The line completely flipped here due to the injury report with the Commanders now down three starting receivers. While Washington has the far better defense, Dak Prescott has been incredible with 10 TD and 0 INT In his last three games. It’s a short turnaround for the visitors, whereas Dallas is getting full rest with CeeDee Lamb back in the fold along with a bevy of other key players. It’s been an up and down season for sure, but with the Cowboys eyeing .500 knowing they have a huge opportunity against an injured opponent, this is a must-win situation.

With injuries mounting to Washington's receiving corps, Chris Moore has run 21-plus routes in three straight games. Now the Commanders' top three wideouts are out and Moore has a golden opportunity at Dallas. Remember, this is a vet who has recorded two seasons with at least 424 receiving yards. Jayden Daniels should look for Moore often Sunday.

The Cowboys get back their star WR1 CeeDee Lamb but the value is all on George Pickens, who has scored in 5 straight games. Dak Prescott connected with Pickens for 9 receptions on 11 targets for 168 yards last week, and I expect them to keep it rolling against a very beatable Commanders secondary. The total in this game is a sky high 54.5, which implies the potential for a whole lot of touchdowns. At +155 to score a TD, I’ve gotta ride with Pickens to make it six in a row.

FanDuel. Jayden Daniels has cleared this line in two of his four full games this season. Without his top three wide receivers today, as well as his top receiving back, this matchup reads as one where Daniels will have to take off with the ball. Not only does this game against the Cowboys profile as a shootout (total of 54.5), but the Cowboys are also allowing their opponents the third most offensive plays per game. I don’t think the Commanders are ready to fully trust Bill Croskey-Merritt with a 20+ carry workload either.

Defense hasn't been a strength of either team here this season. Offensively, both sides have the playmakers and explosiveness to turn this game into a track meet. Back the over here.

Multiple receivers are going to have to step up into bigger roles for Washington today, but McCaffrey is one guy who is already making an impact on big plays with three TDs on the year. He's scored in three of the last four games despite only making eight catches this year, and he also has a 50-yard reception wedged in between. The Cowboys have surrendered 15 passing touchdowns, with six going at least 29 yards, so they are vulnerable to the big plays McCaffrey has made. If he's third among Washington WRs to score at your book like he is at FanDuel, he's a nice value play.

The Commanders are without their top three receivers on Sunday, but they still have an excellent QB going up against the defense that's allowed the most passing yards in the league. Someone is going to eat for Washington, potentially multiple players. The one I have the most confidence in is Moore, who saw a higher snap share than anyone but Deebo Samuel at the receiver position last week, and he proved a reliable weapon with 46 yards and a touchdown on three receptions. While Luke McCaffrey might be the guy to make a big play, I see Moore as the most consistent receiver for Washington in a great matchup and I expect him to get the 6-8 targets he needs to top this number.

Washington's offense was surely counting down the minutes to carving up the league's sorriest defense. Not anymore. The Commanders will be shy their three primary WRs with Deebo Samuels ruled out Saturday. In a contrasting development with Dallas, WR CeeDee Lamb. who exceeded 100 receiving yards in his first two games before an injury in Week 3, resurfaces. The beneficiary is QB Dak Prescott, who doesn't need much help in this rivalry. With Dak under center, the Pokes are perfect SU in six visits by the Commanders and 11-2 overall. His stat line in home games is dazzling: 17 TD throws, no picks. Dallas must compensate for a freak injury to CB Stephon Diggs, but the guests' WR dire situation softens the blow.

Short week for Washington and will be down its top three wideouts in Terry McLaurin, Deebo Samuel and Noah Brown. I went and looked at Luke McCaffrey props because of that (something I never expected to type even two months ago) but the books are still adjusting in that regard. A few other guys are iffy as well. The Cowboys are a joke defensively but have scored 40 in both at home. And now CeeDee Lamb is back.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt has scored in three of the six games this season. Now he has an amazing matchup against the Cowboys' defense. The Cowboys' defense gives up the most first downs or touchdown runs to running backs (32.4%). While JCM had a letdown spot against the Bears on Monday night, look for him to bounce back and find the endzone again in this pristine matchup.

We were correct last week in going against Dan Quinn the week prior to a division game. Now, I am going to be firmly planted in his camp with this being the week of a division contest. On top of Quinn's success throughout his career against familiar opponents, Offensive Coordinator, Cliff Kingsbury is also a specialist against the NFC East, going a perfect 7-0 ATS (6-1 SU) during his time as Head Coach of the Arizona Cardinals. I also like the fact that this comes off of a sloppy loss in which Washington turned the ball over three times. I believe they get it right this week and crush this awful Dallas defense.