Larry's Picks (7 Live)
Larry's Past Picks
Zaccharie Risacher is a totally different shooter at home: 50 percent from the field, 37.5 percent from deep. He averages 15.4 points at State Farm Arena. On Wednesday, Risacher faces a Clippers team he scored 11 against in LA. The Clippers have lost five in a row while allowing an average of 124.2 points. Look for Risacher to clear this prop total for the fourth time in five games.
Raptors star Scottie Barnes averaged 8.5 boards last month. Over the past four games, with R.J. Barrett sidelined by a knee injury, Barnes grabbed 38 rebounds (9.5 per game). Barrett remains out and I bet Barnes to get at least eight boards Tuesday against visiting Portland. His minutes increased slightly over that four-game span too. The Trail Blazers play at the third-fastest pace, which should only increase Barnes' opportunities.
TreVeyon Henderson has drawn nine targets in the past couple weeks, both games in which New England led for long stretches. With the Patriots dealing with offensive line issues, look for Drake Maye to use Henderson as an outlet multiple times. He has the explosiveness to potentially clear this prop total in one catch.
Patriots wideout Kayshon Boutte returned from a hamstring injury last week at Cincinnati and finished with two catches for 15 yards. But he led the team in routes. Boutte wasn't on the injury report this week. He's facing an aggressive Giants' defense that plays man coverage at the third-highest rate. Boutte creates great separation, averages 17.8 yards per catch and is Drake Maye's favorite deep threat.
Theo Johnson excels against man coverage, which the Patriots play at the ninth-highest rate. The Patriots have three good corners in Christian Gonzalez, Carlton Davis and Marcus Jones but their linebackers have struggled to stay with tight ends. Johnson has overcome his early-season drops and has a strong connection with Jaxson Dart. I like Johnson Over on catches and receiving yards, but prefer to bet him this way and bank on one explosive play.
The Giants are playing hard for interim coach Mike Kafka, losing one-score games to the Packers and Lions. Now they take on another high-level team, but the Pats' win in Cincinnati was costly. Starting left tackle Will Campbell and starting left guard Jared Wilson weren't the only Pats knocked out. They also lost All-Pro special teamer Brenden Schooler and starting defensive tackle Khyiris Tonga to injury. Whether it's Jameis Winston or Jaxson Dart at quarterback, I like the Giants getting over a touchdown. New York also could get a boost from the long-overdue firing of defensive coordinator Shane Bowen.
I like the Commanders to be competitive Sunday night with Terry McClaurin back, but this number is too low for Broncos rookie RJ Harvey. He should get a ton of opportunities against a Washington defense that ranks 25th in rushing efficiency defense and 27th in explosive rushes allowed. The Commanders also give up the ninth-most receiving yards to opposing backs -- one of Harvey's biggest strengths. With J.K. Dobbins out, look for Harvey to be very productive coming out of the bye.
Yes the Broncos get Patrick Surtain back, but Washington also gets key reinforcements including Terry McLaurin, Daron Payne and Will Harris. Thanks to its inconsistent offense, Denver has a slew of narrow wins over bad teams. Look for another on Sunday Night Football.