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Matt Severance
Matt Severance
Severance Pays
Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past two college basketball seasons, Matt is 391-286 (plus $2,714). Over the past two NHL seasons, he is up $1,855. Matt also went 213-159 (plus $868) in the NBA last season, 409-310 (plus $948) in MLB and 101-86 (plus $364) in the 2021 college football season. He believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS
+400
Record: 4-0-1
# 4 nfl Expert
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Matt's Picks (2 Live)
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NFL | Chicago @ N.Y. Giants | 10/02 | 5:00 PM UTC

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ANALYSIS: There likely will be little offense in Bears at Giants. ... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

+340 7-3-1 IN LAST 11 NFL PICKS

NFL | Washington @ Dallas | 10/02 | 5:00 PM UTC

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ANALYSIS: The Cowboys host the Commanders on Sunday. ... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

+340 7-3-1 IN LAST 11 NFL PICKS
+47 2-1 IN LAST 3 DAL ML PICKS

CFB | Troy 34 @ W. Kentucky 27 | 10/01 | 11:00 PM UTC

W. Kentucky -210

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I am very confident Western Kentucky wins at home but on the fence about covering 5 points, so here we are with the ML. Troy comes off back-to-back very tough games in Sun Belt action against Marshall and App State, while WKU had a breeze last week vs. FIU, and the Tops have swept every two-game homestand they have had since 2019 -- this is the finale of one. WKU always finds stellar QBs, and the latest is West Florida transfer Austin Reed, who is second nationally in points responsible for with 102. WKU has scored 30 points or more in 18 straight games, easily the longest such streak in the country. Just don't think Troy can keep up on that side of the ball but this way don't worry about a backdoor cover.

+664 20-11-1 IN LAST 32 CFB PICKS

CFB | Michigan 27 @ Iowa 14 | 10/01 | 4:00 PM UTC

Iowa +11

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Right now for about the only time in my life, I wished I lived in Iowa instead of southwest Florida. I'll take Children of the Corn over Ian seven days a week and twice on Sunday. Yes, Michigan obliterated the Hawkeyes in last year's Big Ten title game, but I don't think this Wolverines team is nearly as good as we saw last week when it was pushed at home by Maryland. UM rarely plays well in Iowa City and the one thing the Hawkeyes can do is stop the run. Now that this is 11, I'll go. Frankly, the only model I can find that has Michigan winning by more than 10 is SL's. Iowa is 5-1 in its past six home games against AP top-5 opponents. Not calling for the upset but it wouldn't completely shock me.

+664 20-11-1 IN LAST 32 CFB PICKS
+80 3-2 IN LAST 5 IOWA ATS PICKS

CFB | South Alabama 20 @ Louisiana 17 | 10/01 | 9:00 PM UTC

Louisiana +9

WIN

ANALYSIS: My apologies if got an alert, the writeup was to take the points, not give them and I had it backward on the pick section. Wow this spread seems way off. Granted, Louisiana isn't what it was under Billy Napier and had a 16-game winning streak against Sun Belt West opponents snapped last week but getting 9 at home? USA is 0-5 all-time at Cajun Field, including a 38-10 loss in 2020. UL has won both home games fairly easily so far and it's homecoming. South Alabama is 2-6 ATS in its past eight away.

+664 20-11-1 IN LAST 32 CFB PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 UL ATS PICKS