We're not all that impressed with the rising prospect Stirling, who was getting manhandled in his last bout by middling veteran Ion Cutelaba before Cutelaba gassed out and gave up in the second round. It's hard to believe the 43-year-old Blachowicz hasn't notched a win in 4 years, going 0-2-2 in that span. But both decision losses were debated and came against current champ Carlos Ulberg and former champ Alex Pereira. He also had a 5-round draw against former champ Magomed Ankalaev. Even though Blachowicz has undoubtedly lost a step, we still see this as a value price against Striling, who is taking a massive step up in competiiton on short notice.

The 38-year-old Jacoby has won three straight fights by stoppage against inferior competition following a 1-4 stretch against upper-tier opponents. It's difficult to tell which category Said fits as he makes his UFC debut. But he's an undefeated prospect who has shown power despite sometimes careless defense. Jacoby has been difficult to trust as a favorite so we'll take the underdog newcomer as he looks to make a strong impression.

Erceg has been a disappointment relative to expectations after he was fast-tracked to a title shot early in his UFC stint. He lost three straight before finding consecutive wins against lesser competition. Erceg tends to fight with a risk-averse kickboxing style and it wouldn't be surprising if we a somewhat lackluster co-main event. Temrov has good power for the division but also showed extreme caution in a lackluster win over power puncher Charles Johnson in his last fight. We feel this fight is likely to see the final horn and don't mind laying the thick price on the Over 2.5 rounds.

This featured prelim between flyweight prospects has the potential to be an entertaining battle. While both have promising futures, the 28-year-old Delgado has more tools at his disposal and more high-level experience. His win over stubborn veteran Andre Fili is easily the biggest name on either fighter's resume. The 24-year-old Bashi is an excellent wrestler/grappler, but we expect Delgado to fend him off and use his superior stand-up game to earn the victory.

Cannonier has had an uneven UFC journey through three weight classes during his 11-8 run with the promotion. The 42-year-old has lost three of his last four and has been relegated to a gatekeeper position role in the middleweight division. Even so, he has faced a tough gauntlet of opponents including No. 3-ranked Nassourdine Imavov and No. 6-ranked Caio Borrahlo. The 30-year-old Duncan is a rising prospect who has won four straight but his most notable win came against fading journeyman Roman Dolidze in March. One trend we’ve seen time and again of late is the prospect getting way too much respect in the MMA odds against the old guard, and we believe Cannonier is worth a sprinkle at these lucrative odds.

This main-card opener features what should be an entertaining battle of featherweight prospects. Both are accomplished submission artists who also don't mind slugging it out, though McMillen seems to have a preference for the stand-up battle. However, we believe Montes is a little more refined and the superior grappler. McMillen has received a little more hype, which we believe has inflated a price that should probably be the other way around.

The former middleweight champion du Plessis opened in the -350 range only to see this price plummet as early support favors Usman. The former welterweight champion is now 39 and making a last-gasp effort at title contention, and it feels like the UFC is giving him this opportunity as a career achievement reward. Even though DDP struggled to stop the chain wrestling of Khamzat Chimaev in suffering his first UFC loss and surrendering his belt, we believe he still clears everyone else in the division. His advantages in youth, strength and versatility will help him fend off Usman and he should put his opponent away in the third or fourth. Look for TKO/KO odds of around +250 if you want to avoid this ML price.

We'll take the discount on McKinney, who had been priced around -150 until the last couple of days. The price move appeared to be spawned by Green expressing upset with McKinney, whom he viewed as an ally, accepting the fight offer. The seemingly ageless Green has won three straight at age 39 and has faced tougher competition. But we'll side with the ultra-explosive 31-year-old McKinney, who appears to be improving his technique despite his reckless reputation.

The gritty and resilient Bautista has made an impressive run to the top 5 at bantamweight, and he's been calling for this rematch with Sandhagen, who handed him a loss in his UFC debut, for some time. Although Sandhagen's 0-4 record in title fights and eliminators illustrates his ceiling, he's settled in as a top-5 gatekeeper and this matchup favors him. He should use his length to stay on the outside and Bautista will struggle to close the distance for both striking and grappling. Look for Sandhagen to win a lackluster but clear decision.

The all-action Royval has settled into the role of flyweight top-5 gatekeeper and we think he's being disrespected in these odds. The one-time title challenger has impressive wins over former champion Brandon Moreno and recent title challenger Tatsuro Taira, and he battled current champion Joshua Van in an epic three-round classic last June. Kavanagh has shown potential but is getting a little too much respect coming off a win over a now-washed Moreno in February. Royval has delivered in underdog spots previously and we expect him to do it again.

The 35-year-old Whittaker is on the back end of his career and the former middleweight champion is moving to light heavyweight ostensibly because he can no longer compete at a top-10 level at 185 pounds. Whittaker was always big for middleweight so size shouldn't be an issue and he's taking on a veteran in Krylov who has been knocked out by lesser opponents. We think the price on Whittaker is a bit thin and expect the Australian slugger to win his light heavyweight debut.

The violence-minded Saint Denis is on a four-fight winning streak, but two of those came against fading veterans Beneil Dariush and Dan Hooker, though his victory over Mauricio Ruffy has aged extremely well. We were slow to embrace Pimblett as a true contender and he proved unworthy of being a -300 favorite against Justin Gaethje in January. Even so, the pendulum has swung back a bit too far. We think this fight should be about a pick'em, with Pimblett's ground game savvy and durability enough to give the "God of War" all he can handle.

This is the one fight in which the underdog has seen some steady action, but we like Lopes on the reduced price from an opener of -200. Lopes came up short in two title bids against Volkanovski but should have the edge in this matchup. Steve Garcia is a dangerous brawler but the last time Lopes saw a similar matchup, against Jean Silva, he took him out in short order. Capitalize on the discount price here, as Lopes has been seen as low as -150 in some markets.

The lower this price drops, the more we want to bet (and bet on) Max Holloway. Provided Conor McGregor actually makes it to the cage, we think the proverbial puncher's chance is all he's got and it won't be enough against Holloway. McGregor was last seen in the cage 5 years ago and was on the short end of his second beating in 6 months from Dustin Poirier. Five years and a broken leg later, he'll be even more diminished. The books were right to open Holloway at -500 or steeper, while McGregor backers who have drive this price down are just delusional. Take advantage and cash in.

Although this card is full of fights with odds that suggest a “squash match,” shorthand for a lopsided matchup, we feel at least one matchup is likely to upset the chalk-heavy continuum and wreck parlays. We’re going to back Daukaus, whose career resurgence has seen him find a six-fight winning streak, which includes a two-fight finish streak in his second stint with the UFC. He has shown an increasingly polished skillset and we expect him at worst to be a stiff challenge for the polarizing Nickal, the prodigal wrestling talent who is 5-1 in the UFC but 0-1 against ranked competition. Daukaus has shown the talent to merit a top-15 ranking and he’ll get there should he pull the upset,