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Alex Selesnick

PropStarz

An experienced poker player, Alex Selesnick (aka PropStarz) specializes in NFL, MLB and NBA prop betting, where he implements a combination of research, statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. He is arguably the nation's No. 1 props expert. Since joining CBS Sports in 2021, PropStarz has delivered consistent winners on SportsLine.com and "The Early Edge," the popular daily betting show. He is 417-297 (plus 77.28 units) in MLB entering the 2025 baseball season, and 524-418 (plus 44.8 units) in the NFL. PropStarz also is coming off back-to-back monster NBA seasons that saw him go 490-353 on prop bets (plus 75.73 units). In addition, PropStarz called the Pacers' improbable run to the NBA Finals. He told everyone in the SportsLine Discord to back Indiana in every Eastern Conference playoff series, including as huge underdogs to top-seeded Cleveland. PropStarz appears regularly on CBS Sports HQ and "The Early Edge" and publishes frequent articles with sophisticated analysis on SportsLine.com. For Alex Selesnick media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

61-42 in Last 103 NFL Player Props Picks
+1098.5
RECORD: 61-42-0
# 4 NFL EXPERT
+1098.5
61-42 in Last 103 NFL Player Props Picks

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Alex's Past Picks
Jan 09 2026, 1:00 am UTC
League
Cleveland
122
@ Minnesota
131
Analysis:

This is a difficult matchup for Evan Mobley who has been in a bit of a scoring slump recently. I would also consider things a difficult matchup against a Timberwolves team that ranks 4th in Defensive Rating, in addition to guarding opposing front court players well.

Pick Made: Jan 09, 12:41 am UTC on Caesars
Jan 06 2026, 12:30 am UTC
League
Atlanta
100
@ Toronto
118
Analysis:

Another massive combo line that I like fading, this time for Jalen Johnson. Johnson has been sensational but considering that he can finish 12 Reb/7 Assists and we still win this. I would play this down to 18.5 at a half unit.

Pick Made: Jan 05, 6:35 pm UTC on DraftKings
Jan 06 2026, 12:00 am UTC
League
New York
90
@ Detroit
121
Analysis:

Miles McBride is having a strong season while averaging a career high in PPG, while shooting a blistering 45% from behind the arc. He looks set to see 30+ minutes as the Knicks will be without Josh Hart. McBride has averaged 16 PPG in games without Josh Hart in the lineup. This game projects to be competitive and is featuring the top two teams in the Eastern Conference.

Pick Made: Jan 05, 6:41 am UTC on DraftKings
Dec 21 2025, 8:30 pm UTC
League
Chicago
152
@ Atlanta
150
Analysis:

Jalen Johnson has been absolutely on fire recently and while he’s certainly an All-Star caliber forward, this combo line is approaching Luka Doncic territory. Even in an up tempo game environment, I would fade Johnson at this number, especially considering Trae Young is back in the Hawks lineup.

Pick Made: Dec 21, 6:07 pm UTC on DraftKings
Dec 05 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
Minnesota
125
@ New Orleans
116
Analysis:

Rudy Gobert, once a model of consistency, has been inconsistent in his 13th season. Gobert gets a soft matchup, however the Timberwolves are significant favorites which provides additional blowout opportunities. This number ultimately feels high for Gobert at this stage of his career.

Pick Made: Dec 04, 11:45 pm UTC on Caesars
Dec 03 2025, 12:30 am UTC
League
Portland
118
@ Toronto
121
Analysis:

Deni Avdija has been sensational for the Trailblazers and is very likely to make his first All-Star appearance. While the 6th year veteran seemingly gets better every game, this is a tall order for Avdija who has failed to eclipse this line in 15/20 games. Even in a paced up environment, this number is closer to Avdijas ceiling.

Pick Made: Dec 02, 10:47 am UTC on DraftKings
Nov 25 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
Minnesota
112
@ Sacramento
117
Analysis:

Russell Westbrook continues to play big minutes for a struggling Kings team and to his credit is still capable of stuffing the stat sheet. That being said, Russ has been very inefficient and gets a tough matchup against one of the better defenses in the league in Minnesota in a game with blow out potential. I believe Russ is playing above his head at the moment and is a regression candidate.

Pick Made: Nov 24, 2:43 pm UTC on BetMGM
Nov 22 2025, 2:30 am UTC
League
Denver
112
@ Houston
109
Analysis:

Aaron Gordon has been playing great basketball but he’s a regression candidate and considering the price point here and that he’s a sub 34% shooter from the perimeter, I will continue to go back to the proverbial well. This is also a tough matchup versus a Houston defense that plays slow as they rank bottom five in pace of play/possessions per game. Will take fade AG threes as long as it’s plus money and set at 1.5.

Pick Made: Nov 21, 10:11 pm UTC on DraftKings
Nov 21 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
Sacramento
96
@ Memphis
137
Analysis:

This looks like a good buy low for Zach LaVine coming off of two consecutive duds and as a result we’re getting a discount on his scoring line. LaVine gets a friendly matchup against a Grizzlies team that ranks 20th in Defensive Efficiency and rank 10th in pace.

Pick Made: Nov 20, 3:15 pm UTC on FanDuel
Nov 20 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
Sacramento
99
@ Oklahoma City
113
Analysis:

This is a big number for Russell Westbrook in what is a brutal matchup against the leagues best team and defense in Oklahoma City. We’re also working with an 18.5 point favorite so there is some serious blowout risk as here as well.

Pick Made: Nov 20, 12:21 am UTC on BetMGM
Nov 19 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
Memphis
101
@ San Antonio
111
Analysis:

This is a big combination line for Harrison Barnes at this stage of his career. Barnes seemingly will get increased usage without Wemby in the lineup, however his splits with and without Wemby remain nearly identical.

Pick Made: Nov 18, 7:31 pm UTC on BetMGM
Nov 19 2025, 12:30 am UTC
League
Detroit
120
@ Atlanta
112
Analysis:

This is big combo line for Jalen Johnson, however the 4th year star has been playing lights out since Trae Young suffered an injury. Without Young in the lineup, Johnson is averaging over 40 PRA and his playmaking is on full display handing out 7.5 assists, in addition to 22 points and 11 rebounds. In a game that projects to be competitive, I like Johnson’s chances of stuffing the stat sheet once again.

Pick Made: Nov 18, 7:23 pm UTC on BetRivers
Nov 19 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Golden St.
113
@ Orlando
121
Analysis:

Steph Curry continues to play tremendously even this stage of his career. Unsurprisingly Steph’s game has aged well and the NBA legend is averaging a robust 27 PPG. While Steph is capable of heating up every night, 28 points is a tall order, especially in a difficult matchup that is likely to be paced down. After a slow start, the Magic have looked much better over the last 5 games and are their defense has been excellent. I’d make this line 25.5.

Pick Made: Nov 18, 7:14 pm UTC on DraftKings
Nov 18 2025, 2:00 am UTC
League
Chicago
130
@ Denver
127
Analysis:

Aaron Gordon has been sensational for the Nuggets and is averaging a career high 2.5 made threes per game, while shooting a blistering 47.5% from the arc. While Gordon has been awesome, he is a significant regression candidate as he is a career 33% shooter from three and he didn’t become Steph Curry in the offseason. Considering the price point and blowout potential, I am likely to fade him at this number anytime it’s plus money.

Pick Made: Nov 17, 7:20 pm UTC on FanDuel
Nov 18 2025, 12:30 am UTC
League
Charlotte
108
@ Toronto
110
Analysis:

We’re getting a significant discount on this combination line for LaMelo Ball who did miss 5 games as a result of an ankle injury, however this will be his 2nd game back. LaMelo played 27 minutes on Friday night and I expect that number to land somewhere between 32-34 for a game that projects to be high scoring and a paced up environment. Ball is averaging just shy of 39 PRA which is in line with what he’s averaged the last 2+ seasons.

Pick Made: Nov 17, 2:24 pm UTC on FanDuel
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