtaxed Pirates bullpen, which has provided multiple scoring opportunities to Milwaukee over the first two games of this series. I'll take my chances with the Brewers on the run line at -130.

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Allie O'Neill

Allie-Bama
+549 8-2 IN LAST 10 MLB PICKS

Kansas City 3 @ Detroit 4 | 07/02 | 8:10 PM UTC

Detroit -130

WIN

ANALYSIS: On Friday, Kansas City took the series opener against the Tigers 3-1. All four matchups between the teams this year have gone well under the total. That should change Saturday with two struggling pitchers on the mound in K.C.'s Kris Bubic and Detroit's Beau Brieske. A positive for Detroit is that Brieske’s home ERA is just 2.76. Take the Tigers in this spot.

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Zack Cimini

Contrarian with Chutzpah
+448 20-13 IN LAST 33 MLB PICKS
+1307 28-14 IN LAST 42 DET ML PICKS
+855 13-5 IN LAST 18 KC ML PICKS

Tampa Bay 11 @ Toronto 5 | 07/02 | 10:07 PM UTC

Toronto -130

LOSS

ANALYSIS: A couple of doubleheaders are on the Saturday schedule in MLB, including the Blue Jays and Rays. In Game 1, the Rays ended a four-game skid. A glaring problem for Tampa Bay has been its play on the road the past three weeks, and that has applied to pitcher Drew Rasmussen, as well. His last two road starts, he has given up multiple home runs and has had short outings. Take the Blue Jays.

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Zack Cimini

Contrarian with Chutzpah
+448 20-13 IN LAST 33 MLB PICKS
+1180 42-29 IN LAST 71 TOR ML PICKS
+480 8-3 IN LAST 11 TB ML PICKS

Tampa Bay 11 @ Toronto 5 | 07/02 | 10:07 PM UTC

Toronto -130

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I find it hard to believe the Blue Jays get swept at home here. They faced Shane McClanahan in Game 1 and he has been dominating absolutely everybody. But the Blue Jays also lost Kevin Gausman early to an injury. They will have Thomas Hatch starting the nightcap and he might not go too deep, but the Blue Jays have their whole bullpen available. Drew Rasmussen is coming off the IL so he shouldn’t be able to go too deep either. Teams who lose the first game of the doubleheader win the second game about 70% of the time regardless of the line, take the Blue Jays in Game 2.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+568 173-145 IN LAST 318 MLB ML PICKS
+447 38-30 IN LAST 68 TOR ML PICKS

Texas 7 @ N.Y. Mets 3 | 07/02 | 8:10 PM UTC

Texas 110

WIN

ANALYSIS: It’s Martin Perez day, and that means the Rangers are likely to win. They’re 11-4 behind the left-hander this season, and he’s posted a 2.22 ERA. They have won his past four outings and seven of his road starts. Yes, 7-0 when he starts on the road. The Mets were fortunate to win Friday night to bust a season-long three-game losing streak. Rangers to win.

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Micah Roberts

Former Vegas Bookmaker
+1460 42-27 IN LAST 69 MLB ML PICKS
+640 9-2 IN LAST 11 TEX ML PICKS
+803 16-7 IN LAST 23 NYM ML PICKS

Texas 7 @ N.Y. Mets 3 | 07/02 | 8:10 PM UTC

Texas 115

WIN

ANALYSIS: Martin Perez has been very good this season and he has been very good on the road with a 2.30 ERA. He has also pitched a quality start in 11 of his last 13 games. When the Mets struggle, its usually against lefties. Trevor Williams is 1-4 with a 3.64 ERA this season but he has never pitched more than 5 innings. That means a lot of bullpen for a Mets bullpen that was worked after last night. The Rangers have won five of their last nine games and they are actually better on the road at 19-19 this season. The Mets have lost six of their last 10 games and they’ve scored more than 5 runs just once in their past 11 games. I like the Rangers behind their ace today.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+568 173-145 IN LAST 318 MLB ML PICKS
+378 15-9 IN LAST 24 TEX ML PICKS
+2242 38-18 IN LAST 56 NYM ML PICKS

Kansas City 3 @ Detroit 4 | 07/02 | 8:10 PM UTC

Detroit -120

WIN

ANALYSIS: Beau Brieske has struggled in his past two outings but those were both on the road. He is much better at home with a 2.76 ERA this season. The Tigers looked flat last night, but hopefully it was just because of their first game home after a road trip. They were able to save all their top relievers last night as well after going down early. Kris Bubic has really struggled all season and he has multiple walks in six of his last 7 games. The Royals also had to use their top bullpen arms, so they are worked from last night. Take the Tigers at home to force a rubber game.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+568 173-145 IN LAST 318 MLB ML PICKS
+3125 73-35 IN LAST 108 DET ML PICKS
+987 23-13 IN LAST 36 KC ML PICKS

L.A. Angels 1 @ Houston 9 | 07/02 | 8:10 PM UTC

Houston -155

WIN

ANALYSIS: No reason not to run this play back after seeing the Astros last night. The Angels were one of the worst teams in the league in June and the Astros are red hot right now. Patrick Sandoval has been decent but he doesn’t get deep into games and the Angels bullpen pitching multiple innings is bad news. The Astros struggled against lefties earlier this season, but they are actually one of the best teams against lefties in the past month. The Astros have won 17 of the last 26 games between these teams, take the Astros to win the series.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+568 173-145 IN LAST 318 MLB ML PICKS
+2329 51-26 IN LAST 77 LAA ML PICKS
+1863 31-11 IN LAST 42 HOU ML PICKS

Arizona 7 @ Colorado 11 | 07/03 | 1:10 AM UTC

Colorado -145

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Rockies were one of many home teams yesterday that seemed to come out of the off day and play a dud. Very weird to see out of the off day, but I think these teams should bounce back and that includes the Rockies. Antonio Senzatela was injured early yesterday as well so that extended the Rockies back end of the bullpen. However, the Diamondbacks are much worse against lefties and they face a lefty today in Austin Gomber. He has been very hit or miss and he has struggled lately. Dallas Keuchel is opposing Gomber however, so a Rockies team that hits lefties extremely well should have success. Keuchel allowed 4 ER in 4.1 IP in his Arizona debut, I like the Rockies to force a rubber game tonight.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+568 173-145 IN LAST 318 MLB ML PICKS
+691 26-16 IN LAST 42 COL ML PICKS
+453 18-12 IN LAST 30 ARI ML PICKS

N.Y. Yankees 13 @ Cleveland 4 | 07/02 | 4:10 PM UTC

N.Y. Yankees -160

WIN

ANALYSIS: You know. I owe apologies. If the Red Sox had held the lead yesterday I was done and nice day ... they didn't and I chased and it blew up in my face. Feel like I was a monkey/elephant with a prehensile all day. And, yes, I saw video on Twitter and just wanted to say prehensile. Quite sure I didn't use it correctly even as an English major. I can quote Keats. I just don't want to. Never did really. I have no idea how to use prehensile in a sentence (dear SL editors it's not dirty). I think the lesson learned is don't force it. Sometimes the matchups just aren't there. So this may be my last play of weekend. I think the books are giving us a break because it's a doubleheader and we are getting Gerrit Cole this cheaply. I see some others that have Yanks more than -200. So I'm gonna take advantage while Caesars is allowing this and it may not last long. (Even as I prehensile Gerrit Cole. Almost always lose; sometimes there is a quick window where books will put up 1st game DH odds and then change them dramatically. This has happened here.)

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1989 202-125 IN LAST 327 MLB PICKS
+440 6-1 IN LAST 7 CLE ML PICKS
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