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Sun 01/29 | 11:30 PM UTC | Kansas City
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Cincinnati Bengals 14-5, 13-6 ATS
CIN +2-110
CIN +115
Over 48.5-110
Kansas City Chiefs 16-3, 8-11 ATS
KC -2-110
KC -135
Under 48.5-110

Expert Picks

NFL | Cincinnati 20 @ Kansas City 23 | 01/29 | 11:30 PM UTC

Kansas City -1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: There’s been no stauncher backer of the Bengals down the stretch than your’s truly, but even I am shocked that the contrarian play in the AFC Championship Game is the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes. There seems to be an inherent bias against Kansas City with Tyreek Hill no longer on the roster, and while the offense may be less explosive, it’s actually more efficient. Mahomes with no rest, rehabilitation or even a brace gutted out a win, and now he’s had all the aforementioned items to aid his recovery. As noted last week, Cincinnati over Buffalo was a total no-brainer, but it does not change Cincy's recent close games against teams with far worse offenses like Baltimore and New England. With Travis Kelce playing, I'm willing to buck the trendy play and lay the short number with KC.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+700 17-9-1 IN LAST 27 NFL PICKS
+600 6-0-1 IN LAST 7 CIN ATS PICKS

Season Splits

14-5, 13-6 ATS
16-3, 8-11 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
72%
13-5
7-11
39%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
80%
8-2
3-6
33%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
100%
3-0
6-10
38%
When Spread was PK to +3
SPREAD
When Spread was -3 to +3
100%
2-0
1-1
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
100%
2-0
3-5
38%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
67%
4-2
1-6
14%
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
100%
7-0
3-5
38%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
73%
11-4
6-8
43%
vs KC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CIN
100%
1-0
0-1
0%