

Mike Barner
NBA Guru
Mike is a nationally-acclaimed NBA Fantasy expert, both season-long and DFS, who uses in-depth knowledge of every roster to find betting advantages. He is coming off a pair of dominant NBA seasons in which he went 407-314 on prop bets, returning $3,628 to $100 bettors. Twice recently, Mike was nominated for Basketball Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. Mike's work has appeared in Sports Illustrated as well as on Yahoo and RotoWire. Mike appears regularly on "Early Edge," SportsLine's popular daily betting show, as well as CBS Sports HQ. For Mike Barner media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
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Mike's Past Picks
Cooper Flagg has had a difficult schedule, with three of his four full games coming against the Rockets and Thunder. In each of those games, he scored at least 26 points. He is averaging 26.8 points for the season despite an injury limiting him to just 17 minutes in a game against the Pacers. Even in those limited minutes, he scored 14 points against them. The Kings have the second-worst defensive rating in the league and Flagg could receive even more scoring opportunities if Kyrie Irving (knee), who is questionable, sits out. This could be a 30-point performance for Flagg.
The Timberwolves need more scoring from Jaden McDaniels with Anthony Edwards (knee) out. LaMelo Ball also isn’t playing well, shooting 39.3% from the field and scoring just 14.4 points per game. McDaniels scored at least 19 points and attempted at least 15 shots in all three games since Edwards was sidelined. The Bucks play at the second-fastest pace and have the fourth-worst defensive rating in the league, making this a favorable matchup for McDaniels to score at least 18 points again.
Tyrese Maxey has scored at least 26 points in all seven games this season. Joel Embiid (foot) didn’t play Saturday against the Hornets and Maxey stepped up to score 38 points over 38 minutes. Embiid is questionable against the Bulls, and it might make sense for the 76ers to give him extra rest because they should still be able to defeat the Bulls without him. There is blowout concern here, but the Bulls play at the fastest pace and have the third-worst defensive rating in the league, so I still like Maxey’s chances of hitting this over.
After missing one game with a quadriceps injury, Rui Hachimura posted 12 points and five rebounds against the Timberwolves on Friday. He only played 26 minutes, but that was likely because of the lopsided score. He averages 5.8 rebounds per game for the season, which has been aided by him playing 30 minutes a night. The Warriors are resting Stephen Curry and Draymond Green for this game, so the Clippers will have a better opportunity to keep things close. With around 30 minutes likely in the cards for Hachimura, this over is appealing.
The Celtics run their offense through Jayson Tatum. He dished out at least seven assists in four of five games this season. The one time he didn’t, he finished with six assists while playing only 28 minutes in a blowout win over the Bulls. The Magic have not been good defensively, posting the sixth-worst defensive rating in the league. That has contributed to them allowing the most assists per game. In what I think will be a competitive game, I like Tatum to play enough to receive ample opportunities to reach this over.
Cedric Coward averaged 13.6 points and 5.9 rebounds in just 26 minutes per game last season. This season, he has seen his playing time increase to 30 minutes a night. That has helped him average 14.3 points and 9.0 rebounds. The potential for him to play around 30 minutes against the Kings leaves him with the potential to produce a juicy stat line. They have the third-worst defensive rating and have allowed the sixth-most rebounds per game. When he faced them last weekend, he produced 17 points and 11 rebounds over 32 minutes.
Aaron Wiggins will be a key part of Atlanta’s second unit this season. He averaged 26 minutes over their first six games, which is on pace to be the highest mark of his career. That helped him score at least 12 points five times. Overall, he is averaging 15.5 points while shooting 51.5% from the field and 46.2% from behind the arc. The Hawks and Pelicans are two of the top seven teams in the league in pace of play, while the Pelicans rank 19th in defensive rating. Wiggins is in a favorable position to score at least 12 points.
Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) is out, and Lauri Markkanen (wrist) is questionable for the Jazz. With them sidelined Wednesday against the Spurs, Keyone George set season-highs in points (31) and shot attempts (27). That was his third straight game with at least 24 points. Even if Markkanen returns, the absence of Jackson should continue to leave George with an elevated usage rate. He continues to improve his efficiency by shooting 49.4% from the field and 41.2% from three this season, so take this over.
Norman Powell has averaged at least 21.7 points in back-to-back seasons. The Bulls brought him in to shoot three-pointers and be one of their leading scorers, and he has done just that. Over five games, he is averaging 21.6 points and 8.2 three-point attempts. When he faced the Celtics on Monday, he scored 20 points despite only playing 24 minutes in a lopsided loss. The Celtics allow the most three-point attempts per game in the league, which is not a new trend because they allowed the fourth-most per game last season. Last season, Powell scored 18, 26 and 24 points in three meetings with them. He comes into this matchup with significant scoring upside.
The Celtics beat the Bulls 134-99 on Monday, leaving Derrick White to play only 18 minutes. Still, he finished with six rebounds and four assists. After averaging 4.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists in 34 minutes per game last season, the veteran guard is averaging 4.0 rebounds and 6.3 assists over just 30 minutes a night in the early going this year. I think the Bulls will be more competitive in this rematch, so with the possibility that White at least approaches 30 minutes, this wager is worth the risk at these odds. The Bulls play at the fastest pace in the league and are second-to-last in defensive rating.
Tyrese Maxey averaged 28.3 points per game last season. When the 76ers added Jaylen Brown and LeBron James during the offseason, it seemed like Maxey was ticketed for a lower usage rate. That hasn’t been the case with him attempting 21.2 field goals and 7.4 free throws a game. He is averaging 28.4 points, scoring at least 26 points in each of his five games. That included a 28-point performance against the Knicks in his season opener. He should play a lot in what has the makings of a close game, meaning the over is the way to go with this prop. He has a path to 25+ points.
Cameron Boozer averaged 33 minutes over his first four games in the NBA. The Grizzlies are leaning heavily on their star rookie, but he is only shooting 27.9% from the field. Despite his shooting struggles, he is finding other ways to impact games. Not only is he averaging 10.5 rebounds, but he has dished out at least four assists in each game. It helps that he is playing alongside Ty Jerome, who is shooting 50.6% from the field and averaging 29.8 points. Kings big man Domantas Sabonis racked up 10 assists in a matchup with the Trail Blazers last week, so I’ll pay the juice for Boozer to emerge from this matchup with at least four dimes.
The Pelicans will have their hands full with another star center in Domantas Sabonis. Their last two games were against the Nuggets, with Nikola Jokic posting 23 and 25 combined rebounds and assists. Jaren Jackson Jr. of the Jazz, who is not a good rebounder for a player of his size, had 10 rebounds against New Orleans last week. In their season opener against the Pacers, Ivica Zubac torched them for 15 rebounds. Sabonis is averaging 16.5 rebounds and 7.3 assists through four games, so he can dominate this matchup.
The Jazz announced Tuesday that Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) will be out for at least six weeks. Complicating matters for them is that Lauri Markkanen (wrist) is listed as day-to-day. Even with them in the fold, Keyonte George scored at least 22 points in three of Utah’s first four games. The Spurs are a good defensive team, but George averaged 27.0 points in three meetings with them last year. The Spurs could also have tired legs, considering that this is the second game of a back-to-back set for them. With an elevated usage rate at home, I like George’s chances of scoring at least 21 points.
The Rockets might deploy more small lineups for this game with Alperen Sengun (back) and Steven Adams (calf) out. Amen Thompson has already been great on the boards, posting at least 10 rebounds in three of his four games. In addition to his rebounding prowess, he is averaging 17.0 points while shooting 53.2% from the field. The Bucks play at the second-fastest pace in the league and are 19th in defensive rating, so there should be ample opportunities for Thompson to score and grab rebounds.













