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NFL Expert Picks

10 Expert Picks

Dec 19 2025, 1:15 am UTC
League
L.A. Rams
@ Seattle
Longest ReceptionSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+389
5-1 in Last 6 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Rashid Shaheed has gotten more acclimated to Seattle’s offense. …

Pick Made: Tue 8:20 pm UTC on DraftKings
Dec 19 2025, 1:15 am UTC
League
L.A. Rams
@ Seattle
Receiving YardsSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1197
35-20 in Last 55 NFL Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

Rashid Shaheed should find success against the Rams on Thursday Night. …

Pick Made: Tue 4:07 pm UTC on DraftKings
Dec 19 2025, 1:15 am UTC
League
L.A. Rams
@ Seattle
Over/UnderSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+879
108-94-2 in Last 204 NFL Picks
+487
20-13 in Last 33 NFL O/U Picks
Daniel's Analysis:

Play on the total for this huge NFC West clash…

Pick Made: 7:17 am UTC on FanDuel
Dec 20 2025, 10:00 pm UTC
League
Philadelphia
@ Washington
Anytime TD ScorerSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+883
21-11 in Last 32 NFL Player Props Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Eagles finally got back on track against the Raiders ...

Pick Made: 5:35 am UTC on FanDuel
Dec 21 2025, 6:00 pm UTC
League
Kansas City
@ Tennessee
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+805
145-129-5 in Last 279 NFL Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

Gardner Minshew has plenty of experience as he steps into the starter role ...

Pick Made: Tue 4:19 pm UTC on Caesars
Dec 21 2025, 6:00 pm UTC
League
Tampa Bay
@ Carolina
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+805
145-129-5 in Last 279 NFL Picks
+362
28-24-2 in Last 54 TB ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Bucs offense is as healthy as its been all season ...

Pick Made: Tue 4:02 pm UTC on FanDuel
Dec 21 2025, 6:00 pm UTC
League
L.A. Chargers
@ Dallas
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1595
45-26-2 in Last 73 NFL ATS Picks
+64
4-3 in Last 7 LAC ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Why does the marketplace continue to overvalue the Cowboys?...

Pick Made: Tue 7:34 pm UTC on FanDuel
Dec 21 2025, 9:25 pm UTC
League
Las Vegas
@ Houston
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+805
145-129-5 in Last 279 NFL Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

Everything came together for the Texans offense last week thanks in part to facing a weak opponent ...

Pick Made: Tue 4:27 pm UTC on bet365
Dec 21 2025, 9:25 pm UTC
League
Las Vegas
@ Houston
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+389
5-1 in Last 6 NFL Picks
+298
31-25-1 in Last 57 NFL ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Texans go for their seventh straight win. ...

Pick Made: 5:05 am UTC on bet365
Dec 23 2025, 1:15 am UTC
League
San Francisco
@ Indianapolis
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
Mike's Analysis:

Colts QB Philip Rivers bacame the NFL's heartwarming

Pick Made: Mon 11:08 pm UTC on FanDuel
Past Picks
Dec 16 2025, 1:15 am UTC
League
Miami
15
@ Pittsburgh
28
+883
21-11 in Last 32 NFL Player Props Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Steelers need a win here to remain a game up on the Ravens, and they're going to have a key matchup advantage at tight end. The Dolphins allow the second most receiving yards to TEs in the league, and Pittsburgh has three good ones. But Washington has been the snap leader at the position for much of the season, on the field more than 60% of the time in seven of the last 10 games. He's had multiple catches in six of those seven high snap games and less than 20 yards only once. He's tended to be more involved at home as well, and the cold weather should make him tough to bring down. I'd play this up to 24.5.

Pick Made: Mon 3:13 pm UTC on BetMGM
Dec 16 2025, 1:15 am UTC
League
Miami
15
@ Pittsburgh
28
+805
145-129-5 in Last 279 NFL Picks
+1455
37-20-1 in Last 58 PIT ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

We'll see if De'Von Achane is able to play, but early indication is that his injury is minor. Whoever the Dolphins roll out at RB could be in for a monster game, as the Steelers have been gashed for 466 rushing yards the last two weeks. Miami has 160+ rushing yards in four straight, even with Achane leaving early last week, so Miami's path to offensive success is clear. The Dolphins defense has allowed 17 points or less in four straight, and the Steelers offense isn't exactly firing on all cylinders down the stretch. This is one that should be 3 at best, so I'll take the hook.

Pick Made: Dec 09, 9:17 pm UTC on bet365
Dec 16 2025, 1:15 am UTC
League
Miami
15
@ Pittsburgh
28
+1130
52-34 in Last 86 NFL Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

This is a very difficult matchup for Jaylen Warren facing a Miami defense that doesn’t look overly imposing, however if we zoom in a bit they’ve been playing great defense recently. Since Week 10, Miami ranks 5th in EPA allowed per play, with terrific marks in run defense where they rank 2nd in EPA Allowed Per Rush and 9th in Success Rate. Warren has been inconsistent this season and remains in a pretty even timeshare with Kenneth Gainwell.

Pick Made: Mon 1:15 pm UTC on DraftKings
Dec 16 2025, 1:15 am UTC
League
Miami
15
@ Pittsburgh
28
+388
19-13 in Last 32 NFL Player Props Picks
Sia's Analysis:

Aaron Rodgers hasn't been clearing this number a lot lately, but I think the matchup against a surging Dolphins rush defense pushes us north of 20.5 completions. Miami has been solid against the run lately and in a competitive game, I expect Rodgers to move the ball through the short area passing attack. Look for the RBs and TEs to flourish with high percentage targets from Rodgers as the path to win for Pittsburgh is likely through the air.

Pick Made: Mon 2:55 pm UTC on BetMGM
Dec 16 2025, 1:15 am UTC
League
Miami
15
@ Pittsburgh
28
Sia's Analysis:

On the Early Edge this morning I gave out the Rodgers completions play, but also stated I was leaning to Miami. Now we have more information relating to Derrick Harmon being inactive AND the line has moved to 3.5 at Fanduel. That's too much for me to ignore. Miami isn't nearly as good as their recent record indicates, but they will be up for a primetime game and this is a watered down version of the Pittsburgh Steelers who were already missing plenty of key defenders (i.e. TJ Watt/Deshon Elliot). I'd also be willing to play this at +3 as long as the juice is in the neighborhood of even money.

Pick Made: Tue 12:08 am UTC on FanDuel
Key NFL betting terms to know:Against the spread:

While there is an outright winner and loser in football games, there is also a winner and loser against the spread. This refers to the point spread that is determined by oddsmakers and the betting market. If Dallas is -7.5, it is considered the 7.5-point favorite and must win by eight points or more to cover.

Money line:

WThis is the simplest way to bet on a game and refers to the outright winner. However, large favorites could have large money lines, which means you'll need to bet a lot to make a small profit. Bettors usually prefer wagering on the underdog in that scenario since a small risk can lead to a large reward.

Over/Under:

Often referred to as the total, the over/under is the number of points expected in a game. There are also totals for season wins, player props, and more.

Parlay:

A football parlay is used to combine multiple bets into one wager, creating the opportunity for a massive payday. With football games throughout the weekend, a parlay can be decided in as little as one day or even one game.

Prop bet:

Betting on the spread and total are the most common ways to bet on football, but prop bets have been growing in popularity. They range from things such as a player’s total receiving yards to the odds of overtime happening in a game.

Teaser:

Similar to a parlay, a teaser combines multiple bets into one wager. Unlike a parlay, a teaser uses more favorable spreads at a lower payout. Common types of football teasers are backing two or three teams and moving each spread by six, 6.5 or 7 points.

Buying points:

Some sportsbooks allow bettors to add points to the spread to make it a more favorable wager at worse odds. For example, a bettor could buy three points and turn a 4.5-point underdog into a 7.5-point underdog.

Contrarian:

When a bet goes against the public, it is referred to as a contrarian bet. Underdogs are often the contrarian side, as most bettors prefer backing the favorite.

Closing Line:

The final odds posted when the game begins is the closing line. This line can be used to grade ROI (return on investment) and is also referenced in sports betting databases.

Consensus:

With so many sportsbooks taking wagers on games, the consensus gives bettors an idea of which team is taking the most money. A consensus bet is one that is generally agreed upon by most bettors.

Cover:

The team that beats the point spread is the team that covers. An underdog needs to lose by less than the listed spread or win outright, while the favorite needs to win by a larger margin than the spread.

Favorite:

Almost every game has a favorite, which is the team that is expected to win. Money line bets on the favorite pay less money than bets on the underdog, although the spread is generally the same return on both sides.

First half:

Some football bets relate only to the opening half of the game. Sportsbooks will also divide bets into quarters, giving bettors many different ways to approach wagering on a contest.

Futures:

While many bets are posted for individual games, there are also futures bets that often span multiple weeks or months. Common football futures bets are division winners and championship winners. Futures bets can be hard to predict, so they can have large payouts.

Handle:

The amount of money a sportsbook takes on a game is the handle. The betting splits (ticket count, money) can help shed light on which side the public is on and which side the professionals are on.

Home-field advantage:

Playing at home can be a major advantage in football, and home-field advantage is priced into the betting line. Bettors and oddsmakers do not always agree about how much this is worth, but it is generally estimated to be around 2.5 to 3 points in football, depending on the stadium.

Hook:

Oddsmakers often attach a half-point, or hook, to the spread or total. Games cannot land on a half point, so the hook guarantees a winner and loser on each side of the bet.

Juice:

Sportsbooks take a percentage of every bet to ensure profitability in the long run, and this tax is referred to as the juice. There is usually more juice associated with futures bets than with single-game wagers.

Key Number:

Football has more key numbers than any sport, as teams tend to win by a field goal or a touchdown. Games land on three points more than any other number, making it the most important key number in football.

Laying the points:

When a bettor wagers on the favorite to cover the spread, it is called laying the points. A bettor laying 3.5 points would need the team to win by at least four points.

Line/Odds:

The most basic football sports betting term is the betting line or odds. Sportsbooks set an opening line and the odds are adjusted after bettors begin wagering. Monitoring line movement is one factor that bettors use to place smart bets.

Live Betting:

Pre-game betting is still the most common way to bet on a game, but live betting has created a chance for bettors to wager throughout the contest. Some sportsbooks update their futures odds in the middle of games as well.

Point spread:

Every game has a point spread, which determines the favorite and the underdog. Teams are commonly favored by three or seven points in football.

Push:

When a game lands exactly on the betting line, it results in a push. Some of the common pushes in football are when teams win by three or seven points. Bettors get their original stake back in the case of a push, which can be disappointing or relieving based on the flow of the game.

Reverse line movement:

The line will occasionally move in the opposite direction of the public betting action. This usually happens due to large bets from professionals or inside injury information.

Taking the points:

Opposite of laying the points is taking the points, which is a point-spread bet on the underdog. Betting on a 7.5-point underdog would be called taking the points, and the team would need to lose by seven points or less (or win).

Key NFL betting terms to know:Against the spread:

While there is an outright winner and loser in football games, there is also a winner and loser against the spread. This refers to the point spread that is determined by oddsmakers and the betting market. If Dallas is -7.5, it is considered the 7.5-point favorite and must win by eight points or more to cover.

Money line:

WThis is the simplest way to bet on a game and refers to the outright winner. However, large favorites could have large money lines, which means you'll need to bet a lot to make a small profit. Bettors usually prefer wagering on the underdog in that scenario since a small risk can lead to a large reward.

Over/Under:

Often referred to as the total, the over/under is the number of points expected in a game. There are also totals for season wins, player props, and more.

Parlay:

A football parlay is used to combine multiple bets into one wager, creating the opportunity for a massive payday. With football games throughout the weekend, a parlay can be decided in as little as one day or even one game.

Prop bet:

Betting on the spread and total are the most common ways to bet on football, but prop bets have been growing in popularity. They range from things such as a player’s total receiving yards to the odds of overtime happening in a game.

Teaser:

Similar to a parlay, a teaser combines multiple bets into one wager. Unlike a parlay, a teaser uses more favorable spreads at a lower payout. Common types of football teasers are backing two or three teams and moving each spread by six, 6.5 or 7 points.

Buying points:

Some sportsbooks allow bettors to add points to the spread to make it a more favorable wager at worse odds. For example, a bettor could buy three points and turn a 4.5-point underdog into a 7.5-point underdog.

Contrarian:

When a bet goes against the public, it is referred to as a contrarian bet. Underdogs are often the contrarian side, as most bettors prefer backing the favorite.

Closing Line:

The final odds posted when the game begins is the closing line. This line can be used to grade ROI (return on investment) and is also referenced in sports betting databases.

Consensus:

With so many sportsbooks taking wagers on games, the consensus gives bettors an idea of which team is taking the most money. A consensus bet is one that is generally agreed upon by most bettors.

Cover:

The team that beats the point spread is the team that covers. An underdog needs to lose by less than the listed spread or win outright, while the favorite needs to win by a larger margin than the spread.

Favorite:

Almost every game has a favorite, which is the team that is expected to win. Money line bets on the favorite pay less money than bets on the underdog, although the spread is generally the same return on both sides.

First half:

Some football bets relate only to the opening half of the game. Sportsbooks will also divide bets into quarters, giving bettors many different ways to approach wagering on a contest.

Futures:

While many bets are posted for individual games, there are also futures bets that often span multiple weeks or months. Common football futures bets are division winners and championship winners. Futures bets can be hard to predict, so they can have large payouts.

Handle:

The amount of money a sportsbook takes on a game is the handle. The betting splits (ticket count, money) can help shed light on which side the public is on and which side the professionals are on.

Home-field advantage:

Playing at home can be a major advantage in football, and home-field advantage is priced into the betting line. Bettors and oddsmakers do not always agree about how much this is worth, but it is generally estimated to be around 2.5 to 3 points in football, depending on the stadium.

Hook:

Oddsmakers often attach a half-point, or hook, to the spread or total. Games cannot land on a half point, so the hook guarantees a winner and loser on each side of the bet.

Juice:

Sportsbooks take a percentage of every bet to ensure profitability in the long run, and this tax is referred to as the juice. There is usually more juice associated with futures bets than with single-game wagers.

Key Number:

Football has more key numbers than any sport, as teams tend to win by a field goal or a touchdown. Games land on three points more than any other number, making it the most important key number in football.

Laying the points:

When a bettor wagers on the favorite to cover the spread, it is called laying the points. A bettor laying 3.5 points would need the team to win by at least four points.

Line/Odds:

The most basic football sports betting term is the betting line or odds. Sportsbooks set an opening line and the odds are adjusted after bettors begin wagering. Monitoring line movement is one factor that bettors use to place smart bets.

Live Betting:

Pre-game betting is still the most common way to bet on a game, but live betting has created a chance for bettors to wager throughout the contest. Some sportsbooks update their futures odds in the middle of games as well.

Point spread:

Every game has a point spread, which determines the favorite and the underdog. Teams are commonly favored by three or seven points in football.

Push:

When a game lands exactly on the betting line, it results in a push. Some of the common pushes in football are when teams win by three or seven points. Bettors get their original stake back in the case of a push, which can be disappointing or relieving based on the flow of the game.

Reverse line movement:

The line will occasionally move in the opposite direction of the public betting action. This usually happens due to large bets from professionals or inside injury information.

Taking the points:

Opposite of laying the points is taking the points, which is a point-spread bet on the underdog. Betting on a 7.5-point underdog would be called taking the points, and the team would need to lose by seven points or less (or win).

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