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Matt Severance

Severance Pays

Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past four NBA seasons, Matt has returned a whopping $6,634 to $100 bettors. That includes finishing 217-130-1 (plus $2,182) in the 2024-25 NBA season. Over the past four MLB seasons, Matt is up $1,681. And over the past five college basketball seasons, Matt is up $1,008. He also has excelled in two straight NFL seasons, returning $2,010 to $100 players, and is coming off an outstanding NHL season in which he went 235-155-21 (plus $2,022). Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@jordanpaytonsn1
LAST 19 NFL ML PICKS
+88.5
RECORD: 12-7-0
+88.5
12-7 IN LAST 19 NFL ML PICKS

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Matt's Picks (9 Live)

Dec 13 2025, 11:00 pm UTC
League
S. Illinois
@ Richmond
Money LineSubscribers Only
Unit2.0
+50
3-1 in Last 4 SILL ML Picks
Analysis:

The Spiders are 6-0 at home this season. ...

Pick Made: Dec 13, 10:19 pm UTC on bet365
Dec 14 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Edmonton
@ Toronto
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1255
24-8-5 in Last 37 NHL ATS Picks
+257.5
8-5-3 in Last 16 TOR ATS Picks
Analysis:

Is the wrong team favored in Toronto? ...

Pick Made: Dec 13, 10:11 am UTC on BetRivers
Dec 14 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Montreal
@ N.Y. Rangers
Money LineSubscribers Only
Unit0.5
+714.5
28-16-5 in Last 49 NHL Picks
+294.5
50-34 in Last 84 NYR ML Picks
Analysis:

Is Jacob Fowler for real? ...

Pick Made: Dec 13, 10:34 pm UTC on bet365
Dec 14 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
Calgary
@ Los Angeles
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1255
24-8-5 in Last 37 NHL ATS Picks
+462
8-3-1 in Last 12 LA ATS Picks
Analysis:

Dustin Wolf is 3-8-0 away with a 4.05 GAA. ...

Pick Made: Dec 13, 10:55 pm UTC on BetRivers
Dec 14 2025, 6:00 pm UTC
League
Cleveland
@ Chicago
Over/UnderSubscribers Only
Unit0.5
Analysis:

It will be bitterly cold in Chicago on Sunday. ...

Pick Made: Dec 11, 10:57 pm UTC on bet365
Dec 14 2025, 9:25 pm UTC
League
Indianapolis
@ Seattle
Away Team TotalSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
Analysis:

Philip Rivers returns for the Colts. ...

Pick Made: Dec 13, 7:05 pm UTC on Caesars
Dec 16 2025, 1:15 am UTC
League
Miami
@ Pittsburgh
Money LineSubscribers Only
Unit2.0
+88.5
12-7 in Last 19 NFL ML Picks
+41.5
6-4 in Last 10 PIT ML Picks
Analysis:

Pittsburgh has won 22 straight MNF home games. ...

Pick Made: Dec 11, 3:39 pm UTC on DraftKings
Dec 20 2025, 5:00 pm UTC
League
Miami (Fla.)
@ Texas A&M
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1135.5
61-38-1 in Last 100 NCAAF Picks
+1048
31-17-1 in Last 49 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

Is the wrong team favored? ...

Pick Made: Dec 13, 6:04 pm UTC on Caesars
Dec 31 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Michigan
@ Texas
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1135.5
61-38-1 in Last 100 NCAAF Picks
+1048
31-17-1 in Last 49 NCAAF ATS Picks
+450
5-0 in Last 5 TEXAS ATS Picks
Analysis:

Will Bryce Underwood play for Michigan? ...

Pick Made: Dec 11, 6:18 pm UTC on DraftKings
Matt's Past Picks
Dec 13 2025, 8:05 pm UTC
League
Toulouse
3
@ Paris FC
0
SpreadParis FC +0.25 -159
LOSS
Unit1.0
+291
5-1 in Last 6 FRAN ATS Picks
Analysis:

So I'll just be honest here. All of our other books have Toulouse getting the +, but BetRivers is an outlier. And that's something I always like to do. I get it, it's a marketing ploy to be different. And as you can see, it's a bit juiced so it may not be there much longer. But I also think a gift. I have no interest without the +. Sometimes you have to pick at near 6 a.m. to get the right numbers with the Andy Griffith Show in the background. I don't much like that show but it sure seems to be on a lot at 6 a.m. ET. I usually just waited for to end so I could see Jeannie next.

Pick Made: Dec 13, 11:02 am UTC on BetRivers
Dec 13 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Kansas St.
83
@ Creighton
76
+72
5-2 in Last 7 CREIGH ML Picks
Analysis:

Again, I don't really care what other people do but was about to post this and I see Thomas Casale is on the Jays. That definitely makes me feel better as there is no better college hoops capper in the country. So I just doomed you bro. But now I'm gonna up the wager -- and can blame him if goes south like I do Buckets for the Friday Bunda loss:) I make my own choices. Go big or go home. Also, my wife is really getting expensive Xmas tastes that are way above my paygrade. What's a Prada? I'm happy with a Slim Jim.

Pick Made: Dec 13, 10:22 am UTC on BetMGM
Dec 13 2025, 5:30 pm UTC
League
Fulham
3
@ Burnley
2
SpreadBurnley +0.5 -111
LOSS
Unit1.0
+263
7-4-1 in Last 12 EPL ATS Picks
Analysis:

Fulham and Burnley. Am I the only one getting John Grisham "the Firm" vibes? Next on Fulham and Burnley ... Rizzoli & Isles crossover (kill me). If Burnley has any shot of avoiding relegation, and it doesn't have a great one priced -1000 to be sent to the showers (or the Championship), it must get 3 points here. And I don't even care. One is fine. And frankly I like the visiting Cottagers' nickname so much (why are American teams so lame in that regard? Cougars? Meh) that now I don't want them to lose. #drawpays

Pick Made: Dec 12, 2:14 pm UTC on bet365
Dec 13 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
Minnesota
127
@ Golden St.
120
+502.5
20-15 in Last 35 NBA ML Picks
+344
23-14 in Last 37 MIN ML Picks
Analysis:

I'm gonna take a shot here. Again, the NBA lines are so backward right now that I want to take any reasonable ones. Anthony Edwards is iffy for Minny. If he sits, then I believe this for sure cashes. It may anyways with Steph Curry back for the Dubs, although Draymond Green being out is not ideal. I always enjoy seeing him and Rudy Gobert just ready to rumble. I don't know why but rumble has been in my vocab of late. Half-unit that certainly goes to full if Ant out. But obviously we won't get -120.

Pick Made: Dec 12, 2:46 pm UTC on FanDuel
Dec 13 2025, 2:00 am UTC
League
Seattle
3
@ Utah
5
+1255
24-8-5 in Last 37 NHL ATS Picks
+401
7-2-3 in Last 12 UTA ATS Picks
Analysis:

I would crush Under 6.5 if offered, but I'd also crush a grape Kool-Aid right now. Oddly sounds refreshing. I don't think I've had KA in 30 years, not sure why it's in my dome. But you better believe it's in my Amazon cart right now. Along with Laffy Taffy. Pretty sure I will need to see the dentist. The Kraken can't score as it is and one of their top forwards, Jared McCann, is in doubt. I often like to back teams ahead of a long road trip because that final game at home takes on a bit more significance and that's where the Mammoth are. Not playing great otherwise. Probably pushes but therein is the beauty of -1.

Pick Made: Dec 12, 1:18 pm UTC on BetRivers
Dec 13 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
ETSU
75
@ Austin Peay
76
Analysis:

I am kinda putzing along in college hoops. One step forward, 1.5 back. Honestly feels like the lines are just gross -- similar to NBA. Perhaps I am just getting particular, but I also don't really take college basketball too seriously until full conference play starts. This is not a conference game but the number seems a bit off to me short of a "Let's Go Peay" injury that I'm not aware of. I don't see anything but not a lot of Austin Peay beat writers out there. Probably should be a pick'em,. So we'll take the can't be beaten on a 3-point buzzer-beater number.

Pick Made: Dec 12, 1:55 pm UTC on FanDuel
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