ANALYSIS: This total has the chance to close as one of the biggest numbers in Super Bowl history, and at 56.5, it sits just below the Patriots-Falcons Super Bowl in 2017 that went Over. But here's the thing: that game stayed Under during regulation and was well on its way toward cashing the Under late in the third quarter before the Patriots' improbable rally. If you count that one as an Under in regulation, the last seven Super Bowls with a total of 50+ have stayed Under dating back to 2001. We just typically don't see fireworks early on as teams stay tight after all the pageantry leading up to kickoff, and I think the value is certainly on the Under as a result.

ANALYSIS: The Bucs have put together an incredible run thanks in large part to their GOAT quarterback, but Tom Brady has also had his moments of struggle, throwing picks on three straight drives in the NFC title game and letting the Packers back in the door. The Chiefs have been absolutely dominant with Patrick Mahomes under center during the playoffs, erasing any worries about their ho-hum second half. Even in Tampa, I love the Chiefs to get the win thanks to a better overall offense, the best coaching staff in the league, and a defense that has come to play during the postseason. I don't mind laying 3 or 3.5, but the value will likely be on the moneyline if you wait.

ANALYSIS: I've been holding out all week hoping to get the Bills at +3.5, and you should too (or buy it up now). Buffalo is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games, with the lights-out Indy offense the only thing keeping them from making it 10 straight. The Chiefs are 1-8 ATS in their last nine and simply haven't been playing to their ceiling over the second half of the year. The Chiefs have scored fewer points than the rest of the field remaining (also a good prop to hit for Sunday's action at +340), and while their upside is as high as ever, injuries on offense, including a Patrick Mahomes who may be less than 100%, give the Bills the chance to win outright.

ANALYSIS: The Bucs were able to turn three turnovers into short-field TDs in their upset of the Saints last week, but that doesn't seem repeatable against a Packers offense that's first in turnover percentage with a QB that has thrown just five picks all year. With only 316 yards to its credit last week, the Bucs offense didn't really have the type of statistical game you'd expect from a 30-point showing. And that's bad news against a Packers defense that continues to play great, allowing only 244 yards against the Rams despite Jared Goff looking sharper than expected. I'd take the Packers up to -4 here but think the line should be a tick higher than that.

ANALYSIS: The Bucs offense has been hard to stop since the team's bye, but this might be their toughest test yet. The Saints haven't surrendered even 275 net passing yards to any team this year despite already playing the Bucs twice plus the Packers and Chiefs. They should make things tough for Tom Brady all day, and the Bucs don't have the rushing attack to lean on when needed. The Saints should be able to have success offensively against a Bucs defense that had trouble containing Taylor Heinicke last week, especially with Michael Thomas back on the field. This is a close matchup, as you'd expect with the line where it is, but the Saints defense makes the difference.