We believe the versatile White will emerge as the most valuable back for the Commanders, who are using a committee. At the least, he will be the passing-downs back and, it what rates to be a trailing game script, should get a few targets. He could get this on one play but we think he will coast comfortably past this meager number.

We believe Nailor will emerge as top target-getter among receivers for Las Vegas and, without TE Brock Bowers in the short term, Nailor could get even more looks. New coach Klint Kubiak targeted the former Vikings WR in free agency and signed him to a lucrative deal. He played with Kirk Cousins in Minnesota for 2 years and is the most versatile wideout on the team. These prop numbers are bound to spike as the season progresses, so buy low now.

We already liked the Bucs +3.5 so of course we see additional value at +4 with this reduced juice. Simply put, the Bucs have the personnel to match the Bengals in a potential shootout, and Bengals coach Zac Taylor is 10-17-1 in Weeks 1-4 throughout his Cincinnati tenure. We anticipate the shootout implied by the total and will grab the points with a live underdog.

We believe the Ravens are getting a little too much respect in this spread. Coach Jesse Minter is making his head coaching debut against a Colts club that came out on fire on their way to an 8-2 start before the injury to Daniel Jones and subsequent disastrous decision to bring Philip Rivers out of retirement as his replacement derailed their season. With Jones reportedly near full health behind one of the league's top offensive lines, we expect a competitive game that could easily see the underdog win outright.

The Colts made a statement by trading stalwart Michael Pittman to the Steelers and choosing to re-sign Pierce to a four-year extension worth $84 million guaranteed. Pierce spent the preseason battling an ankle injury for which he had surgery in March. But he’s been cleared for Week 1 and last year his connection with QB Daniel Jones was evident. Pierce managed his first career 1,000-yard season even with an injured Jones sidelined down the stretch. The coaching staff has said the receiver’s snaps might be limited early until he gets up to full game shape, but he’s the quarterback’s favorite target and they’ll need him to win the game. This number is short, and we anticipate prop value on Pierce in the early season.

The FanDuel price suggests we're basically buying the hook to lay 6.5 instead of 7 and we're good with that. The upstart Saints surged to a 4-1 finish last season but all the wins came against losing teams. Detroit's defense, primarily its banged-up secondary, has some issues but this high-powered club is still well suited to run away from New Orleans in a shootout on its home turf.

Last year, the Buckeyes managed a 14-7 victory over the Longhorns in a defensive battle. Quarterbacks Julian Sayin and Arch Manning each put up modest numbers in their respective big-stage debuts, but Sayin’s late TD pass to Carnell Tate was a difference-maker. Now, the scene shifts to Austin for the rematch. While we’re cognizant of Ohio State’s dominance in recent years, the Longhorns have some advantages. Memorial Stadium is a difficult place to play for any opponent in a primetime showcase affair, and the projected 90-degree heat should work in the Longhorns’ favor. What’s more, their defense held Heisman candidate Jeremiah Smith to just 43 yards on 6 catches. We see value on the Longhorns at this pick’em price without having lay points.

Morales is in his second stint with the UFC following a strong run on "The Ultimate Fighter" to earn a second chance. His best win to this point came against fading journeyman Matt Schnell, who has since retired. But the former champ Moreno appears to be heading into fading territory as well, following a consecutive lopsided loss against opponents he likely would have beat in his prime. The 32-year-old has shown signs of being too shop worn to still compete at a top-10 level, and we believe Morales breaks through with his biggest UFC win to date.

McMillen's "all gas, no brakes" style is definitely more fun to watch than that of his mentor, lethal but cautious striker Sean O'Malley. Even so, we think the hype on McMillen is getting a bit out of hand but we should learn more in this matchup against a surging fellow prospect in Rahiki. We believe Rahiki, who has a similar pressure style, is both a better athlete and has better fundamentals than McMillen. As such, we're finding value on the underdog.

The 35-year-old Blaydes was long considered one of the most versatile heavyweights of this generation. He’s stepped into the octagon twice each with champions Francis Ngannou and Tom Aspinall (he went 1-3, with the lone victory coming via injury to Aspinall) and came up short in a rematch with Aspinall for the interim title. He’s now coming off a brutal beating from Josh Hokit in April in what is widely considered one of the best heavyweight fights in recent memory. Cortez-Acosta is just one year younger at 34 but has suffered much less damage. Stylistically, he’s basically a more explosive and less shop-worn version of Blaydes. We expect Cortez-Acosta to have his way in just about every discipline over this faded version of Blaydes.

Evidently, the record-setting extension signed by Patriots CB Christian Gonzalez was enough to push the Patriots steam down to this key number, and we’ll bite on the defending Super Bowl champs at this reduced price from an opener of -4.5. Although the Seahawks qualify as a proverbial regression candidate and have some questions in their backfield and secondary, this is still an ascending club that won a Super Bowl while most of their key players are in their primes. We expect Seattle’s defensive line to give Drake Maye trouble just as it did in February, and the 12th man of crowd support will also be a factor. In short, this line suggests a pick’em on a neutral field, which feels disrespectful to the champs.

Many football observers are down on FSU’s trajectory following a relatively lackluster performance in its 34-17 win over New Mexico State, and the seat is getting warmer under Mike Norvell. The spread moved 1-1.5 points as a result, but this could be one of the better spots to back the Seminoles. SMU quarterback Kevin Jennings might be the best offensive player in this game, but a hand injury sidelined him for much of the preseason. Moreover, he and the Mustangs have been erratic, especially early. Last year, they started 2-2, with losses to Baylor and TCU, before surging down the stretch. We’ll chomp down on our mouthpiece and take the points with a vulnerable but viable home underdog to close out Week 1.

This spread opened as high as WKU -4.5 in some markets, so the current pick’em price illustrates Nevada emerging as a popular Week 1 position. However, we just don’t see the value in the Wolf Pack. Entering their third year under Jeff Choate, the struggling program is just 3-9 at home the past two seasons, often amid lackluster fan support, and has lost both home openers. With 65 new players, Western Kentucky saw some of the most significant roster turnover in the country. Even so, the Hilltoppers have developed a winning culture under Tyson Helton, winning at least 8 games in 6 of his 7 seasons. We’re relying on this track record to provide value on WKU at this discounted price.

We've been of the belief that Anthony Hernandez is slightly overrated, and never more so than when he was absurdly priced at -300 versus Sean Strickland in his last bout. Hernandez relies on his relentless wrestling pace and sinister demeanor to break his opponents. But when his target fires back, he doesn't handle it well. While we agree that a longer fight favors Hernandez, we're not sure it reaches the later rounds. Gregory Rodrigues is an explosive striker and world-class grappler himself. Hernandez won't be hard to find and we think there's major value on the underdog to win with another explosive finish.