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Matt Severance

Severance Pays

Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past four NBA seasons, Matt has returned a whopping $6,634 to $100 bettors. That includes finishing 217-130-1 (plus $2,182) in the 2024-25 NBA season. Over the past four MLB seasons, Matt is up $1,681. And over the past five college basketball seasons, Matt is up $1,008. He also has excelled in two straight NFL seasons, returning $2,010 to $100 players, and is coming off an outstanding NHL season in which he went 235-155-21 (plus $2,022). Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@jordanpaytonsn1
LAST 7 NFL PICKS
+489
RECORD: 6-1-0
+489
6-1 IN LAST 7 NFL PICKS

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Matt's Picks (4 Live)

Jan 15 2026, 7:45 pm UTC
League
AC Milan
@ Como
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+14
7-7 in Last 14 SERI Picks
Analysis:

Como is on a nine-game unbeaten run at home. ...

Pick Made: Wed 10:09 pm UTC on BetRivers
Jan 16 2026, 12:00 am UTC
League
Philadelphia
@ Pittsburgh
Money LineSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+925.5
16-6 in Last 22 NHL ML Picks
+435.5
25-15 in Last 40 PHI ML Picks
Analysis:

It's the Battle of Pennsylvania. ...

Pick Made: 2:02 am UTC on BetMGM
Jan 17 2026, 9:30 pm UTC
League
Buffalo
@ Denver
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+489
6-1 in Last 7 NFL Picks
+126
3-2 in Last 5 NFL ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Broncos are a rare No. 1 seed underdog. ...

Pick Made: Tue 4:34 pm UTC on FanDuel
Jan 20 2026, 12:30 am UTC
League
Miami (Fla.)
@ Indiana
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1316
69-43-1 in Last 113 NCAAF Picks
+895
33-21-1 in Last 55 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

Expect few points in Indiana-Miami. ...

Pick Made: Sun 6:22 pm UTC on FanDuel
Matt's Past Picks
Jan 15 2026, 4:00 am UTC
League
Duke
71
@ California
56
+21
10-9 in Last 19 NCAAB Picks
+11
4-4 in Last 8 NCAAB ATS Picks
Analysis:

It really aggravates me when teams don't foul in the final seconds up 3. Not doing so just hosed us on Boston U at end of regulation. That is coaching malpractice, and I coached basketball. Granted, 8-10-year-olds but still. Never too soon to teach the right things to do at the end of games. That was decidedly not right. Obviously Duke should win easily here but a tricky spot across country and other than at Army(?) Duke has not covered this number or really close to doing so away. Cal owns a home win over UCLA but also lost by 20 to Louisville. Home game of the year for the Bears.

Pick Made: 1:15 am UTC on BetMGM
Jan 15 2026, 2:30 am UTC
League
Denver
118
@ Dallas
109
+346.5
9-5 in Last 14 NBA Picks
+321.5
7-4 in Last 11 NBA ML Picks
+697
25-9 in Last 34 DEN ML Picks
Analysis:

Seems like a bit of a punt game for Denver in the second of a back-to-back and with half the roster either out or questionable. I'm tired of this nonsense but may as well try and profit off it.

Pick Made: Wed 11:32 pm UTC on DraftKings
Jan 15 2026, 12:30 am UTC
League
Philadelphia
2
@ Buffalo
5
+925.5
16-6 in Last 22 NHL ML Picks
+435.5
25-15 in Last 40 PHI ML Picks
Analysis:

Buffalo did lose last time out but still has only two defeats in the past 15. Expected starter Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is 7-1-0 with a .924 save percentage and 2.11 goals-against average on home ice this season. The Flyers enter on a three-game skid. Buffalo has beaten Philly three straight times on home ice.

Pick Made: Wed 8:05 pm UTC on BetMGM
Jan 15 2026, 12:00 am UTC
League
SC Upstate
86
@ Charleston So.
81
+101
8-6 in Last 14 NCAAB ML Picks
Analysis:

This number seems off to me, so I hope all the main Charleston Southern guys are playing -- they did last time out. KenPom ranks the Buccaneers 73 spots higher for this OVC-Big South matchup. They are 7-1 at home. Charleston Southern is among the national leaders in 3-point defense at 29.2% and is outrebounding foes by 9.1 per game, while USC Upstate is being outrebounded slightly.

Pick Made: Wed 1:43 pm UTC on BetRivers
Jan 15 2026, 12:00 am UTC
League
Toronto
115
@ Indiana
101
+346.5
9-5 in Last 14 NBA Picks
+321.5
7-4 in Last 11 NBA ML Picks
+422
22-12 in Last 34 IND ML Picks
Analysis:

Toronto is severely short-handed with the likes of RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, Jakob Poeltl (all starters) and others sitting. Indiana has won three in a row and cashed for us the other night vs. Boston.

Pick Made: Wed 11:11 pm UTC on bet365
Jan 14 2026, 11:00 pm UTC
League
Lehigh
93
@ Boston U.
91
+101
8-6 in Last 14 NCAAB ML Picks
+335
5-1 in Last 6 BU ML Picks
Analysis:

Always nice when you can stop at the first game of the night because you decently like it. KenPom has Boston U ranked 49 spots higher for this Patriot League matchup. The Terriers have reached triple-digit points multiple times in one season for the first time since the 1979-80 campaign. They swept this series last season. Lehigh is 2-8 away. It was picked eighth in the Patriot League and BU second. Junior Michael McNair totaled 57 points last week in wins for Boston U and earned PL Player of the Week honors.

Pick Made: Wed 1:08 pm UTC on bet365
Jan 14 2026, 7:45 pm UTC
League
Lecce
0
@ Inter
1
Over/UnderUnder 3.5 -170
WIN
Unit1.0
+14
7-7 in Last 14 SERI Picks
Analysis:

Inter Milan may top this itself like Bayern Munich did the other day, but Lecce has scored the fewest goals in Serie A with 13 and Inter has allowed among the fewest with 17. 3-0 works. Lecce hasn't had a match with more than four total goals scored since Oct. 25. Available on Paramount+.

Pick Made: Wed 1:00 pm UTC on Caesars
Jan 14 2026, 3:30 am UTC
League
Atlanta
116
@ L.A. Lakers
141
+346.5
9-5 in Last 14 NBA Picks
+321.5
7-4 in Last 11 NBA ML Picks
+568
36-15 in Last 51 LAL ML Picks
Analysis:

This is the current number with now Luka Doncic set to play (Hawks were around -3) -- and LeBron will play, too. I don't love backing the Lakers in the second of a B2B but they looked so bad Sunday at the Kings that I think we get a good effort. And Atlanta is rather short-handed in the frontcourt due to injury led by the Unicorn being out.

Pick Made: Wed 3:01 am UTC on BetMGM
Jan 14 2026, 2:00 am UTC
League
Alabama
97
@ Miss. St.
82
+21
10-9 in Last 19 NCAAB Picks
+11
4-4 in Last 8 NCAAB ATS Picks
Analysis:

Alabama has lost two straight and is down to eight scholarship players tonight with Latrell Wrightsell, Taylor Bol Bowen and Keitenn Bristow all out. The Tide are 2-5 ATS in their past seven. MSU is fully healthy. The best player on the floor should be MSU's Josh Hubbard, who ranks among the SEC's top 15 in four categories: points per game (22.81– 1st), three-point field goals made (2.94 – 5th), three-point field goal percentage (34.6 – 9th) and assists per game (3.81 – tied for 11th).

Pick Made: Wed 12:56 am UTC on Caesars
Jan 14 2026, 1:00 am UTC
League
Minnesota
139
@ Milwaukee
106
+346.5
9-5 in Last 14 NBA Picks
+321.5
7-4 in Last 11 NBA ML Picks
+1463
30-8 in Last 38 MIL ML Picks
Analysis:

I am fully prepared for Giannis to now sit out Tuesday as I've said I won't play NBA games too early. But this seems like a really fair price considering Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert are both sitting for the Wolves to start a trip. Edwards for rest and RG due to suspension. Also a third game in four nights for Minnesota. The Bucks are among NBA leaders in 3-point shooting at 39.5%, which would be a franchise record.

Pick Made: Tue 3:02 am UTC on bet365
Jan 14 2026, 12:00 am UTC
League
Dayton
71
@ Duquesne
65
+21
10-9 in Last 19 NCAAB Picks
+11
4-4 in Last 8 NCAAB ATS Picks
Analysis:

Dayton is without two forwards in Amaël L'Etang (12.8 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 1.2 BPG) and Malcolm Thomas (5.0 PPG) as well as guard Jordan Derkack (8.1 PPG, 4.3 RPG, team-best 3.1 APG). Duquesne welcomes back star John Hughley IV (15.4 PPG, 5.6 RPG) for the first time since Dec. 10 due to injury.

Pick Made: Tue 11:20 pm UTC on bet365
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