I thought highly of the Bears, but their last two games have led me to believe they are Super Bowl-bound because of how quarterback Caleb Williams has led this team. It's not just his throwing; he commands respect in the huddle, and his teammates listen. He's the star, and everybody on the Bears knows it, and now they're going to ride his coattails to get a ring. His game at Atlanta, where he was 30 of 36 for 305 yards, was impressive, but his game against the Patriots last week is a game that sold me. The Patriots have an outstanding defense, and for him to throw for 308 yards, two touchdown passes, and a 116.7 QB rating was outstanding perfection. Bears to win.

The Seahawks have the No. 1 defense in the NFL, allowing only 233 yards per game, but the Bears have the No. 3 offense along with the No. 1 rushing attack. The Bears are using the running game to set up the brilliant aerial attack from Caleb Williams. If you're a defense trying to defend Williams, this kind of puts you in a pickle. The Bears average 25.7 points per game. What do you choose to stop? The Seahawks offense helps the opposing team's offense by turning the ball over 13 times this season. There are only two teams that have more turnovers than the Seahawks. I think these two teams get in a shootout.

I love this Caleb Williams yardage prop over. This is a guy who looks like a young Reggie Jackson, and he's the straw that stirs the drink for this Bears squad. The Seahawks made quick work of the Chiefs last week, 20-3, but this Bears team is of a different caliber. When I look at Caleb Williams away stats, he's 51 of 65 for 574 yards, 3 touchdown passes, and no picks with a QB rating of 118.8. He also has 2 road rushing touchdowns. He's not going to be phased by the Seahawks defense or their crowd. He's going to go to work and get his 300 yards passing, a win, and call it a night.

The Cardinals have won and covered the last four meetings with the Cowboys, including last year at Dallas. They've also won and covered eight out of the last nine meetings with the Cowboys. The Cowboys have the No. 29-ranked defense, allowing 373 yards per game, and the Cardinals might get that running game going because Dallas has the No. 31 run defense. The Cowboys are only 3-4 on the season, but everybody says they're going to be better than that, and then they go off and lose at home to Tampa Bay. I see this team tripping over their opponents for the rest of the season and ending the season at 8-9. The Cardinals know who they are. They beat the Cowboys. Cardinals to cover.

AFC North rivals Pittsburgh and Cleveland come in with the same records at 5-2 straight up and ATS, as well as going over the total four times. What separates them at the moment was a Week 4 win for the Browns, 27-24, at Cleveland. Since then, the Steelers have won three games in a row; they've also covered all three games and you can see a growing process with the Steelers unit that has the No. 6 defense, allowing 303 yards per game as well as only allowing the opposing QBs a 79.3% rating, which is No. 6 in the NFL. This team is going to be a problem in the playoffs. The Browns haven’t swept the Steelers since 1988. Steelers to win.

USC struggled at Wisconsin last week, losing 24-7, and I think we'll see a similar score when Ohio State travels to Los Angeles to play the Trojans. Defense, with a possible downpour. USC has covered once in their last five games. That was at Penn State. Before that, they struggled against Washington at home, and the week before they struggled at home to Oregon, and since then we found out how bad Oregon is. Ohio State is using backup quarterback freshman Luke Fahey, and I think the defense will take this game over. Low-scoring, Buckeyes win, and it stays under.

I love what Coach Eric Morris is doing at Oklahoma State after coming over from North Texas, and he brought his quarterback with him. Drew Mestemaker runs the second-best offense in the nation and leads the Big 12 Conference in scoring, with 40 points per game. Mestemaker has finally caught the attention of all the scouts in the NFL. This Cowboys offense is fast and exciting, and they've covered six straight games while winning five of them. On the other side, we have an Iowa State program that has dropped to 3-4 on the year as they lost their head coach Matt Campbell to Penn State in the off-season and took QB Rocco Becht with him. I'm on Oklahoma State, wins by 10 or more.

The “World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party” between Georgia and Florida has a new home this weekend. Instead of playing in Jacksonville, where it's been played for over three decades, the new temporary home will be in Atlanta. Georgia leads the all-time series 58-44-2, and so far this year they're 6-1, covering five of those games while also going over the total in six of those games. Florida is still alive for the playoffs at 5-2, and after those two disappointing losses, they had a big win at Texas as 13.5-point underdogs two weeks ago. Georgia has won the last five meetings, but Florida has covered the last two. Georgia has a 12th-ranked defense, but I like Florida and RB Jadan Baugh to cover.

The Packers have the NFL's worst running game, averaging 59.9 yards per game, but they should get relief with the return of Josh Jacobs, who has been suspended all season. He came back last week and looked okay until he dropped the game-winning pass against the Lions, and then they missed a field goal and lost 20-17. But the good news with the Packers is that they had won three straight games before the loss at Detroit. Green Bay's passing game has gone very well, with Christian Watson, Matthew Golden, and Tucker Kraft consistently open for Jordan Love. Carolina is a bad team disguised well sometimes. The Packers receivers will be the storyline tonight; I'm on the Packers to cover.

Carolina on a short week has me looking at a couple Packers to do well in props, and the first one that caught my eye was Christian Watson, who has caught a team-high 34 passes for 595 yards and six touchdowns this year. In his last three games, his longest pass reception has been 28 yards or more in three straight and in four of his last five. Over 26.5 longest reception looks like the best prop play for Christian Watson.

The Brewers have won three of the four World Series games played so far, and three of the four games have been one-run games. That makes me think twice about taking the run line on the Brewers in Game 5, even though Jacob Misiorowski is pitching. He won the first game, but it ended up 3-2 Brewers, no cover for the run line. I think the Brewers win by four or five in this likely closeout game, but just in case, I'm taking the Brewers money line. The Brewers have won 12 straight games behind The Miz. Brewers to win Game 5 and the championship.

I bet that Jacob Misiorowski is only going to pitch five innings. He’s got a total posted up of 15.5 outs made for Game 5. He pitched in Game 1 and got the win but only had 15 outs on 78 pitches. I can't see any reason why Milwaukee manager Pat Murphy would want to go against their plan for the Miz, which hasn't seen him pitch more than five innings in his last six starts. I'm on the under 15.5 Outs.

One team has everything going right, and they're laughing, partying, and bringing in an eventual World Series Championship. The other team, the Rays, is playing like their grandmother just died. The Rays had to sit through Game 3 at home, down by 10 runs for the most grueling hour and a half. Everyone hits on the Brewers. How do you come back from that? Griffin Jax stands in the way for Game 4. I'm sure we're going to get more than one run from the Rays on Tuesday, but if the Brewers keep doing what they're doing, they're going to win.

The World Series moves to Tampa Bay with the Brewers winning the first two games in Milwaukee by one run each. In Game 3, I'm expecting the Rays to give maximum effort, fighting with all they have to stay alive in this series. This is the pressure game that they know they have to win, and I like that with my bet. All the cards are on the table. The Rays have a tough task ahead of them with left-hander Robert Gasser pitching, who the Brewers have won his last four starts; with him only allowing two runs. Former Brewer Freddy Peralta has been his old dominant self for the Rays. They’ve gone 10-0 in his last 10 appearances. Rays win Game 3.

If there ever was a game that Junior Caminero would hit a home run, it's tonight in Game 3 against the Brewers. He’s got left-hander Robert Gasser starting, who has allowed 15 home runs in his 21 games started. But more than that, it's the home crowd and emotion that's going to get into Caminero’s soul. And once Caminero hits one, chances are he'll hit another, and possibly three, because he's a streaky bomb hitter. When he feels it, he punishes pitchers. The situation is right. The bet feels right. I took a shot on him to hit a home run tonight.