Georgia State has one of the worst offenses and defenses in the country to this point. The Sun Devils are 2-0-1 ATS at home on the season but are off a big game against Gonzaga and haven’t beaten a team by more than 17 points on the season. The Sun Devils lean heavily on the three ball and Georgia State’s defense isn’t as bad as it looks on paper. They were very competitive against the Bearcats on the road and their defense is holding their opponent to less than 29% from three. Georgia State does enough to stay in this one.

This is the first time this season that both teams will be tested. UC Santa Barabra had a scared in their last game on the road against an underrated Hornets team. The Gauchos are currently 4th in the country from behind the arc with Loyola Marymount being in the middle of the pack with defending the perimeter. However, the Lions have been defense force their opponent inside the arc where they’re holding their opponents to less than 44% shooting. Loyola Marymount’s defense is the better unit while also having an offense to keep this one close.

This isn’t the best Sam Houston State team of late but they’ve always been an above average defensive school despite their current stats. The Utes are 0-3 ATS, all at home, to start the year and are the better team on paper, but this is, probably, the best team they’ll play so far in the season. Sam Houston State isn’t known for their offense but put up 77 points against a Red Raiders defense that is top-30 in the country. Utah’s defense isn’t as good as the Red Raiders and they’re a team that hasn’t been trustworthy to cover over the last few seasons.

Michigan should rely on its run game to beat the Wildcats since their passing attack has been inconsistent. Northwestern at home this season is 4-1 SU and ATS, but this game is at Wrigley, technically a neutral field. The Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in its last five games and has struggled to cover as double-digit spread favorites this season, 0-4 ATS. Four of the last seven games in their series have been decided by one score.

This is technically a neutral court game in Inglewood and has a similar feel to Purdue/Alabama last night. The Wildcats are the far better team and have revenge from last season’s three-point loss. This is also a clash of styles with Arizona wanting to play fast and the Bruins wanting to control the pace. On the defensive end, Arizona’s length and athleticism give them the tools to disrupt the Bruins half-court sets. UCLA has been efficient but haven’t faced a team with this type of speed and depth. If the Bruins are forced into a faster game, which they most likely will be, their offensive style and schemes may not be able to keep up unless it’s an off night for Arizona.

Wichita State is performing better than the Ramblers to start the season. If it wasn’t for a buzzer beater, they would’ve been 0-3 SU. This is also the first true road game for Loyola Chicago. The Ramblers have struggled in all aspects to begin the year and the Charles Koch Arena is a difficult place to play. Wichita State’s defense has allowed just 60 points per game, while the Ramblers are allowing 75 points per game. The Shockers also have a big named Will Berg, 7’ 2” Purdue transfer, to assist in defending the paint and cleaning up the boards. Wichita State should control the paint and have the better guard play as of now.

Oregon hasn’t been as advertised to begin the season. They’re near the bottom of the country in effective field goal percentage, perimeter shooting, and free throw percentage. Their backcourt may not be 100% as well, but their defense is there. The Jack Rabbits may have the better backcourt in this early matchup. South Dakota State had a close road loss to the Panthers, a top contender in the Missouri Valley, and have the defense to hold their own against a Ducks team that hasn’t been performing well offensively thus far.

This will certainly be a step up in competition for the St. Joe’s. Virginia Tech’s defense has been great to start the Hawks head coach made it a priority to defend the perimeter, where Virigina Tech gets a lot of their offensive production from. The Hawks have a pair of wings that can make these uncomfortable for the Hokies. St. Joe’s has the defense to stay in this game while also being the much better free throw shooting team to begin the year.

Despite getting a victory against UNC-Greensboro, the Phoenix only shot 40% from the floor. Marshall is 2-0 SU with victories against some of the better teams in the country based on preseason rankings. The Thundering Herd have struggled controlling the paint but their offense has come alive in the second half of their first two games. This is their first home game of the season along with the better matchups and an offense that can take advantage of a poor perimeter defense from Elon.

SMU is coming off a 16-point home victory and are playing their third consecutive game at home to start the season. Murray State is coming off a 22-point home win but are being tested on the road for the first time. Both teams are playing exceptional defense so far. The Mustangs are one of the most experienced teams in the country but Murray State matchups well in this game with their size. The Racers are also one of the best free throw shooting teams in the country to begin the season. With the line dropping, this seems like a game that Murray State will really get up for.

Kentucky is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games against the Cardinals. The Wildcats are also 9-1 SU its last 10 series games on the road. Kentucky is one of the more talented teams in the country, and were not going to get the Wildcats as underdogs often this season. Kentucky has depth and the ability to lockdown defensively. The Cardinals will want a fast pace game under Pat Kelsey but Mark Pope’s teams also play as fast as anyone. Pope avoided jury duty for this matchup and put out the quote, “Let’s go beat the Cards.”

Norfolk State is the popular pick to win the MEAC. The Monarchs are an improved team from last year and are the better team on paper. However, the Norfolk State offense has been performing very well at the season. They lead the nation in fast break points, but they also be the nation he fouls per game. The Spartans hit the portal hard and got players from other schools with a lot of experience. Old Dominion should protect the paint, but the Spartan will dictate the pace to stay with the number im this in-state rivalry

Florida State lost 87-74 to the Gators last November. They were even worse of a team last season and now have some program momentum moving forward. There’s no question that the Gators are the better team with a lot more talent. However, Florida State does have size to match in the frontcourt. The main concern for the Gators is their backcourt. They have not been shooting the ball efficiently to begin the season and we know that Florida State will play fast and launch a bunch of threes. Florida has been under .500 ATS over its first 5 games each of the last 3 seasons. In their last 11 November home games, the Gators have gone just 3-8 ATS.

Not quite sure that UCF is a team that should be laying his many points. They struggled at home against a less inferior opponent with a four-point victory over the Pride. Florida A&M actually has a good amount of experience for a SWAC team. The Rattlers offense improved in their last game and have a better matchup here as the UCF defense is a unit to be concerned about, allowing 105 points to the Commodores at home. Florida A&M isn’t close to the Commodores but have the experience to stay within the number.

This is a good bounce back spot for the Packers after a very disappointing loss to Carolina. The loss of Tucker Kraft has to be the reason that this line is so fishy with the public very heavy on the Eagles. The Packers are coming off a bye, extra time to prep. Philadelphia has won and covered three of the last four meetings between these two and even though the Eagles had progressed offensively over their last two games, their defense has still allowed 20 points, or more, in 6 straight games.