Bhayshal Tuten to be heavily featured? …

Matthew Golden had elite usage in Week 1. …

Saquon Barkley bounce back Szn? …

Trey McBride is dominant. …

Justin Jefferson is elite. …

This looks like a great spot to back the best QB in the NFL who gets a tasty matchup against the Detroit Lions. This game has shootout written all over it and features the highest projected total so far this season. I was encouraged by Allen’s usage with new HC Joe Brady at the helm. The Lions are certainly capable of pushing Buffalo into a pass heavy gamescript. Allen is capable of getting home even if that isn’t the case.

It’s official Dalton Kincaid Szn at PropStarz HQ and I’m all in on the stud Tight End who had a hyper efficient Week 1 performance. I expect the good times to keep rolling with new HC Joe Brady who has said Kincaid is not on any kind of snap count and we got a glimpse of that against the Texans. Now he gets to face a Detroit defense that just conceded 400+ yards to New Orleans pass catchers. Detroit is also capable of pushing Buffalo and this game has the highest projected total on this weeks slate. It certainly helps that Kincaid has the best QB in the NFL throwing him passes and I like his chances of having another big performance on TNF.

Despite playing extremely limited snaps the previous two seasons, Dalton Kincaid has quietly been one of the most efficient Tight Ends in the NFL. Kincaid played 42-of-57 snaps in Week 1, a 73% rate he never came close to hitting in any game last year. With new Head Coach Joe Brady at the helm and Kincaid no longer being shackled by Sean McDermott and Brian Daboll, I expect Kinkaid to continue thriving considering he has the best QB in the league throwing him passes. This is an excellent matchup as it presents an opponent capable of pushing Buffalo. I am double dipping on Kincaid’s yards as well.

Jaylen Waddle quietly was extremely productive during his tenure with the Dolphins and the Broncos traded three draft picks, including a first, to acquire his services. He’ll be making his debut tonight in a tough matchup against the Chiefs secondary doesn’t look quite as formidable this season. Waddle will be used all over the formation and will lineup everywhere. Last season the Broncos attempted the fourth most pass attempts. KC is capable of pushing Denver into a pass heavy gamescript. I expect Waddle to be heavily featured as he looks to make a big splash for his new team.

The Green Bay Packers have been a big time run funnel the past few seasons and I don’t expect that to change in Week 1 against Kyler Murray making his first start under center for the Vikings. Murray has averaged significantly fewer pass attempts in wins versus losses both throughout his career, as well over his last 20 starts. I expect HC Kevin O’Connell to call a somewhat conservative gameplan as Kyler Murray has reportedly been inconsistent through the offseason. I do not expect an aggressive gameplan for Murray and Minnesota’s passing offense and in a game that projects to be competitive, I don’t think Murray will have heavy exposure in the majority of game environments.

This feels like a good spot to back Greg Dulcich who was surpassingly efficient last season. He now finds himself atop the depth chart for a Miami Dolphins team that might collectively have the worst talent of any group of pass catchers in the NFL. Dulcich has a real chance to operate as Malik Willis primary target and with a line this low, he doesn’t need to be in order to eclipse this receiving prop. Dulcich has always been a solid receiving option when he’s been on the field and he gets a favorable matchup on Sunday.

I’m trusting Emeka Egbuka is close to 100% as he is on pace to play in Week 1 in what should be a high scoring affair against the Bengals. Egbuka offers massive upside and if he’s close to 100% should function as Baker Mayfields primary target. The Bucs offense is lacking playmakers and Egbuka could realistically see 10-12+ targets verus a subpar Bengals pass defense. I’m willing to speculate here that Egbuka is healthy and operating close to 100% as this would ordinarily be a sizable discount for the talented WR.

Alec Pierce is coming off an impressive season where he looks to have entrenched himself as a key playmaker for the Colts. That being said, he looks like a big regression candidate considering his off charts efficiency last season paired with a poor Open Score, as well as TPRR. Couple that with a difficult matchup against a vastly improved Ravens pass rush, additional targets in Indy (Keenan Allen, Tyler Warren, Josh Downs), and Pierce and Daniel Jones are likely both operating at less than 100%. This looks like a great spot to fade the deep threat and I’m willing to pay a steep price.

The vast majority of my betting handle is player props, however this is a spot where I think Chicago is undervalued. I think the Bears offense is by far the best unit in this game and I think they’re going to score 30+ points on an average Carolina defense. I also don’t think the Panthers will be able to take advantage of a subpar Chicago defense nor will they be able to keep up. I expect a monster season for Caleb Williams who is headed into year 2 of Ben Johnson’s system. Look for Chicago’s high powered offense to have their way in this game.

Colston Loveland is set for a big season as Caleb Williams top target in a high powered Chicago aerial attack. Loveland flashed massive upside in his rookie season and I expect him to build on that success in Year 2. Loveland looks like one of the best pass catchers regardless of position and I like his chances of generating a ton of targets in Week 1. I’m all in on Loveland this season.