ANALYSIS: Brock Purdy has played better than anyone could've expected so far, but exactly how much faith should we put in a 7th round rookie in the divisional round? The 49ers may have the better team overall, but Purdy hasn't faced much in the way of opposing defenses, and it wouldn't be surprising if the week he falls back to earth comes amid the pressure of the playoffs against the NFL's No. 2 defense. And even if he doesn't, the Cowboys -- who aside from a Week 18 stinker have lost two games in regulation all season -- have enough offense to keep it close. Grab the points.

ANALYSIS: Tom Brady didn't look comfortable all regular season as the Bucs limped into the playoffs below .500, but it's not the regular season anymore. I don't think Brady unretired to play the Saints in December; he came back for the playoffs. The Bucs are healthier than they've been all season, they match up well with a Cowboys team that they crushed in Week 1, and if there's anything Brady knows how to do it's get his team in the right mindset for the postseason. The Cowboys are 3-8 in the playoffs this century, their defense is slumping and Mike McCarthy is coaching. Take the guy who's 35-12 in the playoffs all-time to at least keep it close and grab the points.

ANALYSIS: Here's a matchup of two teams that play more close games than anyone. The Giants and Vikings played a combined 23 games this season that were decided by one score, and it would be 24 if the game they played against each other counted twice (that one, of course, was decided by a field goal). I'll be shocked if this one isn't close, too. Both teams have famously been outscored by their opponents this season, but while the Vikings have a losing ATS record, the Giants have the best ATS mark in the league. Though N.Y. doesn't have as much talent overall, I trust Brian Daboll to at least keep things interesting. Grab the points.

ANALYSIS: The last time the Jets faced Skylar Thompson (Week 5, when he came in for an injured Teddy Bridgewater) they won 40-17. The score here won't be close to that, but I'll take 3.5 points with the Jets 'D' against Thompson. The Jets are eliminated while the Fins need a win, but N.Y. would love to keep its rival out out the postseason -- and despite what you'd think, teams needing to beat an eliminated team in the final two weeks to earn a playoff spot are 38.1% ATS since 1990, per Action Network. The Jets are starting old Joe Flacco, but he has a higher QB rating with more TDs and fewer INTs than Mike White this season. The Jets' banged-up O-line is an issue, but in a low-scoring game, grab the points.

ANALYSIS: These teams last played each other six weeks ago, when the Bears were favored by three and lost by a point. Chicago has mostly looked pretty bad since then, but they've also faced three top defenses -- Jets, Eagles, Bills -- in their last four games. The Lions defense is nothing like those, and as we saw last week, the pressure of a playoff race may not be something Detroit is equipped to handle. Look for Justin Fields and the Bears to give their division rival a game once again. Grab the points.