DraftKings. It’s not a line he’s hit with regularity this season (only 5/12), but the noise is loud around the Eagles about their offense. Nick Sirianni reportedly got involved this week, and I’m banking on more running plays called for Jalen Hurts. We know what we can do in the tush push and scrambling, but I believe the eagles use more RPO’s to try to get a surprisingly dormant run game going. Hurts has made a career on responding to doubts - and I think that’s what he does tonight.

This has come down substantially to the point that we are getting some legitimate value at the Eagles, which have reached their lowest point. Not having Lane Johnson is an issue, but Philly's had an additional week to work on its run game. Let's not forget: Joe Alt is out for the Chargers, and Justin Herbert is playing with a cast on his non-throwing hand. While LA has a bunch of weapons, it's going to have trouble protecting Herbert against a ferocious defensive front. What happens if he lands poorly on that injured arm? This might be a last gasp, but the Eagles are the play here.

DraftKings. After coming back from an injury that cost him the beginning of the season, Nakobe Dean seems to have reclaimed his role as an almost every down off ball linebacker. Dean averaged 8.5 tackles per game in this role last season, and is coming off a 12 tackle performance in which he played 94% of the defensive snaps. He’s the Eagles best run play tackler, and I expect the Chargers to go run heavy to exploit the fact that the Eagles are without Jalen Carter. Plus, the Chargers are a solid matchup, allowing the ninth most tackles per game, and specifically the third most linebacker tackles (data per PFF).

We've seen a barrage of dog and over money for tonight's game between the Eagles and Chargers...I don't buy some of it. Justin Herbert will go but he's playing with a padded glove on a surgically repaired hand meaning he'll take the majority, if not all, his snaps from the gun. This may not sound like a big deal but it neutralizes play action from the Chargers attack. Meanwhile on the other side the Chargers love to play 2 high and force their opponents to be methodical...that plays well for a slow start. I know people see the names and want to anticipate points but I'll sell the perception to go under early on MNF.

Dallas Goedert has drawn just 11 targets over the past three games, with two catches in each. On Monday night he'll face a Chargers team that allows the fourth-fewest targets and catches to opposing tight ends. Even Brock Bowers last week only made four catches vs. LA.

No surprise here. Another Primetime under. Both of these offenses have struggled without their star OLs Lane Johnson & Joe Alt. The Chargers play the 3rd highest rate of zone coverage in the NFL, which is an effective scheme against Jalen Hurts. Their defense will force him to look underneath, or to beat them on the ground. The Eagles have an elite secondary, and Justin Herbert is nursing a fractured hand that could force the Chargers to go run-heavy. The Eagles play a heavy rate of man coverage, which Herbert sees his metrics drop against. This game is shaping up to be one decided by the defenses.

We’re already fading Saquon on the ground, however considering the low total and additional factors, I believe there is a strong likelihood A.J. Brown struggled here as well. Brown has come alive the last two games but is those were both very good matchups, which will not be the case against a Chargers defense that has surrendered the fewest yards to opposing WRs. Additionally the Chargers play a lot of zone coverage which Brown has been less effective against. Lane Johnson is also missing on the Eagles offensive line which is a huge loss as the Eagles have sputtered without him.

The Chargers aren't in a "must-win" spot here per se, but this is certainly a massive game for Jim Harbaugh's team. The fact Justin Herbert is playing a week after speaks volumes to the importance of this matchup. The total does too and the fact it's in the low 40's tells me we're going to see a lot of running the ball on both sides. If the Eagles come out trying to run with no Lane Johnson, I think they'll struggle against a strong Chargers defense. And I trust Harbs and Herbert to get the job done at home on Monday night.

Usually Justin Herbert to not throw an interception is a pretty pricey endeavor, because the Chargers QB is so notoriously good at protecting the football. But because of Herbert having surgery last week (on his non-throwing hand) we're getting a really good price on him here to protect the football. I think he'll get minimal pass attempts because of the overall game environment and the Chargers gameplan and when he does they should be short hitters. The Chargers won't want to risk him holding the ball a ton or giving the Eagles chances to flip the field with a turnover.

The Chargers are bringing back Omarion Hampton from injured reserve and as a result, the market presented some nice value for Kimani Vidal. There's almost no chance Hampton is going to be a full-blown workhorse in his first game back -- the carry prop numbers indicate as much -- and Vidal could absolutely get high-value touches against a physical Eagles defense in short-yardage areas on Monday night. At 3-1 I'm willing to speculate it on it and don't mind his first touchdown scorer price either. If Hampton gets banged up or there are negative pregame reports about Hampton's usage, this will look like a steal of a price.

With their quarterback fresh off a left-hand surgery, the Chargers need to make sure and get the ball out of Justin Herbert's hands as fast as possible on Monday night. There's no better way to do that than to feed Ladd McConkey, whose reception-per-game numbers are a little down this year. That's affording us a really nice price on the over 4.5 here at plus money. If Ladd is involved early we could get here by halftime.

FanDuel. Ladd McConkey has remained under this line in seven of 11 games in which the Chargers receiver room has been fully healthy. Running 64% of his routes out of the slot, he’ll arguably have the toughest individual matchup of Chargers pass catchers, against Cooper DeJean. The Eagles allow the eleventh lowest target rate to slot receivers, at the sixth lowest yards per reception (9.38), and second lowest yards per target (5.43). I expect the Chargers, who get Omarion Hampton back, to lean on the run against an Eagles front that’s missing Jalen Carter.

Bolts news first, as word from Chargers camp is that QB Justin Herbert is a go tonight despite the cast on his left wrist from last week. Practically speaking, this means that Herbert is likely to be taking snaps out of the shotgun, and not behind center. Herbert has played with this sort of limitation before and not been negatively impacted. The bigger question is the Eagles, who have hardly looked their Super Bowl form of last season, with OL issues limiting the damage caused by Saquon Barkley, and the defense in some level of distress after allowing the Bears to pound for 281 YR when winning on Thanksgiving Friday at the Linc. Play Chargers.

Jumping right to it, the main issue tonight at Inglewood is Justin Herbert, as the Bolts' QB has a cast on his left wrist. Word is he'll be in the lineup, but likely only able to take snaps out of the shotgun. Herbert, however, has dealt with this type of situation before. Meanwhile, the Eagles' defense was strafed by the Bears' running game to the tune of 281 YR on Thanksgiving Friday, and Philly has been giving indicators this is more a 2023 redux than 2022 or 2024. Still, note that Saquon Barkley and the offense had big nights the last time they played at So Fi (vs the Rams) last season, and this 41.5 total hardly looks prohibitive. Play Eagles-Chargers Over

Brown has kicked and screamed about his dismay with the Eagles offense and his role in it, but he's finally gotten his way. Over the past 3 games, Brown has 25 receptions on 33 targets for 292 yards & 3 TDs. He now has 5+ catches in 7/11 games he's played in this season. The Chargers play a heavy rate of zone coverage, so Brown should have opportunities to sit down in soft spots. The Eagles have lost consecutive games, and desperately need to find some consistency in their offense. I expect Brown to get plenty of target share in Primetime.

Herbert is currently 'questionable' to play as he deals with a fractured left hand, but was able to finish last week's game after sustaining the injury. He's a tough QB that's played hurt many times throughout his career. Herbert is likely going to have to take snaps out of the shotgun formation, and the Eagles pass rush is getting back to its ways since getting back Nolan Smith Jr. and acquiring LB Jaelan Phillips. The Chargers O-line has been in shambles since losing stud LT Joe Alt, so Herbert may be forced to take off. He is over this rushing yards mark in 9/12 games this season. I don't think a hand injury will stop Herbert from using his legs when he needs to.

After a dominant 2024 campaign topped off by an Eagles Super Bowl, Saquon Barkley has not been the same back this season. While his offensive line has been injured, he’s also not running nearly as effectively and his efficiency metrics has fallen off a cliff. He’ll face a Chargers rush defense that has been excellent and since Week 9 rank third in EPA allowed per rush. Saquon simply isn’t the same RB and this is a very tough matchup.

Justin Herbert, who broke his non-throwing hand last Sunday, intends to play. Playing well, given the constant harassment he has undergone this season, is another matter. Herbert has amassed more pressures and hits than any passer in the league. If he releases the ball earlier than usual to protect the hand, incompletions — and perhaps interceptions — could follow. Eagles stellar DT Jalen Carter is shelved with an injury, but L.A.'s shaky offensive line remains outmanned. Philly’s offense has hit the skids, with just 62 points tallied in the past four weeks. However, the Eagles should not require many scores here. Under coach Nick Sirianni, in projected close games (i.e., with spreads of three or fewer), the Eagles have covered 13 of 15 times. Whoa.

I expect this game to come down to who can protect their respective QB best, and which QB can supersede the pressure and situation, to make plays. In both instances, it keeps coming up Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles. I expect to be the game to really get them going for the duration of the regular season.

The Eagles have been in a slump since halftime of the Cowboys game, but this should be a spot where their defense can control the game and come away with the win. I love the matchup of the Eagles' excellent defensive front against this makeshift Chargers O-line, and I like it even more if Trey Lance is under center as Justin Herbert recovers from hand surgery. Even if it's Herbert, he's likely to come off the field in fourth-and-1 situations, where the Eagles would then have an even bigger advantage. If the Eagles focus on the rushing offense, they could have similar success to Jacksonville, a team that blew out the Chargers prior to its bye. This needs to be at least 3.