Since we have a new OC in Buffalo Cook has 16 and 17 carries respectively. I’ll pay to find out if he will regress to 11 or less. Like his yards and pass props too

This line seems to have factored in games where Everett was injured and/or the Bolts had Mike Williams and Josh Palmer. Everett caught 4 for 40 plus in a quagmire last week. Giggidy. Go over. Plus, Denver Bad v TE

Mahomes has a median of 39 attempts. His team needs this one, Buffalo plays fast, and Pacheco is out. Let’s go over

Lockett has only exceeded this number twice in seven weeks and he caught 8 passes in each game. Of course I’m worried about garbage time but I’ll play against Drew Lock

Jacobs should go over this prop unless 1. The Raiders run 15% less plays that projected, 2. He gets hurt 3. LV plays from a sizable deficit. I think the odds are about 75% we go over here

I love Jake Browning. As you can see I played his props over. He is efficient and will generate points. Plus the Cincy D is a bit of a paper Tiger. Minshew to Pittman is real. Over.

The Patriots will reply on Zeke. This is my best play. Pats should have 26 rush att. Zeke should get at least 16

13.5 is an interesting number. Unless you think the Pats will score a TD AND kick THREE FGs this bet is simply:will the Pats score 2 TDs? No.

Zeke is a GREAT pass blocker. He knows the role. And Hoodie throws it to his backs. For example, RStevenson was THIRD among RBs last year in receptions. Now that it Elliott’s role. I expect Zeke to catch 3 balls and go over this total.

The Pats D has allowed 10 or less in three straight. Ironically, they have lost all three. But they do stop the run. Harris is in a time split and the Steelers only run about 55 plays (5 less than average). I project under

The Pats have allowed 10 or less in four straight. Yep, they have lost all 4. I’ll pay to find out if a backup QB and new OC can break that streak and then score again to get to 18.

Cam Talbot in goal with a 6.5 total? Under. To go over either the winning team needs 5 goals (way out of my projections) or both teams need 3 plus. Play the defense

Vooch should get more opportunities with No Zach Levine. Plus you know I love playing against Charlotte’s D any chance I get. So many way for a stat sheet stuffer to stuff the stat sheet.

Heat will be down Bam (at least). Feels like a spot where they might be less than motivated. Toronto is always tough at home. I make the Raptors 67% to win so value playing it this way

Middleton is coming on. With his play, minutes and understanding his role. This should be 10. Go over.