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Thu, May 071:47 am UTCFrost Bank Center
Minnesota
Timberwolves
MIN
Last 5 ATS
W/L55-39
ATS43-51
O/U44-50-0
FINAL SCORE
95
-
133
San Antonio
Spurs
SA
Last 5 ATS
W/L69-24
ATS54-39
O/U43-50-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
55-39
Win /Loss
69-24
43-51
Spread
54-39
44-50-0
Over / Under
43-50-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIN @ SA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
MIN @ SA
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
MIN @ SA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

72%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
23%
PUBLIC
77%
MONEY
Over81%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadSan Antonio -9.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
Larry's Analysis:

The Spurs, after breezing past Portland, weren't ready for the intense defense Minnesota brought in Game 1. Look for a huge bounceback Wednesday in front of San Antonio's raucous home crowd. Yes, Anthony Edwards and Ayo Dosunmu are good to go. But I'm expecting a lot more offensively from Victor Wembanyama and De'Aaron Fox. We should get urgency and a supremely focused effort from the Spurs.

Pick Made: May 07, 1:00 am UTC on BetMGM
Over/UnderOver 217.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+701.5
27-15 Last 42 NBA
Adam's Analysis:

Game 1 totaled 206 points (a 104-102 Wolves win). But the Spurs are averaging 123.8 ppg since Jan. 31. The Wolves defense has stepped up in the playoffs, allowing 105 ppg in the last six. That said, De'Aaron Fox and Victor Wembanyama had major issues, including 0-for-12 on 3’s. Wemby had 12 blocks in Game 1; that’s unlikely to happen again, offering a boost to Minnesota. And Anthony Edwards should get more minutes after a successful return in Game 1.

Pick Made: May 06, 9:12 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PointsDe'Aaron Fox Over 17.5 Total Points -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+371.5
22-14 Last 36 NBA Player Props
Adam's Analysis:

De’Aaron Fox shot 5-of-14 in Game 1 and was blanked in the first half of the Spurs’ two-point loss to the Timberwolves. Victor Wembanyama also didn’t play well, so I think both step up. But Fox especially, as you know Minnesota is going to focus more on Wemby. He has a history of doing very well in games after duds.

Pick Made: May 06, 7:03 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
REB + ASTNaz Reid Over 7.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -132
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2579
82-47 Last 129 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

Naz Reid played 30 minutes in Game 1, the same amount as Rudy Gobert. He has cleared this prop total in six straight games. Minnesota only plays three bigs -- Gobert, Julius Randle and Naz Reid. Even with blowout potential, I like Reid to be very involved yet again.

Pick Made: May 06, 7:01 pm UTC on DraftKings
1st Q Spread1st Quarter San Antonio -3 -135
WIN
Unit1.0
David's Analysis:

Historically, this is a good bounce-back spot. Dating back to post Covid in 2021, home favorites who lose Game 1 are 19-3 in the first quarter of Game 2. Against the spread, the number is 14-8 in favor of the bounce-back spot.

Pick Made: May 06, 6:33 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
PointsDylan Harper Over 10.5 Total Points -130
WIN
Unit1.0
+608
14-7 Last 21 NBA Player Props
David's Analysis:

Over his last four playoff games, Spurs' Dylan Harper is averaging 27.5 minutes off the bench. He's hit 10+ points in four of his last five games and in 15 of his last 18 games, seeing extended minutes. In Game 1, he had 18 points on 13 FGA and is averaging 10 attempts a game over his last four games.

Pick Made: May 06, 3:52 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
PointsDylan Harper Over 10.5 Total Points -125
WIN
Unit1.0
+1255
19-6 Last 25 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. Dylan Harper’s role has grown for the Spurs throughout these playoffs, as the rotation has shrunk. The rookie lead the Spurs bench with 28 minutes in Game 1, as San Antonio opted to play only 7 guys more than 10 minutes. Harper should once again be in line for a strong role, against a Timberwolves defense that makes you beat them on the ball. Look for the rookie to follow up his 17-point performance with another strong game tonight.

Pick Made: May 06, 2:56 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PTS + REBRudy Gobert Under 19.5 Total Points + Rebounds -128
WIN
Unit1.0
+2157
127-88 Last 215 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

Rudy Gobert’s defensive prowess has been on full display during the playoffs. In Game 1, he came away with four steals and one block. However, he finished with a modest 17 combined points and rebounds. Over seven playoff games, he is averaging 7.6 points and 10.6 rebounds. He isn’t scoring much because he is averaging only 6.1 shot attempts per game. This is a difficult matchup against Victor Wembanyama, so look for Gobert to continue to provide minimal scoring contributions and hit this under.

Pick Made: May 06, 1:57 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
PTS + ASTDe'Aaron Fox Over 22.5 Total Points + Assists -128
LOSS
Unit1.0
+253.5
22-15 Last 37 NBA Player Props
Alex's Analysis:

Despite an extremely impressive regular season and opening round, San Antonio finds themselves down 0-1 to a very game and dangerous Timberwolves squad. De’Aaron Fox was often passive and I expect him to be significantly immortal aggressive in a must win Game 2. We saw glimpses of his potency in the opening round and I still contend that Fox is one of the best crunch time scorers in the league and capable of eclipsing this combo line in one half if he’s aggressive. This feels like a spot he’s going to put the team on his back. I also like his points line at 17.5 if you don’t have access to his PA.

Pick Made: May 06, 1:24 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Minnesota Timberwolves
Sunday, Apr 26, 2026
Avatar
SG
Donte DiVincenzo
AchillesOut
San Antonio Spurs
Wednesday, Feb 04, 2026
Avatar
SF
David Jones
AnkleOut
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