Tom Fornelli

#TrustTheProcess

A CBS Sports writer since 2010, the entertaining Fornelli is a consistent winner when it comes to ATS and over-under picks. He's a wallet-fattening 161-130 in his popular "Six Pack" college football column the past three years. And he's spreading his wings on SportsLine, demonstrating his expertise in every single sport. Entering the 2019 NBA Finals, Fornelli was 82-61 (57 percent) on all his NBA picks, returning $1,491 to $100 players. You'll get maximum access to Fornelli's picks only on SportsLine. For Tom Fornelli media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

82-54 IN LAST 136 NBA PICKS | +2247

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Tom's
Picks

Boston -152 BOS -152

Boston 3 @ Toronto 10
5/21
BOS 3 @ TOR 10
5/21
LOSS
YESTERDAY 4:30 PM

This is a good matchup for Eduardo Rodriguez. His ERA may be at 4.89, but his xFIP is 3.55. Rodriguez has been bitten by the BABIP gods a lot this season, but he's done a great job of limiting hard contact and keeping the ball on the ground. Against a Blue Jays team that swings and misses a lot, and has an ISO of .107 (only Miami's is lower) against lefties, I like the Red Sox here.

4-3 IN LAST 7 BOS ML PICKS | +77

Arizona +136 ARI +136

Arizona 1 @ San Diego 2
5/21
ARI 1 @ SD 2
5/21
LOSS
Mon 5/20

San Diego starter Chris Paddack has terrific stuff and has looked great so far this season. Still, while his peripherals don't suggest he's been extremely lucky, they do suggest he's had some luck, and that things could even out a bit soon. Paddack may not allow a lot of contact, but the contact he does allow tends to be of the hard variety. That could be problematic against an Arizona offense with an ISO of .198 coming into this meeting.

Cleveland -175 CLE -175

Oakland 6 @ Cleveland 4
5/20
OAK 6 @ CLE 4
5/20
LOSS
Mon 5/20

Cleveland starter Carlos Carrasco has an ERA of 4.18 on the season, but it's a misleading number. He's pitched much better than that ERA suggests, and Cleveland's offense has been playing better the last few weeks itself. I like the Indians at home in this matchup a lot.

Golden St. -3 GS -3

Golden St. 119 @ Portland 117
5/21
GS 119 @ POR 117
5/21
LOSS
Mon 5/20

I thought Game Three would be when Portland made its futile attempt at making a stand, and delaying the inevitable outcome of this series by a game. It wasn't. Portland built a big lead, but it blew that lead for the second consecutive game. Then the news of Damian Lillard's rib injury leaked, and that's the type of thing that typically leaks after a series has ended. The fact it's out now makes me believe the Blazers aren't all that interested in fighting against fate.

82-54 IN LAST 136 NBA PICKS | +2247

6-2 IN LAST 8 GS ATS PICKS | +377

4-3 IN LAST 7 POR ATS PICKS | +69

San Diego -159 SD -159

Pittsburgh 5 @ San Diego 3
5/18
PIT 5 @ SD 3
5/18
LOSS
Fri 5/17

The Pirates offense has improved with the return of Starling Marte and Gregory Polanco, but it's still been god awful against lefties. Also, the bullpen has been a disaster as of late, and it just had to cover 5.1 innings last night after Trevor Williams left the game early with an injury. I love the Padres at this price.

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