Bob's Picks (1 Live)
Bob's Past Picks
These have been two of the worst lineups in the majors this season. Pittsburgh has only scored 19 runs in its past five road games, and the Orioles are hitting .203 against righties at home over the past two months. Paul Skenes owns a 2.43 road ERA while Tyler Wells looked sharp in his season debut last week against San Deigo, allowing two earned runs over five innings.
Another get-away day with the early start time in Sacramento. Previously, the A’s were hitting lefties very well but over the last two months they’re hitting .241 at home with a .717 OPS. Both games that Mason Barnett has started has gone over this total. However, this season, the A’s are 8-0-3 to the under in the closing game of a series when facing a lefty.
This is a get-away day for both teams with the Brewers traveling back home and Texas flying to New York. Freddy Peralata has not allowed a run in his last five starts while Merrill Kelly has continued to pitch well after being traded to the Rangers. Each team in their home and road splits have averaged under 7.5 runs throughout this season.
Cleveland remains a half game behind the Royals as both teams are making a push for the final wild cad spot. Slade Cecconi and Cleveland have lost four of his last five starts and he’s allowed five runs, or more, in three of those starts along with a 5.37 home ERA. Ryan Bergert is in much better form since being acquired by the Royals as he’s yet to allowed more than two runs in his last six starts.
Mississippi State looked much better than expected in their opener. The Sun Devils have the better offensive team, but Mississippi State showed some promise as we thought they were rebuilding. The Bulldogs were able to get pressure against Southern Miss and even though they didn’t have their best year last season they allowed 39 points, or more, in all but two home games last season. The Bulldogs atmosphere would be rocking for a possible upset.
Michigan State has the superior defense in this matchup. However, their offense wasn’t as impressive against the Broncos, only scoring two points in the second. Boston College had a ton of success through the air but that was against Fordham. The Eagles have the ability to exploit the Michigan State secondary and get pressure on the Aidan Chiles as their offensive line looked questionable in week one.
Western Kentucky has not faced a defense like the Rockets yet. Toledo was able to hold the Wildcats to 305 total yards and forced two turnovers, but Kentucky is a team that should be near the bottom of the SEC at the end of the season. The Hilltoppers have a much more potent passing attack than Kentucky and while the Rockets defensive line should get pressure on Maverick McIvor, he does have the big play ability to keep his team within the number.
Wisconsin’s back-up quarterback, Danny O’Neil, led the Badgers to a victory in week one. However, their defense won that game for them. Middle Tennessee State shouldn’t see much production in this one as they struggled against Austin Peay in their opener. Wisconsin’s defense will win this game too, possibly shutting out the Blue Raiders but it’s unclear if their offense is capable to putting up a lot of points to push the game over the total.
Kansas has opened the season outscoring their opponents 77–14 through their first two games. The Jayhawks' last win in Missouri came in 2004 but have the potential to make this a game behind their dual-threat quarterback Jalon Daniels. Penn State transfer Beau Pribula looked impressive in his debut but that was against Central Arkansas. The Jayhawks’ defense has not allowed a ton of offensive plays and can keep the Border War close.
NC State was able to pull out a victory against the Pirates last weekend and the line is moving in Virigina’s favor. The Cavaliers had an impressive showing against Coastal Carolina with Chandler Morris doing it through the air and on the ground. The Cavaliers have a defense to disrupt CJ Bailey as NC State's offensive line showed its vulnerability last weekend. The Wolfpack have also lost three of its last four games against conference opponents at Carter-Finley Stadium as well.
Both teams clearly have the offensive fire power to carry this over the total. Despite a 34-point victory in week one, Miller Moss still threw two interceptions. The Dukes were able to also create turnovers but that was against Weber State. The Dukes have the ability to keep up with Louisville’s tempo as they’ve scored 20 points, or more, in eight of their last nine games while the Cardinals have gone over their team total in seven of their last 10.
This seems like a great spot to fade Pittsburgh, who are fresh off sweeping the Dodgers. Not only is it a good spot to fade them but it’s also a good spot fade Quinn Priester and Milwaukee. The Brewers have won 16 straight games that he’s started with his last losing streak coming against his former team, Pittsburgh, in May. The Pirates has a day off yesterday, play their best baseball at home while Johan Oviedo has yet to allowed more than two runs in his four starts thus far.
Tampa Bay has won six straight while the Guardians have lost three of their last four. Cleveland has struggled offensively, hitting .232 over their last seven days. Ryan Pepiot owns a 3.25 home ERA and held his last two opponents scoreless in 10 combined innings and has a favorable matchup against this Guardians lineup. Despite their recent outputs, Tampa Bay is only hitting .228 against lefties on home over the last month. Nine of the last 11 meetings between these two have gone under the total, with one push involved as well.
St. Louis faces lefty Jeffrey Springs who owns a 3.66 road ERA and has pitched his best on the road this season but the Cardinals are hitting .301 with a .804 OPS against lefties at home over the last month. However, Springs is in a lot better form than the than Matthew Liberatore who’s allowed three earn runs or more in each of his last four starts. The A’s have been the second-best offensive teams in the majors over the last two months against lefties on the road, hitting .282 with a .853 OPS. The A’s are also the 3rd most profitable teams on the road this season behind the Brewers and Marlins.