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Josh Nagel
Josh Nagel
Senior Analyst
Josh Nagel is a Reno-based analyst and radio host who has worked in the sports handicapping industry for more than 20 years. SportsLine's assistant managing editor has covered the wagering industry on a variety of platforms, and has won numerous sports handicapping contests. He prides himself on consistency and insightful analysis. He has hit 61 percent of his NBA spread picks since the start of the 2017 season, and has hit the NFL at a 56-percent clip over the same period. He also has connected on 59 percent of his CFB spread picks over the past two seasons. What's more, he has a documented 40-22 record on SportsLine proposition-bet specials, which includes a 5-0-1 mark in the 2019 NFL conference championship games. For Josh Nagel media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
+400
Record: 4-0
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San Jose St. 17 @ Hawaii 13 | 09/19 | 4:30 AM UTC

Hawaii +7.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Hawaii getting blown put by a couple of upper-tier Pac-12 teams on the road wasn't surprising, with the exception of what was supposed to be a solid and experienced defense giving up 89 combined points in the process. Even so, the Rainbow Warriors return to their weight class Saturday night and this is the ultimate get-right spot for them. Hawaii has long been a different animal in this late Saturday encore position for bettors. The Warriors have been unpolished on offense at times thus far, but look for their capable playmakers to break out at the expense of the over-valued Spartans.

+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
+89 2-1 IN LAST 3 HAWAII ATS PICKS
+79 3-2 IN LAST 5 SJST ATS PICKS

Purdue 13 @ Notre Dame 27 | 09/18 | 6:30 PM UTC

Notre Dame -7.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: This is a get-right sport for the Irish, who have narrowly escaped in two games that really had no business being as close as they were. Expect their leaky defense to make major strides against a Purdue team that is somewhat limited despite experience at numerous key positions. Purdue narrowly escaped against Oregon State in Week 1 before rolling through a glorified scrimmage against UConn last week. Look for the Boilermakers to get a wake-up call Saturday.

+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
+546 12-6 IN LAST 18 ND ATS PICKS
+463 8-3 IN LAST 11 PURDUE ATS PICKS

Minnesota 30 @ Colorado | 09/18 | 5:00 PM UTC

Minnesota +2.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Minnesota undoubtedly misses the services of Mohamed Ibrahim, the dynamic running back who is lost for the season because of injury. But sophomore Treyson Potts picked up the slack with 178 yards and 2 TDs last week against Miami-Ohio, and the Gophers still have a versatile talent at QB in Tanner Morgan. The Buffaloes are in a letdown spot after they outplayed Texas A&M almost write to wire last week, only to come up three points short. Moreover, their crowd advantage at Folsom Field is diminished somewhat during day games.

+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
+462 9-4-1 IN LAST 14 MINN ATS PICKS
+62 4-3 IN LAST 7 COLO ATS PICKS

Maryland 20 @ Illinois 17 | 09/18 | 1:00 AM UTC

Illinois +7

WIN

ANALYSIS: This has historically been an awful spot for the Terrapins under coach Mike Locksley -- a road game in prime time or any road game, for that matter. The Terrapins almost always look impressive in their first 2 weeks and that ends up being their peak. Two years ago, they went 1-5 on the road, with the sole victory coming against hapless Rutgers. Maryland looks to have some decent playmakers, but we've seen this before. Illinois is likely nowhere near as bad as it ahs looked the past two weeks in losses to UTSA and Virginia. If the Illini club that upset Nebraska in the opener comes back around, this should be a comfortable cover at a minimum.

+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
+489 6-1 IN LAST 7 MD ATS PICKS
+389 5-1 IN LAST 6 ILL ATS PICKS

Ohio 14 @ Louisiana 49 | 09/17 | 12:00 AM UTC

Ohio +20

LOSS

ANALYSIS: This is just too many points to ignore between teams that have awfully similar resumes. Ohio and ULL both lost to Power Five programs in Week 1 before struggling against FCS opponents in Week 2. Ohio fell 28-26 to Duquesne, while the Cajuns slipped past Nicholls 27-24 despite allowing 511 yards of offense to the FCS club. The Bobcats appear slow to respond to first-year coach Tim Albin, the longtime offensive coordinator who took over for Frank Solich. But the Bobcats, who were projected to compete for the MAC title, still have too much roster talent to be given this big of a spot against a similarly underachieving ULL club.

+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
+290 4-1 IN LAST 5 UL ATS PICKS
+255 7-4 IN LAST 11 OHIO ATS PICKS