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    Josh Nagel

    Senior Analyst

    Josh Nagel is a Reno-based analyst and radio host who has worked in the sports handicapping industry for more than 20 years. SportsLine's assistant managing editor has covered the wagering industry on a variety of platforms, and has won numerous sports handicapping contests. He prides himself on consistency and insightful analysis. He has hit 59 percent of his NBA pointspread picks since the start of the 2017 season, netting his followers 30.75 units. For Josh Nagel media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @JoshNagel1
    LAST 71 NFL SIDES
    +1614.5
    RECORD: 43-24-4
    # 4 NFL EXPERT
    +1614.5
    43-24-4 IN LAST 71 NFL PICKS

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    Josh's Past Picks

    Nov 26 2023, 6:00 pm UTC
    League
    New Orleans
    15
    @ Atlanta
    24
    PropBijan Robinson OVER 56.5 Total Rushing Yards -127
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    +159.5
    8-4 in Last 12 NFL Props Picks
    Analysis:

    The celebrated rookie RB saw a season-high 22 carries for 95 yards in Atlanta's last game against Arizona. The club should rely heavily on him again Sunday, giving him plenty of opportunities to clear this modest number.

    Pick Made: Sun 5:43 pm UTC
    Nov 26 2023, 9:25 pm UTC
    League
    Buffalo
    34
    @ Philadelphia
    37
    Point SpreadBuffalo +3 -115
    PUSH
    Unit1.0
    +1354.5
    33-18-4 in Last 55 NFL ATS Picks
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    +290
    4-1-1 in Last 6 BUF ATS Picks
    +280
    5-2-1 in Last 8 BUF Picks
    Analysis:

    The Bills played with a needed sense of urgency last week to keep their playoff hopes alive and they need another strong performance against a brutal stretch that includes dates with the Chiefs and Cowboys. The Eagles have faced potential Super Bowl contenders in three of their past four games and could see a letdown following their much-anticipated revenge win over Kansas City on Monday night.

    Pick Made: Sun 5:35 pm UTC
    Nov 26 2023, 9:05 pm UTC
    League
    Cleveland
    12
    @ Denver
    29
    Point SpreadCleveland +2 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1354.5
    33-18-4 in Last 55 NFL ATS Picks
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    +390
    5-1 in Last 6 CLE Picks
    +290
    4-1 in Last 5 CLE ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Broncos have made an impressive turnaround since their embarrassing 70-20 loss to the Dolphins. But their four-game win streak includes three wins by a total of 5 points. Their high-wire act should come to an end against a battle-tested Browns club that has won five of six.

    Pick Made: Sun 5:22 pm UTC
    Nov 26 2023, 9:25 pm UTC
    League
    Kansas City
    31
    @ Las Vegas
    17
    Over / UnderOVER 42.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    +250
    3-0 in Last 3 NFL O/U Picks
    +36.5
    2-1 in Last 3 KC O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    With Patrick Mahomes in a bounce-back spot against a divisional rival, the Chiefs should give an improved performance on offense. The Raiders should do enough to hold up their send and send this Over the modest total.

    Pick Made: Sun 5:19 pm UTC
    Nov 26 2023, 6:00 pm UTC
    League
    New Orleans
    15
    @ Atlanta
    24
    Over / UnderUNDER 42.5 -118
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    +250
    3-0 in Last 3 NFL O/U Picks
    +705
    12-4-1 in Last 17 NO Picks
    +350
    4-0 in Last 4 NO O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    This is a tough ATS call against an air-tight spread, but we know the Falcons prefer to run the ball and the Saints haven't been able to throw it downfield with much success. Now their limited receiving corps is thin with the injury absence of Michael Thomas. We should see plenty of time-consuming and empty drives on both sides to send this Under the posted total.

    Pick Made: Sun 5:16 pm UTC
    Nov 26 2023, 6:00 pm UTC
    League
    Jacksonville
    24
    @ Houston
    21
    Point SpreadJacksonville -1.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +1354.5
    33-18-4 in Last 55 NFL ATS Picks
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    +650
    7-0 in Last 7 JAC Picks
    +450
    5-0 in Last 5 JAC ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Texans are fun team and a good story. But they have gotten a bunch of breaks during their three-game win streak by 10 combined points, winning two of them at the horn and fending off Arizona last week. The Jags are undefeated on the road, have the better team and can take control of the AFC South win a win Sunday.

    Pick Made: Sun 5:11 pm UTC
    Nov 26 2023, 6:00 pm UTC
    League
    Tampa Bay
    20
    @ Indianapolis
    27
    Point SpreadTampa Bay +2.5 -105
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +1354.5
    33-18-4 in Last 55 NFL ATS Picks
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    Analysis:

    The erratic Colts have shown they can beat truly bad teams, as evidenced in their wins over the Panthers and Patriots. But they have won just once at home this season and the road-wary Bucs, who are just a couple plays away from seeing their 4-6 record reversed, no doubt see this as a winnable game. Moreover, laying points behind Indy with Gardner Minshew at QB is almost always a bad idea.

    Pick Made: Sun 5:06 pm UTC
    Nov 26 2023, 6:00 pm UTC
    League
    New England
    7
    @ N.Y. Giants
    10
    Over / UnderUNDER 35.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    +250
    3-0 in Last 3 NFL O/U Picks
    +247
    10-6 in Last 16 NYG Picks
    +230
    5-2 in Last 7 NYG O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    The total also has been steamed up in this one and it's hard to explain why. These are the two worst scoring teams in the NFL, combining for barely 27 points per game. It would take an offensive explosion by their meager standards or multiple defensive TDs for this to go Over.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:59 pm UTC
    Nov 26 2023, 6:00 pm UTC
    League
    New England
    7
    @ N.Y. Giants
    10
    Point SpreadN.Y. Giants +4.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +1354.5
    33-18-4 in Last 55 NFL ATS Picks
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    +250
    3-0 in Last 3 NYG ATS Picks
    +247
    10-6 in Last 16 NYG Picks
    Analysis:

    This is just out of principle for a spread that opened at -2.5 and has seen nonstop steam on the chalk. The Patriots have won just two games this season, and just once by more than 4 points. The Giants looked much more competent in their win over the Commanders.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:56 pm UTC
    Nov 26 2023, 6:00 pm UTC
    League
    Pittsburgh
    16
    @ Cincinnati
    10
    Point SpreadCincinnati +2.5 -108
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1354.5
    33-18-4 in Last 55 NFL ATS Picks
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    +92
    2-1 in Last 3 CIN ATS Picks
    +17
    4-3 in Last 7 CIN Picks
    Analysis:

    The QB matchup is a push at best for the Steelers and could be an edge for the Bengals, who saw Jake Browning look serviceable against Baltimore in place of the injured Joe Burrow. Now, they've had a week to game plan around his strengths. This is a value spot on a Cincinnati club that is just a game behind Pittsburgh in the AFC North standings.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:51 pm UTC
    Nov 24 2023, 8:00 pm UTC
    League
    Miami
    34
    @ N.Y. Jets
    13
    PropTyler Conklin OVER 23.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    +159.5
    8-4 in Last 12 NFL Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Conklin is the Jets' second-leading receiver this season with 381 yards on 35 catches. He became a safety net for benched QB Zach Wilson and should serve the same role for new starter Tim Boyle. Conklin had just two catches for 18 yards last week, but in the prior two weeks combine he hauled in all 13 of his targets for 136 yards. With deep passing plays likely difficult to come by Friday, Conklin should get plenty of opportunities to clip this modest number.

    Pick Made: Nov 24, 7:22 pm UTC
    Nov 24 2023, 1:20 am UTC
    League
    San Francisco
    31
    @ Seattle
    13
    PropElijah Mitchell UNDER 17.5 Total Rushing Yards -123
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    +159.5
    8-4 in Last 12 NFL Props Picks
    Analysis:

    The bruising 49ers backup RB has clipped this number the past two weeks, aided by a 13-yard gain last week. But Mitchell's 47 combined yards the past two weeks cam in mop-up duty in blowouts. In competitive game scripts, he rarely sees the field. Unless the 49ers pull away late or Mitchell cracks another decent run with limited touches, he is likely to revert to his role as a seldom-seen backup to Christian McCaffrey. .

    Pick Made: Nov 23, 11:51 pm UTC
    Nov 23 2023, 9:30 pm UTC
    League
    Washington
    10
    @ Dallas
    45
    Point SpreadWashington +13.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +1354.5
    33-18-4 in Last 55 NFL ATS Picks
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    +575
    9-3-1 in Last 13 WAS ATS Picks
    +345
    10-6-1 in Last 17 WAS Picks
    Analysis:

    It looks as though this major spread move won't hit the massive key number of +14, but there's still enough value to back a flawed but desperate underdog with a spread that has moved 3 points since the opener. The Cowboys have been great at crushing poor teams at home, besting the Jets, Rams, Patriots and Giants by an average of nearly 28 points. But they are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home Thanksgiving games, and the mercurial Commanders have done their best ATS work on the road. Three of their four wins have come away from home, and they also covered the number against Philadelphia and Seattle.

    Pick Made: Nov 23, 7:17 pm UTC
    Nov 25 2023, 5:00 pm UTC
    League
    Miami-OH
    17
    @ Ball St.
    15
    Point SpreadBall St. +5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +412
    26-20-2 in Last 48 CFB ATS Picks
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 CFB Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 BALLST Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 BALLST ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    This is a low motivation spot for the RedHawks, who are on their way to the MAC title game regardless of the outcome. The disappointing Cardinals won't reach a bowl game but they have finished strong down the stretch, with wins in three of their past four and the lone defeat coming by just 3 points.

    Pick Made: Nov 23, 4:37 pm UTC
    Nov 23 2023, 5:30 pm UTC
    League
    Green Bay
    29
    @ Detroit
    22
    PropJahmyr Gibbs Anytime Touchdown Scorer -110
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +1037.5
    67-47-4 in Last 118 NFL Picks
    +159.5
    8-4 in Last 12 NFL Props Picks
    Analysis:

    The dynamic rookie dual-threat RB saw 14 touches last week against the Bears and found the end zone for the fourth straight game. Although we wouldn't want to play a price any steeper for anytime TD prop, there is still value in this one as Gibbs should have plenty of opportunities to score again Thursday.

    Pick Made: Nov 23, 4:28 pm UTC