loading...
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
MLB
League Logo
NHL
League Logo
NFL
All
    loading...
    Avatar
    Avatar

    R.J. White

    Super Stat Geek

    CBS Sports' managing editor of Fantasy and gambling, R.J. twice has cashed huge in the world's most prestigious handicapping tournament, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest. In 2017 he tied for 18th out of 2,748 contestants with a 52-29-4 mark against the spread. In 2015 he tied for 39th out of 1,727 entries with a 51-32-2 record. Over the past nine years, R.J.'s Vegas contest picks are 428-327-25 (56.7 percent). He shares those five weekly picks on SportsLine. Beyond his weekly Vegas contest column, R.J. consistently crushes the NFL: He went 636-534-34 on ATS picks from 2017-23, returning $4,899 to $100 players as SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert in against the spread picks. R.J. has many years of experience analyzing NFL statistics and trends, beginning with Super Bowl XXV, and it shows in his insightful writeups and winning picks. For R.J. White media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @rjwhite1
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    +797
    RECORD: 79-66-0
    +797
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks

    Get Access To
    ALL PICKS FROM R.J. & THE REST OF OUR EXPERTS

    Get Today's Winners Here
    All

    R.J.'s Pick (1 Live)

    Sep 06 2024, 12:20 am UTC
    League
    Baltimore
    @ Kansas City
    R.J.'s PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +270
    4-2 in Last 6 KC ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Here are the early bets I made after the NFL schedule release ...

    Pick Made: Mon 7:19 pm UTC

    R.J.'s Past Picks

    Jun 09 2024, 11:10 pm UTC
    League
    L.A. Dodgers
    4
    @ N.Y. Yankees
    6
    +668
    41-33 in Last 74 MLB Picks
    +576
    7-1 in Last 8 MLB ML Picks
    +333
    3-0 in Last 3 NYY ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Dodgers won the first two games of this series, and I guess that's why the Yankees are rare home 'dogs? Even though the Dodgers have a great starter on the mound in Tyler Glasnow, the Yankees are countering with a pitcher in Luis Gil who has surrendered just three earned runs in his last seven starts combined, recording a win in all seven outings. He's only surrendered more than three hits twice in 12 starts, and the Yankees have a better OPS against righties than the Dodgers. I think we're getting nice value here on a great team at home with the market overcompensating for the last two games.

    Pick Made: Jun 09, 3:00 pm UTC
    Jun 09 2024, 8:07 pm UTC
    League
    Houston
    7
    @ L.A. Angels
    9
    +797
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Patrick Sandoval has delivered strong consecutive starts, but even though he has a solid 9.6 K/9 rate, he's failed to reach five Ks in five of his 13 starts, including May outings against two tough teams to strike out in the Royals and Guardians. Not only do the Astros own the best rate of strikeouts per game in the league, but it reaches another level against lefties at 15.7% of plate appearances. Only six of 19 lefty starts have reached five Ks against the Astros as well. I think the odds of Sandoval getting to five Ks should probably have the Under favored.

    Pick Made: Jun 09, 2:44 pm UTC
    Jun 09 2024, 6:15 pm UTC
    League
    Colorado
    1
    @ St. Louis
    5
    +797
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Ty Blach gave up four runs in his last outing, but it was a result of a hit parade that resulted in 10 base knocks in five innings. Today's he's up against a Cardinals team hitting just .208/.278/.329 against lefties this year. He's held three of five opponents since returning to the rotation to two runs or fewer: the Phillies, Guardians and Rangers, all in Colorado. He simply hasn't be bad enough to justify putting this line at 3.5, and the ineptitude of the Cardinals offense means he should probably heavily juiced to the Under at 2.5.

    Pick Made: Jun 09, 2:35 pm UTC
    Jun 09 2024, 6:15 pm UTC
    League
    Colorado
    1
    @ St. Louis
    5
    Analysis:

    The Cardinals are big favorites in this game, but I'd argue the pitching matchup favors the Rockies. Ty Blach has held his opponents to two runs or fewer in three of his five starts since rejoining the rotation, even though he's pitched in Colorado four times. Andre Pallante just got rocked in second start since joining the rotation, and his awful K rate at all levels this year doesn't bode well for taking advantage of a Rockies weakness. Throw in a Cardinals offense with just a 73 OPS+ against lefties and I like the first-five ML or run line here, and I'll take the latter at +100.

    Pick Made: Jun 09, 2:29 pm UTC
    Jun 09 2024, 6:10 pm UTC
    League
    Boston
    6
    @ Chi. White Sox
    4
    +797
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    The wind is blowing out today in Chicago, and it should be up to 20 mph for the entirety of this game. That's bad news for Chris Flexen, who has a 46.4% flyball rate this year even while keeping home runs mostly in check. The Red Sox could put up some runs even with Rafael Devers sidelined, and Flexen has already been pretty inefficient this season, getting past five innings just twice in 11 starts. That stat alone justifies this price, and when you throw in the weather conditions I think we're getting value even laying around -155.

    Pick Made: Jun 09, 2:14 pm UTC
    Jun 09 2024, 5:35 pm UTC
    League
    Minnesota
    11
    @ Pittsburgh
    5
    +797
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Bailey Ober has struggled over his last four starts, but three have come against top-tier offenses and all were against teams that rank in the top eight of fewest strikeouts per game. Today he's up against a Pirates team that's fourth-worst in Ks per game at 9.63 and that owns just an 84 OPS+ against righties. I think it's worth playing both his Over 5.5 Ks and Under 2.5 earned runs if you're getting less than -110 on them like we are at Caesars.

    Pick Made: Jun 09, 1:39 pm UTC
    Jun 09 2024, 5:35 pm UTC
    League
    Minnesota
    11
    @ Pittsburgh
    5
    +797
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    This is correlated to our other play in this game, and I'd consider throwing both plus Over 15.5 outs into an SGP if you're getting at least +200 on it. Bailey Ober has struggled over his last four starts, but three have come against top-tier offenses and all were against teams that rank in the top eight of fewest strikeouts per game. Today he's up against a Pirates team that's fourth-worst in Ks per game at 9.63 and that owns just an 84 OPS+ against righties. I think it's worth playing both his Over 5.5 Ks and Under 2.5 earned runs if you're getting less than -110 on them like we are at Caesars.

    Pick Made: Jun 09, 1:41 pm UTC
    Jun 09 2024, 12:40 am UTC
    League
    Arizona
    1
    @ San Diego
    13
    +797
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Matt Waldron has delivered a strong five-start stretch where he's allowed just six earned runs, but the start prior to that run came against the D-Backs, who battered him for seven earned runs and chased him after three innings. That was the second time they've seen the knuckleballer, touching him up for five earned runs in five innings in a start last year. Clearly Arizona knows how to have success in this matchup, and though Waldron has been on fire recently, he's reached six innings just four times in 12 starts this year. I expect he'll be in trouble by the sixth inning and won't have as strong a chance of getting to this number as the odds imply.

    Pick Made: Jun 08, 2:34 pm UTC
    Jun 08 2024, 11:35 pm UTC
    League
    L.A. Dodgers
    11
    @ N.Y. Yankees
    3
    +797
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    These teams played 11 innings last night, and the Dodgers bullpen in particular has been taxed heavily this week. The team has used five relievers in two straight games, with three pitching back-to-back and likely to be unavailable today. Prior to last night's game, the bullpen threw more than 200 pitches the previous two days. What that means is that Gavin Stone is going to be relied upon to eat innings, and he should be up to the task. He threw six innings in six straight starts prior to his most recent outing, and he's allowed no more than one run in six of his last seven. The Dodgers bullpen situation makes this a two-unit play.

    Pick Made: Jun 08, 2:26 pm UTC
    Jun 08 2024, 8:10 pm UTC
    League
    Seattle
    4
    @ Kansas City
    8
    +797
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Alec Marsh has allowed five earned runs in each of his last two starts, but his strikeout rate is up since returning from IL, as he's punched out more than a batter per inning in his last five outings. He's up against the team that strikes out the most in the league, and although four straight righties have failed to get to six Ks against the M's, 31 of the 46 they've faced have gotten there. I believe Marsh has a better than 50% chance of getting to six Ks so I'll take this Over.

    Pick Made: Jun 08, 1:45 pm UTC
    Jun 08 2024, 8:05 pm UTC
    League
    Minnesota
    0
    @ Pittsburgh
    4
    +797
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Two units on this one as I believe this line is way off. Simeon Woods-Richardson has hit five Ks just once in his last five starts, but four of those were against teams in the bottom five of strikeouts per game. The Pirates have the second highest rate and have hit five Ks against five of the last six righty starters they've faced. And Woods-Richardson has racked up 10 Ks over 9.1 innings in his last two starts, both against teams in the bottom three of K/game. With the Pirates' general struggles vs. righties (83 OPS+), Woods-Richardson should pitch deep enough in a great matchup that this Over should be favored, not a huge 'dog.

    Pick Made: Jun 08, 1:09 pm UTC
    Jun 08 2024, 5:10 pm UTC
    League
    Philadelphia
    7
    @ N.Y. Mets
    2
    +797
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Ranger Suarez left his last start with a thumb injury and wasn't able to throw his normal bullpen session, and there's a possibility he's not 100% or reaggravates the injury today. And even if he doesn't, I'm not sure the Phillies ask for more than five innings from him considering his disrupted between-starts routine and the fact that the bullpen is fully available after two days off with another off-day Monday due to the London Series. The Mets are also above average against lefties (111 OPS+), so another way to cash would be Suarez just getting knocked around early in the game. I thought this number would be 15.5 flat due to all the factors above.

    Pick Made: Jun 08, 1:00 pm UTC
    Jun 06 2024, 11:45 pm UTC
    League
    Colorado
    3
    @ St. Louis
    2
    +797
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Sonny Gray has been knocked around in three of his last five starts, but all came on the road and Gray owns a 0.93 ERA in five home starts. He should pitch long enough to get to seven Ks, which he has done in five of eight starts since building up past 75 pitches, with the other three landing on six Ks. The Rockies have an ugly 25.8% K rate against righties, so pitches with elite K rates like Gray should be able to get to seven Ks in 5-6 innings.

    Pick Made: Jun 06, 1:49 pm UTC
    Jun 06 2024, 5:10 pm UTC
    League
    Kansas City
    4
    @ Cleveland
    3
    +797
    79-66 in Last 145 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    The Royals and Guardians received an unexpected day off yesterday, leaving the bullpens fresh coming into this matchup. That could mean a shorter outing for Tanner Bibee, who has thrown six innings only four times in 12 starts. But rather than attacking his Outs Under, I like playing his Ks Under in this matchup. The Royals only strike out 19% of the time against righties, and at that rate it would take 31 batters to get to six Ks. Relatedly, just 10 out of 50 righty starters have gotten to six Ks against the Royals this year. Bibee has a good K rate but not high enough that he should be favored to join that exclusive list, so I like the value here.

    Pick Made: Jun 06, 1:14 pm UTC