B365 at -110. Derrick Henry cleared this line in 14 of 19 total games last season, including twice against the Bills. The Bills return an uninspiring rush defense that allowed 4.6 yards per rush last season (22nd). With Keaton Mitchell a healthy scratch, it should be all systems go for Henry - I have the bulldozer clearing 90 rush yards with ease.

The Ravens got better defensively since last season, especially via their top two draft picks, and their offense should continue humming with a healthy Keaton Mitchell providing an explosive spark. This should be a thriller, but I'll back the regular-season juggernaut in a revenge spot. John Harbaugh is excellent in season openers as well.

When these teams met in Week 4 last season, they played to a final score of 35-10 despite combining for 663 total yards. The Ravens secondary should be much improved with the additions of veteran CB Jaire Alexander, and promising rookie FS Malaki Starks. This Bills defense is also very good when healthy, and I expect these teams to play each other close in Week 1. I’ll play the Under while it still sits above 50.

Derrick Henry was a TD machine last season, scoring in 14/19 games last year (73.6% clip). At -150 odds, Henry to score has clear value. This may be the best line you can get on Henry TD for a while if he finds the end zone tonight.

Ravens RB Derrick Henry destroyed the Bills last season, racking up 283 total rushing yards & 2 TD’s on 40 carries in two games against them. I’m expecting the Ravens to lead with their ground attack, and look to control the tempo on the road in a hostile environment. The Ravens were 31st in pace of play last season, behind their slow and measured run game. Henry had 80+ rushing yards in 14/19 games that he played in last season. I’ll back him to go over this rushing yards total to start the year.

The Ravens being my Super Bowl favorite out of the AFC entering the season basically requires I pick them in this spot, but the Bills' ailing secondary and John Harbaugh's ability to get his team prepared in Week 1 only boost that confidence. Baltimore must be salavating at the idea of exorcising the demons of Orchard Park, where their 2024 season came to a close, and Derrick Henry is such a clock-churning difference maker that he allows the Ravens to grind out wins against high-powered opponents.

I'm a sucker for revenge...and playoff revenge is a dish best served cold (or warm in September?) in Western, NY. The Bills defense concerns me as they've been dealing with some injuries on the back end for an unsettled secondary. Yes, the Bills offense is as dynamic as you'll find playing at home but this Ravens defense will be up for the task. Give me the rare road favorite on SNF to start the season with a W

This seems a nice price for Derrick Henry after his 19 rushing scores last season, including playoffs. He scored in both Buffalo matchups and in 15 of the 19 total Baltimore games. Lamar Jackson isn't really vulturing goal-line TDs these days. Pretty sure the Ravens won't be kept from the end zone all night.

For awhile, this shaped up as possibly the only opportunity all year to snare the Ravens with points. Then the line flipped — to where it should have been all along. Coach John Harbaugh is 12-5 SU in openers, with the only recent defeat against the dynastic Chiefs in 2023. Whereas Buffalo narrowly won their playoff matchup, Baltimore manhandled the Bills in the regular season. The Ravens, despite their run of success, forever seem to improve in the offseason, this time adding WR DeAndre Hopkins and CB Jaire Alexander. Buffalo already has a beat-up secondary and was just forced to sign a PK as insurance for ailing incumbent Tyler Bass.

I'm big on Keon Coleman for the season, but this week is a tough matchup for him against a deep and aggressive Ravens secondary. He's also been limited in practice. If he plays, I suspect he won't get targeted on a lot of downfield routes and when he does he might struggle to win in man coverage. I think he can catch a bunch of passes well under this, but not over. Worth a sprinkle.

James Cook scored twice and ran for 85 yards on just 13 carries in the playoff game. He will have success again. I'm not going to buy into a league leader in rushing TDs just dropping his production by 75%. As long as Josh Allen is there as a threat, and doesn't take it himself, Cook will find easy lanes to score.

Derrick Henry hit this over on his first touch in Week 4 vs Buffalo. He also went over in the playoff game despite only having 16 carries in a bad weather game. Do not worry at all about age and decline with Henry. I've dusted off old physics textbooks and have done the math that not only has Henry dished out more force than he's ever taken from virtually every tackle, his running style, specifically his tactic of turning his back to the tackler, ends up evenly spreading out the force of the hit evenly across his body on the part of the body that hurts the least.

I still can't believe you can get a 1.5 pass TD over for Lamar Jackson after his 41 TDs last season and the 17 he had in the final 8 games he played in 2023. In a few weeks, Lamar will start getting priced like the potential pass TD leader he has been since 2019. He was 14-5 in all games last season over this line. He is projected for 1.9.

This line is down to a pick 'em at some books with a push toward the Ravens, and while I get it after they statistically dominated last year's two matchups, I'm going to play the Bills at home against anyone if I don't have lay points or get better than -110 on the money line. The Bills have their weaknesses, particularly at safety, but the Ravens aren't perfect either -- their guard pairing needs to prove itself, and I don't think the rush defense will be as good this year. Give me the home team at this number.

This line is not YES Catch a 2pt Conversion to Send the Game to OT in Icy Playoff Conditions in Buffalo. It is a simple ATD as TE1 as Lamar Jackson's favorite target. Jackson is also notorious for trying to get the ball to certain players when they are getting grief. In his 2019 MVP season he made it a point to get the ball to Seth Roberts since he hadn't had a TD yet that season. Heck, even last season Jackson was angry that so many thought Mark Andrews was 'washed' and he made it a point to get the ball to Andrews. With Isaiah Likely probably out in Week 1, look for Andrew to start the season with a bang.

The Bills won't lose many games this season but I won't be surprised if they start 0-1. While both teams are serious Super Bowl contenders, I have the Ravens atop of my power rankings entering the season. I make Baltimore a slight favorite in this matchup and believe the line will flip closer to kickoff. I also like how the Ravens lost at Buffalo in last year's playoffs and sat with it all offseason. Now they get the rematch in Week 1. I'll back Baltimore on the road to pull the mild upset.