Michigan has stayed under in both of their games...

Is USC a playoff team? I think so...

The Colts have covered the last 3 meetings...

The Cowboys have not covered their last 6 games...

Ole Miss had 5 starters returning on each side...

Jaxson Dart and Cam Skattebo do some showtime in LA...

Georgia has won and covered the last three meetings with Arkansas, which has a new head coach this year in Ryan Silverfield. Arkansas lost their last 10 games in a row last season, and while they snapped the losing streak against North Alabama, they got back to their losing ways at Utah, losing 43-10. Georgia looks better than ever, putting up 63 and 70 points in their first two games, and they're playing with eight starters on defense back from last season, as well as six returning starters on offense, including quarterback Gunner Stockton, running back Nate Frazier, and three offensive linemen. Everybody's talking about another team to win the championship while leaving Georgia out of the mix. That's a mistake. Georgia to cover.

Texas Tech has won and covered seven straight meetings with Houston, including last year’s 35-11 win, and I like them Friday night. I really like Houston’s 5th-year senior quarterback Connor Weigman. I remember him at Texas A&M, but the strength of this Houston offense is their running game so far in the season, and that's also the strength of Texas Tech, which only allows 65 yards per game rushing. Texas Tech has last year's backup at QB, junior Will Hammond, learning on the job, and he’s doing quite well. Texas Tech to win.

We've got ideal football weather in Buffalo on Thursday night at 68° with 4 mph winds and only a 3% chance of rain. It's a new stadium for the Bills; welcome to Highmark Stadium, but it's the same defenses for both teams. The Lions allowed 30 points to the Saints last week, as the Bills allowed 31 points to the Texans. I think this is a back-and-forth game with both offenses doing pretty much everything they set out to do. It'll be an entertaining first game for Buffalo's new stadium. Over is the best play.

I'm expecting a high-scoring game, and I think the Lions are going to attack Buffalo's defense with the ground game. The Texans had a lot of success with it last week and held the ball for 36:17 minutes in the game and only 23:43 minutes for the Bills. The Texans rushed the ball 30 times for 124 yards. The Lions have a great running back in Jahmyr Gibbs, who rushed 29 times for 156 yards and two touchdowns in the 31-30 win over the Saints. I think Gibbs gets over 90 yards. Over the total is the play.

I can get excited about my bet, knowing I have an edge: Patrick Mahomes is playing his first game back since the ACL injury, and he's got his left tackle, Josh Simmons, out for the game, and rookie Kahlil Benson moves over from right tackle to make his first start at left tackle. All this happens against the NFL's No. 1 sack team last season with 68 sacks. A new guy with little experience protecting Mahomes blind side vs. a fierce pass rush? That's an edge that gets me pumped about my bet, and I'm getting points on top of it against a team that went 6-11 and missed the playoffs last year. Broncos to win.

The AFC West has seen a change of guard, and the biggest reason is Bo Nix's maturation as the Broncos' quarterback. The Chiefs had won 16 straight games against the Broncos until Denver won four of the last five, including the last three. In last year's game at Kansas City, he rushed 9 times for 42 yards and a TD, and I like him to score a touchdown here. He broke his ankle last season, and I don't expect him to be his normal self running the ball, but with a touchdown on the line, he’ll do the unexpected for a player coming off an injury. He scored five touchdowns last year, including one at Kansas City.

The Cowboys give plenty of reasons to bet them against the Giants, such as being 16-2 in the last 18 meetings. You've also got the Giants saddled with a 3-17 record in their last 20 prime time games, and this is the first Sunday night game of the season. But the positives with the Giants are that they’re not the old Giants. They've got John Harbaugh as their new head coach, and he's all business. The Giants haven't had a no-nonsense head coach since Tom Coughlin. Jaxson Dart starts his second year, and as a rookie, he showed he’s got moxie. In his last start of the season last year, he beat the Cowboys, throwing two touchdowns and no picks. Giants to win.

Jaxson Dart completed 63% of his passes last season for 15 touchdowns and five interceptions in his 14 games, but where he gained his most notoriety was as a QB running for 487 yards and 9 TDs. Sunday night, New York will be the game of the day against the hated Dallas Cowboys, with the biggest spotlight available. Dart loves the spotlight. I think Dart's going to take advantage of all the cameras and use the media to further enhance his brand and make himself the story. He's a flashy guy, and he plays that way. Dart scores a touchdown on the ground.

The Cardinals No. 3 overall pick, Jeremiyah Love, makes his NFL debut at the Los Angeles Chargers where the Cardinals went from a 10.5-point underdog in the opening line to 9. I'm expecting his rushing and receiving yards to be over the expected total. The question on Love coming into this game was how much he would play, and head coach Mike LaFleur said there will be no limits placed on him. He experienced a high ankle sprain in his first preseason game last month. He's been limited in practice, and now he's ready to go in his first regular-season game. He will not be on a snap count. Over the total rushing and receiving.