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Sun 01/30 | 8:00 PM UTC | Kansas City
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Cincinnati Bengals 1-2, 1-2 ATS
CIN +7-110
CIN +260
Over 54.5-110
Kansas City Chiefs 2-1, 1-2 ATS
KC -7-110
KC -330
Under 54.5-110

Expert Picks

NFL | Cincinnati 27 @ Kansas City 24 | 01/30 | 8:00 PM UTC

Cincinnati +7.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: This spread finally got to 7.5 and now I'm ready to play Cincinnati. I don't think the Bengals are nearly as good as the Chiefs and worry big time about a Cincinnati offensive line that allowed nine sacks to the Titans, but I do think -- even in an AFC title game -- the Chiefs are due a minor letdown, at least for a while, off that incredible comeback win over Buffalo. The Bengals are playing with house money and have to feel confident after beating KC in Week 17. Joe Burrow is 5-0 SU & ATS in its past five starts, and he and Ja'Marr Chase have yet to lose a postseason game together dating to their LSU days (i.e. including bowls and the SEC title game). If Buffalo's Gabriel Davis can get four TDs on the Chiefs, Chase could set records. Oh, and I traded Chase during my fantasy rookie dynasty draft (hey, he had the dropsies in the preseason) for Chase Claypool and two first-round picks. OOPS!

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+400 4-0-1 IN LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS
+247 8-5 IN LAST 13 CIN ATS PICKS
+165 6-4 IN LAST 10 KC ATS PICKS

Season Splits

1-2, 1-2 ATS
2-1, 1-2 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
63%
12-7
10-9
53%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
78%
7-2
6-5
54%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
70%
7-3
10-9
53%
When Spread was +5.5 to +8.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -8.5 to -5.5
100%
2-0
3-2
60%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
83%
5-1
6-5
54%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
88%
7-1
5-4
56%
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
57%
4-3
5-1
83%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
62%
10-6
8-8
50%
vs KC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CIN
100%
1-0
0-1
0%