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Alex Selesnick
Alex Selesnick
PropStarz
A high-level poker player, Alex Selesnick (aka PropStarz) specializes in NFL, MLB and NBA prop betting, where he implements a combination of research, statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. He is arguably the nation's No. 1 props expert. Through the 2022 NFl regular season, Selesnick was 44-30 in his weekly props column and 129-84 (plus 37.88 units) overall on his SportsLine NFL prop picks. He also went 130-89 (+26.69 units) on MLB prop plays during the 2022 season and is up nearly 235 units on NBA props and futures plays over the past three seasons. PropStarz appears regularly on "The Early Edge" hosted by Jonathan Coachman. For Alex Selesnick media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
8-4 on Props Picks
+313
Record: 8-4
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NFL | Kansas City @ Philadelphia | 02/12 | 11:30 PM UTC

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ANALYSIS: Banking on Philly's ground game. ...

+313 8-4 on Props Picks

NFL | San Francisco 7 @ Philadelphia 31 | 01/29 | 8:00 PM UTC

A.J. Brown OVER 70.5 Total Receiving Yards -129

LOSS

ANALYSIS: After a quiet game last week against the New York Giants, I expect a much bigger performance from Philly's WR1. AJ averaged nearly 90 receiving yards this season and has had at least 70 receiving yards in six of his previous seven appearances. The 49ers are very stout up front and I believe the Eagles will look to attack SF through the air and as a result, AJ will wind up with a big target share. I think Philly will look to exploit their biggest mismatch and it wouldn't surprise me if Brown exceeds 100 yards in this game, which is also why I like his alt lines as well.

+313 8-4 on Props Picks

NFL | San Francisco 7 @ Philadelphia 31 | 01/29 | 8:00 PM UTC

Jalen Hurts UNDER 47.5 Total Rushing Yards -117

WIN

ANALYSIS: While I would argue these are the sharpest lines we've seen all year in the NFL, I think this is a good spot to speculate. Jalen Hurts injured his shoulder back in week 15 against the Bears and since then has 18 rushing attempts for only 47 yards (2.6 YPC). The 49ers surrendered only 213 rushing yards to opposing QBs this season (fifth fewest in the NFL). I believe Hurts and the Eagles game plan will be to attack SF through the air and as a result may limit rushing volume for Jalen. I consider this more of a lean but I do think Jalen will lean on his arm more than his legs in this matchup.

+313 8-4 on Props Picks

NFL | Cincinnati 27 @ Buffalo 10 | 01/22 | 8:00 PM UTC

Stefon Diggs OVER 6.5 Total Receptions +110

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Diggs has gotten back on track after a brief late season slump and recorded seven receptions in two consecutive games. He has made at least seven grabs in ten of eighteen appearances this season. Both the Bills and the Bengals are two of the highest volume passing teams in the league this season which could result in a ton of targets for Diggs. I also love the fact that you can find this prop at plus odds in a potential shootout. I expect Josh Allen to lean heavily on his WR1 in this matchup.

+313 8-4 on Props Picks

NFL | N.Y. Giants 7 @ Philadelphia 38 | 01/22 | 1:15 AM UTC

Daniel Jones UNDER 221.5 Total Passing Yards -137

WIN

ANALYSIS: Jones is coming off arguably the best game of his career against the Vikings and as a result we are getting an inflated line against the Eagles. New York's signal caller has only eclipsed 230 passing yards just twice in the regular season and that was against the Vikings and Lions who are two of the league's worst coverage units. Now he faces an Eagles pass defense that is 1st in passing DVOA and surrendered the fewest passing yards in the NFL this season (179 yards per game). I expect the Giants to shift to a much run heavier game plan and as a result limit passing volume. This is a big ask for Jones who averaged just 200 passing yards per game.

+313 8-4 on Props Picks