R.J. White

Super Stat Geek

In 2017 R.J. cashed big in the world's most prestigious handicapping tournament, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, tying for 18th out of 2,748 contestants with a 52-29-4 mark against the spread. Remarkably, he also cashed in 2015 when he tied for 39th out of 1,727 entries with a 51-32-2 record. R.J. also crushes the NFL for SportsLine members: He went 94-68-8 on ATS picks in 2017, returning $1,856 to $100 players. R.J. has been with CBS Sports for seven years as a writer and editor and previously contributed to FanHouse, FanDuel, Razzball and the Fantasy Cafe. R.J. has many years of experience analyzing NFL statistics and trends, beginning with Super Bowl XXV. For R.J. White media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

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R.J.'s
Picks

Green Bay +2.5 GB +2.5

Minnesota 29 @ Green Bay 29
9/16
MIN 29 @ GB 29
9/16
WIN
Sun 9/16

I think the Vikings are a great team, but the Packers have an excellent home-field advantage when Aaron Rodgers is on the field. Davante Adams looks like he's available, and with Rodgers out there, the Packers should be able to score in the 20s against this defense. The Packers' defense looks better this season, especially with a pair of solid rookie cornerbacks in tow, and a bad Vikings line could force Kirk Cousins into making some mistakes. I would have made the Packers a slight favorite in this game.

19-4-1 IN LAST 24 MIN ATS PICKS | +1445

17-3 IN LAST 20 GB ATS PICKS | +1365

Pittsburgh -5.5 PIT -5.5

Kansas City 42 @ Pittsburgh 37
9/16
KC 42 @ PIT 37
9/16
LOSS
Fri 9/14

I wanted to jump on this earlier at a better number but just couldn't until Ben Roethlisberger got a practice under his belt. He did just that on Friday, so I'm getting this in before it reaches six. By my DVOA calculations, the line should probably be Steelers -6.5 with Big Ben in there, and I'd probably lean slightly to the home team at that number. The Chiefs are playing back-to-back road games and could be in for a bit of a letdown after a huge win against their division rivals in Week 1.

6-1 IN LAST 7 KC ATS PICKS | +490

4-2 IN LAST 6 PIT ATS PICKS | +175

Buffalo +7.5 BUF +7.5

L.A. Chargers 31 @ Buffalo 20
9/16
LAC 31 @ BUF 20
9/16
LOSS
Fri 9/14

The Bills are awful. No question about it. Football Outsiders has them as more than twice as bad as any other team. And even using those numbers, this line is too high. The Chargers just aren't well-coached, and they're in a tough spot after losing to their biggest divisional rivals this season and playing a team they'll expect to blow out, despite being a West Coast team in a 1 p.m. game. I didn't see the Chargers do much to fix their run defense this offseason, so this could be a game where LeSean McCoy feasts.

6-2 IN LAST 8 BUF ATS PICKS | +382

Denver -6 DEN -6

Oakland 19 @ Denver 20
9/16
OAK 19 @ DEN 20
9/16
LOSS
Thu 9/13

The Broncos are nearly unbeatable at home in the first two weeks of the season (one loss since 1999), so this is an obvious teaser play this week at this number. The Raiders should be one of the worst teams in football this year; right now I have them as the second-worst team in my power ratings, ahead of just the Bills. Case Keenum needs to better protect the ball, but he should have an easier time against this defense. And defensive line injuries for the Raiders could open up the running game for Denver to extend a second-half lead.

5-3-2 IN LAST 10 OAK ATS PICKS | +165

2-1-1 IN LAST 4 DEN ATS PICKS | +90

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