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Sun, Jan 129:30 pm UTCLincoln Financial Field
37 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Green Bay
Packers
GB
Last 5 ATS
W/L11-7
ATS9-9
O/U8-9-1
FINAL SCORE
10
-
22
Philadelphia
Eagles
PHI
Last 5 ATS
W/L15-3
ATS12-6
O/U7-11-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
11-7
Win /Loss
15-3
9-9
Spread
12-6
8-9-1
Over / Under
7-11-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
GB @ PHI
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
GB @ PHI
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
GB @ PHI
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

39%
PUBLIC
61%
MONEY
13%
PUBLIC
87%
MONEY
Over81%
PUBLIC
Under19%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadPhiladelphia -4.5 -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+2694
83-51-4 in Last 138 NFL Picks
+2494
81-51-4 in Last 136 NFL ATS Picks
+1423
44-27-3 in Last 74 PHI ATS Picks
Adam's Analysis:

Without Christian Watson to draw coverage, the Packers passing offense struggles. He’s now out for the season. Green Bay and Jordan Love have shown an ability to bounce back in second halves -- necessary due to slow starts. That does create dangerous backdoor cover scenarios. However, the Pack are 2-5 SU & ATS against playoff teams with mostly close losses, including to the Eagles by 5 in the season opener. Philadelphia is much improved four months later with a defense that has been on fire since the bye week. Philly closes out games extremely well with Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley, and it is coming off a half-bye, just like Buffalo. Taking the best line available here, but as a dead zone, take through -5.5.

Pick Made: Sun 8:23 pm UTC on FanDuel
1st Half Total Points1st Half Under 23.5 -123
WIN
Unit1.0
+682
18-7 in Last 25 NFL Game Props Picks
Erik's Analysis:

The teams may not start fast. Both defenses are good, the quarterbacks are banged up and I get on the right side of the key number 23.

Pick Made: Sun 7:16 pm UTC on Sugar House
Avatar
Total CarriesSaquon Barkley Over 20.5 Total Carries -114
WIN
Unit1.5
+1525.5
64-46 in Last 110 NFL Player Props Picks
Daniel's Analysis:

Saquon Barkley had a historic season, and may have broken Eric Dickerson’s rushing yards record if not for resting in Week 18. That rest was explicitly for this reason- To continue feeding Barkley carries in volume. Barkley had 20+ carries in 10 games this season, and had a combined 60 carries in his final two games. With Jalen Hurts clearing concussion protocol just a day ago, I expect Philly to lean heavily on Barkley. I was kicking myself for not taking this prop on Derrick Henry yesterday. I won’t miss out on betting on another star RB to put the team on his back.

Pick Made: Sun 7:05 pm UTC on FanDuel
1st Half Total Points1st Half Under 23.5 -123
WIN
Unit1.0
+547
6-1 in Last 7 NFL Game Props Picks
Daniel's Analysis:

The Eagles high-octane offense has taken some time to get going in many games this season. In fact, they’ve averaged just 3.6 points per game in the first quarter. Jalen Hurts will return from dealing with his first ever concussion. He cleared protocol just a day ago, which could lead him to begin this game semi-cautiously. The Packers will miss deep-threat WR Christian Watson against this top-tier Eagles secondary. These teams should go ground-heavy to start this game behind elite RB’s Saquon Barkley and Josh Jacobs. I think that leads us to a 1H Under, with the game most likely heating up later in Q3 & Q4. This line at 23.5 is now available at -115 on DK.

Pick Made: Sun 6:48 pm UTC on Sugar House
Point SpreadPhiladelphia -4.5 -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+920
46-33-1 in Last 80 NFL ATS Picks
+958
14-4-1 in Last 19 GB ATS Picks
Micah's Analysis:

In the last six meetings between the Eagles and Packers, it's tied up at three games a piece and the Eagles wins have been from 5 to 7 points. Jalen Hurts missed his last two games. The Eagles went 14-3 on the season with 11 covers. The Packers lost their last two and Jordan Love got banged up in his last game. Last year in the playoffs at Dallas I remember the Packers slinging it all across the field all day long. No Christian Watson. I don't know if the Eagles defense is going to allow that. That's the Eagles No. 1 rated defense in the NFL allowing 278 yards per game. That's what ultimately wins for the Eagles.

Pick Made: Sun 5:58 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineGreen Bay +225
LOSS
Unit0.5
+493
9-7 in Last 16 NFL ML Picks
+141.5
2-1 in Last 3 GB ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Jalen Hurts has missed a lot of practice time and this Eagles offense hit some road bums even before he suffered his concussion. Packers are an elite D since Week 6, just like PHI and can win in different ways. GB hardened by tough schedule and tough division and 10-1 outside NFC North. Packers have better head coach and QB. Eagles have been shaky at home. Packers went down this path quite well as a road dog last postseason.

Pick Made: Sun 5:37 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Longest ReceptionDontayvion Wicks Under 19.5 Longest Reception -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+67
9-7 in Last 16 NFL Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Dontayvion Wicks stayed under this line in 13/17 games this season, including 3/5 as a starter. While he should see a higher snap share sans Christian Watson today, I’m still looking to fade the second-year wideout on this line. He’s been, by far, the least productive Packers pass catcher on deep throws (3/15 on throws 20+ yards down the field). The Eagles secondary is one of the best in the NFL, allowing both the fewest yards per reception and yards per target to opposing wide outs.

Pick Made: Sun 3:15 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadGreen Bay +5.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+363
30-24-2 in Last 56 NFL Picks
+319
24-19-2 in Last 45 NFL ATS Picks
+270
7-4 in Last 11 GB ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Slight move upward in price after word Jalen Hurts was a go for the Birds, but this won't be easy for Philly. The Pack, despite losing to the Eagles and twice each to the Vikings and Lions, was in almost all of those games, losing narrowly, including the opener in Brazil when the Birds squeezed a 34-29 win. Jordan Love is also a go after a being forced last week from the Chicago game, and remember how Love caught fire in the playoffs last year at Dallas and San Francisco. With Josh Jacobs now available, the Pack has a more-balanced look, and Matt LaFleur believes he has enough targets (such as Jayden Reed) to compensate for the absence of Christian Watson. Play Packers

Pick Made: Jan 12, 8:48 am UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total ReceptionsTucker Kraft Under 3.5 Total Receptions -128
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1638.5
141-101 in Last 242 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Tucker Kraft caught four-plus passes just five times this season. In the season opener against Philly, he caught two of three targets. The Eagles' defense ranks third in DVOA versus tight ends and gives up the sixth-fewest targets to the position.

Pick Made: Jan 12, 5:03 am UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total Passing AttemptsJalen Hurts Under 27.5 Total Passing Attempts +100
WIN
Unit1.0
+546
8-2 in Last 10 NFL Player Props Picks
Dave's Analysis:

Not counting the game he got concussed in, Hurts has been under 28 pass attempts in eight games, all Eagles wins. Just once has he been over this line in a game the Eagles won by two-plus scores. Trends by the Packers defense suggest they'll stick with zone coverage while trying to pressure Hurts. When defenses have done that against Hurts this year, the Eagles have run the ball 54% of the time. That rate jumps to 59% run in their past five games. That's their identity right now. Ultimately, it just feels like Philly is a better team now than they were when they played Green Bay in Week 1, and with Jordan Love's elbow a concern, the Eagles should control the game script.

Pick Made: Jan 10, 5:13 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsSaquon Barkley Over 10.5 Total Receiving Yards -108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1638.5
141-101 in Last 242 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Saquon Barkley hasn't been used much as a receiver lately, but that should change Sunday. Green Bay has given up the most receiving yards to running backs over the past six games. The Packers have done a great job stopping the run recently, allowing 3.0 yards per carry over the past three games and 4.0 yards per carry this season (3rd-best). Look for Philly to get Barkley at least a couple catches and let him break tackles.

Pick Made: Jan 10, 4:53 am UTC on Sugar House
Avatar
Total Passing YardsJordan Love Under 227.5 Total Passing Yards -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+1638.5
141-101 in Last 242 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Jordan Love was brilliant in the Wild Card round last year, throwing for 272 yards and three touchdowns in a blowout win in Dallas. This time he faces a much tougher test, in a much more hostile environment, against the NFL's top pass defense. And he won't have Christian Watson to throw to. Philly allowed an average of 159.1 passing yards at home this season. Look for both teams to emphasize the run and for Love to finish with about 200 passing yards.

Pick Made: Jan 10, 1:31 am UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Rushing YardsJosh Jacobs Under 75.5 Total Rushing Yards -114
LOSS
Unit1.5
+125
5-4 in Last 9 NFL Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Josh Jacobs had a very strong debut season with the Packers. While Jacobs was certainly a workhorse, his efficiency began to plummet as the season progressed. Jacobs failed to top 70 yards in five of his last six games, while averaging below 4.0 YPC during that stretch. Jacobs will face a very stout Eagles run defense that ranks 2nd in EPA allowed per rush and 6th in success rate.

Pick Made: Jan 07, 4:45 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Anytime Touchdown ScorerJalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown Scorer -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+111
8-6 in Last 14 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

I'm not thoroughly convinced he plays in this game, but is he does, it won't be with "no tush push" restrictions. It's who they are and what they do. He has 5 rushing TDs in 5 playoff games. Facing an elite defense in which you probably need your best stuff to finish drives with a TD. This has hit in 8 of 10 games and in his last "season" of home games (17) this has hit 12 times with 14 total TDs in that span.

Pick Made: Jan 07, 2:20 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Anytime Touchdown ScorerJosh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown Scorer +100
WIN
Unit1.0
+111
8-6 in Last 14 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Dude just has a nose for the endzone and can contort and finagle his way to paydirt. It's good value early in the week that won't be around for long. He's cashed in 8 straight games and 9 of 10 and has 13 rushing TDs in that span. He can catch a screen and score from distance, too. GB RZ passing game can get janky and no Christian Watson hurts. I expect Jacobs to get plenty of chances to power for a score against arguably the best defense in football.

Pick Made: Jan 07, 3:15 am UTC on DraftKings
Over / UnderUnder 46.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+322
10-6 in Last 16 NFL O/U Picks
+176
4-2 in Last 6 GB O/U Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Jalen Hurts still being in the concussion protocol has to be a factor and Jordan Love banged up again. No Christian Watson for the Packers limits their explosives, which were already drying up some lately. Both defenses got markedly better as season went on. Since Week 6 PHI D tops in total EPA and GB 3rd. PHI first allowing 21 offensive TDs and 207 points; GB 2nd (230 points/21 OTD). PHI allowing 1.41 pts/drive (1st) and GB 2nd (1.76). PHI 6-3 to under at home (6 games at 44 or less). GB is 5-2-1 under in last 8 outside the NFC North. This smells like 23-20 to me.

Pick Made: Jan 06, 9:58 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadPhiladelphia -4.5 -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+987
18-8 in Last 26 NFL Picks
+587
50-40-1 in Last 91 NFL ATS Picks
+3989
77-32-2 in Last 111 GB ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

Only one of the Packers' six losses has been by more than five points, but this is their toughest spot of the year, on the road against what might be the most complete team in the league. Injuries to Jaire Alexander (among other defenders) and Christian Watson are big on both sides of the ball for the Packers, giving this more of a chance to turn into a dominant win for the Eagles. I think this line should be at least 5.5 and I'd play the Eagles all the way up to -6.5.

Pick Made: Jan 06, 2:34 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Green Bay Packers
Monday, Jan 13, 2025
Avatar
OT
Andre Dillard
ConcussionInactive
Avatar
OG
Elgton Jenkins
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
SS
Zayne Anderson
ConcussionInactive
Avatar
DT
Devonte Wyatt
Lower LegQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Jayden Reed
ShoulderQuestionable
Sunday, Jan 12, 2025
Avatar
C
Josh Myers
Lower LegQuestionable
Avatar
QB
Sean Clifford
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
WR
Christian Watson
Knee - ACLInactive
Avatar
WR
Romeo Doubs
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Ben Sims
Coach's DecisionInactive
Philadelphia Eagles
Monday, Jan 13, 2025
Avatar
OG
Nick Gates
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
QB
Tanner McKee
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
OG
Darian Kinnard
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
DB
Lewis Cine
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
ILB
Nakobe Dean
KneeOut
Avatar
WR
Ainias Smith
Coach's DecisionInactive
Avatar
OG
Trevor Keegan
IllnessInactive
Avatar
CB
Eli Ricks
Coach's DecisionInactive
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