Kenneth Gainwell surprisingly outnsapped Jaylen Warren prior to having a costly fumble. While Gainwell is a savvy veteran that is unlikely to completely go away, I believe he’s likely to cede some touches to both Jaylen Warren and rookie Kaleb Johnson. The Seahawks also have a very stout run defense. I’d also be surprised if Gainwell gets a similar target share considering how strong of a pass catcher Jaylen Warren is and how ineffective Gainwell has been historically and last week as a receiving option.

Both these teams are dealing with key injuries this week, and they mostly come on the defensive side of the ball. The Steelers will be without Derrick Harmon, Malik Harrison, DeShon Elliott and Joey Porter Jr., while the Seahawks are missing two defensive backs with another playing at less than 100%. The Steelers offense surprised last week, while Seattle's was stymied by a 49ers defense that I expect to be much better this year with Robert Saleh back. After reviewing today's inactives, I love getting this Over at less than 41.

Last 3 on the board, so guess will take it -- obviously fine pushing. Both teams are banged up in the secondary, but I certainly trust Aaron Rodgers (barely) more to take advantage of that than Sam Darnold -- he's 14-22 ATS in his career on the road and 8-17 ATS as a road underdog. Obviously a tricky 10 a.m. Pacific kick for Seattle. And the whole DK Metcalf thing.

There is no belief here that Aaron Rodgers is going to be lights out all season like he was in Week 1 after years of struggle, but there's no doubt he has legitimately boosted the Steelers offense with some competent quarterbacking. That's a significant edge against Sam Darnold and a Seahawks team that could not get anything going offensively in a rough outing against the 49ers. Now, they have to go against this Pittsburgh defensive front. There's the DK Metcalf revenge concept, sure, but that cannot factor in here. Rather, it’s the talent and experience advantage that wins out in Pittsburgh. Do not want this above -3.

Maybe it's time to take a lead with the Steelers? Though they didn't quite cover the spread vs. the Jets in the opener, the addition of Aaron Rodgers has had an immediate benefit, as for the first time really since Big Ben was still in uniform, Pittsburgh had a confident downfield passing game with Rodgers last week. It's been a while since the Steelers looked this dynamic on offense...so if this really turns into an early-season ascent, why not beat the crowd to the bandwagon? Seattle finding a way to lose vs. the Niners last week indicates Seahawks still must learn how to win with Sam Darnold at QB. Play Steelers

Cooper Kupp was expected to be a big signing for the Seattle Seahawks. In week one he had just fifteen yards receiving. Dating back to his final weeks with the Rams he has had thirty yards or less in five out of his last six regular season games. Expect the Steelers to tighten things up after a poor defensive debut against the Jets. Take Kupp to fail to clear his yardage prop.

What projected as a modest-scoring game no longer holds water. In the Seattle secondary, Nick Emmanwori is out, Devon Weatherspoon is doubtful and Julian Love might be compelled to play with a groin injury. Pittsburgh has its own worries, with CB Joey Porter, S DeShon Elliott and DT Derrick Harmon scratched. Sehawks QB Sam Darnold owes a weak career road record but could produce points with his new team, which scored enough to win seven of eight SU away last season. The Steelers rang up 34 points in their opener. Anything close to that here, and an Over comes through.

DraftKings. It was an underwhelming Seahawks debut for Cooper Kupp, who recorded two catches on three targets for nine receiving yards. Each of the targets were less than ten yards from the line of scrimmage, as Kupp struggled to separate. It’s evident that chemistry is still in the beginning stages with Kupp, Sam Darnold, and the Seahaks offense as a whole. And despite the high scoring affair that the Steelers had last week, I’m expecting a slugfest on Sunday. Kupp, who lined up in the slot on the majority of snaps, will face off new Steelers slot cornerback, Jalen Ramsey. And I do expect the Seahawks to remain run-heavy, after a 52% run play rate in Week 1.

You could make a strong argument that no WR had a more impressive receiver profile than JSN in Week 1. The third year breakout WR led all WRs in Target Share, Air Yard Share, WOPR, Targets/Route, while finishing in the top 98% in YPRR, First Read Targets/Route, and Splash Zone Targets. These numbers are not sustainable but even if they were sliced in half, Smith-Njigba would still be in elite company. He is the clear focal point of Seattle's passing attack and he gets a matchup against a Pittsburgh pass defense that struggled Week 1.

Clearly the Steelers/Aaron Rodgers (he knows all about spite vs. former teams) are going to give DK Metcalf a couple of shots in the end zone against his former Seahawks team unless somehow the game doesn't dictate that. The weather looks great in Pittsburgh on Sunday. I'm simply not a big wide receiver anytime TD type of bettor -- running backs can do it themselves, receivers generally can't -- so will limit to a half unit.

Many expected Zach Charbonnet and Kenneth Walker would split RB snaps in Klint Kubiak's offense. Charbonnet had 12 rushes for 47 yards and a TD. Walker had just 10 rushes for 20 yards. The good thing for this week is Charbonnet didn't have any receptions, so we're getting a really low line. He had at least 10 receiving yards in 14 of 17 games last season and averaged more receiving yards on the road (19) than at home (13) in his career.

I'm not saying Sam Darnold is going to turn into a pumpkin now that he doesn't have Kevin O'Connell as the offensive play caller and coach or Justin Jefferson, but there is a chance. His fumble that ultimately killed what looked like a game-winning drive against the 49ers wasn't necessarily his fault, but did show a lack of pocket awareness. I know fumbles in the pocket are not the same thing as interceptions but for me it showed a crack in the "Darnold is a great QB now" armor. Even in his great 2024 season, Darnold had an interception in 10 of 19 games and the model would set this prop at -300, so to get plus money is a great value.

Pittsburgh enters without three projected starters—safety DeShon Elliott, defensive lineman Derrick Harmon, and inside linebacker Malik Harrison—each ruled out with knee injuries. The Steelers signed veteran Jabrill Peppers as a stopgap at safety. Yet, his midweek addition limits cohesion in the secondary, and Pittsburgh’s linebacker room lacks proven depth if Joey Porter Jr. or Nick Herbig can’t suit up. The Seahawks were outgained 384-230 and should be fired up to bounce back. After all of his years in the same division, Mike Macdonald is very familiar with his mentor, Mike Tomlin. In Week 2, when both teams are 0-1 against the spread, the underdog has covered 26 out of 39 times since 2014. Aaron Rodgers could struggle after his road revenge win. Grab the 3.

I'm not going to overreact and call Aaron Rodgers a MVP candidate, but his performance in Week 1 was the best a player has looked at quarterback in a Steelers' uniform since Ben Roethlisberger. Seattle looked like a gritty team in Week 1, but this will be the home opener for the Steelers, and Pittsburgh has the more complete roster right now. I expect the Steelers to win this game by a touchdown on Sunday.

It's the DK Metcalf revenge game after the offseason trade that sent him to Pittsburgh, but I'm looking to fade the Steelers off their surprising offensive showing in Week 1. The Seahawks secondary has seen Metcalf more than anyone in practice and should be able to frustrate him, and Mike Macdonald's unit is coming off a great showing against the 49ers minus a couple misplayed passes late. I can't see why this line would be any higher than 3, so I'm grabbing this number at BetMGM while I can.