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Matt Severance
Matt Severance
Severance Pays
Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. He believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
LAST 85 NBA ML PICKS
+1316
Record: 57-28
# 2 nba Expert
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St. Louis @ Colorado | 05/18 | 2:00 AM UTC

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ANALYSIS: Presidents' Trophy-winning Avalanche open series vs. Blues. ... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

+2889 141-83 IN LAST 224 NHL PICKS
+200 3-1 IN LAST 4 COL ML PICKS

L.A. Lakers 110 @ New Orleans 98 | 05/17 | 1:00 AM UTC

L.A. Lakers -275

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Lakers still have a shot at avoiding the play-in tournament, but they need to win this game and have Portland lose at home to Denver. Both games tip off at 9 p.m. ET so unless the Blazers are blowing out the Nuggets early, Los Angeles should keep all its key guys out there against a Pelicans team with squat to play for and without most key players.

+1316 57-28 IN LAST 85 NBA ML PICKS
+138 3-1 IN LAST 4 NO ML PICKS
+117 3-1 IN LAST 4 LAL ML PICKS

L.A. Clippers 112 @ Oklahoma City 117 | 05/17 | 1:00 AM UTC

Oklahoma City +9

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Clippers are basically mailing this one in by sitting most of their key players, including Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. The guys who are playing (Patrick Beverley, etc., are not expected to be out there long). Oklahoma City is god awful but the guys should play hard in the season finale and be able to cover.

+1070 82-53 IN LAST 135 NBA PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 LAC ATS PICKS
+80 3-2 IN LAST 5 OKC ATS PICKS

Denver 116 @ Portland 132 | 05/17 | 1:00 AM UTC

Denver +9

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Portland needs this to avoid the play-in tournament, while it behooves Denver to lose and allow itself to slip to No. 4 in the West and avoid the Los Angeles Lakers (presuming they win in New Orleans; if that happens and the Blazers lose here, L.A. would be the No. 6 seed) in the first round of the playoffs. I was all set to take Portland at -9 but Denver coach Michael Malone says no players will be rested. I still think the Blazers win but that spread is way too big if Malone is to be trusted.

+1070 82-53 IN LAST 135 NBA PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 POR ATS PICKS

Miami 120 @ Detroit 107 | 05/17 | 12:00 AM UTC

Detroit +170

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Miami is locked into its playoff seeding and thus is resting just about everyone of note in the second of a back-to-back other than Duncan Robinson and Tyler Herro -- and I doubt they play too long. Detroit is terrible but since it's the home finale, we think the outright upset is very possible.

+1316 57-28 IN LAST 85 NBA ML PICKS