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Expert Picks (1 Live)

L.A. Lakers 110 @ New Orleans 98 | 05/17 | 1:00 AM UTC

L.A. Lakers -275

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Lakers still have a shot at avoiding the play-in tournament, but they need to win this game and have Portland lose at home to Denver. Both games tip off at 9 p.m. ET so unless the Blazers are blowing out the Nuggets early, Los Angeles should keep all its key guys out there against a Pelicans team with squat to play for and without most key players.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1316 57-28 IN LAST 85 NBA ML PICKS
+138 3-1 IN LAST 4 NO ML PICKS
+117 3-1 IN LAST 4 LAL ML PICKS

L.A. Clippers 112 @ Oklahoma City 117 | 05/17 | 1:00 AM UTC

Oklahoma City +9

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Clippers are basically mailing this one in by sitting most of their key players, including Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. The guys who are playing (Patrick Beverley, etc., are not expected to be out there long). Oklahoma City is god awful but the guys should play hard in the season finale and be able to cover.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1070 82-53 IN LAST 135 NBA PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 LAC ATS PICKS
+80 3-2 IN LAST 5 OKC ATS PICKS

Denver 116 @ Portland 132 | 05/17 | 1:00 AM UTC

Portland -11

WIN

ANALYSIS: With a win in this game, Denver would more or less guarantee itself a first-round matchup against the Lakers. Denver is going to want no part of that. Portland needs this win while Denver should be actively trying to lose and that is enough to lay the points here. Portland will have an extra edge of revenge in its focus here having lost both meetings against Denver so far this season. The Trail Blazers are 6-0 ATS (10.25 ppg) when they've lost at least two straight meetings vs. this opponent.

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Kyle Akins

SportsBook Breakers
+1330 21-7 IN LAST 28 NBA ATS PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 DEN ATS PICKS

Kansas City 3 @ Chi. White Sox 4 | 05/16 | 6:10 PM UTC

Chi. White Sox -157

WIN

ANALYSIS: The White Sox are 11-0 as a 140-plus favorite after a game in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent and it is before the All-Star break. The Royals are 0-11 as a road 140+ dog when they lost by one run in their starters last start and it is before the All-Star break.

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SDQL Gurus

Serious Scientists
+1253 20-6 IN LAST 26 MLB ML PICKS
+1283 19-5 IN LAST 24 CHW ML PICKS
+1070 18-4 IN LAST 22 KC ML PICKS

Texas 2 @ Houston 6 | 05/16 | 6:10 PM UTC

Houston -180

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Astros are 9-0 as a 140-plus home favorite when their opponent is seeking immediate revenge for a one-run loss and it is before the All-Star break. The Rangers are 0-14 in the last game of a series as a 140-plus dog after they lost by one run.

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SDQL Gurus

Serious Scientists
+1253 20-6 IN LAST 26 MLB ML PICKS
+319 8-3 IN LAST 11 TEX ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 HOU ML PICKS

Chi. Cubs 5 @ Detroit 1 | 05/16 | 5:10 PM UTC

Chi. Cubs -140

WIN

ANALYSIS: Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks has struggled against Atlanta this season, but Detroit is no Atlanta. Hendricks has a 3.33 ERA against teams not named the Braves this year. My model says Chicago wins more than two-thirds of the time, so you're getting strong value with the Cubs at this number.

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Stephen Oh

Data Scientist
+110 2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS
+2562 43-14 IN LAST 57 DET ML PICKS
+469 5-1 IN LAST 6 CHC ML PICKS

Philadelphia 8 @ Toronto 10 | 05/16 | 5:07 PM UTC

Toronto -177

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Blue Jays are 7-0 in the last game of a series as a home favorite when their opponent’s starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 2.00 on the season. The Phillies are 0-10 on the road off a game as a favorite in which they had six or fewer hits and it is before the All-Star break.

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SDQL Gurus

Serious Scientists
+1253 20-6 IN LAST 26 MLB ML PICKS
+809 11-3 IN LAST 14 PHI ML PICKS
+152 3-1 IN LAST 4 TOR ML PICKS

San Francisco 4 @ Pittsburgh 1 | 05/16 | 5:05 PM UTC

San Francisco -157

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Giants are 9-0 as a 140-plus favorite off a road game vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is before the All-Star break. The Pirates are 0-7 in the last game of a series vs a lefty after facing three straight righties.

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SDQL Gurus

Serious Scientists
+1253 20-6 IN LAST 26 MLB ML PICKS
+555 7-1 IN LAST 8 SF ML PICKS
+397 6-1 IN LAST 7 PIT ML PICKS

Boston 2 @ Washington 3 | 05/15 | 11:15 PM UTC

Washington +110

WIN

ANALYSIS: With how this line looks for Game 1 and they way the public is betting, there is going to be a lot of value on the Capitals this series. Alex Ovechkin returned for the Caps in their last game of the season with no limitations, John Carlson is expected to play, and TJ Oshie has been practicing and could return tonight. The Bruins played well down the stretch but the Caps actually played better going 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. And for the Rask is a massive advantage crowd, Tuuka Rask is 4-11-7 with a 3.03 GAA in his career against the Caps. I just don’t see how you can’t take the value in the home, higher-seeded underdog here, and I have a feeling the value will be on this side all series.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+1225 34-17 IN LAST 51 NHL ML PICKS
+810 11-2 IN LAST 13 WAS ML PICKS
+410 4-0 IN LAST 4 BOS ML PICKS

N.Y. Yankees 8 @ Baltimore 2 | 05/15 | 11:05 PM UTC

N.Y. Yankees -160

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Yankees are 16-0 in the second game of a series as favorites when they hit multiple home runs as favorites in the opener and it is before the All-Star break. More importantly, New York is a perfect 18-0 in Domingo Germain’s career when he is coming off a start in which he needed fewer than four pitches per hitter, and he was not a 180-plus favorite. With the Orioles 0-10 in the second game of a series as underdogs when they scored in fewer innings than their opponent in the opener, we are on NY.

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SDQL Gurus

Serious Scientists
+1253 20-6 IN LAST 26 MLB ML PICKS
+325 3-0 IN LAST 3 NYY ML PICKS
+163 11-6 IN LAST 17 BAL ML PICKS

L.A. Angels @ Boston 9 | 05/15 | 8:10 PM UTC

Boston +110

WIN

ANALYSIS: Friday's 4-3 loss was only the Angels’ third one-run loss of the season. We mention this because LA is 0-9 SU after it lost by one run, getting beat by an average of 5.44 runs per game. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 7-0 in the second game of a series at home coming off a game as favorites in which they scored first, trailed and won -- and it is before the All-Star break. Boston has won these seven games by an average of 4.57 runs.

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SDQL Gurus

Serious Scientists
+1253 20-6 IN LAST 26 MLB ML PICKS
+170 3-1 IN LAST 4 BOS ML PICKS
+54 2-1 IN LAST 3 LAA ML PICKS
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