L.A. Rams 23 @ Cincinnati 20 | 02/13 | 11:30 PM UTC
ANALYSIS: Aaron Donald vs. the Bengals’ O-line is an epic mismatch, but know what hasn’t been a mismatch this season? The Bengals against … anybody. Even when they lose they keep it close, and as of Feb. 2 they’re getting 4.5 points. Consider this: The Bengals had nine games against playoff teams (including three in the postseason) and if they had been 4.5-point ‘dogs in each, they would’ve gone 9-0 ATS. The Rams have had 10 games vs. playoff teams and if they had been 4.5-point favorites in each, they would’ve gone 3-7 ATS (they actually went 4-6 ATS). The Rams traded for an All-Star team and they’re facing a bad O-line, but ultimately I trust Joe Burrow to brush himself off and keep Cincy in it more than I trust the Rams’ stable of stars, who may already be planning the best L.A. parade route. Take the points.