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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past four college basketball seasons, Matt is up $887. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 137 NBA ML PICKS
    +1895.5
    RECORD: 93-44-0
    # 3 NBA EXPERT
    +1895.5
    93-44 IN LAST 137 NBA ML PICKS

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    Matt's Picks (8 Live)

    Apr 19 2024, 11:40 pm UTC
    League
    Baltimore
    @ Kansas City
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1761
    85-38-1 in Last 124 MLB Picks
    +585
    15-6 in Last 21 KC ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Should we trust Dean Kremer in Kansas City? ...

    Pick Made: Fri 3:18 am UTC
    Apr 20 2024, 12:10 am UTC
    League
    Detroit
    @ Minnesota
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1761
    85-38-1 in Last 124 MLB Picks
    +814.25
    32-17 in Last 49 MLB ML Picks
    +1466
    46-21 in Last 67 MIN ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Tigers open a series in Minnesota. ...

    Pick Made: Fri 10:21 pm UTC
    Apr 20 2024, 1:30 am UTC
    League
    Sacramento
    @ New Orleans
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +1863.25
    145-89 in Last 234 NBA Picks
    +320
    12-8 in Last 20 SAC ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Does no Zion kill the Pels vs. the Kings? ...

    Pick Made: Fri 10:45 pm UTC
    Apr 20 2024, 2:10 am UTC
    League
    N.Y. Mets
    @ L.A. Dodgers
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +411.75
    17-3 in Last 20 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    How will Mookie Betts fare vs. the Mets? ...

    Pick Made: Fri 12:05 pm UTC
    Apr 20 2024, 5:00 pm UTC
    League
    Orlando
    @ Cleveland
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +1895.5
    93-44 in Last 137 NBA ML Picks
    +1684
    37-10 in Last 47 CLE ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Cavaliers went 2-2 vs. the Magic during the regular season. ...

    Pick Made: Wed 12:40 pm UTC
    Apr 20 2024, 9:00 pm UTC
    League
    N.Y. Islanders
    @ Carolina
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1407.5
    38-18 in Last 56 NHL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Are the Hurricanes overvalued against the Islanders? ...

    Pick Made: Thu 2:41 pm UTC
    Apr 20 2024, 10:00 pm UTC
    League
    Philadelphia
    @ New York
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +1895.5
    93-44 in Last 137 NBA ML Picks
    +1732.5
    40-13 in Last 53 PHI ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Are the Knicks on upset alert vs. the Sixers? ...

    Pick Made: Thu 2:22 pm UTC
    Apr 21 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Indiana
    @ Milwaukee
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +1895.5
    93-44 in Last 137 NBA ML Picks
    +2268.5
    50-16 in Last 66 MIL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Bucks will be short-handed vs. the Pacers. ...

    Pick Made: Thu 11:49 am UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    Apr 19 2024, 11:05 pm UTC
    League
    Tampa Bay
    3
    @ N.Y. Yankees
    5
    +1761
    85-38-1 in Last 124 MLB Picks
    +814.25
    32-17 in Last 49 MLB ML Picks
    +858
    27-10 in Last 37 TB ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Rays played a third straight one-run game today against the Angels so their bullpen is a bit thin heading into Friday's series opener. The Yankees were off Thursday after an epic late comeback to avoid a sweep in Toronto on Wednesday, so their pen is locked and loaded. And NYY appears to have the clear starting pitching edge in Clarke Schmidt (1-0, 3.68) against TB lefty Tyler Alexander (6.46 ERA). Schmidt has allowed three earned runs or fewer in 10 of his past 11 dating to last year. He doesn't go deep so that rested bullpen will likely be important.

    Pick Made: Thu 9:58 pm UTC
    Apr 19 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Chicago
    91
    @ Miami
    112
    +1895.5
    93-44 in Last 137 NBA ML Picks
    +443.5
    36-21 in Last 57 CHI ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Like Mike Barner, I am a lifelong Bulls fan. I mean, they could win here but it would be so out of character. Feels just like last year when the Heat beat the Bulls in the winner-take-all game in South Florida. Obviously no Jimmy Butler is huge but at least in this game I think the Heat have enough. Then they get swept by the Celtics. Shoot, the Bulls might lose in three vs. Boston if they advance. Yes, best of 7 I know.

    Pick Made: Fri 10:05 pm UTC
    Apr 19 2024, 10:40 pm UTC
    League
    Boston
    8
    @ Pittsburgh
    1
    +1761
    85-38-1 in Last 124 MLB Picks
    Analysis:

    OK, so this is how I am different. I don't think the Pirates should be underdogs. The Boston lineup is pretty weak right now without the injured Rafael Devers (assuming out again) and Tyler O'Neill (on IL). And the Sox played Thursday and Pittsburgh didn't. So instead of taking Pirates at around -120 to win -- some books will leave teams at +1.5 on the runline for a while even if they flip to moneyline favorites, which is the case here -- I will pay the 70 cents for the insurance. I probably would take the Bucs on the moneyline if any other starting pitcher but Quinn Priester. But everything else lines up great for the home side.

    Pick Made: Fri 3:35 pm UTC
    Apr 19 2024, 10:40 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    0
    @ Philadelphia
    7
    +411.75
    17-3 in Last 20 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    I figured the books were going to start jacking up the price on the worst hitter in the majors by far, so this might be our last go-round. Thanks for the $$$ Marty! I don't want anyone to lose their job, but what is the point of the White Sox continually running this offensive black hole out there most games? I have scored as many runs and knocked as many in this season in the Show as Marty has. Remember how funny it used to be when Bartolo Colon would hit? Maldonado has gone from funny to Old Yeller sad ... but betting has no empathy.

    Pick Made: Fri 12:11 pm UTC
    Apr 19 2024, 10:40 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    0
    @ Philadelphia
    7
    +1761
    85-38-1 in Last 124 MLB Picks
    +814.25
    32-17 in Last 49 MLB ML Picks
    +789
    54-30 in Last 84 CHW ML Picks
    Analysis:

    So what I like about us being able to do unit sizes -- insert Michael Scott quote here -- isn't so much that I'm changing my patterns as showing my confidence level in a pick. I spend $50 at Wawa simply if they somehow have Bartles & Jaymes Exotic Berry wine cooler cases in stock, so I'm not too worried about the cash. But don't we have to take the far superior team at home for a little even against the ace of the worst offense in baseball? Answer: Yes. Again, I bet different. Whatever entertains me.

    Pick Made: Fri 6:27 pm UTC
    Apr 19 2024, 6:20 pm UTC
    League
    Miami
    3
    @ Chi. Cubs
    8
    +1761
    85-38-1 in Last 124 MLB Picks
    +814.25
    32-17 in Last 49 MLB ML Picks
    +1872.5
    67-32 in Last 99 CHC ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Thursday's rainout probably wasn't the worst thing for the Cubs as they were able to reset a bullpen that was used a ton early this week in Arizona. And the bullpen definitely will be needed with Jameson Taillon making his season debut. Might be the last chance for Marlins lefty AJ Puk to keep his rotation spot as he's 0-3 with a 5.91 ERA. He had been a good reliever the past few seasons and could be ticketed back to the pen.

    Pick Made: Fri 3:23 am UTC
    Apr 19 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Anaheim
    4
    @ Vegas
    1
    +497
    15-5 in Last 20 NHL Picks
    +422.5
    6-2 in Last 8 NHL O/U Picks
    +631
    18-8 in Last 26 LV O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Vegas still has some reason to care if it prefers to be the third-place Pacific Division team and face Edmonton in Round 1 or be the fourth-place team and second West wild-card club and face Dallas. Is there a good option? The Knights again tonight are without three key offensive players in Chandler Stephenson, Anthony Mantha and defenseman Alex Pietrangelo, who is important on the power play. Anaheim is the third-worst offensive team in the league.

    Pick Made: Thu 12:00 pm UTC