ANALYSIS: Early money is very one-sided. ... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

ANALYSIS: The Broncos are playing their second straight road... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

ANALYSIS: Mike McDaniel visits his former team. ... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

ANALYSIS: This number has dropped below 7 and now there's value on Philly. Since injuring his thumb on the last play of the London game in Week 5, Aaron Rodgers has led the Packers to a 1-5 record while ranking 27th in EPA per dropback. Green Bay averaged a measly 4.6 yards per play in losing at home to Tennessee in Week 11. Unlike the Packers, the Eagles are fully healthy. They should take out some offensive frustrations from the previous two weeks and win by at least a touchdown.

ANALYSIS: NFL teams are 17-5 ATS the week before their bye this season, and Carolina's bye arrives next week. I'm expecting a strong effort from the home team, which has covered four of its last five. Sam Darnold can't be a downgrade from Baker Mayfield and might provide a short-term lift. Bruising Panthers running back D'Onta Foreman should have a bounceback day versus Denver's mediocre run defense (4.67 yards per carry allowed). The Broncos have lost six of seven and are 0-4 on the road this season (they did beat Jacksonville in London). Two weeks ago, Denver traveled to Nashville and lost a heartbreaker to the Titans. Then the Broncos returned home and lost in even more painful fashion to the Raiders. Now they travel east again; motivation could be an issue with the season already lost. Play the home dog.