Drake London to bounce back. …

This is an extremely difficult matchup for Luther Burden against an elite Seahawks pass defense. Burden has been ultra efficient but has seen only 69% route participation which makes him very dependent on high end efficiency. Burden's route participation issues have been getting worse, not better.

Jaime Jaquez is locked into a high usage role on a Bucks team that is adjusting to life without Giannis. Jaquez is a high IQ player capable of running the offense and is averaging over 26 PRA which is in line with his usage and averages when he gets roughly 28-30 minutes a game. Minnesota ranks top 10 in possessions per game and if the Bucks can make this game competitive, Jaquez has a great shot at eclipsing this combo line.

I’ve been so impressed with Cameron Boozer who has been the most impressive rookie in what is an absolutely loaded class. Boozer became the youngest player in NBA history to record a triple double and his game has instantly translated and he is a highly skilled big capable of contributing in a myriad of ways. Boozer does everything well and when his shooting efficiency improves sky is the limit. I think this combo line is ultimately below his baseline averages.

Zay Flowers is in the midst of a JSN breakout season and has eye popping efficiency metrics. Flowers leads all WRs in YPRR and has been truly dominant for a Ravens passing offense that has featured more volume compared to previous seasons. This is a great spot in a game where Lamar is likely to suit up, coupled with a lofty total and a porous Bills pass defense that ranks dead last in EPA allowed per dropback. If this game is high scoring he could go absolutely thermonuclear. I’ll be laddering Zay up to 125 yards.

Ja’Marr Chase has had a quiet season by his lofty standards and the alpha WR has yet to eclipse 100 yards in a game this season. I think that is likely to change this week when he and the Bengals take on a poor Titans team. The Titans are a pass funnel, on one hand they possess an above average run defense paired with a pass defense that ranks 27th in EPA per play. This is a mouthwatering matchup as the Titans have surrendered the 4th most yards to opposing WRs. The Bengals have been ineffective running the ball this season so I think while this game is competitive, Joe Burrow will be attacking Tennessee’s defense down the field.

Michael Wilson has been bottled up by double coverage the last two weeks but fortunately for Wilson he has the Cowboys dismal pass defense on deck. Dallas double teams opposing WRs at one of the lowest rates in the NFL which bodes well for Wilson as he’s routinely struggled this season against pass defenses that go out of their way to take him away. He’s also likely to benefit from a ton of passing volume as this game has the highest projected total on the slate and should be an optimal environment.

This is the most difficult possible match for opposing Tight Ends against a tenacious Vikings pass defense that blitzes at the highest rate in the league. Sam LaPorta is going to no doubt have his work cut out for him and is likely going to be used a lot more inline and as a blocker. It’s possible LaPorta’s route participation takes a big hit here. It’s also been a calling card of Brian Flores defenses to take away the enemy QBs safety blanket. This looks like a very natural spot to fade the stud TE.

Brock Bowers is an elite WR with Tight End eligibility. He recorded zero snaps last week inline and is operating as the clear focal point of the Raiders passing attack. He saw a ton of double coverage against very good CBs last week against one of the best secondaries in the league. He’ll face a much less impressive secondary this week against the Jets, whose defense has really begun to crater in recent weeks. Bowers has eclipsed this in every game but 1 that he’s appeared in this season. Bowers has the target profile of an elite WR1.

I’ve been extremely impressed with Cameron Boozer despite the rookie shooting just 32% from the field. Boozer’s efficiency is going to improve and he’s been stuffing the stat sheet and showing off a very polished game that has translated to the pros. The Grizzlies are playing great basketball and have a bright future. Memphis would be wise to continue running offense through Boozer who is exceptionally skilled. I’d play this combo line up to 31.5.

Jaxson Hayes is currently operating at as the starting Center for an Utah Jazz team with some frontcourt depth issues after losing both Jaren Jackson and Jusuf Nurkic to injuries. Despite the increased role, Hayes is unlikely to see any additional shots as it’s more likely to trickle down to more viable shot creators. Hayes gets almost all of his scoring via put backs, tip ins, and hustle plays. This is a lofty combo line for the veteran big.

This looks like a good spot to back Ja Morant as he’s set to take on his former team tonight in Portland. Narratives aside, the Grizzlies are an excellent matchup as they play with pace and aren’t particularly strong defensively. Look for Ja to stuff the stat sheet in what projects to be an up tempo game environment.

This is a difficult matchup for Jalen Coker who after a scorching start has fallen back to earth. Coker will face a Packers pass defense that ranks 5th in EPA allowed per dropback on Thursday night football. Coker has been frequently on the injury report and this seems like a natural spot to fade him.

This line is simply too low for a scorer the caliber of AJ. I expect him to play upwards of 30 minutes and he is NBA ready in what should be a competitive game environment. This is speculative but he’s one of most talented first overall picks we’ve seen and I expect him to average at least 18 PPG as a rookie.

Darius Acuff Jr. is averaging over 20 PPG this season and is certainly a talented scorer, however he’s been inefficient and struggles with shot selection. It also doesn’t help things that he plays on a team that plays absolutely no defense where he has a green light to chuck. This looks like a natural spot to fade him a very good Spurs team in a game with serious blowout potential. The Spurs are also likely to make life very difficult for the talented rookie.