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BurghBets
A high-volume, seasoned and successful bettor, Pittsburgh's Bob Konarski combines relentless research with a strong gut instinct. Bob specializes in college basketball, displaying in-depth knowledge of hundreds of Division I teams. He also is coming off two straight profitable NFL seasons (plus 11.1 units). For Bob Konarski media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
@BurghBetsCleveland has been struggling offensively of late. They’re hitting .182 over the last seven days and five of their last six games have gone under nine runs. The Reds have continued to have difficulty hitting at home, .231 average as a team. Brady Singer is off his worst outing of the season, allowing seven earned runs in 2.1 innings on the road in Houston but has a favorable match against this Guardians lineup of late, despite their lineup having a good history against him.
Neither of these teams are hitting well right now. Chicago is only averaging six hits per game while also hitting .215 as a team against lefties on the season. The Reds are hitting .223 at home thus far as well as hitting .207 this month. There has been a lot of runs when Davis Martin has started this season with five of his eight starts having eight runs, or more. But the total has dropped a little since Chicago is hitting .203 over their last seven days and the Reds, .194.
Boston has won all four games that Brayan Bello has started this season. It’s a bullpen day for the Tigers who, currently, own the best bullpen ERA in the AL, 2.72. Detroit started out as the underdog and the line is moving in their favor even though they won by 12 runs yesterday. The Red Sox are hitting .244 on the road this season whereas Detroit is hitting .294 over the last 15 days while also having the third best home record in the majors, 15-5 SU.
Both teams have been hitting lefties rather well this season. Boston is hitting .252 as a team on the season against them while the Royals are hitting .242. Garrett Crochet has been excellent on the road, 1.65 ERA, and faces a Kansas City lineup hitting .301 over their last seven days, but this is a low total, and it keeps dropping. Cole Ragans has only allowed more than three runs, once at home in his last four starts and has a favorable matchup against a Red Sox team hitting .232 over their last seven days.
Despite a 2-2 road record, Nathan Eovaldi owns a 1.82 ERA. Boston is hitting .255 against righties on the season and they’re underdogs to a Rangers team hitting .215 on the road? Lucas Giolito makes his second start of the season and is off six innings, allowing three earned runs to Toronto on the road. He also allowed two home runs in that game and the Red Sox are 4th in the majors in home runs allowed with 28. Texas is also 3-1 SU on the season against the Red Sox thus far.
Despite being 9-7 SU on the road, Arizona is still hitting .234 as a team this season. However, they have a favorable matchup against Aaron Nola who owns a 7.15 home ERA and has allowed three runs, or more, in three of his five starts thus far. He’s been shaky and along with their bullpen owning a 4.70 ERA. Brandon Pfaadt has pitched well on the road, but Philadelphia performs well at home, hitting .272 with a .783 OPS, and Pfaadt is backed by a vulnerable bullpen, 4.50 ERA.
New York is 5-1 SU in Clay Holmes’ first six starts as a Met. On the road, New York has not performed as well as they do at home, 8-8 SU away as compared to 13-3 SU at home. Sonny Gray is 2-0 at home but has allowed three runs, or more, in two of his three starts. The Mets are hitting .282 over their last seven days as compared to St. Louis’ .212. Holmes is also backed by the third best bullpen in the NL with, currently, a 3.26 ERA.
Detroit is currently three games below .500 on the road. However, they have a favorable matchup against Yusei Kikuchi, owning a 4.31 ERA, as they also are hitting .250 against lefties thus far, top 10 in the majors. The Angels are currently hitting .217 as a team at home and face Larry Mize, who has allowed one run, or less, in four of his first five starts on the season.
The Athletics have been hitting well on the road to start the season, .253 average, top 10 in the league. Jacob deGrom just faced the Athletics in his last start, holding them to two runs in 5.1 innings. Jacob Lopez is a relief pitcher but starts this one and hasn’t allowed a run yet this season and faces a Texas lineup hitting .226 over their last seven days. Out of 14 home games this season, only one has gone over the total at Globe Life Field.
Ronel Blanco is off his best start of the season, one earned run in 6.2 innings against the Blue Jays. He’s yet to allow more than three runs at home thus far and faces a Detroit lineup hitting .229 on the road with a .655 OPS. This is only the third road start for Jack Flaherty, but he faces an Astros lineup only hitting .232 against righties on the season. The game has gone under the total in four of the last five between these two.
Baltimore has not favored well against lefties thus far in the season. They’re hitting .168 against them with a .484 OPS as well. The Nationals also are facing a lefty, and they haven’t been hitting well either, .229 average as a team. Mackenzie Gore has pitched well at home, 1.50 ERA in 12 innings while Cade Povich has the same ERA on the road, but in a small sample size of six innings. The game has gone under the total in six of the eight meetings between these two.
Over the last seven days, Toronto has been hitting .204 as a team with four of their last six games failing to reach nine runs. The Astros have been hitting better of late, but still only hitting .232 against righties on the year. Houston’s Ryan Gusto owns a 4.15 home ERA but is backed by the 4th best bullpen, currently, with a 2.80 ERA. Nine of the last 12 meetings between these two have also gone under the total.
Detroit is only hitting .221 as a team against left handers thus far. Cole Ragans owns a 1.42 road ERA in 12.2 innings and backed by a middle of the pack bullpen in the AL. The Royals offense has been struggling to start the season, hitting .207 as a team and Detroit’s Jackson Jobe has found success in his last two starts, 1.63 ERA in 11 innings.
New York’s Clarke Schmidt makes his season debut against a Royals lineup that has not been off to a good start offensively. Kansas City is hitting .184 on the road thus far and have only scored more than four runs twice in their six road games of the season. The Yankees bats have cooled off, hitting .234 over their last seven days and go up against Kris Bubic who’s only allowed two earned runs in 12 innings on the road. These are also two of the better bullpens in the AL to this point.
New York’s Clay Holmes own a 2.89 road ERA thus far and takes on a Twins team that is only hitting .236 at home. Six of the last seven games for Minnesota has seen less than eight runs and Joe Ryan has a good track record this Mets lineup. Despite how powerful this New York could be, they’re off to a slower start offensively this season, hitting .215 as a team so far. Both starters are backed by two of the best bullpens in the league as well.