FanDuel. Bam Adebayo has failed to clear this line in 9/15 games without Jimmy Butler (suspended) this season, including 7 of the last 8. He'll now get one of the tougher matchups for a center against the Clippers and Ivica Zubac. Los Angeles is fourth defensive against roll-men in the pick and roll (Bam’s preferred playtype), and allow the seventh fewest assists per game.

B365 @ -115, DK @ -135. Would bet this up to -140. Vikings safety Camryn Bynum cleared this line in 9/17 games this season. However, the matchup against the Rams presents a solid spot for him to rack up the tackles. The Rams allowed the 8th most tackles to opposing safeties this season (per PFF). And with Puka Nacua active, opposing deep safeties cleared this line in 9/11 games, including Bynum’s 7 combined tackles in Week 8. The Vikings blitz at the highest rate in the NFL, but Matthew Stafford is one of the better QBs against the blitz (66.5% completion was 7th best amongst qualified QBs). Bynum is hardly ever involved in those blitzes - meaning he’ll be relied on, on the back end.

FanDuel. Desmond Bane has remained under this line in 7/13 full games played with both Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. in the lineup. With all three set to play against the Rockets tonight, I’m looking to fade Bane on his PRA line. With Morant, Bane is utilized more as a spot-up shooter - the Rockets are the league’s second best defense against the playtype. And his assist and rebound chances should remain muted, as the Rockets are a top 8 team in limiting both.

DraftKings. Targeting centers against the Suns again, as Phoenix is allowing the second most points + rebounds to opposing big men. Williams sold on us in this same matchup last week, but that was a product of backup Nick Richard’s out playing him. I’ll take my chances that Williams plays 28+ minutes this go around.

DraftKings. Paolo Banchero’s made his long-awaited return to the Magic lineup on Friday to the tune of 34 points and 7 rebounds in 27 minutes. He’ll likely be eased back towards his full allotment of minutes, but I project him to play around 32 against the 76ers. It’s a great spot for Paolo to crash the boards, as he won’t be defending a high usage player (likely Caleb Martin), which frees him up to crash the boards. And if Joel Embiid does suit up, that bolsters this look even more for Paolo.

DraftKings. Dontayvion Wicks stayed under this line in 13/17 games this season, including 3/5 as a starter. While he should see a higher snap share sans Christian Watson today, I’m still looking to fade the second-year wideout on this line. He’s been, by far, the least productive Packers pass catcher on deep throws (3/15 on throws 20+ yards down the field). The Eagles secondary is one of the best in the NFL, allowing both the fewest yards per reception and yards per target to opposing wide outs.

FanDuel. Without Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, PJ Washington has become a go-to guy for the Mavericks. He’s cleared this line in 4/6 without his superstar teammates this season, including 27+ in each of the last three games. Overall, he’s averaging 27.7 P+R per 36 minutes without Doncic or Irving on the floor. And against the Nuggets (notably without Aaron Gordon), he should continue to thrive. Denver ranks in the bottom 10 teams both vs the spot up and transition playtypes (PJ’s main source of scoring). And PJ should be able to crash the boards as he won’t be directly involved in defending Nikola Jokic. Washington had 35 P+R versus Denver earlier this season with Irving in the lineup.

FanDuel. In his first playoff game, Bo Nix faces a tough task against the Bills defense. The Bills look to keep everything in front of them - they allowed the third lowest aDOT this season (6.8 yards) which combined with their stout run defense, lead to opposing QBs completing the fourth most passes per game (23.3). Per FTN, they also had the third worst DVOA against short passes. This plays into Bo Nix’s hand, as he has embraced the short passing game down the stretch. Since week 14, Nix’s 5.7 aDOT is the lowest amongst qualified QBs. Tack on a gamescript that should lend to Denver having to play catch-up, and I love this over.

B365/ESPN (-125). Would bet this up to over 22.5. Walker Kessler has cleared this line in 14 of his last 19 games. The Jazz will once again be without John Collins today, and Kessler has surpassed this line in 7/9 without his frontcourt counterpart. The Suns have struggled all season against centers, allowing the second most points + rebounds.

draftKings. Another day, another Mikal Bridges over. Bridges has cleared this line in 14/L19 games, including a 24 point performance against the Thunder last week. The Thunder’s defensive strength is against the pick and roll, which makes this a brutal spot for Jalen Brunson.

DraftKings. Without Joel Embiid and Andrew Drummond available, Guerschon Yabusele is once again going to have to play big minutes for the Sixers. In five games without both Embiid and Drummond, Yabusele played at least 31 minutes and cleared this line in each game. And it’s a fantastic matchup against the Pelicans who allow the second most combined points and rebounds to opposing centers. Playable to over 19.5.

FanDuel. In seven games as a starter this season, Amen Thompson is averaging 29.3 points + rebounds, and has cleared this line in five of those contests. In this recent run of starts, with Jabari Smith Jr. down with an injury, Thompson has played 41 minutes in each of the last two games. Without Tari Eason (doubtful) likely out again, the Rockets will roll with a tight rotation once again, against a formidable Grizzlies team that is first in pace.

DraftKings. The upstart Pistons have won eight of their last ten games and sharpshooting Malik Beasley has been a big part of this stretch for Detroit. Beasley has cleared this line in 17 of his last 21 games when playing at least 26 minutes. And with Jaden Ivey (leg) out of the lineup, he’s surpassed this line in 5/7 games. Tonight, with a secure minutes floor, he gets a tasty matchup against the Warriors. Golden State allows the second post points per game to spot up shooters, at the highest frequency for the playtype. Beasley thrives off of Cade Cunningham’s initial action, and should be in position to pour in the points tonight.

DraftKings. It’s been a few games since we bet on Norman Powell’s points - I wanted to see how Kawhi Leonard’s return would affect him. So far, Powell’s usage shot attempts (including free throws) have not suffered. And it’s evident that Kawhi, who is on a strict minutes limit, is not close to his All-Star form. So in a plus matchup against the Nuggets (5th in pace, 20th in team defense), I’m happy to fire on Powell at a one basket discount from his 23.5 points per game average. Would bet to over 22.5.

DraftKings. RJ Barrett makes another return trip to the Garden to take on the Knicks. He’s averaging 23.5 points per game this season, but that’s admittedly with Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley missing extended time. Regardless, all three shared the floor together against the Bucks, and Barrett paced the Raptors with 25 points. He should be in prime position to cross the 20-point plateau tonight, as I’d expect OG Anunoby to matchup with Scottie Barnes.