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Adam Silverstein
Adam Silverstein
Florida Favorite
CBS Sports' managing editor, Adam has been picking college football and NFL since 2002. Born and raised in Florida, he has been covering sports since 1996 when he began his own newsletter and has not stopped following the ins and outs of the games we love. Though he will take the occasional underdog, Adam often looks for value with the favorites, especially after sharp money comes in and lines fall below key numbers. Since joining SportsLine, he's a strong 206-178-16 ATS in the NFL, returning $1,051 to $100 players. For Adam Silverstein media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
LAST 104 NFL ATS PICKS
+1374
Record: 61-43
# 2 nfl Expert
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Buffalo 36 @ Kansas City 42 | 01/23 | 11:30 PM UTC

Kansas City -1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Bills have hit their stride over the last five weeks, but they've surged against terrible teams and a Patriots squad that had no business being in the playoffs. The Chiefs, meanwhile have been a completely different team since finding answers on defense. Kansas City is on streaks of 10-1 SU and 7-2 ATS, achieving both by toppling a number of top teams. This is going to be a hotly contested game that could go either way, but the Chiefs defense and home-field advantage -- plus edges on special teams in the kicking game, on the sideline with Andy Reid and on the field Patrick Mahomes -- have me backing KC. While I'm not fretting about the half-point given I have the Chiefs as -3.5 at home, it is to your benefit if you can grab -1 ahead of kickoff.

+1374 61-43 IN LAST 104 NFL PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 BUF ATS PICKS
+677 29-20-2 IN LAST 51 KC ATS PICKS

L.A. Rams 30 @ Tampa Bay 27 | 01/23 | 8:00 PM UTC

L.A. Rams +3

WIN

ANALYSIS: If you told me a year ago I’d be siding with Matthew Stafford over Tom Brady in a playoff game, I’d never believe it. And yet, here we are backing the surging Rams visiting the defending champions. Yes, Tampa Bay has Brady and will be getting Leonard Fournette back, but it has lost key playmakers. Los Angeles is also surging at the right time. The difference comes up front as the Rams monstrous defenders will make life difficult for Bucs’ line. Brady can beat LA over the top, but Stafford can do the same as he excels against pressure. Tampa Bay has not faced a quality opponent in over a month, while LA has survived tough tests down the stretch. The Rams are 2-0 ATS/SU as an underdog and 4-1 ATS/SU between -3 and +3 this season, so I’ll have a sprinkle on LA straight up as well.

+1374 61-43 IN LAST 104 NFL PICKS
+290 4-1 IN LAST 5 LAR ATS PICKS
+680 19-11-2 IN LAST 32 TB ATS PICKS

San Francisco 13 @ Green Bay 10 | 01/23 | 1:15 AM UTC

Green Bay -5.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: While I hoped for stronger value with the Packers, they are still the play at under a touchdown. Green Bay is not only coming off the bye, San Francisco is playing on just six days rest, increasing that advantage. This will be the 49ers sixth road game in their last eight, while the Packers are 3-0 ATS as a favorite of six or less at home and 8-0 overall at home this season. Aaron Rodgers has come through without his playmakers against better competition already this season, yet on Saturday night, they’ll all be in the lineup sans MVS. In a battle with Jimmy Garoppolo, Green Bay should be able to take advantage with a turnover or two that will ice it late. Hopefully not for the last time this season: Back the Pack.

+1374 61-43 IN LAST 104 NFL PICKS
+1200 23-10 IN LAST 33 GB ATS PICKS

Cincinnati 19 @ Tennessee 16 | 01/22 | 9:30 PM UTC

Tennessee -3.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: As it appears this line will go up (not down) ahead of kickoff, it's time to jump on the Titans and not wait for the hook to disappear. Tennessee enters with all the external advantages, including the bye (Mike Vrabel is nails with extra time to prepare in the regular season) and homefield advantage, which is more valuable in the playoffs. Getting Derrick Henry back against a Bengals team that allowed 7.4 yards per carry to the Raiders last week is a boost, especially coupled with the A.J. Brown and Julio Jones being active. The Titans are healthy, rested and home. Joe Burrow has been incredible lately, but look for Tennessee to limit his big plays with Ja'Marr Chase and pull away in the second half.

+1374 61-43 IN LAST 104 NFL PICKS
+210 12-9-1 IN LAST 22 CIN ATS PICKS

Arizona 11 @ L.A. Rams 34 | 01/18 | 1:15 AM UTC

L.A. Rams -3

WIN

ANALYSIS: This is an intriguing matchup of teams that have proven themselves tough to trust. Whereas Arizona has cratered on both sides of the ball, Los Angeles remains strong defensively giving up just 18.2 points per game since the start of December (vs. 27.3 for the Cards). The Rams won this matchup by a touchdown back on Dec. 13 despite playing at Arizona, which had DeAndre Hopkins on the field and James Conner totalling 125 yards and two TDs. The Cards offense has been uneven without Hopkins, and Conner is at least banged up entering Monday night. The Rams have a coaching edge, homefield in primetime, a better defense and a healthier offense. Matthew Stafford just has to protect the damn ball. With the hook now gone, let's side with L.A. What's the point of being "all-in" if you don't win your wild card game?

+1374 61-43 IN LAST 104 NFL PICKS
+70 4-3 IN LAST 7 ARI ATS PICKS
+290 4-1 IN LAST 5 LAR ATS PICKS