Will Pac-12 After Dark live up to its reputation?

Can Georgia exact some revenge for last year's Sugar Bowl loss?

Will this clash of SEC playoff contenders be a high-scoring game?

Will points be aplenty in this battle of top-10 state rivals?

Can Louisiana Tech continue its pursuit towards a Sun Belt Conference title with a win over Troy?

The rare early-season college basketball play for me. The last two years, we've seen scores of 57-54 and 69-65 in this neutral site matchup and that's with Arizona having averaged 82.5 and 86.2 points per game. I expect my Wildcats to play at a bit slower pace early this season and be more stout defensively led by preseason All-American Mo Krivas at center. Obviously picking early season games is tricky but give me Arizona to win 74-66 in Las Vegas and this one stays under by ten points.

Every week, it seems like Flournoy is a cheat code for the Cowboys. He's gone over this line in four straight games and has a snap share of 75% this season as Dallas' third wide receiver. With George Pickens banged up, Flourney saw an 87% snap share on Monday night and could be in line for more work if Pickens is limited on Sunday. The third-year pro has 200 combined receiving yards over the last three weeks and I see another 40+ yard performance as likely in Week 8.

We have the kicker version of unstoppable force vs. immovable object. Or something like that. Will Reichard has looked like an All-Pro for the Vikings this season having made 18 of 19 field goals in six games. He's made at least three FGs in the last five games. However, Detroit has only surrendered five made three-pointers on the season to date. In four career games vs. the Lions, Reichard has converted multiple field goals in each and has made 11 total. I think he keeps it going and converts this prop for us on Sunday afternoon.

I have to admit it: I'm a Rico Dowdle Truther. I was high on him going into the season but a Week 1 dud and early injury put the spotlight on to Jaylen Warren, who has excelled for the Steelers. But since Dowdle has returned from injury two weeks ago, his snap share went from 27% to 44%. He has topped 40 yards on the ground both games and has received between 7 and 9 carries in each game he's played this season. Plus, the Browns are in the bottom ten, allowing 4.4 yards per carry to opposing ball carriers. I think Pittsburgh's second running back tops 35 yards rushing again on Sunday and possibly much more if he gets double-digit carries.

Only two teams have scored 20+ points on Ohio State since Matt Patricia took over as the team's defensive coordinator before the 2025 season: Miami (24 in last year's Cotton Bowl) and Texas (24 in a valiant comeback this year). The Buckeyes' defense will have to rule with a freshman quarterback starting likely the rest of 2026. As good as USC's offense has been under Lincoln Riley, the Trojans managed only seven points in an ugly loss to Wisconsin last week. Coming off a bye week, OSU would be smart to repeat the Badgers' formula: long drives, stifle the USC rushing attack, and keep the game low-scoring. An outright upset wouldn't surprise me but a game in the 30s would. Ohio State 24, USC 21.

In four Florida State home games, the Seminoles have held opponents to at least a touchdown under their scoring average. All four games have hit the Under line. In three road games, FSU has surrendered 43+ points to each opponent. All three have hit the Over line. Talk about true home and road splits! Clemson is only averaging 21.4 points per game this season and surrendering 11.3 PPG to opponents not named LSU or Miami. The Tigers have two touchdown passes, fewest in the country. Points may be at a premium in this matchup between ACC has-beens. Florida State 23, Clemson 13.

This game is being played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta as the Gator Bowl is currently under construction. As if the Bulldogs needed anymore home field advantage! Georgia is 15-0 outright, 12-3 against the spread as a double-digit favorite vs. ranked teams since 2020. After their last five losses during the regular season / SEC Championship Game, the Bulldogs have won the next game by at least 14 points. Coming off a stunning home loss to Auburn and a bye week, Georgia will beat up on its southern neighbors yet again. Georgia 42, Florida 20.

I love to bet against Old Dominion because they’re 1-7 ATS this season. Guess what, the only other team in America who is tied for the worst ATS mark is Indiana. How healthy is Hoosiers QB Josh Hoover? Last week against Michigan, he went 8 of 18 for 81 yards and INT. In its two losses this year, to Mississippi State and Purdue, the Golden Gophers have scored 13 points each time. Asking for this inept Indiana offense, which has totaled 41 points in its last 12 regulation quarters, to score 34 points seems like too much. Indiana 24, Minnesota 13.

This is a weird spread for me to jump on early this week but I couldn't ignore that this is a complete mismatch. UTEP is generally a really bad team but somehow is worse than that on the road. They are averaging 15.1 points per game on offense (3rd worst) while North Dakota State is allowing 12.5 PPG (3rd best). In three games away from El Paso, the Miners have surrendered 51 points to Oklahoma, 52 to Michigan, and 61 to New Mexico. And as we all know, the first two teams aren't known for their offensive prowess. Meanwhile, the Bison are outscoring opponents 130-24 at home this season. I can't picture this Mountain West contest within four touchdowns. North Dakota State 45, UTEP 7.

Is this a homer pick? Possibly. But after what I saw last week in person against Iowa State, I'm convinced that my Arizona Wildcats are the real deal. This game was a 16-point advance line in August and has moved down to just about a field goal. I have no idea how Texas Tech will respond after being throttled by Cincinnati last week, the same Bearcats team who lost 34-7 to Arizona in Tucson earlier this month. The Wildcats have the second-best passing attack in the Big 12 and a Heisman finalist contender in Noah Fifita. Texas Tech has the third worst pass defense in the Big 12. I smell an upset. Arizona 27, Texas Tech 23.