The Lions receiving room could look very different tonight in primetime and that creates unique opportunities for unfamiliar faces. ...

The Jets are a defense first team and the strength of this team starts in the back end. However things get a little more complicated when you lose a Vezina goaltender and are asking depth pieces to pick up the slack. Unfortunately for WPG they don't have the firepower to play track meets so the structure remains the same. Meanwhile for Buffalo they should get Josh Norris back up front which gives them more pop but they've shown better underlying metrics of late on the defensive end. My total on this game is 5.5 O -120 so while we don't have a massive edge at 6 (even) there's still enough to make a bet.

I liked what I saw last week from Cam Ward and the Titans offense against one of the league's best defenses. There was purpose and more importantly a semblance of balance that should pay dividends this week. Jacksonville finds themselves on the road again this week after a hard fought OT win with a game against division leading Indianapolis looming. Look betting the Titans is rarely fun but if they can stop the run and turn the Jags into a 1 dimensional outfit the home dog is very live in Nashville.

Both of these teams limp into the holiday dealing with a rash of injuries. Toronto is expected to be down Matthew Knies and Auston Matthews yet again (just to name a few) meanwhile Columbus is banged up as well with top scorer Kiril Marchenko joining Boone Jenner among those expected to miss time. Zach Werenski is listed as a true game time decision but by the time his status is confirmed this total could be 6 flat. Accounting for those absences and defensive form for Toronto trending up I make this total 6 under -115 meaning 6.5 is no doubt worth a wager.

Look, this season hasn't gone the way that Chubba Hubbard expected dealing with injury and then losing his job to Rico Dowdle. However we're starting to see some tread on Dowdle's tires and there appears to be a path for Hubbard to get back in the mix. Over his last 5 games he's had a rushing floor of 14 yards and being given touches to spell RB1. If that trend continues today I think he's got an excellent chance to get to 20+ so it's worth a small bet in Santa Clara

Don't look now but the Eagles defense has held two good offenses in check the last two weeks limiting the Packers to 10 points and the Lions to just 9. However there's noise in those figures when you consider the game at Lambeau was played in frigid conditions and last Sunday they faced the Lions in gale force winds. In steps a Cowboys offense playing at elite level and they'll challenge not only the Eagles stop unit but an offense that's struggled to find consistency. I know it's not the best of the number but there's still a bet to made here with Dallas at home catching the 3.

I don't see Mason Rudolph as a downgrade from Aaron Rodgers at this point in their respective careers. The Bears have lived a charmed life so far and the schedule is about to get a lot more difficult for them going forward (hopefully starting this week). Add in a cluster injury situation at LB for Chicago and asking the Bears to win a game by more than a field goal feels like a tight spot. We'll take the dog and hope Mason has success against this Bears' stop unit

Minnesota was as leaky as any team in the league to start the season and couldn't come up with a timely save; that has since changed and they're returning to their defensive structure. The Wild are also down a few offensive pieces in Hartman, Tarasenko, and Rossi that limit their offensive upside forcing the team to play low event games. The Pens are the surprise of the league thus far and that's largely because of the solid goaltending they've had from a trio of guys. My total on this game is more in the 5.5 over -20 range so under at 6 even is a bet worth making.

Utah and Vegas are both beginning to find their footing on the defensive side of the ice but are parlaying it into different results. Utah has now lost three straight games with a scoreline of 3-2 and is showing a commitment to team defense with their current offensive form. Vegas has the best expected goals against league wide over their last five games and some slight tweaks on the blue line has helped insulate erratic goaltending. Current market is well over my projection for the game so like we often do we'll be rooting for low event hockey from SLC.

We know CJ Stroud is out against the Titans; we don't know if CJ Stroud will be back on a short week against Buffalo. The Bills are about to play in a weather game against the Bucs that will impact offensive perception on a short week. If Stroud does clear protocol and play vs the Bills we have a good bet...if he isn't able to go and misses his third straight game we have a great bet. Jump on this lookahead early as I expect the total re-opens in the 42 range

Columbus may be weary with travel coming into this game making the tilt against the Leafs their 3rd in 4 nights but I don't come anywhere near this price. Toronto is down 2 of its top 3 offensive threats in Auston Matthews and Matthew Knies and that's before we look at a blue line down a top defender in Chris Tanev. Yes, Joseph Woll has stabilized the goaltending position but I actually make the Jackets -117 in this spot so I'm not waiting to take this price.

Don't look now but here comes Blake Corum and an increased snap share for the Rams in recent weeks. However there's real noise in the numbers as his workload is inflated given the positive game state and lopsided contests we've seen. I expect him to spell Kyren Williams this week for stretches but when push comes to shove it's Williams' backfield. That's even before we factor in one of the league's best run defenses and it's the perfect opportunity to sell high on the Rams RB2

The Jags were bad last week; 26-0 4th quarter against them not withstanding the team struggled to get anything going offensively against the tenacious Texans front. The Chargers defense isn't cut from the same cloth and I fully expect their leaky run defense to be a problem against this Jags attack. Also keep in mind before last week's results this number was 1.5 throughout the market so we'll buy the dog on the dip at a full field goal tag.

Treyveon Henderson is an explosive speed merchant and last week we saw that burst on full display when he got to the 2nd level against the Bucs. His big play potential can't be denied but Mike Vrabel doesn't always see him as a heavy volume option in the backfield. This is a short week against a bad run defense; there will be opportunities for other backs to get touches as well. Henderson might have a few big carries but he'll need to do it with a lesser workload than odds makers believe.

Green Bay was embarrassed last time out; losing outright to the Panthers as a double digit favorite. These same Eagles they're playing tonight ended their season last year as well so there are few motivating factors aligning with the home team. Yes, GB is dealing with cluster injuries at the WR position and are not the model of healthy but in my opinion that's more than reflected in the current price. Philly continues to get support in the market and with the price dipping to a PK I'm going to buy low on the more desperate side and expect Matt Lafleur to raise his game in the coaching box as well given what's at stake.