FanDuel. Davion Mitchell has been excellent for the Heat this season, clearing this line in 8/10 games, with 20+ points+assists in all ten contests. He’ll face a Jazz squad devoid of any plus defenders in the backcourt. Utah also plays at the ninth fastest pace, and is allowing the fourth most points in transition. Mitchell should thrive in this matchup.

FanDuel (-122). Jayson Tatum is over this line in 5/9 games. I’ll rarely bet props heavily rooted in qualitative factors, but I do expect the Celtics All Pro to be significantly motivated against his former teammate, Jaylen Brown tonight. Scoring wings have given the Sixers trouble, and Tatum should soak up all of usage he can handle tonight. Bet this to over 33.5, as Tatum has cleared this line in 4/5 with 33+ minutes, which I’m expecting tonight.

DraftKings. Alperen Sengun has cleared this line in 6/8 games this season. He’s averaging 14 potential assists and 55 frontcourt touches per game, a nice bump from last season (47 and 11, respectively) as the Rockets are committed to playing through him. This is an excellent spot for him to rack up the assists against the Nuggets who allow the fourth most (29). They rank last against catch and shoot opportunities and third to last against assists at the basket. Sengun has also struggled historically on the scoring front against Nikola Jokic, so I love him as a facilitator tonight.

DraftKings. Trae Young has a brutal matchup against a Pistons defense that limits what he does best/most. Detroit ranks third against pull-up shooters, second against pick and roll ball handlers, and allow the fewest assists per game. Young has been ceding more usage to the Wizards young wings as is, and he’s under this line in four of his last six games.

DraftKings. Jeremiah Fears is coming into his own to start his sophomore campaign. He’s cleared this line in five straight games, albeit without Dejounte Murray for three of those. Still, Fears’ usage rate has maintained at 25% in each of the two games since Murray has returned, and he’s played big minutes in each. I like the point guard in this matchup against the paint funnel Clippers, who allow the fourth highest rate of points at the rim. Fears is best when he gets downhill (and of course as a facilitator to easy looks at the basket).

DraftKings. Tyler Herro has at least three triples in seven of nine games this season, averaging 3.3 makes on 8.1 attempts per game. He’ll face a Celtics defense that ranks last in both opponent threes attempted and opponent three point rate.

Caesar’s. I’m going right back to Anthony Black on his points, rebounds and assists line tonight. The Magic guard just missed on this line on Thursday against the Suns, but left a lot of stats on the table in what was a poor all around game for the Magic as a whole. The Warriors have not been great defensively both against spot up and transition opportunities, two ways that Black accrues both points and assists line tonight - and they’re a plus matchup for opposing wing rebounds. This is solid spot for Black - I like this up to 24.5.

FanDuel. Let’s hop back on the Ajay Mitchell train tonight. With the same injury report as last night, and just as solid of a matchup. The Wizards allow the fifth most points to pick and roll ball-handlers while ranking above average against spot up opportunities. Mitchell has been ultra aggressive with the depleted roster, and I expect that to continue tonight. Bet it to over 19.5 points with confidence.

DraftKings. Coming off a game with only one three pointer made, I’m backing Toumani Camara to hit three triples tonight. Before last game, Camara had not missed on this line this season, hitting three triples in six straight. He’ll face the Lakers at home in what should be a solid spot. Los Angeles is allowing the ninth most three pointers taken, and the seventh highest catch and shoot three pointer frequency (thanks to the looming presence of Walker Kessler in the paint).

DraftKings. Ajay Mitchell has 20+ points in 4/5 games without Jalen Williams available. Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace and Jaylin Williams will also be out tonight, giving the Thunder few options on the scoring front outside of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. They’ll face the Grizzlies who do not help off ball and force ball-handlers to beat them - they rank 28th against pick and roll-handlers and first against catch and shoot opportunities. Mitchell’s shot profile (mid-range, non restricted area) also fits well against Memphis, who will wall off the basket. I expect Mitchell, who has a 27% usage rate and is averaging 18 drives over his last five games, to stay super aggressive tonight.

FanDuel. Onyeka Okongwu gets a nice matchup tonight against the Wizards who allow the third most rebounds per game. Okongwu just tagged them for 16 on Wednesday, albeit without Jalen Johnson who is questionable to play tonight. Even if he suits up, there is little depth behind Okongwu with both Jock Landale and Asa Newell both ruled out. The Hawks big has cleared this line in five of the last six, and was 15/22 to the over with 26+ minutes against teams in the bottom 12 of rebounds allowed last season. At plus odds with all of the injury upside, I love this spot.

DraftKings. Derrick White has not been producing this season, averaging 19.1 points, rebounds and assists in the games he’s played with Jayson Tatum. His usage rate is a pedestrian 18% in those contests, as he’s ceded the complementary usage to Paul George (27%). He’ll get a very slow matchup against the Hornets who do not allow many rebounds or assists (tenth and third fewest respectively). I’d bet this down to under 21.5.

FanDuel. I’m going to jump on Anthony Black’s points, rebounds and assists line tonight. The point guard has been thrust into a significant role with Jalen Suggs and Paolo Banchero both out with injuries, and has responded with 33 and 34 PRA over his last two contests. Tonight, he’ll face a Suns defense that’s come out of the gate slow, having been burned by perimeter players all season. Black should draw the softer defensive assignment as I expect Dillon Brooks to cover Franz Wagner.

DraftKings. Walker Kessler should be able to find enough opportunities tonight between the scoring surge of Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves. The big man has cleared this line in 5/8 games, but this shapes up to be a terrific matchup for his play-style. The Kings bleed points in transition (most in the NBA) and are bottom five against roll-men in the pick and roll.

FanDuel. Darryn Peterson has cleared this line in four straight games, with 24-26 PRA in each contest. Starting to take more of an on-ball role, I like the matchup against the Pelicans who’ve struggled against pick and roll ball handlers early (bottom ten in points per possession). New Orleans has also been a paint funnel, and they play at the third fastest pace.