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Matt Severance

Severance Pays

Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past four NBA seasons, Matt has returned a whopping $6,634 to $100 bettors. That includes finishing 217-130-1 (plus $2,182) in the 2024-25 NBA season. Over the past four MLB seasons, Matt is up $1,681. And over the past five college basketball seasons, Matt is up $1,008. He also has excelled in two straight NFL seasons, returning $2,010 to $100 players, and is coming off an outstanding NHL season in which he went 235-155-21 (plus $2,022). Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@jordanpaytonsn1
LAST 19 NFL ML PICKS
+88.5
RECORD: 12-7-0
+88.5
12-7 IN LAST 19 NFL ML PICKS

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Matt's Picks (8 Live)

Dec 14 2025, 4:30 pm UTC
League
Mainz 05
@ Bayern Munich
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
Analysis:

Is the spread too big? ...

Pick Made: 8:18 am UTC on BetRivers
Dec 14 2025, 5:30 pm UTC
League
Vancouver
@ New Jersey
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+952
24-10-5 in Last 39 NHL ATS Picks
+184.5
7-6-2 in Last 15 VAN ATS Picks
Analysis:

Elias Pettersson is out for Vancouver. ...

Pick Made: 8:10 am UTC on BetRivers
Dec 14 2025, 6:00 pm UTC
League
Cleveland
@ Chicago
Over/UnderSubscribers Only
Unit0.5
Analysis:

It will be bitterly cold in Chicago on Sunday. ...

Pick Made: Dec 11, 10:57 pm UTC on bet365
Dec 14 2025, 7:00 pm UTC
League
Indiana St.
@ Milwaukee
Money LineSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+31.5
17-12 in Last 29 NCAAB ML Picks
Analysis:

Is UW-Milwaukee undervalued? ...

Pick Made: 6:37 am UTC on DraftKings
Dec 14 2025, 9:25 pm UTC
League
Indianapolis
@ Seattle
Away Team TotalSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
Analysis:

Philip Rivers returns for the Colts. ...

Pick Made: Dec 13, 7:05 pm UTC on Caesars
Dec 16 2025, 1:15 am UTC
League
Miami
@ Pittsburgh
Money LineSubscribers Only
Unit2.0
+88.5
12-7 in Last 19 NFL ML Picks
+41.5
6-4 in Last 10 PIT ML Picks
Analysis:

Pittsburgh has won 22 straight MNF home games. ...

Pick Made: Dec 11, 3:39 pm UTC on DraftKings
Dec 20 2025, 5:00 pm UTC
League
Miami (Fla.)
@ Texas A&M
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1135.5
61-38-1 in Last 100 NCAAF Picks
+1048
31-17-1 in Last 49 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

Is the wrong team favored? ...

Pick Made: Dec 13, 6:04 pm UTC on Caesars
Dec 31 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Michigan
@ Texas
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1135.5
61-38-1 in Last 100 NCAAF Picks
+1048
31-17-1 in Last 49 NCAAF ATS Picks
+450
5-0 in Last 5 TEXAS ATS Picks
Analysis:

Will Bryce Underwood play for Michigan? ...

Pick Made: Dec 11, 6:18 pm UTC on DraftKings
Matt's Past Picks
Dec 14 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
Calgary
2
@ Los Angeles
1
+952
24-10-5 in Last 39 NHL ATS Picks
+348
8-4-1 in Last 13 LA ATS Picks
Analysis:

Calgary is playing much better of late but Dustin Wolf is 3-8-0 away with a 4.05 GAA. And he has been confirmed in net. The Kings are rested and healthy. Regulation is fine. L.A.'s Anze Kopitar has scored 10 power-play goals vs. Calgary, tied for his highest total against any one opponent. He also leads the Kings with seven points over the last two seasons in head-to-head matchups with the "I will be the Flame" -- great 80s hair band song by Cheap Trick.

Pick Made: Dec 13, 10:55 pm UTC on BetRivers
Dec 14 2025, 12:30 am UTC
League
Montreal
4
@ N.Y. Rangers
5
+461.5
29-18-5 in Last 52 NHL Picks
+344.5
51-34 in Last 85 NYR ML Picks
Analysis:

Will just do a half here because maybe Habs rookie goalie Jacob Fowler is the real deal. He got me Thursday in Pittsburgh, but I mean against Igor Shesterkin? And it's the front end of a B2B. The Rangers are not playing well but it hasn't been Shesterkin's fault as the former Vezina winner has been quite good. The books can't tell what to make of Fowler, either, as the totals are all over the place.

Pick Made: Dec 13, 10:34 pm UTC on bet365
Dec 14 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Edmonton
6
@ Toronto
3
+952
24-10-5 in Last 39 NHL ATS Picks
+68.5
8-6-3 in Last 17 TOR ATS Picks
Analysis:

The books keep pricing Edmonton like it is last year(s). I'm not saying they won't win. When you have Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, you can always win. But there is no way they should be favored in Toronto. I have been to a Maple Leafs game (back then the fans smoked like chimneys). Just a different vibe, really, really cool. I will go to a Leafs-Habs game in Montreal before I leave this earth. It's just so different up there how they care. Cannot wait for the Olympic hockey tournament (I'll be playing Canada +140 with a splash on Sweden longshot), if, you know, they actually build the arena.

Pick Made: Dec 13, 10:11 am UTC on BetRivers
Dec 13 2025, 11:00 pm UTC
League
S. Illinois
84
@ Richmond
93
+31.5
17-12 in Last 29 NCAAB ML Picks
Analysis:

There is absolutely no way I am signing off today with that awful Creighton loss. I'm getting that back. I don't consider a chase honestly and I know this is high, but I'll match it. I'm actually going 4 units off-site. I just don't think about spreads when I believe a team will win, sorry. It does not matter to me. I'll definitely be more surprised if this loses than Creighton did. The Spiders are 6-0 at home this season, equaling their win total at Robins Center from all of last year.

Pick Made: Dec 13, 10:19 pm UTC on bet365
Dec 13 2025, 8:05 pm UTC
League
Toulouse
3
@ Paris FC
0
SpreadParis FC +0.25 -159
LOSS
Unit1.0
+291
5-1 in Last 6 FRAN ATS Picks
Analysis:

So I'll just be honest here. All of our other books have Toulouse getting the +, but BetRivers is an outlier. And that's something I always like to do. I get it, it's a marketing ploy to be different. And as you can see, it's a bit juiced so it may not be there much longer. But I also think a gift. I have no interest without the +. Sometimes you have to pick at near 6 a.m. to get the right numbers with the Andy Griffith Show in the background. I don't much like that show but it sure seems to be on a lot at 6 a.m. ET. I usually just waited for to end so I could see Jeannie next.

Pick Made: Dec 13, 11:02 am UTC on BetRivers
Dec 13 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Kansas St.
83
@ Creighton
76
+31.5
17-12 in Last 29 NCAAB ML Picks
+72
5-2 in Last 7 CREIGH ML Picks
Analysis:

Again, I don't really care what other people do but was about to post this and I see Thomas Casale is on the Jays. That definitely makes me feel better as there is no better college hoops capper in the country. So I just doomed you bro. But now I'm gonna up the wager -- and can blame him if goes south like I do Buckets for the Friday Bunda loss:) I make my own choices. Go big or go home. Also, my wife is really getting expensive Xmas tastes that are way above my paygrade. What's a Prada? I'm happy with a Slim Jim.

Pick Made: Dec 13, 10:22 am UTC on BetMGM
Dec 13 2025, 5:30 pm UTC
League
Fulham
3
@ Burnley
2
SpreadBurnley +0.5 -111
LOSS
Unit1.0
+263
7-4-1 in Last 12 EPL ATS Picks
Analysis:

Fulham and Burnley. Am I the only one getting John Grisham "the Firm" vibes? Next on Fulham and Burnley ... Rizzoli & Isles crossover (kill me). If Burnley has any shot of avoiding relegation, and it doesn't have a great one priced -1000 to be sent to the showers (or the Championship), it must get 3 points here. And I don't even care. One is fine. And frankly I like the visiting Cottagers' nickname so much (why are American teams so lame in that regard? Cougars? Meh) that now I don't want them to lose. #drawpays

Pick Made: Dec 12, 2:14 pm UTC on bet365
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