Tom Fornelli

#TrustTheProcess

A CBS Sports writer since 2010, the entertaining Fornelli is a consistent winner when it comes to ATS and over-under picks. He's a wallet-fattening 161-130 in his popular "Six Pack" college football column the past three years. And he's spreading his wings on SportsLine, demonstrating his expertise in every single sport. Entering the 2019 NBA Finals, Fornelli was 82-61 (57 percent) on all his NBA picks, returning $1,491 to $100 players. You'll get maximum access to Fornelli's picks only on SportsLine. For Tom Fornelli media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

82-53 IN LAST 135 NBA PICKS | +2357

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Tom's
Picks

San Diego -159 SD -159

Pittsburgh 5 @ San Diego 3
5/18
PIT 5 @ SD 3
5/18
LOSS
Fri 5/17

The Pirates offense has improved with the return of Starling Marte and Gregory Polanco, but it's still been god awful against lefties. Also, the bullpen has been a disaster as of late, and it just had to cover 5.1 innings last night after Trevor Williams left the game early with an injury. I love the Padres at this price.

2-1 IN LAST 3 SD ML PICKS | +100

Washington -155 WAS -155

Chi. Cubs 14 @ Washington 6
5/17
CHC 14 @ WAS 6
5/17
LOSS
Fri 5/17

As somebody who owns Max Scherzer on their fantasy team, I could write 500 words on the Nationals defense behind him this season, but I'm encouraged not to swear, so I won't. Instead I'll just say that Scherzer has been the victim of bad luck this season, and it's not often you'll find the Nats available at this price point when he's one the mound. Even against the Cubs, this is great value.

UNDER 217 UNDER 217

Toronto 103 @ Milwaukee 125
5/18
TOR 103 @ MIL 125
5/18
LOSS
Fri 5/17

Game One of this series was a lower-scoring affair as the two teams combined for a total of 208 points. I don't expect Game Two to look all that dissimilar as far as the total offensive output.

82-53 IN LAST 135 NBA PICKS | +2357

Milwaukee -6.5 MIL -6.5

Toronto 103 @ Milwaukee 125
5/18
TOR 103 @ MIL 125
5/18
WIN
Fri 5/17

Game One of this series looked like most of Milwaukee's series with Boston, as the Bucks had to come back from an early deficit to win. I don't recommend making it a theme against this Raptors team, but I do like the Bucks ATS tonight. Brook Lopez won't have the same kind of night, but neither will Niko Mirotic, Khris Middleton, Eric Bledsoe and Kyle Lowry. Milwaukee's just the more well-rounded team.

82-53 IN LAST 135 NBA PICKS | +2357

6-0 IN LAST 6 MIL ATS PICKS | +600

2-1 IN LAST 3 TOR ATS PICKS | +89

Kansas City +100 KC +100

Texas 6 @ Kansas City 1
5/16
TEX 6 @ KC 1
5/16
LOSS
Wed 5/15

The closer I've looked at this matchup the more I've liked the value available on the Royals. Mike Minor has been the best thing the Rangers have pitching-wise, but while his ERA is a lovely 2.68, his xFIP of 4.17 suggests rougher times could be ahead. That combined with a Texas bullpen that's been a mess the last couple of weeks means the Royals could be a sneaky play here coming off a blowout win last night.

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