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UCL Logo

UEFA Champions League Expert Picks

Past Picks

Nov 26 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
PSV
4
@ Liverpool
1
SpreadLiverpool -1.5 -118
LOSS
Unit0.5
+458.5
8-4 in Last 12 CHLG Picks
+293.5
4-1 in Last 5 CHLG ATS Picks
Martin's Analysis:

Liverpool desperately need a morale-boosting win after enduring a dismal run of results. The Reds have fallen into the bottom half of the Premier League table after losing six of their last seven games. Their EPL title defense now lies in tatters, but they’re still going strong in the Champions League. Liverpool have won three of their four Champions League games, and they beat Real Madrid last time out. The Reds are in a full-blown crisis, but they could take out their frustrations on PSV, whose defense is brittle.

Pick Made: Nov 24, 9:44 am UTC on bet365
Nov 26 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Atalanta
3
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
0
SpreadEintracht Frankfurt +0.25 -147
LOSS
Unit1.0
+483
10-4 in Last 14 CHLG Picks
+200
5-3 in Last 8 CHLG ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Do I feel I have found a bit of a system on hockey and soccer regarding home dogs ATS? For the most part, yes. But not blindly. I went chronologically on Tuesday in the UCL and first looked a good 20 minutes at Ajax. Didn't like what saw, so passed. Good thing. But Marseille :) As for Frankfurt (now I want a dog with sauerkraut, chili, mustard and onions), it is unbeaten in its past five in all competitions and kept two clean sheets in the past three. Serie A side Atalanta fired its manager, Ivan Juric, a couple of weeks ago basically because the Bergamo side kept drawing. It is winless in the past nine (mostly draws) if my math is right. #givemeadraw

Pick Made: Nov 25, 11:12 pm UTC on BetRivers
Nov 26 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Real Madrid
4
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
3
SpreadOlympiakos Piraeus +1 -115
PUSH
Unit1.0
+255
9-7-1 in Last 17 CHLG Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

We can't say Xabi Alonso didn't know what he was getting into at Real Madrid; he of all people knew having featured for several years at the Bernabeu. But the demanding support base wants to see more and senses a disconnect between Alsonso and his troops, who had to scramble to a 2-2 draw vs. Elche on the weekend in Liga. One complaint is not using Vinicius enough, but there's also a gnarly Olympiacos to worry about on Wednesday in Athens, especially as the wily Jose Luis Mendilibar has taken points off of Real Madrid before while at Valladolid, Eibar, and Osasuna. This one stay close in Greece. Play Olympiacos on Spread

Pick Made: Nov 26, 3:05 pm UTC on BetRivers
Nov 26 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Tottenham Hotspur
3
@ PSG
5
SpreadPSG -1.5 +110
WIN
Unit1.0
+255
9-7-1 in Last 17 CHLG Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

For the sake of Spurs fans, hoping Thomas Frank decides to do a bit more than on the weekend when Tottenham seemed almost content to hold down the scoreline vs. Arsenal. After a quick start this season, Frank is suddenly running afoul of the support base which can't seem to figure out what style of play Spurs are trying to implement; at least with Ange Postecoglu, Spurs fans knew what they were getting. Not the most promising scenario to head into the Parc des Princes, where holders PSG hold enough built-in advantages even before visiting managers decide it's no use. The pistons are firing for Luis Enrique, with PSG scoring three times in each of tis last two UCL outings. Play PSG on Spread

Pick Made: Nov 26, 6:32 am UTC on Caesars
Nov 26 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
PSV
4
@ Liverpool
1
SpreadLiverpool -1.75 -121
LOSS
Unit1.0
+255
9-7-1 in Last 17 CHLG Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

We know how it's going at Liverpool, in the completely wrong direction, especially in the EPL, where losses in six of seven have pushed Arne Slot's side into the bottom half of the table, and defense of the title now looking off the table. We don't have room to discuss Liverpool's many EPL ills...but those can seem to briefly go away in the Champions League, where the Reds recently saw off Real Madrid and are in a comfy qualifying position for the knockout phase. While not struggling as are fellow Eredivisie Ajax in this competition, PSV isn't tearing up the Champs League as it is at home, either, For one night, a chance for the misfiring Liverpool offense to get well. Play Liverpool on Spread

Pick Made: Nov 26, 3:37 pm UTC on bet365
Nov 26 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Bayern Munich
1
@ Arsenal
3
SpreadBayern Munich +0.25 -103
LOSS
Unit1.0
+255
9-7-1 in Last 17 CHLG Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Arsenal has been rolling in the EPL, but as good as the Gunners have been, Bayern Munich is looking even a bit better, with a goal difference of +33 in the Bundesliga and rolling to four straight Champions League wins, seeing off Chelsea and PSG along the way. Harry Kane also returns to London; a longtime nemesis of Arsenal from days with Spurs, he's notched 15 career goals vs. the Gunners (six of those at the Emirates). Arsenal progressing just as nicely in this competition, but can't pass up this chance to back Bayern Munich, as we're not likely to see a price like this for a while. Looking ahead...will this be a preview of the final in Budapest? Play Bayern Munich on Spread (+0.25)

Pick Made: Nov 26, 7:17 am UTC on bet365
Nov 26 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Atalanta
3
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
0
SpreadEintracht Frankfurt +0.25 -147
LOSS
Unit1.0
+53
4-3 in Last 7 CHLG Picks
Jon's Analysis:

Atalanta are not the team we saw qualifying for UCL last season. The team that was largely gutted is now sitting 13th on the Serie and is 18th on the UCL standings. Meanwhile, they're taking against a Frankfurt team who may be struggling, but is an absolute beast to take on when playing at home. Frankfurt fans are rowdy, and terrorize everyone who comes to their stadium. Finally finding their goal scoring boots once again, I expect Frankfurt to win outright, so I have no problem taking the spread.

Pick Made: Nov 26, 7:17 pm UTC on BetRivers
Nov 26 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Atalanta
3
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
0
Over/UnderOver 2.5 -150
WIN
Unit1.0
+454
9-5 in Last 14 CHLG O/U Picks
Jon's Analysis:

Frankfurt matches, like many Bundesliga matches in UCL this season, have been chalk full of goals. Their two home matches so far produced a total of 12 goals, as they were smacked by Liverpool at home 5-1, and smacked Galatasaray at home, 5-1 as well. We've seen one thing from manager Din Toppmoller and that is a foot on the gas strategy from start to finish in these big games. Neither team has a formidable defense, so this should be a game of goals with at least two needed by either side for victory.

Pick Made: Nov 26, 7:29 pm UTC on Caesars
Nov 26 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
PSV
4
@ Liverpool
1
SpreadPSV +1.75 -112
WIN
Unit1.0
+53
4-3 in Last 7 CHLG Picks
Jon's Analysis:

The short answer to that question in the title is yes, the longer answer is yet, but I don't think they'll fix it until the next transfer window. Liverpool spent an unprecedented amount of money on their attack. There's two problems with that. The first and more obvious, is their defense is just awful and disjointed right now. The second problem, is that all their attackers, want to play in the same area. There's no diversity in pitch positioning, and Liverpool's frontline all want to share the same space, which they can't do. They might win this, but PSV at a 1.75 spread feels like a gift until Liverpool fix things.

Pick Made: Nov 24, 9:38 pm UTC on BetRivers
Nov 26 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Bayern Munich
1
@ Arsenal
3
SpreadBayern Munich +0.5 -150
LOSS
Unit1.0
+53
4-3 in Last 7 CHLG Picks
Jon's Analysis:

If I was forced to bet on an exact scoreline, I'd bet on a 2-2 draw. The truth of the matter is, if this game ends in a draw, that's a good result for both sides. Both sides have pretty much guaranteed themselves a spot in the top eight, and the main concern for both ends is not to pick up any more injuries or suspensions. If the line was playable for Arsenal +.5, I would have taken that as well. I would stay off of either sides ML on this and just root for goals as we watch two of the best, of not the two best clubs in Europe. Bayern haven't lost all season, and I expect that to continue.

Pick Made: Nov 24, 9:35 pm UTC on Caesars
Nov 26 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Bayern Munich
1
@ Arsenal
3
Over/UnderOver 2.5 -135
WIN
Unit1.0
+454
9-5 in Last 14 CHLG O/U Picks
Jon's Analysis:

We have the classic "Unstoppable Force meets an Immovable Object" situation taking place at Emirates. Bayern Munich is regarded by many, the best attacking club in Europe. They have a scarily in form Harry Kane, Michael Olise. They have an insanely aggressive midfield. They have a Wunderkind in Lennert Karl. This team has played 18 matches this season and this over has hit in all 18. Meanwhile, Arsenal have played 4 UCL matches and haven't conceded yet. BUT. They're missing their best defender Gabriel to injury. Bayern Munich will not slow down and will take advantage of an Arsenal side missing their linchpin.

Pick Made: Nov 24, 9:17 pm UTC on Caesars
Nov 26 2025, 5:45 pm UTC
League
Monaco
2
@ Pafos
2
Over/UnderUnder 2.5 +130
LOSS
Unit0.5
+454
9-5 in Last 14 CHLG O/U Picks
Jon's Analysis:

Y'all know me. I hate betting unders and will do everything in my power to avoid having to play an under, but this is a good number for a match featuring Pafos in this competition. Pafos are one of the clubs that many people, myself included, had no expectations in this competition. Qualifying was a success and they were supposed to be the punching bag for a lot of clubs. However, they've shown everyone, that they can play ball, have a solid defense, and don't mind grinding for points. They've played four matches so far. Two have ended 0-0, and one ended 1-0. They did get smacked by Bayern Munich, but so does everyone. Monaco's attack has been poor, and Pafos will sit 11 back.

Pick Made: Nov 24, 9:06 pm UTC on Caesars
Nov 25 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Villarreal
0
@ Borussia Dortmund
4
Over/UnderOver 2.5 -138
WIN
Unit1.0
+458.5
8-4 in Last 12 CHLG Picks
Martin's Analysis:

This should be an entertaining game between two strong teams. Dortmund have scored 13 goals in four Champions League games this season, but they’ve also conceded 11 times. That means their UCL games have seen an average of six goals. They drew 3-3 with Stuttgart at the weekend, which underlined their attacking dynamism and defensive frailties. Villarreal could cause problems for Dortmund’s struggling defense. They’re now third in La Liga after beating Mallorca 2-1 at the weekend. They’ve scored 2 goals per game in the league this season, and they now need to replicate that form in the Champions League.

Pick Made: Nov 24, 9:37 am UTC on bet365
Nov 25 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Newcastle United
1
@ Olympique Marseille
2
SpreadOlympique Marseille +0.25 -135
WIN
Unit1.0
+483
10-4 in Last 14 CHLG Picks
+200
5-3 in Last 8 CHLG ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Should Marseille, sitting second in Ligue 1, be a home dog Tuesday? Obviously, the Olympians aren't much of one but I'm always jumping on a situation like this when the teams are fairly evenly matched and these are. They come in off back-to-back blowout domestic wins. Marseille only has three losses in its past 21 home European games (W13 D5). The Magpies, meanwhile, have won their last three Champions League matches without conceding a goal but have never won four straight in the competition. They might even be a bit flat off Saturday's shock upset of Manchester City. It's possible Anthony Gordon is back for Newcastle, but I feel pretty good about at least a draw -- and the French definitely need a point.

Pick Made: Nov 24, 11:49 pm UTC on BetRivers
Nov 25 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Newcastle United
1
@ Olympique Marseille
2
Money LineOlympique Marseille +190
WIN
Unit1.0
+291
5-3 in Last 8 CHLG ML Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

It's time for Marseille to make a move if L'Om want to make the next phase of the Champs League. Just three points from four matches has Marseille outside of the qualifiers for the KO phase, but Ligue Un form (second place) continues to be good, and romps past Brest and Nice in the last two (8-1 combined score) suggests the pistons are firing. Especially for controversial striker Mason Greenwood, once at Man U and familiar to the Toon but flourishing at the Velodrome and on pace to better his 21 goals last season. Newcastle is faring better in the Champs League than the EPL, and off a rousing win over Man City, but Eddie Howe has been feeling heat. Play Marseille on ML

Pick Made: Nov 25, 12:02 am UTC on FanDuel
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