Adam Thompson

Staff Analyst

Adam Thompson is a thoughtful, Midwestern handicapper. Previously the award-winning sports editor of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, Adam spent nearly 20 years covering the NFL, MLB, NBA and major college sports. Now he's sharing the insight he gained with SportsLine members, through well-reasoned picks and thought-provoking articles.

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3 Picks on Upcoming Games
San Diego @ Colorado
Oakland @ Texas
San Antonio @ Golden St.

Arizona -165ARI -165

San Diego 2 @ Arizona 6
4/22
SD 2 @ ARI 6
4/22
WIN
Sat 4/21

Arizona's offense is not the reason the Diamondbacks are in first place in the NL West. But Saturday presents a good opportunity to showcase its potential. San Diego veteran Clayton Richard has a 7.80 ERA over his last three starts, none of which lasted more than five innings. At Chase Field he has a career ERA of 6.20 and the D'backs are .305 against him. Arizona is second in the majors in runs scored against lefties. Zach Godley has allowed one or fewer runs in two of his three starts. Take Arizona.

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UNDER 8.5UNDER 8.5

Kansas City 4 @ Detroit 12
4/21
KC 4 @ DET 12
4/21
LOSS
Sat 4/21

Royals LHP Danny Duffy threw six scoreless innings in his last outing, and this time gets to face a Tigers offense that is batting .195 against lefties, worst in the majors. KC's offense isn't likely to explode on Detroit's Mike Fiers, who himself tossed six scoreless two starts ago and. The Royals are hitting a horrid .219 against righties and are dead-last in the AL in runs scored. Saturday's forecast calls for a slight wind blowing in at Comerica Park.

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OVER 8.5OVER 8.5

Toronto 1 @ N.Y. Yankees 9
4/21
TOR 1 @ NYY 9
4/21
WIN
Sat 4/21

The Yankees may be a disappointing 9-9, but it isn't due to the offense. They score runs, and they give up runs -- 11 straight Yankees games have totaled nine-plus runs. That streak isn't likely to end Saturday against the Blue Jays, whose offense ranks second in the AL in runs scored, and puts the struggling Marcus Stroman (7.98 ERA) on the mound. New York's Jordan Montomery is sporting a 6.30 ERA in his last two starts. To make matters more run-friendly, Toronto is batting .297 in day games, New Tork is .265. Take the Over.

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Houston -5HOU -5

Houston 105 @ Minnesota 121
4/21
HOU 105 @ MIN 121
4/21
LOSS
Fri 4/20

James Harden shot 2-of-18 in Game 2, and the Rockets beat the Timberwolves by 20. Houston is 6-0 against Minnesota this season, and four of those wins were by 18 or more. Both of their wins in Minnesota were by nine-plus points. This is, simply put, a terrible matchup for the Wolves. This one may be closer than Game 2, but I don't expect Harden to shoot 2-of-18 again. If needed, the Rockets will hit enough free throws late.

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Cleveland +1CLE +1

Cleveland 90 @ Indiana 92
4/20
CLE 90 @ IND 92
4/20
LOSS
Fri 4/20

The numbers will tell you the Pacers are the favorite for a reason: they're at home, they've had success against the Cavs this season and they can create matchups that can give Cleveland issues. What they seemingly fail to consider is LeBron James plays for the Cavs. Since 2015, LeBron and Co. are 18-3 on the road in the Eastern Conference playoffs. Cleveland is 13-6 against the spread as an underdog this season. Eventually, the Cavs' shooters will hit their shots, something that hasn't happened this postseason. Kevin Love isn't on the injury report and we're getting points with the Cavs against an opponent from the East. I'll take it.

17-12 IN LAST 29 NBA ATS PICKS | +434

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