This has been a brutal matchup for Julius Randle. He's shooting 36.6 percent in the series, which includes 8 for 24 at home with eight turnovers. Following a strong Game 1, Randle has stayed Under this prop total the past four games. Bank on San Antonio's elite defense to keep frustrating Randle.

Astros starter Spencer Arrighetti (4-1, 1.88 ERA) is a major regression candidate with an expected ERA of 5.40. The Rangers, who have won four of five, rank fifth in OPS on the road (.734) and ninth in OPS (.711) over the past seven days. Texas' Jack Leiter (16 strikeouts in 11.1 innings this month) should be in for a good start against a Houston offense that's produced 11 runs total over its past six games.

Paul Reed has gotten 10 or more minutes in four playoff games. Each time, he has produced at least 12 combined points and rebounds. In fact, he has cleared this prop total in 13 of the last 14 games in which he received 10-plus minutes. It's hard to figure out JB Bickerstaff's rotation patterns, but I'm betting he gives Reed significant minutes Friday after he played him for the entire fourth quarter and overtime Wednesday. Bickerstaff calls Reed "a run-stopper," meaning he can end Cavs' runs. At home, Cleveland is likely to rip off a few spurts, requiring Bickerstaff to call on Reed.

In a pivotal Game 5, JB Bickerstaff benched Jalen Duren for the entire fourth quarter and overtime. Duren's minutes this series have gone like this: 35, 33, 29, 27, 25. Paul Reed and Isaiah Stewart played well in Game 5, posting a combined plus-12 in 28 minutes, while Duren was minus-16 in 25 minutes. In the two games in Cleveland, Duren recorded 15 and 10 combined points and rebounds. He could have a double-double Friday and still fall below this prop total.

The Astros have scored a total of four runs during their four-game skid. Seattle should have success against Lance McCullers, who owns a 9.39 ERA over his last five starts. Look for Randy Arozarena and Julio Rodriguez to lead the way as the Mariners improve to 7-0 against Houston this season.

While I lean toward the Pistons winning Game 5, I'm skeptical Jalen Duren will suddenly snap out of his funk while facing the duo of Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley. With Paul Reed playing well off the bench, we could see Duren's minutes decrease a little more. They've gone from 35 to 33 to 29 to 27 in this series. Duren's mandate from JB Bickerstaff is clear: rebound, defend and run the floor. Look for Duren to be more of a contributor but stay Under this scoring total for the 11th time in 12 playoff games.

Dennis Schroder recorded zero assists in Game 4. But his minutes remained consistent at 20 -- he's averaging 19.5 this series. The Cavs didn't need his playmaking Monday because Donovan Mitchell took over with 43 points. That's unlikely to happen in Detroit on Wednesday. In the first two games in Detroit, Schroder posted three and five assists. And in 30 games with the Cavs during the regular season, Schroder averaged 4.3 assists in 21.4 minutes per game.

Naz Reid has played 30-plus minutes in three of four games this series, the exception coming when Minnesota got blown out early in Game 2. Regardless, he has seven-plus rebounds in every game. After taking a vicious elbow to the neck from Victor Wembanyama, Reid will show his toughness in Game 5 and continue to play big minutes while making an impact on the glass.

With De'Aaron Fox a gametime decision and Dylan Harper downgraded to questionable, Stephon Castle should be looking at massive usage in Game 5. He has scored 20-plus points in two of the past three games. In the two San Antonio home games, Castle got to the foul line 17 times combined. Look for him to score 18 or more Tuesday.

Rui Hachimura has shot 50 percent or better from 3-point range for 14 straight games. That's no misprint. In the playoffs, he's 29 of 50 (58 percent). In this series, he has played 37, 39 and 39 minutes, making three, four and five treys. The minutes and volume should continue to be there in a must-win Game 4. This calendar year, Hachimura has played 37 or more minutes 11 times, and he's cleared this prop total in nine of them.

Jarrett Allen's scoring went up post-James Harden trade. He averaged 17.8 points after the All-Star Break, compared to 14.6 before. Harden is a master at finding Allen after Allen screens for him and rolls. This series is a good matchup for Allen because Detroit's size (Jalen Duren, Isaiah Stewart, Paul Reed) keeps Allen on the floor. He played 31 and 32 minutes the past two games, scoring 22 and 18 points. He shot 7 of 9 in each game. If Allen can stay out of early foul trouble, he should clear this prop total for the fifth time in the past six games.

Cleveland is 5-0 at home in the playoffs, but I like the Pistons to at least take this to the wire, if not pull the upset. Expect Ausar Thompson (29 minutes) and Paul Reed (10 minutes) to play a lot more in Game 4 than they did in Saturday's loss. Combined, they were plus-23 in the box score. And look for Cade Cunningham to do better than his 10-for-27, eight-turnover performance.

Three key Timberwolves -- Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid and Ayo Dosunmo -- played major minutes Friday despite their injuries. Someone else needs to step up Sunday, and 25-year-old Terrence Shannon Jr. is a great candidate. He was plus-19 in Game 3, making solid contributions despite scoring five points on 2-of-6 shooting. Shannon had scored 12-plus points in the four previous playoff games. With Chris Finch shortening his rotation, Shannon should have enough opportunities to score at least eight points in Game 4.

Joel Embiid is probable to play despite his hip injury. But he's coming off an ineffective 35 minutes Friday. In two games this series, Embiid is 10 for 28 from the field while averaging five rebounds and three assists. He sat out Game 2 and it was Philly's best performance vs. New York. With his team facing elimination, I'm confident Embiid will try to play. But I'll bet against the combination of minutes and efficiency he'll need to clear this prop total.

It's hard to get in the way of a surging Knicks team that has won six in a row while going 5-1 ATS. But the 76ers moved the ball well in Game 3 at home and created tremendous, open looks. They just didn't make them, shooting 43 percent overall and 28 percent from deep. With the series all but over, Philly won't be feeling the pressure. Look for the 76ers to show some pride and avoid getting swept on their home floor.