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    Josh Nagel

    Senior Analyst

    Josh Nagel is a Reno-based analyst and radio host who has worked in the sports handicapping industry for more than 20 years. SportsLine's assistant managing editor has covered the wagering industry on a variety of platforms, and has won numerous sports handicapping contests. He prides himself on consistency and insightful analysis. He has hit 59 percent of his NBA pointspread picks since the start of the 2017 season, netting his followers 30.75 units. For Josh Nagel media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @JoshNagel1
    LAST 79 NFL SIDES
    +1574.5
    RECORD: 47-28-4
    # 4 NFL EXPERT
    +1574.5
    47-28-4 IN LAST 79 NFL PICKS

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    Josh's Picks (3 Live)

    Dec 10 2023, 6:00 pm UTC
    League
    Jacksonville
    @ Cleveland
    Josh's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit2.0
    +1574.5
    47-28-4 in Last 79 NFL Picks
    +1114.5
    35-22-4 in Last 61 NFL ATS Picks
    +550
    6-0 in Last 6 JAC ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Pick Made: Dec 05, 4:00 pm UTC
    Dec 10 2023, 9:25 pm UTC
    League
    Denver
    @ L.A. Chargers
    Josh's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +1574.5
    47-28-4 in Last 79 NFL Picks
    +1114.5
    35-22-4 in Last 61 NFL ATS Picks
    +200
    2-0-1 in Last 3 LAC ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Pick Made: Dec 09, 2:56 am UTC
    Dec 27 2023, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Kansas
    @ UNLV
    Josh's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +412
    26-20-2 in Last 48 CFB ATS Picks
    +80
    3-2 in Last 5 KANSAS ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The historically moribund Rebels reached their first conference title game ...

    Pick Made: Dec 05, 3:53 pm UTC

    Josh's Past Picks

    Dec 08 2023, 1:15 am UTC
    League
    New England
    21
    @ Pittsburgh
    18
    PropMitch Trubisky OVER 182.5 Total Passing Yards -114
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +286.5
    9-4 in Last 13 NFL Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    It took an injury to incumbent starter Kenny Pickett for the Steelers to start the best passing QB on their roster. This is a timely transition against New England's top-ranked rushing defense. The Steelers will likely have to pass more than they would prefer, and Trubisky has clipped this number in three of his past four starts. He has decent downfield accuracy and also has a connection with WR Diontae Johnson, which should help in this matchup.

    Pick Made: Dec 08, 12:41 am UTC
    Dec 05 2023, 1:15 am UTC
    League
    Cincinnati
    34
    @ Jacksonville
    31
    Point SpreadCincinnati +10 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1574.5
    47-28-4 in Last 79 NFL Picks
    +1114.5
    35-22-4 in Last 61 NFL ATS Picks
    +550
    6-0 in Last 6 JAC ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Bengals are a take at this key number. Although their season appears lost amid the Joe Burrow injury, they are still mathematically alive for a playoff berth at 5-6 and should put up a fight in this one. Jake Browning should be improved in his second start, and having Tee Higgins available as a short-area target should help. The surging Jags could be in for a flat spot following consecutive big divisional victories.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 3:35 pm UTC
    Dec 05 2023, 1:15 am UTC
    League
    Cincinnati
    34
    @ Jacksonville
    31
    PropD'Ernest Johnson OVER 27.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -132
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +286.5
    9-4 in Last 13 NFL Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Johnson showed he's a capable NFL running back when he saw extensive playing time in Cleveland and he has started to take on an increased workload in Jacksonville of late. He has clipped this number in three consecutive games and could even more action Monday as starter Travis Etienne plays through a rib injury.

    Pick Made: Dec 05, 12:30 am UTC
    Dec 05 2023, 1:15 am UTC
    League
    Cincinnati
    34
    @ Jacksonville
    31
    PropTravis Etienne UNDER 83.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -115
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +286.5
    9-4 in Last 13 NFL Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    The elusive RB is playing through the rib injury that threatened to sideline him but his production could be limited Monday. If the game is in hand, the Jags will likely give their star some rest, they might limit his touches to limit his risk and there's a chance the ailment could flare up and cause him to be unable to continue. Look for Etienne, who played just 47 of 76 snaps last week, to post modest numbers Monday.

    Pick Made: Dec 05, 12:27 am UTC
    Dec 04 2023, 1:20 am UTC
    League
    Kansas City
    19
    @ Green Bay
    27
    Point SpreadGreen Bay +6 -108
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1574.5
    47-28-4 in Last 79 NFL Picks
    +1114.5
    35-22-4 in Last 61 NFL ATS Picks
    +340
    9-5 in Last 14 GB ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Packers' underrated defense has allowed a high of just 24 points over the past seven games. Another solid defensive effort, along with QB Jordan Love's best game as an NFL starter, led to a decisive win over the Lions on Thanksgiving. Another inspired effort Sunday could put the Packers as front-runners for a wild-card berth in the NFC, as the Vikings and Seahawks appear to be fading fast. Kansas City could see a potential flat spot ahead of its looming home showdown against Buffalo next week.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 4:22 pm UTC
    Dec 03 2023, 9:25 pm UTC
    League
    San Francisco
    42
    @ Philadelphia
    19
    Point SpreadPhiladelphia +3 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1574.5
    47-28-4 in Last 79 NFL Picks
    +1114.5
    35-22-4 in Last 61 NFL ATS Picks
    +400
    8-4 in Last 12 SF ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Eagles are on the final leg of a brutal schedule stretch that included dates with Dolphins, Cowboys and Chiefs. Of course, they are coming off a taxing OT effort last week to get past the Bills. Although the 49ers appear to have the better profile for a victory Sunday, we have still yet to see QB Brock Purdy thrive against a quality opponent on the road. What's more, there's very little doubt that the Eagles will use being an underdog for motivation. There's value in the points because it wouldn't be a surprise if they come intoi play for this game.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 3:12 pm UTC
    Dec 03 2023, 9:05 pm UTC
    League
    Carolina
    18
    @ Tampa Bay
    21
    PropChuba Hubbard OVER 60.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -118
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +286.5
    9-4 in Last 13 NFL Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    The shifty Hubbard has quietly emerged as a reliable offensive threat for a Panthers club in desperate need of them. He has clipped this total in three of his past four outings and is coming off his best game of the season, with 92 yards from scrimmage and a TD against the Titans last week. The interim coaching regime at Carolina would be wise to continue featuring him in the offense.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 3:49 pm UTC
    Dec 03 2023, 6:00 pm UTC
    League
    Atlanta
    13
    @ N.Y. Jets
    8
    Money LineAtlanta -130
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1574.5
    47-28-4 in Last 79 NFL Picks
    +575
    7-1 in Last 8 NFL ML Picks
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 NYJ ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Although we've seen marginal third-string QBs go from miserable debuts to serviceable second starts (such as Tommy DeVito of NYG), it's tough to envision Jets journeyman Tim Boyle seeing a huge performance gain. The Falcons just ended a three-game losing streak with all losses by 5 points or fewer with a solid win over New Orleans last week, A similar performance should net their second road victory of the season.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 5:11 am UTC
    Dec 03 2023, 6:00 pm UTC
    League
    Denver
    17
    @ Houston
    22
    PropBrevin Jordan Anytime Touchdown Scorer +333
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +286.5
    9-4 in Last 13 NFL Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    If you're looking for a longshot anytime TD scorer for a sweat, this one has a decent chance of getting there. Two seasons ago as the featured TE, Jordan caught 20 passes on 28 targets for 3 TDs and he has remained a red-zone target despite limited snaps this season. With Dalton Schultz sideline because of an injury, Jordan should inherit a decent target share and be in play for his second TD of this season.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 4:09 pm UTC
    Dec 03 2023, 6:00 pm UTC
    League
    Arizona
    24
    @ Pittsburgh
    10
    PropGreg Dortch OVER 3.5 Total Receptions +100
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +286.5
    9-4 in Last 13 NFL Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Kyler Murray's favorite security blanket has 9 catches on 17 targets over the past two weeks. He would have been WR1 if banged-up WR Marquise Brown and TE Trey McBride were out, but both are expected to play. Even so, the Pittsburgh pass rush should force Murray into quick releases, and Dortch should benefit. There's value on this prop amid the lucrative price.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 3:57 pm UTC
    Dec 03 2023, 6:00 pm UTC
    League
    Atlanta
    13
    @ N.Y. Jets
    8
    PropTyler Conklin OVER 2.5 Total Receptions -154
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +286.5
    9-4 in Last 13 NFL Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    This is an extremely chalky play but it should be a safe one. Last week the TE had 4 catches on 5 targets as a safety valve near the line of scrimmage for Tim Boyle, and he should have that role again Sunday against the Falcons.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 2:54 pm UTC
    Dec 03 2023, 6:00 pm UTC
    League
    Denver
    17
    @ Houston
    22
    Over / UnderUNDER 47.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1245.5
    78-54-4 in Last 136 NFL Picks
    +350
    4-0 in Last 4 NFL O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Denver's 29 points last week were their most during their current five-game win streak, and short fields from Cleveland turnovers largely contributed to a 12-0 fourth quarter. Their grinding style tends to muck up the flow of the game for both sides. Moreover, the slumping Texans have managed just 42 points the past two weeks.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 5:01 am UTC