Josh Nagel is a Reno-based analyst and radio host who has worked in the sports handicapping industry for 20 years. He has covered the wagering industry on a variety of platforms, and has won numerous sports handicapping contests. For insightful analysis, Nagel is unmatched. He prides himself on consistency. In the 2017 NFL season, Nagel nailed 63 percent of his picks. And over the past two years, he's hitting 60 percent of his college bowl picks. For Josh Nagel media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
LAST 6 NBA PICKS
6-0 IN LAST 6 NBA PICKS | +600
The nearly four-point shift in this spread suggests oddsmakers believe Game 3 essentially was a fluke. In other words, Toronto basically took the day off after going up 2-0, while a desperate Washington team gave a somewhat predictable urgent performance. But I believe this is about as evenly matched as you get get for a series between the No. 1 and No. 8 seeds, and wouldn't be surprised to see it go the max seven games. Look for the Wizards to even the series with another strong performance Sunday.
6-0 IN LAST 6 NBA PICKS | +600
The Timberwolves haven't hosted a playoff game in 14 years, so this long-awaited return to the postseason should provide enough ammunition for an inspired performance. Moreover, they have been reasonably competitive against the Rockets in the first two games despite getting little production from Karl-Anthony Towns. A pair of relatively lackluster wins by Houston could create a false sense of security heading into Game 3. This spread has jumped from the opening number of 4.5 and now there is enough value to support the home underdog Saturday.
Jhoulys Chacin has struggled since joining the Brewers, going 0-1 with a 5.60 ERA in four starts. He gave up five hits and three walks in four innings despite allowing just one run against the Mets in his last start. Chacin didn't face the Marlins last season, but is 1-4 with a 5.22 ERA in seven career appearances against Miami, including five starts.Trevor Richards of the Marlins threw seven scoreless innings while allowing two hits but getting a tough-luck no-decision against the Pirates in his last outing. The Marlins are a value Friday at this price.
4-2 IN LAST 6 MLB PICKS | +218
Rays starter Chris Archer historically is vastly overrated in the betting market, but his abysmal campaign thus far (7.84 ERA in four starts) has provided some value on his adjusted price Friday against the Twins. He's 6-1 with a 1.84 ERA in his career against Minnesota, He struck out 11 while allowing two runs in a win over the Twins in his last outing against them. Minnesota starter Lance Lynn went 0-1 with a 3.77 ERA in three appearances against the Rays last season.
The Spurs were mostly dreadful on offense with 40 percent field-goal shooting in their first two games against the Warriors. Golden State was actually slow to get going in each of the first halves before coming on strong and going for 229 combined points in taking a 2-0 series lead. With an expected increase in energy on its home court and slightly better offensive execution, San Antonio should carry its load toward sending this Over the total Thursday night.
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