ANALYSIS: Will the Bills rest starters here? It's possible they'll need to win to get the No. 2 seed instead of No. 3, but that's only if the Steelers win as 10-point 'dogs while sitting Ben Roethlisberger and others. So the outcome is likely not to matter for Buffalo ... who rested Josh Allen in Week 17 last year. Maybe we'll see Matt Barkley again, even if only for part of the day? On the other side, I expect a Brian Flores-coached team to be very game in a win-and-they're-in scenario. Grab the points.

ANALYSIS: As weird as it sounds, this isn't a good matchup for the Patriots. The one thing New England can do on offense is run the ball, but the Jets have a good rush defense, allowing fewer than 4 yards per carry. When these teams met on a Monday night in Week 9, the Jets actually led by 10 in the fourth quarter (with Joe Flacco at QB!) before some strange things started happening. We might see some Jarrett Stidham in this one; grab the points.

ANALYSIS: The Raiders stunk on the road the last two weeks, but back home for a game with likely playoff implications, I expect them to play much better here. The Colts could have a major issue at left tackle if Anthony Castonzo can't go, as they'd be down to third-stringer Chaz Green. Either way, Castonzo won't be 100%. Not good when Philip Rivers is reportedly dealing with a plantar plate rupture in his foot. These Raiders won in Indy last year, and as the only team to beat the Chiefs, they've shown they can rise to the occasion. Take the points.

ANALYSIS: Kyler Murray says his shoulder's fine, but the stats tell a different story. He's been running much less since spraining his AC joint in Week 11 as the Cardinals have gone 0-3. And Kliff Kingsbury's teams have have fizzled to the finish every year he's coached. The Cards are on a 1-4 streak, and went 2-7 in their last nine last year. At Texas Tech, Kingsbury's teams finished on streaks of 0-5 (2018), 2-6 (2017), 2-6 (2016), 2-4 (2015) and 1-4 (2013). The Giants, winners of four straight, are getting points at home. Grab them.

ANALYSIS: The lookahead line for this game (Colts -3) hasn't budged in weeks. Odd, since the Colts get superstar DeForest Buckner and sack leader Denico Autry back off the COVID list, while the Texans' top WR (Will Fuller) and interceptions leader (Bradley Roby) have been lost to PED suspensions. Maybe the Colts coming off a loss and the Texans coming off a win kept the spread at 3, or maybe it's because Anthony Castonzo will be out. But Indy owns this rivalry (28-9 all-time), and they've got a big coaching advantage here to go with their boost on D. Lay the points.