loading...
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
MLB
League Logo
NHL
All
    loading...
    Avatar
    Avatar

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past four college basketball seasons, Matt is up $887. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 245 NBA PICKS
    +2316.25
    RECORD: 153-92-0
    # 3 NBA EXPERT
    +2316.25
    153-92 IN LAST 245 NBA PICKS

    Get Access To
    ALL PICKS FROM Matt & THE REST OF OUR EXPERTS

    Get Today's Winners Here
    All

    Matt's Picks (3 Live)

    Apr 25 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Florida
    @ Tampa Bay
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +572.5
    8-2 in Last 10 NHL O/U Picks
    +93.5
    10-7-4 in Last 21 TB O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    The Panthers-Lightning series shifts to Tampa for Game 3 on Thursday. ...

    Pick Made: Wed 4:25 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 11:30 pm UTC
    League
    New York
    @ Philadelphia
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +2316.25
    153-92 in Last 245 NBA Picks
    +2201
    98-46 in Last 144 NBA ML Picks
    +1932.5
    42-13 in Last 55 PHI ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Sixers face a must-win Game 3 vs. the Knicks. ...

    Pick Made: Wed 4:29 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 11:30 pm UTC
    League
    Carolina
    @ N.Y. Islanders
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1432.5
    40-19 in Last 59 NHL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Can the Islanders make it a series vs. the Hurricanes? ...

    Pick Made: 12:17 pm UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    Apr 25 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Los Angeles
    5
    @ Edmonton
    4
    +572.5
    8-2 in Last 10 NHL O/U Picks
    +927.5
    18-7-2 in Last 27 EDM O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    As you can see, FanDuel has juiced the over pretty hard but there were 11 goals scored in Game 1 so this seems like a no-brainer -- although I highly doubt we get double-digit goals again. The Oilers are simply an offensive juggernaut on home ice, while LA netminder Cam Talbot has allowed three or more goals in five of his last six games. Apparently he's likely to start again but with a short leash.

    Pick Made: Wed 3:19 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Los Angeles
    5
    @ Edmonton
    4
    +437
    24-11 in Last 35 NHL Picks
    +352
    14-4 in Last 18 EDM ML Picks
    Analysis:

    What a dominant Game 1 win for Edmonton behind five assists from Connor McDavid and a hat trick from Zach Hyman. When the Oilers are flying around like that, good luck beating them. The Kings may have to bench struggling Cam Talbot for David Rittich in net. The career No. 2 had a fine season but has made only two playoff outings in his career with a 15.17 GAA. Yep, 15.17.

    Pick Made: Tue 12:27 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 1:30 am UTC
    League
    New Orleans
    92
    @ Oklahoma City
    124
    +2316.25
    153-92 in Last 245 NBA Picks
    +147.5
    2-1 in Last 3 NBA ATS Picks
    +187.5
    4-2 in Last 6 NO ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    New Orleans nearly pulled off the Game 1 upset despite Brandon Ingram having a horrible game, and CJ McCollum was only 2-for-9 from deep. If both are even a little better here, the Pelicans should not only cover (again) but they might win outright. They have the NBA's second-best road mark and haven't lost B2B away games since January.

    Pick Made: Wed 1:26 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 1:30 am UTC
    League
    Vegas
    3
    @ Dallas
    1
    +437
    24-11 in Last 35 NHL Picks
    +373
    16-7 in Last 23 LV ML Picks
    Analysis:

    This just feels like Dallas is due against an opponent that has owned it this season much like Toronto finally broke through last time out against Boston. The Stars are now 0-4 in the season series vs. the Knights after Jake Oettinger was unusually shaky in Game 1. Already desperation time for Dallas to avoid a 0-2 hole before the series shifts to Sin City. The Stars haven't lost B2B games in nearly six weeks. The Knights already achieved their split goal.

    Pick Made: Wed 12:45 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 12:40 am UTC
    League
    San Diego
    5
    @ Colorado
    2
    +1324.25
    99-54-1 in Last 154 MLB Picks
    +1001.5
    41-30 in Last 71 COL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    It's knuckleballer Matt Waldron for the Friars and I don't pretend to be expert on aerodynamics, but I'd sure think that wouldn't knuckle near as much in Denver. Here's what former Cy Young winner and knuckleballer RA Dickey said years ago about a lack of movement at Coors Field: "If I throw a mediocre knuckleball in Colorado, it’s going to be a b.p. (batting practice) fastball right down the middle." Well, that's simple to understand. Looks to be a bullpen day for the Rox. Still no Manny Machado for San Diego and No. 1 catcher Luis Campusano is out tonight as well.

    Pick Made: Wed 9:55 pm UTC
    Apr 24 2024, 11:40 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    3
    @ Minnesota
    6
    +1324.25
    99-54-1 in Last 154 MLB Picks
    +611.75
    39-23 in Last 62 MLB ML Picks
    +1490
    48-22 in Last 70 MIN ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Sox pitcher Garrett Crochet was dominant in his first two outings of the season but has been ripped in his past two. Chicago scored five runs last night (and still lost), meaning it probably isn't due to score again now until Saturday. Minnesota's Joe Ryan is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA in three career starts vs. the Sox.

    Pick Made: Wed 12:41 pm UTC
    Apr 24 2024, 11:40 pm UTC
    League
    Toronto
    2
    @ Kansas City
    3
    +1324.25
    99-54-1 in Last 154 MLB Picks
    +663
    11-5 in Last 16 TOR ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Toronto Cuban rookie Yariel Rodriguez has been really good in his two starts but doesn't go very deep and essentially might share time on the mound today with struggling Bowden Francis (2-2, 9.95 ERA) behind him. That Jays bullpen could be down high-leverage guys Jordan Romano, Yimi Garcia and Erik Swanson due to recent usage. Justin Turner and Davis Schneider are out of the lineup. KC's Alec Marsh is 1-0 with a 2.69 ERA in two home starts.

    Pick Made: Wed 9:28 pm UTC
    Apr 24 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Miami
    111
    @ Boston
    101
    +814
    32-15 in Last 47 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Martin was a breakout star for the Heat in the 2023 East Finals vs. Boston but had only four points in Game 1 of this series with just six shot attempts. Sans Jimmy Butler and Terry Rozier, the Heat absolutely need Martin doing more offensively to have any remote shot. The SL Model has Martin with 9.5 points and he averaged 10.0 during the regular season. I'll be more than happy simply with 8.

    Pick Made: Wed 5:11 pm UTC
    Apr 24 2024, 5:15 pm UTC
    League
    Arizona
    1
    @ St. Louis
    5
    +1324.25
    99-54-1 in Last 154 MLB Picks
    +895.5
    29-14 in Last 43 ARI ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Don't think this is a year where I'll be playing the Cardinals much (or Giants or Rays) and unfortunately did last night as they were blown out. Only reason throwing some down here is the Snakes are sitting three of their best hitters in Lourdes Gurriel, Ketel Marte and Gabriel Moreno in a getaway game. Normally that'd be a total play but I don't like 8 much.

    Pick Made: Wed 3:31 pm UTC
    Apr 24 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Nashville
    4
    @ Vancouver
    1
    +1432.5
    40-19 in Last 59 NHL ATS Picks
    +692.5
    13-5 in Last 18 NSH ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Big news out of Vancouver that blindsided me (and I think most everyone else) or I would have had it in today's premium newsletter that recently went out for subscribers who have signed up: Canucks No. 1 netminder Thatcher Demko reportedly could miss the rest of the series vs. the Preds due to injury. Casey DeSmith had a very solid year as a backup but now we have to back Nashville, which largely dominated the first two periods of Game 1 despite the 4-2 loss. DeSmith has just one game of playoff experience in his career. Simply can't turn down +1.5 in a playoff game even at this price.

    Pick Made: Tue 6:02 pm UTC
    Apr 24 2024, 1:38 am UTC
    League
    Baltimore
    4
    @ L.A. Angels
    7
    +374.25
    19-5 in Last 24 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    A few experts are playing Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 total bases props tonight because he's 4-for-6 with a triple and homer career off Angels starter Griffin Canning -- and that makes total sense, but Henderson doesn't have to get an official total base and can still come around to score. Or just go yard in the top of the first and make us all happy.

    Pick Made: Tue 9:27 pm UTC
    Apr 24 2024, 1:30 am UTC
    League
    Colorado
    5
    @ Winnipeg
    2
    +572.5
    8-2 in Last 10 NHL O/U Picks
    +250
    4-0 in Last 4 WPG O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Can't remember the last time I turned down playing an Under 6.5 to play an Over 6 but how can anyone trust Avs netminder Alexandar Georgiev the way he has been playing for a few weeks? While I doubt he allows seven himself again as in Game 1, I expect the Jets to get to at least four off him. If so, we surely do no worse than a push. Colorado simply has no other healthy options in net right now.

    Pick Made: Tue 5:53 pm UTC