ANALYSIS: There's a statistic you should know for this week. Since 2014, NFL Divisional opponents playing in Week 1 have seen the underdog cover in 76% of those games. We have six of said games this weekend to start the season including this one...but go elsewhere for that underdog love. New Orleans has won four straight in Atlanta alone, in fact they haven't lost there since 2017. The Falcons at home last season? 0-7 ATS. That's not a typo. I'll take it one step further, the only home game Atlanta covered last season was in London against the Jets. The one thing the Falcons did right was avoid sacks however Matt Ryan had a lot to do with that and he's long gone. Marcus Mariota will take sacks...often...and unfortunately for him this Saints defensive front excels in just that. Jameis Winston will put up big numbers on this defense and not sure Mariota will be able to keep up.

ANALYSIS: As I believe the Ravens will get right to work Sunday against the Jets as will I. To put it bluntly I'm not really sure what New York's plan will be to score points here and the problem facing Baltimore is they become a black hole when they get a double-digit lead on you. Honestly ask yourself this question, how many points do the Ravens need to score here to ensure a cover? 28 might do it, 35 should guarantee it. Are you confident in Joe Flacco leading 4 touchdown drives? He's lost 7 straight as a starter and facing a coach who knows everything about him. Also, the Jets have lost 12 straight games in September and are 1-11 ATS in that span. New York also saw a severe lack of meaningful points/play in the preseason while Baltimore took it incredibly seriously and usually starts the season in successful form because of it. Lamar Jackson torched the Jets for 5 TD's the last time he faced them, he'll do it again, especially now that he's close to securing a $200 million contract.

ANALYSIS: Let's get all the prerequisites out of the way. Yes, Super Bowl winners are 19-3 SU in Week 1 games since 2000. Yes, the Rams are 5-0 SU and ATS in Week 1 games under Sean McVay. All of those stats are nice but quite frankly they're just stats. The Rams as an organization went all in to win the Super Bowl in terms of trades, lost draft picks etc. and they did it, hats off to them it was incredible to watch. All that said, that's why I'm fading them here. This game is a celebration, an exhale of accomplishment...with a QB coming back from surgery. Meanwhile this is Buffalo's year to make the run and they're coming in chewing gravel looking to make a statement. Josh Allen's last time out against Los Angeles he threw for 5 TD's and 300+ yards and left with a win. He'll do it again.

ANALYSIS: Rejoice! Football season is here. The Giants head to Nashville to start the 2022 season against the Titans and I'm laying the points here with Tennessee and I'll tell you why. This offseason was not a pleasant one for Mike Vrabel's crew after how the season ended with the playoff loss to Cincinnati, I do weekly radio on the Titans' flagship station, I've seen and heard it all first hand. That said, it benefits us here. Training Camp has been quiet but with a purpose...the Titans are coming in extra salty and ready to get some demons off their backs they've dealt with the past six months. New York has a new coaching staff and on the road, while the Titans have the better head coach, better QB, better RB, much better defense and aren't learning a new system like New York, communication continuity is already built in. Oh, and the Giants are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five season openers to boot. Four of those five losses were by double-digit points as well. The star of the show will be Jeffery Simmons, you heard it here first. Take Tennessee.

ANALYSIS: The Cincinnati Bengals want to win Super Bowl LVI. The Los Angeles Rams HAVE to win Super Bowl LVI. This is it for Les Snead, Sean McVay and co. The Rams have leveraged their NFL Draft future for this very moment, in fact they don't have a 1st round pick until 2024. The picks have been traded, deals have been done. Not to mention for Matthew Stafford it's now or never as well. Mind you, this is nothing against Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Tremendous story and they'll be back (plus Burrow is the truth), but there's blood in the water for Los Angeles. The Rams have the better offense. The Rams have the better defense. I've ridden Los Angeles throughout the postseason under the exact same mantra, they have to win and everyone knows it. I'm certainly not stopping now.