N.Y. Mets @ Cincinnati | 07/04 | 10:40 PM UTC
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ANALYSIS: Will the Mets roll to victory? ... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!
ANALYSIS: Will the Mets roll to victory? ... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!
ANALYSIS: This line has fallen and now there's value on the Marlins, who have won 10 of 11 against the Nats. They're going for four wins in a row overall since their shocking comeback victory on Wednesday in St. Louis. I like the pitching matchup with Pablo Lopez facing Erick Fedde, and the price is right.
ANALYSIS: The Blue Jays were put in an unfortunate circumstance yesterday with Kevin Gausman getting injured early in Game 1 and the Blue Jays bullpen getting extended throughout the doubleheader. However, they have Ross Stripling pitching today and he should give them some quality innings. He was 4-1 with a 1.59 ERA in June. Shane Baz has pitched very well this season, but he is still only making his eighth career regular season start. I like the Blue Jays at home to win this weird five game series.
ANALYSIS: The White Sox have gone 4-9 behind Lucas Giolito this season for -6.90 units of betting. They have lost his last four starts and five of his last six, allowing 29 runs and nine homers in that span. But something changed in his last outing as he gave up only two runs against the Los Angeles Angels, showed control, struck out six batters and did not serve up a homer. Chicago lost, but I’m willing to bet him on what I think is his upswing as the White Sox go for the sweep against a struggling San Francisco squad. Take the White Sox to win.
ANALYSIS: Houston has won the first two games of this series by a combined 17-2. I love the Astros to get the sweep today behind Framber Valdez, but I'll play them on the runline at -115 rather than lay big juice. Valdez is 7-2 with a 2.33 ERA over his last 12 starts. The Angels have mustered 22 runs over their last eight games and trot out Jose Suarez, who has a 1.64 WHIP.
ANALYSIS: The Orioles should be going for a sweep at Minnesota, but instead, they’re trying to avoid being swept after back-to-back heartbreaking, one-run losses. They suffered a bullpen malfunction, something on which a young team needs to. But it’s Tyler Wells' turn in the rotation, and Baltimore has won his last five starts and scored lots of runs for him. The bats wake up for Wells, who has allowed just two runs over his last three turns. Take the Orioles to win.
ANALYSIS: With Astros starter Framber Valdez on one side and Jose Suarez on the other for L.A., this should be a tight one. Valdez pitched well in his last start against the Mets but had allowed at least two runs in four straight before that. Suarez has allowed eight runs over his past four starts. The Angels have won three of the eight meetings this season, and they are 4-4 in Suarez starts this season. The SportsLine Projection Model has the Angels covering in 64 percent of its simulations.
ANALYSIS: Kris Bubic led the Royals to a 3-1 win against the Tigers earlier this season. Beau Briske has yet to face the Royals, but I don't expect him to run into too much trouble, as has been much better at home with his 2.76 ERA. The Tigers' bullpen has been excellent this season. Unfortunately, the same cannot be said about the Royals'. Still, we have two of the worst offenses playing each other. The Royals only average 3.81 runs per game, and the Tigers only average 2.97. Take the under.
ANALYSIS: The Brewers laid into the Pirates last night to pick up a 19-2 win. To be fair, Aaron Ashby and Bryse Wilson pitched relatively well against their respective opponents when playing in Pittsburgh back in April, but both pitchers have really struggled in their recent starts. This is a great opportunity for Ashby to bounce back, but I lack the same confidence about Wilson. I'm mostly betting against an overtaxed Pirates bullpen, which has provided multiple scoring opportunities to Milwaukee over the first two games of this series. I'll take my chances with the Brewers on the run line at -130.
ANALYSIS: On Friday, Kansas City took the series opener against the Tigers 3-1. All four matchups between the teams this year have gone well under the total. That should change Saturday with two struggling pitchers on the mound in K.C.'s Kris Bubic and Detroit's Beau Brieske. A positive for Detroit is that Brieske’s home ERA is just 2.76. Take the Tigers in this spot.
ANALYSIS: A couple of doubleheaders are on the Saturday schedule in MLB, including the Blue Jays and Rays. In Game 1, the Rays ended a four-game skid. A glaring problem for Tampa Bay has been its play on the road the past three weeks, and that has applied to pitcher Drew Rasmussen, as well. His last two road starts, he has given up multiple home runs and has had short outings. Take the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS: I find it hard to believe the Blue Jays get swept at home here. They faced Shane McClanahan in Game 1 and he has been dominating absolutely everybody. But the Blue Jays also lost Kevin Gausman early to an injury. They will have Thomas Hatch starting the nightcap and he might not go too deep, but the Blue Jays have their whole bullpen available. Drew Rasmussen is coming off the IL so he shouldn’t be able to go too deep either. Teams who lose the first game of the doubleheader win the second game about 70% of the time regardless of the line, take the Blue Jays in Game 2.