Logan Webb is off his worst start of the season, allowing seven earned runs on the road to the Rockies. He has a favorable matchup against Toronto who has been hitting .230 as a team over the last 30 days. However, Dylan Cease has had a strong season on the road, 4-1 record with a 2.75 ERA. The Blue Jays have won four of his last five starts as he has allowed four runs, or less, in four of those starts as well. Webb hasn’t been as sharp as in seasons past and Toronto’s lineup has had success against Webb in their careers.

The Blue Jays are seeing the 2nd fewest pitches per plate appearance and regardless of shifts in their lineup due to injuries, the projection for Webb still sits above 18 outs today. For the price, this makes for an intriguing over bet, and one that's showing some value. We just talked about it on the Early Edge, and EC mentioned how Webb has continually gone over this total when at home, missing in just 2/7 starts, one of which being the 1st of the year. He was shelled for 11 hits and seven runs in three innings in Colorado last time, so getting back to his home ballpark with a lighter workload in the previous start should give him ample opportunity to cover some innings.

In seven home starts this season, Logan Webb has thrown at least seven innings in five of them. He has a 1.70 daytime ERA in 2026 compared to 4.95 at night. Webb was phenomenal in June, with a 0.71 ERA over 38 innings, though he got rocked at Coors Field last Friday. Expect a bounce back performance and another 7 innings from the Giants' workhorse.