loading...
Adam Silverstein
Adam Silverstein
Florida Favorite
CBS Sports' managing editor, Adam has been picking college football and NFL since 2002. Born and raised in Florida, he has been covering sports since 1996 when he began his own newsletter and has not stopped following the ins and outs of the games we love. Though he will take the occasional underdog, Adam often looks for value with the favorites, especially after sharp money comes in and lines fall below key numbers. Since joining SportsLine, he's a strong 272-235-16 in the NFL, returning $1,375 to $100 players. For Adam Silverstein media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
SportsLine Logo

Get Access To

All Picks from Adam & the Rest of Our Experts

Adam's Past Picks
ALL

L.A. Rams 23 @ Cincinnati 20 | 02/13 | 11:30 PM UTC

L.A. Rams -4

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Bengals, Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase have been the season’s best story, but while it’s been fun watching and winning with Cincinnati, there’s plenty that makes me lean to Los Angeles in Super Bowl LVI. It starts up front where the Rams are stronger in the trenches. It continues with their overall defensive talent and scheme as L.A. runs zone, which Burrow is far weaker against than man coverage, and features a ferocious pass rush that should get him on the ground plenty. And then there’s the Rams being equally talented offensively with Matthew Stafford seeking a legacy win, Odell Beckham Jr. motivated to quiet his critics and Cooper Kupp looking to end his MVP-caliber season on a high note. Oh, L.A. also has a coach with more big-game experience and homefield advantage (as minor as that may be in SoFi Stadium). We missed the best line at 3.5, and I would buy that if I can get it at -115, but I’m still comfortable at -4. (Bonus: If you can get the Rams at -2.5 in the first half, that's a worthy wager as well.)

+75 4-3 IN LAST 7 LAR ATS PICKS

San Francisco 17 @ L.A. Rams 20 | 01/30 | 11:30 PM UTC

L.A. Rams -3.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: A streak is a streak until it’s ended, and that’s what will happen Sunday night when the Rams and Sean McVay finally get over the hump against the 49ers and Kyle Shanahan. Don’t get it twisted: San Francisco beat Green Bay last week solely because of a significant special teams disparity and Aaron Rodgers’ poor play. The last time these teams played, Los Angeles led by 17 before collapsing with Matthew Stafford throwing two interceptions and San Fran winning in OT. That won’t happen again. The Rams should be able to get significant pressure on Jimmy Garoppolo, limiting the 49ers offense enough to cover and advance to a Super Bowl in their own building. Still, wait until close to kickoff and see if you can get -3 without the hook.

+75 4-3 IN LAST 7 LAR ATS PICKS

Cincinnati 27 @ Kansas City 24 | 01/30 | 8:00 PM UTC

Kansas City -7

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Bengals enter on a 6-0 ATS roll with a three-point win against the Chiefs earlier this month and a 5-1 SU mark in their last six. So why are the Chiefs favored by twice as many points (7 vs. 3.5) as their last meeting? In addition to getting homefield this time, Kansas City is healthy with its offense back at full speed. Cincinnati's protection problems and inability to stop the run are going to put the entire game on Joe Burrow's back. He's already one of the best QBs in the NFL, but that's too much to ask from him against against an opponent like this. Tyrann Mathieu (concussion) will play; KC's secondary operates much better with him on the field. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS when favored by 7+points since the start of December and 8-2 ATS overall in that span. KC has a coaching edge and is stronger in the trenches. And that's not even mentioning Patrick Mahomes & Co.

+567 29-21-2 IN LAST 52 KC ATS PICKS

Buffalo 36 @ Kansas City 42 | 01/23 | 11:30 PM UTC

Kansas City -1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Bills have hit their stride over the last five weeks, but they've surged against terrible teams and a Patriots squad that had no business being in the playoffs. The Chiefs, meanwhile have been a completely different team since finding answers on defense. Kansas City is on streaks of 10-1 SU and 7-2 ATS, achieving both by toppling a number of top teams. This is going to be a hotly contested game that could go either way, but the Chiefs defense and home-field advantage -- plus edges on special teams in the kicking game, on the sideline with Andy Reid and on the field Patrick Mahomes -- have me backing KC. While I'm not fretting about the half-point given I have the Chiefs as -3.5 at home, it is to your benefit if you can grab -1 ahead of kickoff.

+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 BUF ATS PICKS
+567 29-21-2 IN LAST 52 KC ATS PICKS

L.A. Rams 30 @ Tampa Bay 27 | 01/23 | 8:00 PM UTC

L.A. Rams +3

WIN

ANALYSIS: If you told me a year ago I’d be siding with Matthew Stafford over Tom Brady in a playoff game, I’d never believe it. And yet, here we are backing the surging Rams visiting the defending champions. Yes, Tampa Bay has Brady and will be getting Leonard Fournette back, but it has lost key playmakers. Los Angeles is also surging at the right time. The difference comes up front as the Rams monstrous defenders will make life difficult for Bucs’ line. Brady can beat LA over the top, but Stafford can do the same as he excels against pressure. Tampa Bay has not faced a quality opponent in over a month, while LA has survived tough tests down the stretch. The Rams are 2-0 ATS/SU as an underdog and 4-1 ATS/SU between -3 and +3 this season, so I’ll have a sprinkle on LA straight up as well.

+75 4-3 IN LAST 7 LAR ATS PICKS
+680 19-11-2 IN LAST 32 TB ATS PICKS