Adam Thompson

Staff Analyst

Adam Thompson is a thoughtful, Midwestern-based handicapper who destroyed sportsbooks with his MLB picks in 2018. SportsLine's top MLB handicapper hit on 61 percent of his money line picks all season for a profit of $4,062 to $100 players (+$3,655, 60 percent for all picks), ending the season on a 22-4 run, including 100 percent on World Series games. He's also run red-hot streaks in the NFL and college football. Previously the award-winning sports editor of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, Adam spent nearly 20 years covering the NFL, MLB, NBA and major college sports. Now he's sharing the insight he gained with SportsLine members, through well-reasoned picks and thought-provoking articles.

89-70-1 IN LAST 160 NBA PICKS | +1154

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Adam's
Picks

Arizona -111 ARI -111

Arizona 2 @ San Diego 3
5/22
ARI 2 @ SD 3
5/22
LOSS
YESTERDAY 10:53 PM

Matt Strahn has been great as a starter this season, but he remains on a limit and his home ERA is two runs higher than his road split. San Diego isn't a good-hitting team in any park, but at Petco the Padres are batting .220 and averaging 3.4 runs per game. Arizona, meanwhile, crushes left-handed pitching, with an .850 OPS, and Zack Greinke has tossed nine quality starts in a row with a 1.92 ERA in that span.

5-1 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +454

8-5 IN LAST 13 ARI ML PICKS | +203

Milwaukee -2.5 MIL -2.5

Milwaukee 102 @ Toronto 120
5/22
MIL 102 @ TOR 120
5/22
LOSS
Mon 5/20

The Raptors were favored by 2.5 in Game 3, now the Bucks are giving 2.5 for Game 4. That's because everyone saw how the Raptors had to give everything they had, how Giannis was a non-factor offensively before fouling out, how the Bucks made more mistakes than usual, and how it resulted in a double-OT Toronto win. Milwaukee plays average for itself and the Bucks win. Depth is a huge advantage for the Bucks, and it's going to especially pay off on one day's rest after the long Sunday night epic. Expect Giannis is going to respond from his rough outing, too.

89-70-1 IN LAST 160 NBA PICKS | +1154

8-3 IN LAST 11 MIL ATS PICKS | +470

11-8 IN LAST 19 TOR ATS PICKS | +210

Atlanta -131 ATL -131

Atlanta 4 @ San Francisco 1
5/21
ATL 4 @ SF 1
5/21
WIN
Mon 5/20

The Braves start Mike Soroka, who would be the Cy Young Award winner if the season ended now. He's allowed four earned runs in six starts, and he's been just as good on the road as at home. The Giants counter with lefty Andrew Suarez, who compiled a 6.33 ERA at Triple-A before being called up for this game. The Braves rank fourth in MLB in hitting agasint LHPs, including a big .806 OPS. They also average 1.6 more runs on the road than the Giants do at home.

5-1 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +454

23-5 IN LAST 28 ATL ML PICKS | +2057

Texas -146 TEX -146

Seattle 9 @ Texas 10
5/21
SEA 9 @ TEX 10
5/21
WIN
Mon 5/20

Mike Minor has been great at home, where he sports at 1.88 ERA and .202 average allowed. No team has hit more HRs than the Mariners, but Minor has allowed just one longball at home in 28.2 innings, and the Mariners' offense is in the midst of a cool streak. Mike Leake was shelled by Texas in his one start earlier this year. Leake has pitched well of late, but the Rangers a top-three team when it comes to hitting right-handed pitching.

5-1 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +454

21-9 IN LAST 30 TEX ML PICKS | +1062

Philadelphia +104 PHI +104

Philadelphia 5 @ Chi. Cubs 4
5/21
PHI 5 @ CHC 4
5/21
WIN
Mon 5/20

Jake Arrieta returns to Wrigley Field, where he dominated for the Cubs before joining the Phillies in 2018. He'll face Yu Darvish, a pitcher who has not thrown well at Wrigley, including posting a 6.38 home ERA in four starts. These offenses are even enough (if Baez doesn't play for Chicago, that's a huge Philadelphia boost). With the wind blowing straight in, that limits the homer-or-nothing Cubs offense more than it does Philly's.

5-1 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +454

18-9 IN LAST 27 PHI ML PICKS | +833

18-12 IN LAST 30 CHC ML PICKS | +379

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