Capitalize on the discount price here...

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This is a bit of a chalky price but there's still some relative value on Brito, a once fast-rising prospect whose 7-1 UFC start included a debut win over future title contender Diego Lopes. Brito saw his momentum halted with back-to-back losses and is looking to get back on track. He has an edge in overall skillset against Leavitt, who is a journeyman-plus with a 6-3 UFC record. He is a tricky grappler who can surprise unprepared opponents, but Brito is the level of fighter against whom he usually comes up short.

Although Muhammad is 10 years older than the rising prospect Bonfim, I think Muhammad has more paths to victory. Muhammad has been facing elite competition for the last five years. He uses his pressure boxing style to set up his grinding wrestling attack, which can break his opponents down. Bonfim is an explosive striker who will have a speed advantage early with his kicks and knees. He is also a dangerous Ju-Jitsu player, with a nasty squeeze on his front chokes. Bonfim sports a shiny 19-1 pro record, but his lone loss came against Nicolas Dalby, a fighter known for his work rate and gritty style. Muhammad’s cardio, durability, and experience will help him take over this fight if it gets into the later rounds.

Allen's elite grappling, pressure striking and high-level experience make him a tough matchup. He should be looking to close the distance and take this fight to the floor, where Shahbazyan has had his struggles. Shahbazyan is a powerful kickboxer with six knockout wins in the UFC. His head kicks, hooks and vicious knees make him live for the knockout against any middleweight opponent. Shahbazyan is still just 28 years old and has continued to improve, but I still don't think his grappling defense will be up to par. If Shahbazyan doesn’t land big damage early in this fight, I see him being taken down and overwhelmed by Allen’s grappling.

Mitchell was slated to face bantamweight veteran Victor Henry, but will now fight Luna who steps in on short notice. Mitchell won his first fight after moving down to the 135-pound division, which may be the proper weight class for him. Luna is an exciting 8-0 prospect with great potential at just 21 years old. Luna’s game is aggressive, with knockout power in his hooks and grappling skills to boot. I expect Luna to find success in the UFC, but this is a tough veteran test for him. Mitchell has faced title contenders and champions in his career, and has a very high-level grappling game. Mitchell is 9-3 in the UFC, and will use his experience to pick up the win.

This line has moved towards Gabriel Bonfim over the last 48 hours and it makes sense. Bonfirm is 19-1, a strong finisher, and Belal Muhammad has lost two straight fights. However, I'm still backing the veteran at -110. This fight is at the Apex where the smaller octagon favors Muhammad, who is an elite grappler. Bonfirm's path to victory is to keep his distance and hurt Muhammad with kicks and strikes. The problem is Muhammad is a pro at controlling his opponents in clinches and wearing them down against the cage. Bonfirm has shown a tendency to tire after the first couple of rounds, while Muhammad is known for his stamina. I expect the veteran to grind out a decision win in the main event.

The southpaw Chelsea Chandler is two years younger and has a three-inch reach edge on Priscila Cachoeira for Saturday's bout from Vegas. The underdog is the bigger hitter but also gets hit a lot: Cachoeira absorbs a whopping 7.60 significant strikes per minute for a significant strikes differential of -3.17. Chandler has a differential there of –0.89 but is the far superior grappler.

This is a battle between longtime strawweight veterans. Xiong was the champion in the ONE championship fight promotion, sporting an impressive seven title defenses on her polished 19-2 pro record. Following a three-year layoff, ong returned to MMA and picked up a win in Xi 2025. Still, I wonder if she'll be ready for a matchup against a tough opponent like Hill. At 41 years old, Hill doesn't seem to be slowing down much. Her recent losses came against rising strawweight talents, and she's remained competitive even when outmatched. Hill's volume, pressure and hard-nosed style make her a tough out against anybody. She has been much more active than Xiong and has fought against tougher competition, so I'll take a shot on Hill as the underdog.

Henrique is a big fighter for the welterweight division, standing 6-foot-3 with a 79-inch reach, but he is still just 8-1 in his MMA career and hasn't fought since 2024. Ding is 35-9, so he will have a significant experience advantage. Ding's grappling defense needs work, but Henrique isn't looking to submit his opponents. This should give Deng the confidence to stand and trade. Henrique might be the more dangerous fighter early on, but I lean towards Ding for his experience and durability.