My good buddy and MLB expert expert A-Mags turned me on to this spot and it certainly appears to be a good looking spot to back Bailey Ober who has eclipsed this line in two consecutive starts. He gets another favorable matchup against an Angels lineup that is below average and ranks 19th in OPS. I like Ober's chances of starting the 6th inning today.

This combo line feels like a free roll considering how it is, in addition to the possibility that Kawhi Leonard may miss this game. Leonard is listed as questionable and he did not appear to be close to 100% in Game 2 where he shot 7-17 from the field. Russell Westbrook still logged at least 23 minutes in both games and in the event that Leonard misses Game 3, his usage and playing time are likely to both increase. Regardless of Leonard's status tonight, Russ appears locked into a 22-25 minutes off the bench and is certainly not shy or passive whenever hes on the court.

Tyrese Haliburton has been quiet through two games of this series. Haliburton had a fantastic regular season that saw him average 20.1 PPG and we're getting a sizable discount on this scoring prop. The Bucks really struggle defending opposing PGs and I believe the combination of going back to his home court will help Haliburton. I also believe Milwaukee has to adjust for Pascal Siakam which should help open things up for Haliburton from a spacing standpoint. Either way, I love his chances of bouncing back tonight at home and scoring at least 18+ points in the process.

Reese Olson is a talented young pitcher and the 24 year old is running cold on strikeouts this season. Olson possesses an impressive 13.7% SwStr% which is nearly 2% higher than the 11.9% mark Olson posted last season. He gets a tough draw against a stingy Royals lineup this afternoon but with his line at just 4.5, I would back him against any opponent.

Seth Lugo is averaging a career worst 11.1% K Rate and while his strikeout metrics haven't been pretty, I believe he's a positive regression candidate. The Tigers provide a get right spot and possess the 7th highest K rate against opposing right handed pitching this season. Considering Lugo's outs prop is projected at 17.5 and heavily juiced over, I like his chances to record 5+ Ks.

Going back to the proverbial well with Austin Reaves as he looks to get going as the Lakers head home down 0-2. This number is much closer to Reaves floor than his ceiling considering his playing time, usage, role, etc. Look for Reaves to bounce back at home.

Nestor Cortes looks healthy and is coming off of arguably his best start since the 2022 season after racking up 9 Ks over 7 IP against the Rays. It's been a while since Cortes has put together two quality starts back to back and ultimately I believe this line is an overreaction and should be 6.5.

This is a tiny line for Max Strus who is essentially the forgotten man on the Cleveland Cavs. Strus plays big minutes and this number is simply much closer to his floor than his ceiling, even in a paced down low scoring environment. Strus averages approximately 17.0 P+R and has eclipsed this line in both playoffs games against Orlando, despite shooting just 33% from the field and 20% from the perimeter. Strus is playing 35 minutes per game in the playoffs which is higher than his season average of 32 mpg as well.