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Mike Tierney

Top Dog

A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in the New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Mike Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and reported from seven Super Bowls. Mike does not consider himself a pet lover. But he likes 'dogs, preferring to evaluate each game from the underdog's point of view. Mike is 154-124-9 in the NFL the past two seasons, returning $1,586 to $100 players (every bet 1 unit). For Mike Tierney media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@MTierneySports
LAST 69 NFL ATS PICKS
+1750
RECORD: 43-23-3
# 2 NFL EXPERT
+1750
43-23-3 IN LAST 69 NFL ATS PICKS

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Mike's Picks (7 Live)

Dec 15 2024, 5:00 am UTC
League
Islanders
@ Rainbow Warriors
Mike's PickSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+90
2-1 in Last 3 NCAAB Picks
Analysis:

The visitors have not played in a week and must tip off at 11 p.m. (CT) . . .

Pick Made: Dec 14, 6:23 pm UTC on Sugar House
Dec 15 2024, 6:00 pm UTC
League
Cincinnati
@ Tennessee
Mike's PickSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1750
43-23-3 in Last 69 NFL ATS Picks
+986
31-19-2 in Last 52 CIN ATS Picks
Analysis:

We tend to overestimate the QB comparisons in games . . .

Pick Made: Dec 14, 5:13 pm UTC on BetMGM
Dec 15 2024, 6:00 pm UTC
League
Baltimore
@ N.Y. Giants
Mike's PickSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1750
43-23-3 in Last 69 NFL ATS Picks
+2392
44-18-1 in Last 63 BAL ATS Picks
Analysis:

Double-digit underdogs stumbled early this season but have righted themselves with five consecutive covers . . .

Pick Made: Dec 12, 6:11 am UTC on Caesars
Dec 15 2024, 6:00 pm UTC
League
Washington
@ New Orleans
Mike's PickSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1750
43-23-3 in Last 69 NFL ATS Picks
+673
30-21-1 in Last 52 WAS ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Saints surely will rely on RB Alvin Kamara, but wait . . .

Pick Made: Dec 13, 4:18 am UTC on BetMGM
Dec 15 2024, 6:00 pm UTC
League
N.Y. Jets
@ Jacksonville
Mike's PickSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1750
43-23-3 in Last 69 NFL ATS Picks
+1261
31-17-1 in Last 49 JAC ATS Picks
Analysis:

Aaron Rodgers might have lost a few mph off his fastball . . .

Pick Made: Dec 13, 5:08 pm UTC on DraftKings
Dec 15 2024, 9:25 pm UTC
League
Indianapolis
@ Denver
Mike's PickSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1750
43-23-3 in Last 69 NFL ATS Picks
+611
13-6 in Last 19 DEN ATS Picks
Analysis:

Denver has downed all seven opponents outright who now are saddled with a losing record . . .

Pick Made: Dec 13, 5:17 pm UTC on Sugar House
Dec 17 2024, 1:00 am UTC
League
Chicago
@ Minnesota
Mike's PickSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1750
43-23-3 in Last 69 NFL ATS Picks
+649
19-11-2 in Last 32 CHI ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Bears are winless outright on the road this season, with the worst one (38-13 at San Francisco) happening most recently . . .

Pick Made: Dec 10, 9:18 pm UTC on DraftKings

Mike's Past Picks

Dec 14 2024, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Midshipmen
31
@ Black Knights
13
+1279
45-29 in Last 74 NCAAF Picks
+270
6-3 in Last 9 NCAAF O/U Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 NAVY O/U Picks
Analysis:

There are trends in college football, and there is this: The last 10 Army-Navy meetings have resulted in a points total under 40. Because of the sky-high stakes, coaches turn conservative in their play-calling, and they do not throw much to begin with. The Black Knights average fewer than eight passes per game by QBs and have advanced the fewest yards by air than any FBS member. The Midshipmen might be airing it out compared to prior iterations but still average just 14 tosses per outing by QBs and rank just three spots ahead of their rivals for passing yards. The clock simply does not stop that often, which sets up another sub-40 outcome for the total.

Pick Made: Dec 13, 3:34 pm UTC on Caesars
Dec 13 2024, 1:15 am UTC
League
L.A. Rams
12
@ San Francisco
6
+1750
43-23-3 in Last 69 NFL ATS Picks
+975
13-3-1 in Last 17 LAR ATS Picks
Analysis:

There is too much positive buzz about L.A.'s 44-42 heart-stopper against Buffalo. The offense was superb but the defense stunk. Having said that, the Rams are more likely to replicate their offensive than defensive showing here. The quartet of QB Matthew Stafford, RB Kyren Williams and WRs Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua might be unmatched in the league. The 49ers are down to their third RB, Isaac Guerendo, and he is banged up. San Fran has weathered a glut of injuries somewhat because of its impressive depth, but there is a limit. Too many guys are out, and a short week complicates preparation for younger players and backups. If DE Nick Bosa sits again, Stafford will get more time in the pocket to make magic.

Pick Made: Dec 12, 3:50 pm UTC on FanDuel
Dec 11 2024, 5:00 pm UTC
League
Spartans
69
@ Bears
94
+90
2-1 in Last 3 NCAAB Picks
+380
6-2 in Last 8 BAYLOR ATS Picks
Analysis:

After a 13-point loss at Hofstra on Monday night, Norfolk State must endure some odd scheduling -- a lunchtime tip at Baylor. The Bears have obliterated four similar foes at home by margins of 37, 63, 31 and 29 points. Their lone loss in seven home outings is to Tennessee, which ascended to the No. 1 ranking this week. The difference in scoring average between the opponents is vast; Baylor ranks 26th in points per game, Norfolk 190th. The Bears have taken case of business in past meetings with the Spartans, winning four times by an average of 30.5 ppg.

Pick Made: Dec 11, 3:55 pm UTC on FanDuel
Dec 11 2024, 3:00 am UTC
League
Big Red
88
@ Golden Bears
80
+90
2-1 in Last 3 NCAAB Picks
+465
8-3 in Last 11 CAL ATS Picks
Analysis:

In a peculiar bit of scheduling, Cornell concludes a five-game road stretch with a 10 p.m. (ET) tip-off just two days after beating Army at West Point. The Big Red have been impressive out of the blocks, but this is a big ask. Early losses for Cal were expected, seeing as how the Bears are integrating 11 new players, and recent setbacks to Missouri and Stanford are not alarming. They are 5-1 straight-up at home and should capitalize on Cornell's demanding travel itinerary.

Pick Made: Dec 10, 5:44 pm UTC on Sugar House
Dec 11 2024, 12:00 am UTC
League
Bears
58
@ Musketeers
119
+90
2-1 in Last 3 NCAAB Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 XAVIER O/U Picks
Analysis:

The scoreboard operator needs to chug Red Bull. In a recent win, Morgan State rang up 123 points, then amazingly topped it with 124 the next outing. Both victims were lower-level opposition. However, in recent losses to teams closer to their level, the Bears were blitzed for 102 and 91 points. Xavier has dipped below its usual high grade of competition twice to score 94 points. Given the pace that the Bears play, the Musketeers could hit the century mark.

Pick Made: Dec 10, 5:33 pm UTC on Caesars
Dec 08 2024, 9:25 pm UTC
League
Chicago
13
@ San Francisco
38
+838
47-35-2 in Last 84 NFL Picks
+65
4-3 in Last 7 NFL O/U Picks
+635
13-6 in Last 19 CHI O/U Picks
Analysis:

Every year, one team gets covered almost head-to-toe by bite marks from the injury bug. This season, it's San Francisco. Monday night in Buffalo, the offense was further afflicted as RBs Christian McCaffrey and Jordan Mason will be off rehabbing -- McCaffrey after having just returned. That leaves rookie Isaac Guerendo as the primary ball-carrier. Though it's early in the week, the defense could welcome reinforcements if DE Nick Bosa and others return. For the Bears, a head coaching change is unlikely to super-charge the pedestrian offense right away. While its stock is rising, Chicago's O still ranks 25th. These factors add up to a score lower than this mid-range number.

Pick Made: Dec 03, 12:18 am UTC on FanDuel
Dec 08 2024, 9:05 pm UTC
League
Seattle
30
@ Arizona
18
+838
47-35-2 in Last 84 NFL Picks
+65
4-3 in Last 7 NFL O/U Picks
+451
10-5 in Last 15 ARI O/U Picks
Analysis:

Only two weeks ago, these teams combined for 22 points. There is little reason to believe they will double the total in a rapid turn-around. Both defenses were trending in a desirable direction before the first meeting. Seattle must toil without top RB Kenneth Walker, and effective edge rusher Uchenna Nwosu has been activated off I.R. QB Geno Smith has been sharp, but Walker's absence should allow the 'Zona defense to focus on pass prevention. Cardinals QB Kyler Murray has slumped, throwing three interceptions with one TD pass in the last two outings.

Pick Made: Dec 07, 10:24 pm UTC on Sugar House
Dec 08 2024, 6:00 pm UTC
League
Jacksonville
10
@ Tennessee
6
+1750
43-23-3 in Last 69 NFL ATS Picks
+1261
31-17-1 in Last 49 JAC ATS Picks
Analysis:

Concussed Trevor Lawrence has landed on injured reserve, leaving the Jags with pedestrian backup Mac Jones at the helm. He has throw for more interceptions (three) than touchdowns (two) this season. Jax can hardly lean on its defense for a rescue. It ranks last in yards and 30th in points allowed. Jones counterpart Will Levis, for the time being, is avoiding the brain farts that seemed befitting a high school QB and plagued him earlier in the season. A recent upset of Houston and competitive losses to the Los Angeles Chargers and Minnesota might sound like the elements of faint praise, but it signals an improvement for the Titans that should be sufficient for a cover here.

Pick Made: Dec 04, 11:14 pm UTC on Caesars
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