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Josh Nagel
Josh Nagel
Senior Analyst
Josh Nagel is a Reno-based analyst and radio host who has worked in the sports handicapping industry for more than 20 years. SportsLine's assistant managing editor has covered the wagering industry on a variety of platforms, and has won numerous sports handicapping contests. He prides himself on consistency and insightful analysis. He has hit 61 percent of his NBA spread picks since the start of the 2017 season, and has hit the NFL at a 56-percent clip over the same period. He also has connected on 59 percent of his CFB spread picks over the past two seasons. What's more, he has a documented 40-22 record on SportsLine proposition-bet specials, which includes a 5-0-1 mark in the 2019 NFL conference championship games. For Josh Nagel media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
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CFB | Georgia 33 @ Alabama 18 | 01/11 | 1:00 AM UTC

Alabama +3

LOSS

ANALYSIS: This is somewhat reminiscent of the 2018 CFP title game in which Georgia appeared to have the slightly better overall personnel, but Alabama found a way to win after coach Nick Saban turned to then-freshman QB Tua Tagovailoa to engineer a memorable second-half comeback. In this year's SEC title game, Alabama turned around an early 10-0 deficit behind a 31-7 blitz spanning the second and third quarters. Heisman winner Bryce Young accounted for four touchdowns during the spurt, which included a pick-six by the defense from Georgia QB Stetson Bennett. Alabama has the better player at the most important position and a coach who never loses to former assistants. The points could come into play, and taking a Saban-coached team as an underdog is too much of a value to pass up.

+974 12-2 IN LAST 14 UGA ATS PICKS

CFB | Michigan 42 @ Iowa 3 | 12/05 | 1:00 AM UTC

Iowa +12.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Hawkeyes seemed to be forgotten after their 6-0 start dissolved into consecutive losses to Purdue and Wisconsin by 17 points each. However, they finished strong to reach the Big Ten title game and this is still a solid club despites limitations on offense. Unlike Ohio State a week ago, Iowa won't be consistently gashed at the line of scrimmage by the Wolverines, who could be in a letdown spot. These clubs both give up just 17 points per game, bolstering the value of nearly two touchdowns in our pockets before kickoff.

+648 12-5 IN LAST 17 IOWA ATS PICKS
+109 10-8 IN LAST 18 MICH ATS PICKS

CFB | Baylor 21 @ Okla. St. 16 | 12/04 | 5:00 PM UTC

Baylor +7

WIN

ANALYSIS: This number moves to -7 on the news that Baylor would start freshman Blake Shapen at QB in place of injured dual threat Gerry Bohanon. Although the Bears will miss the running threat and leadership of Bohanon, they beat Texas Tech last week behind a mistake-free performance from Shapen. Defense is where Baylor makes its living and the spread now represents some real value in a battle of the conference's top two defensive units. Take the points.

+331 11-7 IN LAST 18 BAYLOR ATS PICKS
+1150 16-4 IN LAST 20 OKLAST ATS PICKS

NFL | New England 25 @ Atlanta 0 | 11/19 | 1:20 AM UTC

Atlanta +7

LOSS

ANALYSIS: This is officially a take number on the Falcons, who emerged as the early front-runner for the Underdog Nobody Wants in Week 11. Their disastrous outing at Dallas last week aside, their previous two losses came by 10 combined points and a win at New Orleans as a nearly TD underdog is in the mix. Atlanta is banged up and New England has favorable matchups, but its road dominance can't last forever and the TD spot is too big to pass up. The Falcons should stop the run just enough to put some pressure on rookie QB Mac Jones in long down-and-distance situations.

+385 5-1 IN LAST 6 ATL ATS PICKS

NFL | Green Bay 7 @ Kansas City 13 | 11/07 | 9:25 PM UTC

Kansas City PK

WIN

ANALYSIS: There was already some value on the Chiefs in this one amid an overly adjusted number because of another lackluster performance on Monday night against the Giants. Needless to say, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers testing positive for Covid and missing Sunday's games gives Kansas City a prime opportunity for another needed win, and locking in a play at pick'em before the number gets adjusted is a value position.

+170 4-2 IN LAST 6 GB ATS PICKS
+275 5-2 IN LAST 7 KC ATS PICKS