

Tom Fornelli
#TrustTheProcess
A CBS Sports writer since 2010, the entertaining Fornelli is perhaps best known for his college football expertise. Fornelli co-hosts the popular Cover 3 Podcast and appears regularly on CBS Sports HQ. You'll get maximum access to Fornelli's picks only on SportsLine. For Tom Fornelli media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
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Tom's Past Picks
Pour one out for Northwestern's cozy lakeside temporary home, as it's the last time the Wildcats will host a game before moving into their new digs. Sadly, for those who choose to attend in the wind and rain, I don't believe it will be an exciting affair.
I wonder if we're all overreacting to how bad Oklahoma looked on offense against Michigan. It was an awful performance, but it was also on the road against a top defense. New Mexico's defense isn't Michigan's, and the Lobos are always frisky enough on offense that they might surprise you here.
I know Alex Golesh was brought to Auburn to fix the offense, but it's the defensive side of the ball that's impressed me more with the Tigers. I also wonder how effective their offense can be against Florida, who is going on the road to face the toughest defense they've seen so far.
I haven't been overly impressed by what I've seen from the Bobcats this year, and they're a little banged up heading into this one. I can't help but believe Ohio might look to punt on this game to focus on getting healthy for MAC play.
I've noticed a tendency these last few years with the new clock rules. When there are conference matchups like this, where the teams are evenly matched, and the stakes are high, they slow things down. I'm playing into that, as well as Louisville's stronger emphasis on the run game, with a play on the under.
I'm too afraid to take the Coogs straight up, but I like them catching this many touchdowns. Texas Tech looks far more vulnerable than the Tech of last season, and Houston has improved along the offensive line. Also, Houston has been great in close games under Willie Fritz, and Tech simply hasn't played many in a while.
Iowa State could prove to be the worst P4 team in the country, and I don't believe the market has caught on to how bad this team might be just yet. Yes, this game can get ugly at times, but I believe the Hawkeyes are the superior side this season.
I believe both these teams are two of the best we have, but it's hard for me to trust the Longhorns in a spot like this because they continue to come up short in spots like this. I simply trust the Buckeyes more, and if I can get points with them, I'll take em.
From what I've seen from these two teams so far there's a real argument to be made that their defensive lines are their best units. If that holds true, neither offense will have much fun on Saturday.
Duke should be able to run the ball well against an Illini defense that struggles to stop it, and I don't think the Duke defense can slow down the Illini quite enough. This one could get shootout-y.
Kent State is one of the worst teams at the FBS level, and I'm not convinced they're better than Wofford on a neutral, let alone 12.5 points better than them at home.
I have little confidence in Michigan's ability to move the ball against this Oklahoma defense, but I'm not exactly confident the Sooners will be all that successful on offense, either. It almost feels too obvious, but sometimes the obvious is obvious for good reason.
Purdue is still one of the worst teams in the Big Ten, but it looks improved upon the Purdue of the last few years. I'm not at a place in my life where I'm comfortable trusting Wake Forest as a road favorite against a Big Ten opponent right now.
There are injuries on the Kansas State offensive line that concern me, and they've caused this line to move, but I still think the Wildcats are superior to this Washington State team. Washington should've beaten them by 30 last week.
I see this game likely going one of two ways. Either Notre Dame smothers the Wisconsin offense and goes on cruise control in the second half, or the Wisconsin offense muddies things up to slow the game and keep it close. Both options feel like lower-scoring affairs.
