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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past three college basketball seasons, Matt is up $2,704. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 9 CBB O/U PICKS
    +792.5
    RECORD: 8-1-0
    +792.5
    8-1 IN LAST 9 CBB O/U PICKS

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    Matt's Pick (1 Live)

    Mar 20 2024, 10:05 am UTC
    League
    L.A. Dodgers
    @ San Diego
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +736
    39-24 in Last 63 LAD ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Padres and Dodgers open the season in Seoul. ...

    Pick Made: Mon 3:33 pm UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    Mar 19 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    New York
    119
    @ Golden St.
    112
    +1787.75
    126-72 in Last 198 NBA Picks
    +1646
    81-37 in Last 118 NBA ML Picks
    +1267
    43-19 in Last 62 NY ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Warriors are fully healthy with Steph Curry's return on Saturday, while the Knicks are listing OG Anunoby as questionable with Julius Randle and Mitchell Robinson still out. Since Jan. 30, the Warriors are tied with Boston for the most wins in the NBA (16). Golden State ranks first in rebounding (48.2 rpg), third in assists (30.3 apg), sixth in scoring (118.1 ppg), and tied fourth in 3-pointers made (14.3) during that span.

    Pick Made: Mon 12:00 am UTC
    Mar 19 2024, 1:00 am UTC
    League
    Minnesota
    114
    @ Utah
    104
    +1787.75
    126-72 in Last 198 NBA Picks
    +985
    17-8 in Last 25 UTA ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Always tough to sweep one of these baseball-type series in another team's gym after Minnesota won 119-100 in Salt Lake City on Saturday. That was without Rudy Gobert (and KAT), and he's out again, but Jazz leading scorer Lauri Markkanen is back tonight. The Wolves were as high as -7.5 but it's now 4.5 across the board.

    Pick Made: Mon 11:43 pm UTC
    Mar 19 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Washington
    5
    @ Calgary
    2
    +469.5
    91-67-3 in Last 161 NHL O/U Picks
    +395
    13-6 in Last 19 CGY O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Bit surprised this flipped to 6.5 on FanDuel because Washington's Charlie Lindgren has allowed only 12 goals over his past seven, while Calgary's Dustin Wolf has allowed three goals over his past two. The Caps haven't scored more than two goals in three straight.

    Pick Made: Mon 4:22 pm UTC
    Mar 17 2024, 10:00 pm UTC
    League
    Carolina
    7
    @ Ottawa
    2
    +859
    26-13 in Last 39 NHL ATS Picks
    +277
    6-4 in Last 10 OTT ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Ever have one of those teams in any sport you sort of avoid because no clue what they will do? The Senators are one of those for me (at least in terms of playing them as a favorite) but this is a pretty good price at home with Carolina down third-leading scorer Teuvo Teravainen (47 points). Fellow center Jack Drury (27 points) is probably out again as well.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:32 pm UTC
    Mar 17 2024, 5:00 pm UTC
    League
    Phoenix
    129
    @ Milwaukee
    140
    +1787.75
    126-72 in Last 198 NBA Picks
    +1646
    81-37 in Last 118 NBA ML Picks
    +3104
    52-15 in Last 67 PHO ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Tricky spot for the Suns at the end of a road trip and third game in four days. Don't know about you, but KD vs. Giannis is about as good as it gets. Khris Middleton returns for Milwaukee. Update: Giannis was just ruled out. Pretty much sums up my week. Obviously I don't like this any longer.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:14 pm UTC
    Mar 16 2024, 10:00 pm UTC
    League
    Iowa St.
    69
    @ Houston
    41
    +398.5
    69-44 in Last 113 CBB Picks
    +148.5
    52-31 in Last 83 CBB ML Picks
    Analysis:

    OK if Houston loses this game, I will eat my wife's cooking live on Twitter. (will never say X) I will need to be hospitalized after but I will do it. I feel like she is purposefully feeding me pufferfish daily to kill me for life insurance or something so if you don't hear from me again either that happened or this lost and I finally jumped in the river with another illogical result.

    Pick Made: Mar 16, 2:53 pm UTC
    Mar 16 2024, 5:00 pm UTC
    League
    Wisconsin
    76
    @ Purdue
    75
    +398.5
    69-44 in Last 113 CBB Picks
    +148.5
    52-31 in Last 83 CBB ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Planned to not bet college basketball until Thursday but I'm told I have a good card by my wife. She also asked me to rake the yard so may have an agenda. It's my yard, don't tell me what to do! So going to go pick on this play and maybe another and go big. "He dies, he dies" to quote Ivan Drago. I do want to apologize for this week. Some results I just truly don't understand and which literally disproved 5000 years of math. Funny thing is here, I actually hope Wisconsin wins personally. Always hated Purdue since Glenn Robinson and not really sure why. Well, Zach Edey also looks like he has been dead for six years but whatever.

    Pick Made: Mar 16, 2:38 pm UTC
    Mar 16 2024, 1:30 am UTC
    League
    NC State
    73
    @ Virginia
    65
    +792.5
    8-1 in Last 9 CBB O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Think I have to throw a little down on this tiny total; one of the two regular-season games between these two went Over and one didn't. If both get in the 60s, we obviously at worst push (i.e. can't be worse than 61-60). If this were a true UVA home game, maybe we don't play it. I'll go ahead and sign up for a second straight Wahoos OT game because then it will go Over.

    Pick Made: Mar 15, 1:34 pm UTC
    Mar 16 2024, 1:00 am UTC
    League
    Seattle
    72
    @ Grand Canyon
    80
    +398.5
    69-44 in Last 113 CBB Picks
    +148.5
    52-31 in Last 83 CBB ML Picks
    +400
    4-0 in Last 4 SEATTLE ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Grand Canyon was the WAC regular-season champion but will not be NCAA Tournament bound without winning this tournament even with a stellar 27-4 overall mark. Seattle did hand the Lopes a loss in the Pacific Northwest but Grand Canyon won the rematch by seven. GCU's Tyon Grant-Foster was named WAC Player of the Year and he and Gabe McGlothan form the third GCU duo to make All-WAC first team together. Very well coached team by Bryce Drew, who might get snapped up by a Power 5 school. Second game in 24 hours for Seattle, while GCU is well-rested and probably prepared for the Redhawks the entire time.

    Pick Made: Mar 15, 12:44 pm UTC
    Mar 16 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Los Angeles
    5
    @ Chicago
    0
    +859
    26-13 in Last 39 NHL ATS Picks
    +715
    10-2 in Last 12 LA ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Hawks are showing some signs of life offensively all of a sudden. I'd like this play a lot more if it were Petr Mrazek in net instead of Arvid Soderblom, but at this price we can't turn down a 1.5-goal headstart at home. It's like when Seinfeld got the headstart against his old high school rival Duncan in the "Race" episode -- one of my favorite episodes ever and not just because of all the Superman references. (Jerry at -150 for the rematch so this is better value.) Somewhat retroactively see Seinfield differently when I'm watching Curb Your Enthusiasm new episodes but also totally see Larry David's writing style. The Kings have a much tougher game and possible playoff preview Saturday in Dallas.

    Pick Made: Mar 15, 3:53 pm UTC
    Mar 16 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Delaware St.
    71
    @ NC Central
    58
    +398.5
    69-44 in Last 113 CBB Picks
    +148.5
    52-31 in Last 83 CBB ML Picks
    +220
    3-1 in Last 4 NCCU ML Picks
    Analysis:

    NC Central finished second in the MEAC standings -- hey MEAC, don't make me ban you for a year like the SWAC due to some nonsensical result -- and three games better than Delaware State. The Eagles have won five of six, which included a 12-point home win over DSU on Feb. 26. NC Central also at least got a day of rest after its first MEAC Tournament game, while DSU played yesterday. Four NC Central players landed on All-MEAC teams led by Fred Cleveland Jr.

    Pick Made: Mar 15, 1:50 pm UTC
    Mar 15 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Texas A&M
    97
    @ Kentucky
    87
    +398.5
    69-44 in Last 113 CBB Picks
    +148.5
    52-31 in Last 83 CBB ML Picks
    +25
    4-2 in Last 6 TEXAM ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Some books have this as high as -250. If UK is focused, it's not losing to Texas A&M in what will be a Big Blue-filled arena in Nashville. If UK is focused, it may not lose again this season -- it will be in my Final Four most likely. The Aggies have won four straight but against lesser competition. They probably clinched an at-large NCAA bid with Thursday's win over Ole Miss but obviously a quick turnaround while Kentucky is rested.

    Pick Made: Mar 15, 1:55 pm UTC
    Mar 15 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    L.A. Clippers
    126
    @ Chicago
    111
    +754
    28-13 in Last 41 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    With Coby White out injured, Ayo is going to play a ton of minutes again just like he did Wednesday at Indiana when Dosunmu had a combined 27 PRA when White was in the lineup.

    Pick Made: Mar 14, 5:30 pm UTC
    Mar 15 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    New Jersey
    6
    @ Dallas
    2
    +222
    5-1 in Last 6 DAL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Under normal circumstances, this might be a spot to take a road team on the PL as I'm trying to expand my betting horizons a bit, but I can't possibly take the Devils with goaltender Jake Allen in his team debut. He was horrible with Montreal before being traded. New Jersey also has a couple of top-six defensemen out.

    Pick Made: Mar 14, 4:53 pm UTC