Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
We'd think Arsenal, the only unbeaten team in this season's UCL (10 wins, two draws), would be fine with a draw Wednesday as it hosts the second leg semifinal next week. The Gunners trounced Atletico 4-0 in the league phase in London in late October, but they were playing at much higher level overall then (and it was 0-0 entering the 56th minute). In its past seven total games in all competitions, Arsenal has totaled five goals. Injury-plagued Kai Havertz (three goals in five UCL games) reportedly is out Wednesday. Atleti has lost only two of its past 18 home matches vs. English foes.
I can see it now. The whistle blows and kickoff begins at Metropolitano Stadium. Arsenal proceeds to park the bus and grinds this game to a halt playing for a nil-nil first leg. Arsenal knows that their success will happen in the second leg, back at home, in front of their supporters. They will do what we see them do so often, and that's try to minimize damage on the road and keep things close. Atletico Madrid does have a decent attack, and they have to know that their only chance of breaking ahead at home. I think this ends nil-nil, but if I had to pick a winner, I'd take this spread even with the juice, expecting very little offense from Arsenal.
While I'm expecting fireworks and goals galore in the PSG v Bayern fixture, I'm expecting almost nothing exciting to happen in this one. We have two defensive sided teams, with defensive minded managers. Arsenal especially have been the kings of the low scoring affairs as of late. Their two legs against Sporting saw a combined one goal over the two matches, and both their matches against Leverkusen saw the under 2.5 goals as well. Arsenal has no problem parking the bus on the road, especially in a game like this, and I'm expecting very little goals across both legs.

