R.J. White

Super Stat Geek

In 2017 R.J. cashed big in the world's most prestigious handicapping tournament, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, tying for 18th out of 2,748 contestants with a 52-29-4 mark against the spread. Remarkably, he also cashed in 2015 when he tied for 39th out of 1,727 entries with a 51-32-2 record. R.J. also crushes the NFL for SportsLine members: He went 94-68-8 on ATS picks in 2017, returning $1,856 to $100 players. R.J. has been with CBS Sports for seven years as a writer and editor and previously contributed to FanHouse, FanDuel, Razzball and the Fantasy Cafe. R.J. has many years of experience analyzing NFL statistics and trends, beginning with Super Bowl XXV. For R.J. White media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

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R.J.'s
Past Picks

Seattle -3 SEA -3

Minnesota 7 @ Seattle 21
12/11
MIN 7 @ SEA 21
12/11
WIN
Thu 12/6

Minnesota is just 1-3 SU in primetime this year, with the only win being against an overrated Packers team. Their defense hasn't played that well on the road, averaging more than 25 points allowed, and their offense hasn't scored more than 24 in five straight games. The Seahawks have an excellent home-field advantage, and their only losses since Week 2 have been to the Rams and Chargers. They're also 18-6-2 ATS in primetime games since 2012, including 10-3-1 ATS at home. Does this sound like the anatomy of an upset on Monday night? Not to me.

38-14-1 IN LAST 53 NFL ATS PICKS | +2244

Oakland +10.5 OAK +10.5

Pittsburgh 21 @ Oakland 24
12/09
PIT 21 @ OAK 24
12/09
WIN
Thu 12/6

Oakland isn't a great team, but this Steelers team is coming off three brutal games in a row as well as back-to-back losses in games they could have won. Are they mentally ready to go to the West Coast and compete against a team everyone expects them to blow out? No, they're not. The Steelers are 1-8 ATS since 2009 as road favorites of 10 points or more, and they haven't won by more than seven on the road this year. The Raiders are surprisingly tough against passing games, ranking first in DVOA against WR1s and fourth against WR2s. This won't be a runaway win for Pittsburgh.

38-14-1 IN LAST 53 NFL ATS PICKS | +2244

Dallas -3.5 DAL -3.5

Philadelphia 23 @ Dallas 29
12/09
PHI 23 @ DAL 29
12/09
WIN
Thu 12/6

Dallas is coming off a win against everyone's No. 1 team on the national stage, while the Eagles were locked in a one-point game with a team playing Mark Sanchez on the road behind a patchwork O-line before finally pulling away in the fourth quarter. And these teams are being considered basically even by the market? Tyron Smith should be back, which will help against an Eagles defense that has not looked as strong this year. Ezekiel Elliott should have a big game, and I'm not sure who else besides Zach Ertz can have success against this Dallas defense. He had a huge stat line in their first game and Philly still lost at home.

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L.A. Chargers -14 LAC -14

Cincinnati 21 @ L.A. Chargers 26
12/09
CIN 21 @ LAC 26
12/09
LOSS
Thu 12/6

I don't like laying big numbers, but it's hard to see how the Bengals score many points in this matchup with Jeff Driskel and without A.J. Green on the road against a top-tier defense. The Chargers have won four times by at least 14 points, showing they can blow out bad teams, which Cincinnati unequivocally is at this point. The Chargers' pass offense is second in DVOA while the Bengals pass defense is 27th, and there's a similar split running the ball as well. I do worry about the Chargers looking ahead to a Thursday game against the Chiefs, but I don't think it matters against this roster.

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N.Y. Giants -3.5 NYG -3.5

N.Y. Giants 40 @ Washington 16
12/09
NYG 40 @ WAS 16
12/09
WIN
Thu 12/6

Washington has sent 16 players to injured reserve this year, and they're now on their third player at each guard spot to go along with their third quarterback, who's only been with the team a few weeks. Even against a Giants defense that hasn't played well this year, I don't know how Mark Sanchez and the Washington offense has success coming off that Monday night loss. The Giants have won three of their last four, and they were dominating Philly in the one loss before letting it slip away. That doesn't happen against a decimated Washington team, and Giants roll to a win here.

38-14-1 IN LAST 53 NFL ATS PICKS | +2244

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