The host Pirates are undervalued in this spot behind Jared Jones. He owns a 1.20 ERA in July with 23 strikeouts in 15 innings. Pittsburgh has been hitting lefties extremely well lately, giving the Bucs a chance to get to Matthew Boyd. Back the Pirates to win for the seventh time in their last 10 games.

Pittsburgh has been one of the most improved teams this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game. The Cubs have scored six or more runs in four of their last five games and continue to be one of the best teams in the majors for hitting the over. Matthew Boyd owns a 6.18 ERA against Pittsburgh in his career, and the Pirates lead the league in batting average against left-handed pitching at home, hitting .296. The total has also gone over in four of the last five meetings between these two teams.