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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past four college basketball seasons, Matt is up $887. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 273 NBA PICKS
    +2228.25
    RECORD: 168-105-0
    # 3 NBA EXPERT
    +2228.25
    168-105 IN LAST 273 NBA PICKS

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    Matt's Pick (1 Live)

    May 30 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    @ Edmonton
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +730
    6-1 in Last 7 NHL Picks
    +163
    14-5 in Last 19 EDM ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Oilers try to avoid a 3-1 hole vs. Dallas in the West Finals. ...

    Pick Made: Wed 12:34 pm UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    May 29 2024, 8:10 pm UTC
    League
    Pittsburgh
    0
    @ Detroit
    8
    +1813.25
    180-108-1 in Last 289 MLB Picks
    +673.25
    73-48 in Last 121 MLB ML Picks
    +1100.25
    43-23 in Last 66 DET ML Picks
    Analysis:

    I expect Tigers ace Tarik Skubal to bounce back from a rough outing last time in Kansas City (where he never pitches well it seems). Detroit is starting every regular it appears in Game 1 of a doubleheader. Probably because most of them have begged out of Game 2 against Paul Skenes. Not that Game 1 Pittsburgh rookie Jared Jones is a scrub by any means and he's also going to be terrific. But we have to back Skubal home at this price. Bucs shortstop Oneil Cruz is not playing the opener.

    Pick Made: Wed 2:22 pm UTC
    May 29 2024, 8:10 pm UTC
    League
    Miami
    9
    @ San Diego
    1
    +1813.25
    180-108-1 in Last 289 MLB Picks
    +673.25
    73-48 in Last 121 MLB ML Picks
    +470
    13-6 in Last 19 MIA ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Yu Darvish took a 25-inning scoreless streak into his last start vs. the Yankees and was summarily pummeled. Bit different of a lineup he's facing today. The Marlins also are at the end of a six-game trip so a natural tough spot. They have totaled just five runs in the first two games in Petco.

    Pick Made: Wed 6:32 pm UTC
    May 29 2024, 5:10 pm UTC
    League
    St. Louis
    5
    @ Cincinnati
    3
    +1813.25
    180-108-1 in Last 289 MLB Picks
    Analysis:

    Don't believe the Reds should be getting +1.5 at home in this matchup and they only are at FanDuel so we'll take it even at that number as some insurance. Nolan Arenado is out of the Cards' lineup today and reliever Andre Pallante has a 6.30 ERA on the year as he makes his first start since 2022. Cincinnati's Frankie Montas has a 3.04 ERA at home.

    Pick Made: Wed 2:59 pm UTC
    May 29 2024, 12:05 am UTC
    League
    Arizona
    2
    @ Texas
    4
    +1813.25
    180-108-1 in Last 289 MLB Picks
    +673.25
    73-48 in Last 121 MLB ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Nate Eovaldi is off the injured list for the Rangers and so is outfielder and one-time AL ROY favorite Wyatt Langford. No Lourdes Gurriel in the Arizona lineup. Texas had some success off Snakes starter Brandon Pfaadt in one start in the 2023 World Series and in one last regular season.

    Pick Made: Tue 9:55 pm UTC
    May 29 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    N.Y. Rangers
    2
    @ Florida
    3
    +730
    6-1 in Last 7 NHL Picks
    +1843
    53-25 in Last 78 NYR ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Florida has been the better team at least in terms of puck possession, etc., in the series and definitely was in Game 3 yet still lost 5-4 in OT to fall down 2-1 despite a whopping 108-43 advantage in shot attempts. It would be human nature for the Rangers to relax a bit knowing they stole home ice back. The Panthers haven't lost three straight games since mid-to-late March.

    Pick Made: Tue 9:18 pm UTC
    May 28 2024, 10:50 pm UTC
    League
    Oakland
    3
    @ Tampa Bay
    0
    +1813.25
    180-108-1 in Last 289 MLB Picks
    +673.25
    73-48 in Last 121 MLB ML Picks
    +978.5
    14-2 in Last 16 OAK ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Having had lived in Tampa a long time, let's just say there will be PLENTY of good seats available for this game/series. If there are more than 1K at the Trop tonight I will be surprised. A's rookie Mitch Spence is converting from relief to rotation and yet to last five innings with some wildness. The Rays might have saved their season with a comeback win Sunday to snap a six-game losing streak so perhaps a bit of momentum. This series is an ideal chance to get back above .500.

    Pick Made: Tue 4:44 pm UTC
    May 28 2024, 10:35 pm UTC
    League
    Boston
    8
    @ Baltimore
    3
    +1813.25
    180-108-1 in Last 289 MLB Picks
    +673.25
    73-48 in Last 121 MLB ML Picks
    +1713.5
    50-21 in Last 71 BAL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Still no Tyler O'Neill for Boston. Pitcher Brayan Bello has a 4.73 ERA on the road. The Orioles have won five straight all by multiple runs. Well, four were against the White Sox so maybe don't count. O's starter Grayson Rodriguez has allowed only two earned runs over 11 innings since his return from the IL. His home splits overall are terrific.

    Pick Made: Tue 7:28 pm UTC
    May 28 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Boston
    105
    @ Indiana
    102
    +2228.25
    168-105 in Last 273 NBA Picks
    +385
    7-4 in Last 11 NBA ATS Picks
    +480
    8-3 in Last 11 IND ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    I don't want to say Boston is getting lucky this postseason with injuries to its opponents' best players but man it sure seems like everything is lining up for the Celtics. Definitely may have won it all anyways but yeah they should now without question. That said. Easy letdown spot. They know Tyrese Haliburton (likely) isn't coming back and can simply finish this off at home in Game 5 if need be. I'm fairly confident they do complete the sweep Monday but this is too high.

    Pick Made: Mon 3:43 am UTC
    May 27 2024, 10:40 pm UTC
    League
    Miami
    1
    @ San Diego
    2
    +662
    38-14 in Last 52 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    This game surely matters a little more to Luis Arraez after being shockingly traded earlier this season from Miami to San Diego. His hits prop is too pricy so this is a nice alternative. May come back and play Padres moneyline against Trevor Rogers (1-6, 6.11 ERA).

    Pick Made: Mon 5:33 pm UTC
    May 27 2024, 8:10 pm UTC
    League
    St. Louis
    1
    @ Cincinnati
    3
    +1813.25
    180-108-1 in Last 289 MLB Picks
    +673.25
    73-48 in Last 121 MLB ML Picks
    Analysis:

    I will be honest in that the fade the Sunday night team traveling after has not been a good bet this season so far when it had been one of the better ones in recent years. Still believe in it. This is even tougher on the Cards as not just travel but a matinee on the holiday. I am doing listed pitchers here as if tonight's Cubs at Cards game gets rained out and Sonny Gray gets pushed to here, forget it. Otherwise, yep we fade Lance Lynn.

    Pick Made: Sun 10:58 pm UTC
    May 27 2024, 8:10 pm UTC
    League
    Washington
    8
    @ Atlanta
    4
    +1813.25
    180-108-1 in Last 289 MLB Picks
    +744.5
    23-9-1 in Last 33 MLB O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    So bummed for Atlanta with the Ronald Acuna news, and I have no dog in that fight. But it 100 percent opened the NL more for the Phillies and Dodgers (and maybe Cubs?). And I have to think there's an immediate fallout in that lineup.

    Pick Made: Mon 3:17 am UTC
    May 27 2024, 6:10 pm UTC
    League
    Toronto
    5
    @ Chi. White Sox
    1
    +662
    38-14 in Last 52 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    I'm almost to the point where I am starting to feel sorry for Martin Maldonado because he's so clueless at the plate. Almost to the point. Not quite there yet.

    Pick Made: Mon 5:02 pm UTC
    May 26 2024, 7:10 pm UTC
    League
    Philadelphia
    2
    @ Colorado
    5
    +1813.25
    180-108-1 in Last 289 MLB Picks
    +1059
    43-31 in Last 74 COL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    This is completely a gut feeling and I can't back this up with any relevant statistical data but wow this feels like a trap in a getaway game for the Phils. Ranger Suarez has been amazing but he is not Sandy Koufax. Go look at what Cal Quantrill has been doing for the Rockies of late. At this price why not.

    Pick Made: Sun 6:01 am UTC
    May 26 2024, 6:10 pm UTC
    League
    Baltimore
    4
    @ Chi. White Sox
    1
    +1813.25
    180-108-1 in Last 289 MLB Picks
    +673.25
    73-48 in Last 121 MLB ML Picks
    +1713.5
    50-21 in Last 71 BAL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    It is Sox ace Garrett Crochet on the mound, but it's also arguably Baltimore's best pitcher in Kyle Bradish. And that Chicago lineup after the first three of Tommy Pham, Andrew Vaughn and Gavin Sheets -- and not like that's murderers' row -- is truly comedic. Ovaltine-like. Gold Jerry, gold. If Bradish were set at O/U 2.5 ER instead of 1.5 I'd probably play that instead.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:54 pm UTC