Spain won their last three games in regulation time, despite playing against three of the world’s best teams: France, Belgium, and Portugal. The Spaniards are on a six-game winning streak, and they’ll be full of confidence after absolutely dominating France in the semifinals. They look vastly superior to Argentina in midfield. Of course, Argentina have elite attackers, but so do France, and the likes of Mbappé, Dembélé, and Olise couldn’t create anything against this relentless Spain team. They’re so neat and tidy in possession, and so disciplined and well-drilled out of possession, so they should win this game pretty comfortably.
England are unbeaten in 14 competitive games since Thomas Tuchel replaced Gareth Southgate as manager. The Three Lions haven't been at their best in recent weeks, but they keep finding a way to grind out results. The same is true of Argentina, but La Albiceleste's performances have been far more concerning. They needed a 111th minute own goal to beat Cape Verde, and they were lucky to secure a 3-2 comeback win against Egypt in the Round of 16. Argentina also needed extra time to beat 10-man Switzerland on Saturday, and they could struggle to deal with England's pace and physicality in this game.
This should be an entertaining game between two teams that are stacked with elite attackers. Lionel Messi leads the Golden Boot race after scoring eight goals in six games, while Julián Álvarez and Lautaro Martínez form a strong supporting cast. Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham have both scored six goals for England at this tournament, and they could overpower Argentina's Lisandro Martínez in this game. Over 2.5 goals has paid off in five of Argentina's six games at this tournament, as they're dangerous in attack and dreadful in defense. England also struggle to keep clean sheets, so +135 on over 2.5 goals looks great.
Over 2.5 goals has paid off in the last three games between these teams. France beat Spain 2-1 in the UEFA Nations League final in 2021, but Spain gained revenged with a 2-1 victory over France in the semifinals of Euro 2024. Spain then beat France 5-4 in the UEFA Nations League semifinals last year. France have scored 2.67 goals per game at the 2026 World Cup, and they should have enough firepower to unlock Spain's stubborn defense, with Kylian Mbappé leading the charge. Spain have scored 1.83 goals per game, and they're surging with momentum right now, so -110 looks like a tempting price on over 2.5 goals.
Spain should be too strong for Belgium in this game. La Roja are currently on a 36-game unbeaten streak, and they haven't conceded a single goal at this tournament. Belgium's attack is on fire, with 12 goals in their last three games, but it will be hard for them to breach this suffocating Spain defense. Belgium's defense looks vulnerable, so it will be hard for them to contain Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, and Mikel Oyarzabal, and Spain should win this game comfortably.
This should be an entertaining game between two high-scoring teams. Over 2.5 goals has paid off in all four of Norway’s games so far at this tournament, as they’re extremely dangerous in attack, but they struggle in defense. Over 2.5 goals has also landed in Brazil's last three matches, and the Seleção should be able to expose Norway's defensive weaknesses.
France should be far too strong for Paraguay. They’ve won all four of their World Cup games by convincing margins – 3-1 against Senegal, 3-0 against Iraq, 4-1 against Norway, and then 3-0 against Sweden in the Round of 32. That means they’ve scored at least three goals in every game so far, and they’ve only conceded 0.5 goals per game on average. Kylian Mbappé, Michael Olise, and Ousmane Dembélé are in magnificent form right now, so France should win this by at least two goals.
Morocco are on a long unbeaten streak, and these players know how to grind out results in big games. They did well to get past the Netherlands in the previous round, so they should be full of confidence right now. Canada aren’t playing on home soil anymore, so this could be the end of the road for them. They deserve a great deal of credit for getting this far, but Morocco have enough quality to beat them in Houston this weekend. It’s unlikely to be a high-scoring game, as the Moroccans are solid in defense, and the Atlas Lions should edge it.
Switzerland should play with confidence after topping their group. They could only draw with Qatar in their World Cup opener, but they absolutely dominated that game. The Swiss bounced back by beating Bosnia and Herzegovina 4-1 and Canada 2-1. They should have too much quality for Algeria, who finished third in their group. Algeria’s only win came against a weak Jordan team in the group stage, and they could come unstuck against this impressive Swiss team.
Portugal weren’t at their best during the group stage, but they should have enough quality to beat Croatia. They showed flashes of brilliance in a 5-0 victory over Uzbekistan, but they’ll be disappointed to draw with DR Congo and Colombia. Meanwhile, Croatia lost 4-2 to England, before bouncing back with narrow wins against Panama and Ghana. They’re a decent team, but they tend to struggle against elite opposition these days, and they could be outclassed by the likes of Vitinha, Bruno Fernandes, and Bernardo Silva in midfield.
This game will take place in San Francisco, and home advantage could be crucial for Team USA. Mauricio Pochettino’s men beat Paraguay 4-1 and Australia 2-0 in their first two group stage games, before resting a bunch of players in a meaningless 3-2 defeat to Türkiye. Their star players will now be fresh for this game against Bosnia and Herzegovina. The Bosnians drew 1-1 with Canada, lost 4-1 to Switzerland, and beat Qatar 3-1 in the group stage, but this will be their toughest test so far.
This promises to be an entertaining game between two high-scoring teams that struggle to defend. Over 2.5 goals paid off in all three of Senegal’s group stage games – a 3-1 loss to France, a 3-2 defeat to Norway, and a 5-0 win against Iraq. Belgium are coming off a heavy 5-1 win against New Zealand, which should boost their morale.
England have shown flashes of attacking brilliance during this tournament. They beat Croatia 4-2, drew 0-0 with Ghana, and then beat Panama 2-0. That means they’ve covered a 1.5-goal spread in two out of three games so far. They also covered a 1.5-goal spread in seven of their eight World Cup qualifiers. Going back further, The Three Lions have covered a 1.5-goal spread in 12 of their last 14 competitive matches. They have enough firepower to beat DR Congo, as Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane are in fine form right now, and they really should win this game comfortably.
Sweden began their group stage campaign with a 5-1 win against Tunisia, but they then lost 5-1 to the Netherlands. A 1-1 draw with Japan means they conceded seven games in three group stage games. That doesn't bode well for their chances of containing a world-class French attack. France are the World Cup favorites, and they scored 3+ goals in all of their group stage matches, so Les Bleus could run riot against this leaky Swedish defense.
Norway’s superior attacking firepower could make the difference in this game. They scored seven goals in their first two group stage games – a 4-1 win against Iraq and a 3-2 victory over Senegal – before resting 10 players for their 4-1 defeat to France this week. The likes of Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard will now be fresh for this game, and they could lead their team to victory over Ivory Coast. The Ivorians beat Ecuador and Curaçao in the group stage, but they lost to Germany, and they could struggle against another strong European team.
