FanDuel. Demar Derozan should be in an excellent spot to score tonight. As a midrange maestro, he’s cleared this line in 17/26 games against teams outside the top ten in defending both mid range scoring and pick and roll ball-handlers (7/10 without De’Aaron Fox). And without Domantas Sabonis (out) on the floor, DeRozan sees a 2.3% usage bump. The Kings wing put up 28 points on the Bucks earlier this season - I like him to serve as the Kings primary scorer tonight.

Caesar’s. Ryan Dunn has re-emerged as an important piece in the Suns rotation. Starting again, Dunn has 13+ points in each of his last four games. Even if Grayson Allen (questionable) suits up, the Suns will still be without Bradley Beal. And Dunn has cleared this line in 11 of his last 15 games with at least 22 minutes played. He’ll be needed defensively against the Cavs high-powered offense - and Cleveland does rank 22nd against spot up shooters (Dunn’s preferred playtype).

DraftKings. PJ Washington has cleared this line now in 7 of 10 games this season without both Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic. Coming back from his own injury, he’s put up 41 and 31 combined points and rebounds in the last two games for the depleted Mavericks, registering a 31% and 27% usage rate. He’ll now get the Pistons whom he had success against earlier this season (35 P+R with Kyrie Irving). I’d bet this up to over 27.5.

DraftKings. Austin Reaves has cleared this line in six of eight games without LeBron James this season. He missed last night in a tough spot against the Nuggets (second fewest rebounds allowed to guards this season) - but now he gets a great spot against Milwaukee. The Bucks allow the most rebounds to guards, as they force wings to have crash the boards from the weak side.

FanDuel. Bennedict Mathurin has cleared this line in four of five games without Tyrese Haliburton this season. With the Pacers point guard sidelined tonight, and Mathurin coming off back to back 20-point performances, I love this spot for the third-year wing. The Nets bleed transition points and free throws (bottom 8 in each) - Mathurin scores 53% of points via those two playtypes.

FanDuel. Kyle Filipowski has soared past this line with at least 30 combined points, rebounds and assists in each of the last six games without Walker Kessler in the lineup (out, rest). He’ll now get a pristine matchup against the Wizards who allow the most PRA to opposing centers. Even if the Jazz actually do trot out Lauri Markkanen, Collin Sexton and Jordan Clarkson tonight, it’s such a fantastic spot for Filipowski regardless. And being that this is a battle of the NBA’s two worst records, I do expect the Jazz to rest some more of their veterans.

FanDuel. It’s another game for the Knicks without Jalen Brunson, and another spot where I’m backing Mikal Bridges to clear his points line. Bridges has scored at least 19 points in five of the six games without Brunson this season, and has been very aggressive with 11 drives per game in those contests (he averages 5.6 over the course of of the season). The matchup tonight checks out, as the Spurs can’t defend anyone right now. Since the All Star Break, Santos Antonio has the worst defensive rating in the NBA.

DraftKings. Tobias Harris has cleared this line in 16 of his last 21 games, including 15 of 17 with at least 30 minutes of floor time. The matchup against Miami should be sound for Harris, as the Heat’s defense is predicated on taking away the pick and roll. Secondary scorers will have to step up, which should open up opportunit for Harris off of Cade Cunningham’s primary action.

DraftKings. PJ Washington returned from his injury absence to a massive 29 point, 12 rebound performance in 32 minutes. With him looking healthy, and the Mavs roster depleted, Washington seems destined for his typical 34-38 minutes against the Pacers. The fast Pacers (7th in pace) should pose a great opportunity for Washington to score inside - Washington garners 58% in the paint, and the Pacers allow the third most paint points). And Indiana allows the 11th most rebounds per game. Washington in general has cleared this line in six of nine games without Kyrie Irving and the departed Luka Doncic.

B365 @ -120. Terance Mann has found a nice groove with the Hawks, reaching double digit points in eight of his last eleven games (seven of ten with Trae Young). With both Caris LeVert and Clint Capela ruled out for this game, Mann should see some increased opportunity and minutes off the bench. He gets a soft matchup against Charlotte - the Hornets defense is faltering, ranking 27th overall the last 15 games.

FanDuel. So yesterday’s bet on Austin Reaves’ rebounds didn’t go as planned, but he did have 15 rebound chances (despite only grabbing 4). At a season long conversion % of 53.6%, it’s safe to say that we were served a bad beat. Nevertheless, I’m back on Reaves tonight on a higher line (5.5) in an even better matchup. The Spurs have allowed the fifth most rebounds to their opponents since the all-star break. Reaves is still over this line in 6/7 without LeBron James this season (and 2/3 with Luka Doncic in that subset).

Ryan Dunn has cleared this line in 12 of 18 games with just 22 minutes played this season. He’s coming off consecutive games in the starting lineup, and I don’t expect that to change tonight against Toronto, with both Bradley Beal and Grayson Allen ruled out. In those last two games, Dunn has 12 and 16 shot attempts (with 17 combined three point attempts). That type of volume is tough to ignore, especially with the high usage Beal out of the lineup. The Raptors don’t pose much of a defensive threat either.

DraftKings. With Josh Giddey doubtful for tonight’s game against Utah, I’m firing on Tre Jones to clear this points plus assists line. Jones has cleared this number in four of his last five, including 24 and 25 P+A performances without Giddey the last two games. He’s been super aggressive with the ball, driving to the basket 29 times over the last two contests. It’s a great spot against a Jazz team that has been awful against point guards all season (most points plus assists allowed to the position group). I’d bet this up to over 20.5 P+A, or over 13.5 points as an alternative.

DraftKings. I’m going right back to Cason Wallace after he we cashed his PRA prop yesterday. The Thunder will still be without Jalen Williams, as well as Lu Dort tonight, although Chet Holmgren is returning (and Aaron Wiggins is questionable). Wallace has cleared this line in 8 of his last 11 games overall, and 14 of his last 20 games with at least 26 minutes played. With the Thunder missing some key pieces, his minutes floor tonight should be stable, against a Bucks team that has struggled against guards all season. I’m also good with Wallace on his points (10.5) line.

FanDuel. Austin Reaves has now cleared this line in all six games he’s played without LeBron James this season (with at least six boards in each). Even with Luka Doncic and Jaxson Hayes expected back in the lineup today, Reaves is coming off three consecutive games with eight rebounds. Even in a tougher spot on paper against the Suns, Reaves is averaging 6.3 rebounds per 36 minutes without both LeBron and Anthony Davis on the court this season (326 minute sample).