Darryn Peterson has had an underwhelming start to his NBA career but he’s locked into a high usage role on an uptempo offense and I expect much better days ahead, starting tonight against the Grizzlies. This game should be competitive and features a 237.5 point total. I expect Peterson to be much more aggressive looking for his shot tonight. This number feels much closer to his floor in what should be a good matchup for the talented rookie.

This is a big line for Jaden McDaniels who finds himself on a Wolves team surrounded by high usage players. It’s also a difficult matchup as Orlando has historically defending the wings very effectively. There are no shortage of high volume scorers on the Wolves.

Anthony Davis looked sensational in his Washington Wizards debut and I like his chances of having another big performance. He was receiving MVP chants and while that may be a little premature, I believe as long as he’s healthy he’s set for big production as the clear focal point of Washington’s offense. Having a legitimate point guard in Trae Young will also be helpful in getting him easy looks. I’d play this at 22.5 as well.

I like this spot for Giannis making his debut with the Miami Heat tonight in what could be a fun game. The Wolves added additional offensive firepower and pace after acquiring LaMelo Ball in the offseason. I expect Minnesota's offense to improve and Giannis finds himself as the centerpiece of a Heat team that’s lacking scoring.

Jalen Williams had an injury marred disappointing 2025-26 season where he was clearly operating at less than 100% after finishing All-NBA Third Team the season prior. Williams looked like that version of himself in the preseason and I expect him to return to form. He should be locked into a high usage role in a game that projects to be competitive and a potential WCF preview.

This feels like a natural spot to fade Alex Caruso, who has inarguably had the best series of his career, especially from a scoring standpoint against San Antonio. Caruso has never averaged 11 PPG in a single season, nor has he done that in a playoff series, so needless to say this is a lofty line for him. Role players typically struggle on the road and I expect Caruso to come back down to earth tonight.

This is a significantly discounted combination line for De’Aaron Fox who has eclipsed this in his last six postseason games, including both appearances in the Western Conference Finals. After missing the first two games of this series, Fox logged 31 minutes in consecutive games and had Game 4 not been a blowout he was set to play more, indicating he appears to be operating without limitations. I was very encouraged by how he’s played and think this combo line presents strong value.

Chet Holmgren had a very disappointing Game 1 performance against the Spurs, however I expect him to bounce back tonight. Chet is averaging 17 PPG in the playoffs and has cleared this number in 7/9 postseason games. Im betting on him having a much more inspired performance.

Donovan Mitchell has played well throughout the playoffs, however I’ll be fading him in Game 1 versus the Knicks. Mitchell is averaging 25.6 in the postseason and has largely played well but this is a big line for Mitchell who is facing an elite Knicks perimeter defense. New York held Tyrese Maxey to just 18 PPG in the conference semifinals and the combination of OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges have proven to be an elite defensive tandem. This is a very tough matchup for Mitchell.

Ajay Mitchell has eclipsed this scoring prop in 7/8 Thunder playoff games, including seven consecutive games. Mitchell is essentially a rookie and has proven to be a tremendous natural scorer who has provided the Thunder with a secondary scoring option. Even with Jalen Williams back in the lineup, I still expect Mitchell to play 25-30 minutes.

We’ve unsuccessfully faded Harris twice in this series but I am not afraid to go right back to the proverbial well again. While Harris has been a reliable secondary scorer, these numbers are not sustainable and he is a regression candidate. I prefer to attack his PRA line due to his RA numbers being inflated as well.

This is a significantly discounted combination line for Julius Randle who has been mostly a non factor throughout this series. With that being said, this feels much closer to his floor considering he’s averaging 23 PRA in this series coupled with dismal shooting splits of 37%/27%. Minnesota is going to need Randle to step up tonight in a pivotal Game 5.

Tobias Harris has provided the Pistons with a reliable secondary scoring option, however I think he’s a significant regression candidate. With the Cavs down 0-2 and the series heading back to Cleveland, I expect a more inspired effort from the Cavs and I don’t think Harris can sustain his current level of output.

Tobias Harris has been sensational for the Pistons throughout the postseason and has seen his scoring average rise over 8 PPG. While he’s playing more and his usage is up, that’s simply unsustainable considering his usage rate, thus hes a regression candidate. This is a bloated line and I would fade him at 17.5 as well.

Despite an extremely impressive regular season and opening round, San Antonio finds themselves down 0-1 to a very game and dangerous Timberwolves squad. De’Aaron Fox was often passive and I expect him to be significantly immortal aggressive in a must win Game 2. We saw glimpses of his potency in the opening round and I still contend that Fox is one of the best crunch time scorers in the league and capable of eclipsing this combo line in one half if he’s aggressive. This feels like a spot he’s going to put the team on his back. I also like his points line at 17.5 if you don’t have access to his PA.