The Steelers' defense has been outstanding this season, and Anthony Richardson has been streaky. I expect a low-scoring first half here. Getting this line at plus-money is an added bonus.

The Steelers defense is the best unit in this game, and while the public is heavily on Pittsburgh, it is on the right side in this case. Justin Fields is finding a bit of a rhythm, but he’s also not being asked to do too much. Anthony Richardson has thrown three touchdowns to six interceptions this season while completing 49.3% of his passes. Who are you going to trust in a close game: AR’s arm or Mike Tomlin’s D? The Colts lone win is over a rookie QB, and it lost by a touchdown against a comparable defense with a backup quarterback in Malik Willis last week.

The Colts staved off an 0-3 start last week and now look to get even at 2-2 against a Steelers team that exceeded projections thus far. Last year, Indy rushed for 170 yards without star Jonathan Taylor and there's value in this price against a Pittsburgh team whose price is a little inflated.

Anthony Richardson is off to a rocky start this season. He’s thrown three touchdowns and six interceptions. Now, he has to face one of the best defenses in the league. Pittsburgh is holding their opponent to 8.7 points and 229.7 totals yards thus far. The Steelers have also struggled getting in the end zone, relying on fields goals and winning the defensive battle first. Pittsburgh is also 3-0 to the under this season.

Pickens should have a nice day against the Colts. He projects to 4.75 receptions. I also like him to score

The Steelers are 3-0 straight up and against the spread and all three games have stayed under the total. Justin Fields has taken over at quarterback and has been brilliant by just being an average quarterback meaning he doesn't have to make the big play or be exciting like he had to be at Chicago to win games. He can just sit back and let the game come to him and he's looked so much more relaxed. The Steelers have the number one defense in the league allowing 229 yards per game. And that's the difference with the Colts where Anthony Richardson absolutely has to make plays and he hasn't, in fact, he's thrown 6 interceptions in three games. Steelers to win.

This is a "sell high" spot on the Steelers. Their improbable 3-0 start has come against fairly weak opposition. Their defense certainly looks impressive, but thus far they has faced Kirk Cousins in Week 1 coming off an achilles injury, rookie QB Bo Nix, and an injured Justin Herbert. It will be tough to trust Colts QB Anthony Richardson considering his early season turnover woes, but I believe he's much better than what he has shown through the first three weeks. At the end of the day, this bet comes down to a simple trend for me. You back Tomlin's Steelers as road dogs (41-28 ATS) and you fade them as road favorites (33-40 ATS).

The Steelers are 3-0 despite an offense averaging just 4.6 yards per play, thanks to avoiding turnovers when they have the ball and keeping offenses out of the end zone with just two TDs allowed all year. The Colts offense turns the ball over a ton and relies on big plays to move the ball, but the fundamentally sound Pittsburgh defense isn't likely to give those up. Arthur Smith's Falcons put up a big performance against Gus Bradley's defense last year with Taylor Heinicke at QB, so I think there's more offensive upside for Pittsburgh in this game than we realize. The line makes perfect sense but Steelers should be the right side.

The Steelers are dealing with some beat up RBs and OL, and I see the QB taking this game over with his legs. The fact he is facing a top running QB on the other sideline might turn this into a QB track meet. IND run D stinks, Malik Willis just went over this on 6 carries vs them on a day when everyone knew GB wasn't going to throw the ball. Fields leaned on run in first road game as a Steelers and went for 57. Colts 23rd in EPA vs QB runs since start of '23. Fields is overdue for a big day on the ground. Follow the Packers blueprint

Jonathan Taylor got untracked in Week 3, leading the Colts to victory with 110 yards rushing and two touchdowns. Similar success will be tough to come by versus Pittsburgh, which might have its best defense of the Mike Tomlin era. The Steelers shut down Bijan Robinson and J.K. Dobbins and for the season are allowing 3.5 yards per carry. Edge Nick Herbig (2 sacks vs. Chargers) is a rising star on a unit that gives up 8.7 points per game. Look for Pittsburgh to force Anthony Richardson (6 INTs, 2 fumbles) into turnovers and improve to 4-0.

The Steelers are too physical and strong for the Colts, who cannot defend the run and who, frankly, cant do much overall defensively. Justin Fields gets more confidence by the week and Steelers run game hasn't even really gotten going yet. It will here. Mike Tomlin is 25-6 vs rookie QBs and Anthony Richardson is basically a rookie QB. PIT has covered 6 in a row. Steelers are 7-3 ATS on road since start of last year. Bet this sounds and feels like a home game. Their defense is absolutely dominating. Colts offense has no flow. This defense will confuse the kid QB. Steelers actually having WRs show up downfield now and their kicker is a stud. Colts barely cracked 300 yards at home Sun.