George Kirby faces one of the best lineups in baseball tonight but the Braves are without Ronald Acuna Jr. again tonight. Everyone knows that Seattle is a pitcher friendly ballpark as Kirby has only allowed three runs or more twice in his first seven starts of the season. Bryce Elder is off to a great start this season and has the edge against a Mariners lineup hitting .205 over their last seven days. These are also two of the best bullpens in the league to this point, both under 3.33 ERAs.
OG Anunoby has had at least eight rebounds and one assist in five of his last six games. This is going to be a more physical series in the paint for both teams. Anunoby could be able to find success with the big men battling for position then cleaning up the boards. Besides Mitchell Robinson, Anunoby is the best defenders they have, and it showed down the stretch against Atlanta. A weakness for the Sixers is defending forwards who can rebound, like Anunoby. Philadelphia was bottom five in the league with keeping those players off the glass, as Jayson Tatum went over his rebounding prop in four of his five games against the Sixers, and coming off the Achilles injury.Â
New York is averaging 3.44 runs per game and batting .231 against right-handers. Jack Kochanowicz owns a 0.79 home ERA in 11 innings pitched, only allowing three runs once in his five appearances thus far. The Angels are batting .228 against right-handers, and face Clay Holmes who owns a 2.04 road ERA. Nine of the Mets' last 12 games have not gone over eight total runs and seven of Los Angeles' last 12 games have not reached nine runs.
The Celtics were in control of this series until they went cold from three. This is similar to the New York series from last season. Not saying that Philadelphia is going to win this one but they’re playing the better basketball out of the two. If the three’s are falling, then this could be a blowout, but with how the Sixers are currently playing, and in an elimination game, this seems like too many points. Boston gone back-to-back games scoring fewer than 100 points as the Sixers have confidence following two straight wins and are the underdog is 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings against the Celtics.
Despite winning five of their last six games, Tampa Bay is only hitting .222 over their last seven days. The Giants offense has been inconsistent for the majority of the season, hitting .237 on the road against lefties. Robbie Ray has allowed a combined five earned runs on the road, both losses, but back by, currently, the best bullpen in the NL with a 3.19 ERA. San Francisco is currently 30th in the majors for runs scored with 104. The Rays tend to lean towards tight, structured games as suggested by this total.
This is only JR Ritchie’s second big league start of his career. He has favorable matchup against Detroit who has been struggling on the road against righties, hitting .234. The Braves have been one of the best teams against lefties thus far but Tarik Skubal is a different pitcher. He’s off one of his worst starts of the season, allowing four earned runs to the Brewers at home. Skubal does own a 0.99 WHIP and bounced back the last time he allowed four runs this season allowing one run in his next outing. The game has gone under the total in five of the last seven between these two as well.
This is a rather short line for one of the best teams in baseball. The Tigers started the year off struggling against lefties but have been one of hotter teams against lefties of late. Detroit’s bullpen isn’t in the best form but they should still be able to give Casey Mize some run support with the public all over the Braves.
Dustin May owns a 5.84 ERA and 1.54 WHIP on the season but has only allowed one earned runs in each of his last three starts. However, St. Louis has scored seven total runs over their last four games. The Pirates have been the much better overall team has than their opponents thus far.
Texas has scored at least five runs in five of the last six games. The Rangers just faced Bryan Woo, who struggled against them when they met over a week ago, allowing three runs in five innings. Seattle is, currently, one of the worst offensive teams in the league, failing to score more than two runs in three of their last four games. They’re batting under .200 against left-handers, and facing MacKenzie Gore, who’s allowed a combined five runs in his last three starts. The Rangers are also top-10 in the league offensively on the road.
Both starting pitchers come into this one struggling. Mark Burrows had allowed at least three runs, or more, in three of his first four starts and is coming off his worst start of the season, allowing six runs in Seattle’s pitcher friendly ballpark. Matthew Liberatore had allowed four runs in each of his last two starts, with three or his four start going over 10+ runs. Each bullpen owns an ERA above five as well, expect runs to continue.
Kind of fishy for Seattle to be away favorites since they’re 1-5 SU on the road to kick off the season. Bryan Woo takes the bump for the M’s, who’s off to a great start this season, statistically, while also being 3-0 SU with a 2.33 ERA and 16 strikeouts in three starts against San Diego. The Mariners bullpen is fully rested and Michael King is off the rocky start, with control issues and allowing a combined six runs in his last 11.2 innings.
Miami won the regular season series, 3-1 SU against the Hornets. Miami has ruled out Nikola Jovic and Dru Smith for tonight’s play-in game as well. These are two teams heading in opposite directions as the Heat stumbled their way into the postseason, while the Hornets have been playing their best basketball when it mattered most, despite an easy second-half schedule. Miami has struggled on the road this season, 17-24 SU, while the Hornets are 14-7 ATS as home favorites and the line continues to move in their favor.
St. Louis has been playing much better offensively, averaging more than six runs per game in their last three games. They’ve also done well batting against lefties as they’re facing Ranger Suarez, who had a rocky start to the season, allowing a combined eight runs in his two starts. The Red Sox only have one win on the road, averaging less than three runs per game in their six road games. Kyle Leahy had a rough start to the season at home, allowing four earned runs against the Mets, but Boston is only hitting .201 on the road thus far.
Cleveland has had a lot of success batting against lefties, hitting .306 on the road against them. Martin Perez struggled in his last start, giving up four runs in the loss, while the Braves have lost both of his starts thus far. Perez has also struggled against Cleveland, giving up at least three runs in two of his last three starts against them. With Atlanta’s Parker Messick has been dominant on the mound so far, giving up only one run in his first 11 innings and their bullpen is also performing better than the Braves.
The Knicks are fully healthy but the Celtics will be without Jaylen Brown tonight, in Jason Tatum’s return to MSG since his achilles injury. The Celtics are 5-2 to the under in their last seven games and have allowed 102 points or fewer in all but two of those contests. New York has gone under the total in five of its last six, allowing 111 points or fewer in all but two, as well. Both teams rank in top five in defensive efficiency and three of their last four meetings have gone under the total.

