Shota Imanaga has pitched well in July, holing his opponents to a combined three runs in 22.2 innings. He also has a favorable matchup against a Yankees squad hitting .232 against lefties on the road. However, Imanaga’s consistent issue have been allowing home runs and we all know New York is, typically, homer or strikeout. Will Warren owns a 5.00 road ERA and 7.85 ERA over his last six starts. He faces one of the best offenses in the majors, scoring over five runs per game. The forecast is calling for a decent amount of wind blowing out to get this one up and over the total.

Pittsburgh has won six of its last eight games against the Reds, including the last two meetings on the road. Rhett Lowder has struggled this season, posting a 5.61 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP while allowing 23 earned runs over his last five starts. The Pirates continue to be one of the most improved offenses against right-handed pitching, batting .261 on the road. It will be a bullpen game for Pittsburgh, whose relief staff owns one of the worst ERAs in the National League, though Cincinnati's bullpen ranks right behind it. Despite the bullpen concerns, Pittsburgh's offense should be able to generate enough production against a vulnerable Reds pitching staff.

St. Louis has lost four straight games when Dustin May takes the mound. The Cardinals have struggled against left-handed pitching this season, hitting just .235, and now face Matthew Boyd, who has continued to improve after a rocky start to the year. St. Louis' bullpen has been a liability, posting a 4.31 ERA, while the Cubs have shown more consistency throughout their lineup, hitting .332 over their last seven days.

Relief pitcher Randy Dobnak gets the start tonight and owns a 1.42 ERA and 1.37 WHIP across 19 innings this season. He will face Joe Ryan, who is coming off his worst outing of the season after allowing eight runs in four innings against Cleveland. Ryan has a favorable matchup against one of the worst lineups in baseball, as the Royals are hitting just .221 against right-handed pitching and are still without Bobby Witt Jr. The Twins have been held to three runs or fewer in seven of their last 10 games and may be without Byron Buxton once again.

New York has won six of their last seven games against the White Sox. Gerrit Cole has allowed three runs, or more, in four of his last six starts and the line has been moving in Chicago’s favor. Anthony Kay has allowed two runs, or less, in four straight starts but struggled the last time he faced the Yankees, four runs in four innings. New York’s offense took another hit with Cody Bellinger heading to the IL with a hamstring injury. Kay is due for regression but he has enough strikeout ability to limit tonight’s weaker Yankee lineup.

Brandon Pfaadt has been excellent since returning from injury, winning all five of his starts. The Pirates have won five of the last six meetings against Arizona and have also taken the last three matchups in Pittsburgh. Bubba Chandler has been one of the weaker starters for the Pirates this season, posting a 4.62 ERA at home. While Pittsburgh has been one of the stronger home offenses against right-handed pitching, Arizona has been swinging the bats well, averaging just over six runs per game against right-handers over its last 10 games.

Atlanta hasn't performed well against left-handed pitching on the road this season, batting just .232 as a team. Zac Thornton has pitched only 23.1 innings in his major league career and may lack the experience needed to navigate the depth of the Braves' lineup. Martin Pérez has pitched well this season, posting a 3.38 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Yes, this game is essentially a coin flip, but despite Atlanta's limited success against left-handers, New York has been even worse, hitting just .222 at home against them. The absence of Juan Soto also hurts an already struggling Mets offense.

Despite losing four of their last five games, the Pirates continue to show significant improvement offensively this season. Pittsburgh is batting .272 at home and will face Jameson Taillon, who owns a 5.38 ERA. In 11 career innings against Pittsburgh, Taillon has allowed 10 earned runs and five home runs. Braxton Ashcraft has been one of the Pirates' most consistent starters this season, especially at home, where he has posted a 3.68 ERA. Pittsburgh has also been one of the top teams in the majors against right-handed pitching at home.

Bryce Elder has allowed 14 runs over his last three road starts while also owning 5.31 ERA on the road. Brandon Young has been excellent at home with a 3.04 ERA and the Orioles have a top bullpen post All-Star break. Baltimore only lost two of its last 10 games and are one of the hottest teams baseball right now.

New York has scored three runs or fewer in four of its last five games. The Phillies will start Jesús Luzardo, who has allowed one run or fewer in four consecutive outings, with Philadelphia winning all four games. New York has struggled against left-handed pitching this season, batting just .234 on the road. Cam Schlittler owns a 1.18 ERA on the road and has held opponents to three runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. These are two of the top under teams in the majors, with more than 55% of their games finishing below the total.

Pittsburgh has been one of the most improved teams this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game. The Cubs have scored six or more runs in four of their last five games and continue to be one of the best teams in the majors for hitting the over. Matthew Boyd owns a 6.18 ERA against Pittsburgh in his career, and the Pirates lead the league in batting average against left-handed pitching at home, hitting .296. The total has also gone over in four of the last five meetings between these two teams.

Toronto has lost seven of its last eight games and now fall to 10 games under .500. The Blue Jays have also scored two runs, or less, in each of their last five games. Shane Bieber has been shaky so far this season with a 5.70 ERA and 1.73 WHIP, but off his two best starts of the season. Relief pitcher Casey Legumia will open for Tampa Bay who’s backed by a bullpen that has been improving following the All-Star break. The Rays have the better, more consistent lineup to secure a four-game sweep.

This game was a pick'em all morning until the line started to move in Chicago's favor. Left-hander Anthony Kay endured a tough stretch throughout June but has looked better this month, holding opponents to two runs or fewer in all three of his outings. The Rangers have hit left-handed pitching much better this season, while Chicago is batting just .224 against lefties on the road. Despite the line movement, the Rangers have won four of the last five meetings in Texas and five of the last six overall. Texas also leads the majors in batting average and OPS against left-handed pitching since June 1.

Since June 1, Seattle ranks last in the majors in team batting average, OBP, and OPS. Luis Castillo takes the mound tonight and has been inconsistent for much of the season, posting a 5.26 ERA at home. The Mariners have also lost four of his last five starts.The Reds were held scoreless last night and should be motivated behind Chase Burns, as they have averaged 7.18 runs over his last 11 starts. Cincinnati has also won 10 of those 11 games. Burns has yet to lose a road start, posting a 2.75 ERA away from home, and should have success against a Mariners team that continues to struggle with strikeouts.

Colorado has won four of the last five meetings against the Nationals. However, they've lost two of their last three meetings when Washington play in the Rockies. The Nationals send out Andrew Alvarez tonight, owning a 2.49 road ERA and should get some production out of an offense who’s one the best offense against left-handed pitching. This is also a fade of Kyle Freeland, who owns a 7.36 ERA, and has given up 18 earned runs over his last 22 innings.