Not immensely in love with the Jaguars in this spot, but it does feel like the right side coming off the shellacking at the hands of the 49ers. The Titans consistently lose by more than a touchdown to quality offensive teams, and we know Jacksonville can move the ball, even with Trevor Lawrence a bit limited. Mostly it is the Jags ability to stop the run and limit Derrick Henry that has me siding with them in this spot. This is Tennessee's third straight road game with a rookie quarterback, and Jacksonville badly needs a win to maintain its position in the AFC playoff picture.

This is Tennessee's third straight road game. Derrick Henry could struggle against the Jaguars' top-shelf run defense, putting more pressure on rookie QB Will Levis. Trevor Lawrence and Jacksonville's offense have been underwhelming, but this is a great spot for Lawrence and his wideouts to get going.

Jacksonville was embarassed last weekend by the 49ers. Completely dominated in all facets of the game. This matchup vs the Titans is a pivotal one due to the emergence of the Houston Texans in the division. Facing a rookie QB in Will Levis, expect the Jags to lock-in completely.

The Jags couldn't have looked much worse than they did last week, which should have them extra motivated against an overmatched divisional opponent. Will Levis has 0 TDs and 2 INTs since his amazing rookie debut, and has completed less than 57% of his passes the past two weeks. If Tennessee turns to Derrick Henry, the Jags allow the fifth fewest rushing yards per game. Look for Trevor Lawrence to have a big day as the Jags cover the number.

Jacksonville is the more talented team in this matchup. The Titans are playing their third straight road game, and Will Levis has started to experience some growing pains. I like this as a bounce-back spot for the Jags at home. I expect them to win by a touchdown or more.

Zay Jones is questionable but even if he plays, I like Christian Kirk to go off against Tennessee's pass-funnel defense. The Titans will be missing corner Sean Murphy-Bunting and Kirk is expected to be matched up often with undrafted rookie corner Eric Garror. Kirk has shattered this mark in four of his last six starts.

Lawrence has a median of 216 pass yards per game. He is basically feast or famine. And Tennessee is better v the pass, they know Lawrence (divisional game) and they will try to slow the game down with DHenry. If we don’t get 15% more plays than projected, The under has value.

The Titans deal with the dreaded third straight away game, and the first two have not gone well for rookie QB Will Levis. After a smashing debut, his offense scrounged out 22 points. In fact, Tennessee has recorded all of two offensive touchdowns during its travels this season while going 0-6 straight-up. The Jaguars relish the favorites' role, having covered four of time times with three in a row.

Kirk has generated 75 or more yards receiving in four of the team's last six games and is facing a Titans unit that has given up the ninth-most yards to wide receivers this season. Tennessee should play two high defense for the majority of Sunday's game and Kirk excels against that scheme. Against two high, Kirk has a 27% target share, 33% air yards share, and 35% first read share. I think another 75+ yard game seems reasonable in Week 11.

I'm pretty much comfortable playing this prop against Tennessee every week for now, considering kickers have exceeded it in 8 of 9 games this season against the Titans. Tennessee has already given up 25 made field goals in 2023. As a likely coincidence, McManus has also alternated single field goal games with multiple (1-3-1-3-1-3-1-4-1) and you know what that means this week.

The Titans are coming off a brutal game against a mediocre Bucs team, and the good vibes from Will Levis' debut have started to wear off. The Jags defense is similar to Tennessee's statistically but a lot better on third down. With Levis making his third straight road start to open his career and with the Jaguars coming in focused after an embarrassing loss of their own, I don't expect the Tennessee offense to have a lot of success in this game, and I'd be surprised if they scored multiple TDs in this game.

Remember a few weeks ago when Will Levis made his Titans debut and threw four TD's and beat the Falcons 28-23? Yeah, he's played two games after that and thrown two picks plus has been sacked eight times...oh and hasn't thrown a single TD pass since either. Say what you will about the Jaguars but they collect interceptions like we all used to with baseball cards. No joke, Jacksonville has 18 takeaways this season, tied for most in the NFL. Tennessee has lost nine straight road games and has gone 27-straight games without scoring 30+ points. Rebuild in Nashville, record picks in Jacksonville.

The Jags have the NFL's 29th-ranked redzone offense and they don't throw for any TDs and don't run for a ton, either, outside of those three straight games where Etienne had multiple TDs. Titans have the second-best RZ D in the NFL. All people do it kick FGs against them (25 FGM vs TEN, most in NFL). McManus has attempted at least 3 FGs in all four home games this season. I think Doug Pederson just looks to take the easy points when he can with the Titans offense very limited on the road and with Will Levis struggling. This might be a 19-12 game.

The Jags are a good enough football team, but explosive they ain't. Here are Trevor Lawrences passing TD totals: 0, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 0, 2. Jags are 29th in the RZ and the Titans are 31st. These two played a 20-16 game last year and I see this the same way. This is Titans scoring in road/neutral games: 6, 16, 16, 16, 3, 15. TEN defense is 4th in NFL in offensive TDs allowed and the Jags average just 21.8 points/game. Will Levis looks every bit the rookie QB and playing a third straight road game is a tall order. No Titans road/neutral game has hit 40 total points. Titans have had the most FGs made against them - 25 and counting.

The Jaguars were put in their place Sunday by the Niners but there's no shame in that, and I'm not sure JAX coach Doug Pederson minded it all that much in case his team was getting comfortable. It almost feels like "time to play for 2024" for the Titans off Sunday's loss in Tampa and with Will Levis now the FT starter under center. Apples and oranges somewhat, but if the mediocre Bucs beat visiting Tennessee by 14, then the Jaguars certainly should be able to manage a 7-point home win. Taking it now because I think this does get to at least 7.

Both teams are coming off embarrassing losses, but one was against a Super Bowl contender and the other was against the Bucs. This is a great bounceback spot for the Jaguars, who are playing their second straight at home off a bye and facing a Titans team on its third straight road week. Tennessee's offense managed just 3.5 yards per play against a Tampa defense that profiles similar to Jacksonville's, but the Jaguars are way better on third down. The Titans pass defense should allow Trevor Lawrence to put up points. The Jags have shown the ability to beat up on limited teams like this, and I'd make this line at least 7.

The Titans are horrible on the road and the Jaguars were due to have a letdown after their crazy travel schedule. They bounce back here That Will Levis breakout – in Nashville – feels like a long time ago and Titans offense that stinks away from home (255 yds/game - 30th). Titans average 12 PPG in six road/London games with a -58 scoring margin. Four of those 6 losses by a TD or more. Jags swept them last year. I want to grab this before it hits seven. Don’t let Jags blowout loss to 49ers color you much. Jags 3 losses at home were against top teams (KC, HOU, SF). Titans are reeling