The Cubs are the better offensive team in almost every statistical category, especially over the last 30 days. Baltimore will take on lefty Matthew Boyd and they have not hit well against southpaws in 2026, a team .227 average. Shane Baz has struggled of late, allowing a combined 10 runs in his last 19 innings while also having the 6th highest walk rate in the majors. The Cubs own the highest walk rate against righties and have scored seven runs, or more, in three of Boyd’s last four starts.

Shane Baz has been performinf above expectations this season, particularly in the strikeout department. He’ll face a stingy Cubs lineup that has the 11th lowest K Rate against opposing right handed pitchers over the last 30 days. Baz has been running hot and it will be a tall order getting a 6th punch out today.