While not having Davante Adams is hardly ideal, the Rams have plenty of weapons that should allow them to overcome his absence in a game that is more important than most realize. While Los Angeles is locked into a wild card spot, its positioning remains up for grabs. And the goal is not just to make the playoffs but advance. As such, Sean McVay should be running his starters nearly the entire game. This should set up similarly to the Falcons’ 28-point loss to the Seahawks as they generally falter when faced with real defenses. The Rams have covered three straight, and nine of their 11 wins this season have come by 7+ points.

Robinson is a receiving monster and with Kirk Cousins under center he's piled up the yardage, specifically in the last two weeks, catching 15 passes for 174 yards. The Falcons won both those games and I'm guessing they don't view that as a coincidence. Robinson can blast past this in the first half if the Rams come out hot and Cousins is forced to throw a ton.

Without Davante Adams to be the red-zone beast for Matthew Stafford, the Rams QB has had to rely on his tight ends near the goal line. I expect plenty more of that on Monday night and think Ferguson, who saw an uptick in usage last week and has second-round pick draft equity, might be primed for a decent role in this matchup against the Falcons.

The Rams are boxed out of the NFC West race, meaning they can only end up as a wild-card team. That's pretty shocking considering where they were a month ago, but such is life in the NFL. However, the Rams can still determine whether they head to face the NFC South champion or whether they face the Eagles/Bears and even if Sean McVay won't admit it, one is a better option. Also: Matthew Stafford's in a homecoming game (he played at UGA) with an MVP title on the line, presuming he doesn't play next week. Big time game coming from him and Puka.

The Rams are wild card-bound in the NFC but there remains motivation to win and secure the 5 seed...which means the South champ in the wild card round instead of the Bears or Eagles. True, the Rams did lose at Charlotte vs. the Panthers, but would surely be favored in a rematch. Having had eleven days since blowing the division and that Thursday night game at Seattle, the Rams should be properly refocused for tonight vs. a Falcons side that has had its moments this season with Kirk Cousins at the helm, and a big-lay threat in RB Bijan Robinson, but has also been taking advantage of a favorable schedule in recent weeks (fading Tampa Bay and Arizona in particular the past two). Play Rams

This is a good price on Kirk Cousins to throw two TD passes. He's thrown five the past two weeks, and he faces a Rams team that's banged up in the secondary and has given up two-plus TD throws in four straight weeks. Cousins also should get a boost from Drake London in his second game back from injury. With the Falcons needing to keep up with the high-powered Rams, I bet Cousins to throw for multiple scores.

Drake London is expected to play despite a questionable tag, and that's bad news for Sills' role in the offense. Sills has had just two receptions in 10 games with London on the field, one for nine yards and one for 11 yards. His four games with more than 11 yards all came without London in the lineup, and even in a great matchup against the Cardinals last week, he saw just one target while failing to record a catch. I'll trust what Morris said about London playing and fade Sills, whose 14 receptions on the year have included just five longer than 10 yards. Even with one catch, we have a good shot at hitting this Under.

Without WR Davante Adams in the lineup (who leads the NFL in receiving TDs and red zone targets), getting a Kyren Williams TD prop at plus money feels like value. Williams has scored in 10/15 games this season. With Adams sidelined, Puka Nacua props are outrageously priced, so I'm backing the Rams RBs to find pay dirt against a bottom-10 Falcons run defense. I played .5units on Williams and Blake Corum (+160) to score, and parlayed them at +455 for .25u. We could see Williams getting the work in 1H, and Corum taking the touches with the Rams leading in 2H. Good luck if you're tailing!

Falcons TE Kyle Pitts is surging to close the season. In the past 4 games, Pitts has 31 receptions on 39 targets. He is often Kirk Cousins' first read, and could be in line for another big game tonight if the Falcons find themselves in a trailing game script. The Rams have a top-tier run defense, but are gettable through the air. They've quietly allowed the 8th most 20+ yard pass plays. I see Cousins peppering Pitts with targets again here. I would also play the over 5.5 receptions at plus odds for .5u.

Corum has scored and gone over his rushing yards total in 4 consecutive games. I'm betting he does both again here, against an Atlanta defense that ranks 24th in defensive rush DVOA. The 1-2 punch of Kyren Williams and Blake Corum has given the Rams the best rush offense in the NFL, and both are listed at plus odds to score in this game. I'm betting a .5unit on each of them to score individually, and parlaying them at +455 odds. Williams and Corum have both scored in 3 of the last 4 games.

Rams RB2 Blake Corum is over this rushing yards mark in 4 straight games, and in 6 of his last 8. He's gotten 10+ carries in 3 consecutive games. The Rams are out of contention for the #1 seed and if they take an early lead, Sean McVay could look to give his starters some rest. The Falcons blitz at the 2nd highest rate in the NFL, and are 3rd in team sacks (50). Limiting hits on Matthew Stafford will be a priority, especially with the right side of L.A's starting O-line out. The Rams should lean on their #1-ranked rush offense to limit the Falcons pass rush. I see Corum getting enough work to clear this total for a 5th straight game.

Caesar’s. Blake Corum has arguably been the Rams most efficient running back down the stretch this season. Carving out a bigger role, he’s cleared this line in six of the last nine games. This reads as a solid matchup for the Rams to run the ball - Kyren Williams and Corum rank first and second in rush success rate, and the Falcons are 28th in that metric (per Fantasy Points). Gamescript should be positive to neutral for the Rams most of the game, and I do like the Rams defense (3rd in FTN’s DVOA metric) to contain the Kirk Cousins-led Falcons offense. I’d bet this line to -145, and over 10.5 at plus odds for 0.75 units.

Juicy number so if you want to bump it up some, feel free to do so -- I think anything up to 10 receptions (+195) is perfectly fine, especially if you're building some kind of SGP. The only issue here is the spread: Puka can easily get to 12+ reception's if this is a shootout, but if the Rams blow out the Falcons, as the number suggests, then it might be difficult to get there because the game script would feature a ton of running in the second half. But I also believe Sean McVay wants to secure Stafford's MVP and that means feeding Puka to pile up passing yards and put Drake Maye just a bit outside for the award.

The Rams have the No. 1 offense in the NFL, averaging 396 yards per game, and also score the most in the NFL at 30.5 points a game, and yet they'll be playing their first playoff game on the road. The Falcons have won their last two games against the Cardinals and Buccaneers behind the quarterbacking of Kirk Cousins, who's been strong with five touchdown passes and one interception over that span. However, the game before that, he lost 37-9 to the Seahawks with no touchdowns and two interceptions. Matt Stafford already has 40 touchdown passes this season and only five interceptions. I think we see the Rams try to put up a 40-ball on the Falcons. Rams to win.

I think there are a few ways this prop can hit. First, the Falcons have allowed 275 passing yards just twice this season, including one 277-yard game and a huge overtime performance by Bryce Young. Second, if the Rams win this convincingly as the spread indicates, there could be little opportunity to pack on yardage in the second half. The Falcons' four regulation losses of more than three points had one 249-yard game and three that didn't top 205 yards. But there's also a chance Stafford only plays part of this game with the Rams locked into a wild card spot and keeping him healthy of paramount concern for the postseason. If Sean McVay sticks to his history of ignoring seeding implications, this will hit.

Rare player prop, as it’s very difficult to get any real volume down on these with betting limits in place. Looking to get 0.25u on Matthew Stafford under 33.5 pass attempts. Simply speculating that the Rams may limit starters late in this game, as they’re locked into a road wild-card spot after Sunday’s results. I like a heavier ground attack between the 20s while still letting Stafford throw touchdown passes for the MVP race. McVay has typically been quick to rest guys when the opportunity presents itself, and I’d expect that to some degree with an outdoor road playoff game ahead.

Bijan Robinson is having an excellent season and his versatility is why he is one of the NFL’s truly elite RBs. This also looks like a very good matchup on paper, particularly through the air, however I believe the Rams are capable and will prioritize limiting Robins receiving production. Jahmyr Gibbs was recently bottled up by this Rams defense who held the star RB to 20 receiving yards on 7 targets. I expect the Rams to focus their defensive game plan on limiting Bijans production as he is the key to their success. I also like fading Bijans combo line.

With Seattle winning at Carolina and if the Niners beat the Bears tonight, which I believe happens, then the playoff-bound Rams have squat to play for Monday as they would be eliminated from NFC West contention. So you'd think Sean McVay, the guy who never plays his starters in the preseason, would definitely take that into account. Matthew Stafford could just sit the last two games and likely still wins the MVP.

Kyren Williams averaged just 3.0 yards per carry in the Week 16 loss at Seattle. But that was against the NFL's top run defense. Now he's facing a Falcons' defense that's given up 4.9 yards per carry over the last three games. Atlanta plays a light front, and the Rams love to use their jumbo formations. With LA potentially leading late, look for Williams to notch at least 70 yards on the ground. He's done that in four straight games and seven of the past eight.

The Rams are coming off a momentous loss to the Seahawks that now leaves them effectively third in the playoff race. If the Seahawks and 49ers win on Sunday, the Rams will be locked into a wild card spot and will have to consider whether to rest players if not for the entire game, then at least for part of it. Sean McVay has rested starters when given the opportunity in the past, and while they can't prepare during the week to do so, I would expect he'd have a quick hook for some key players here if the Seahawks and 49ers win, which I think they will. I'll take the value on Atlanta now, as this could plummet by gameday.