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    Tom Fornelli
    Tom Fornelli
    #TrustTheProcess
    A CBS Sports writer since 2010, the entertaining Fornelli is perhaps best known for his college football expertise. He demonstrated it again in the 2021 season, going 69-52-2 (57 percent) while returning $1,255 to $100 players. You'll get maximum access to Fornelli's picks only on SportsLine. For Tom Fornelli media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
    LAST 3 NBA PICKS
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    Record: 3-0
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    NBA | Denver @ Miami | 06/08 | 12:30 AM UTC

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    ANALYSIS: A swing game...

    +300 3-0 IN LAST 3 NBA PICKS
    +300 3-0 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS
    +400 4-0 IN LAST 4 DEN ATS PICKS
    +273 20-14 on NBA Props Picks

    NBA | Miami 93 @ Denver 104 | 06/02 | 12:30 AM UTC

    Jimmy Butler UNDER 27.5 Total Points -137

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: If they keep putting Jimmy Butler's point total this high I'm going to keep betting the under. Since the second round, Butler has scored 28 points in only four of 12 games. He's shooting 42.4% from the field in that time, and has been reliant on getting to the free throw line to score. He doesn't get to the line nearly as often on the road as at home.

    +300 3-0 IN LAST 3 NBA PICKS
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    NBA | Miami 93 @ Denver 104 | 06/02 | 12:30 AM UTC

    Nikola Jokic OVER 38.5 Total Points + Assists -111

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: While individual matchups aren't very predictive when it comes to NBA props, Nikola Jokic has performed well against Miami and in his matchup against Bam Adebayo. Historically, Denver has used Jokic on offense to drag Adebayo out from beneath the basket and open up the lane for everybody else. This has had a negative impact on Jokic's rebounding, but his scoring and assist rates have been very high against the Heat. I'm betting on that to continue.

    +300 3-0 IN LAST 3 NBA PICKS
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    NBA | Miami 93 @ Denver 104 | 06/02 | 12:30 AM UTC

    Denver -9 -110

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: Denver has been dominant at home all season long, including the playoffs where it's 8-0. There's plenty of debate between "rested or rusted," but I'd rather be rested and a little rusty than worn the hell down, and Miami is worn the hell down. It just finished a seven-game war against Boston while Denver was chilling at home.

    +300 3-0 IN LAST 3 NBA PICKS
    +300 3-0 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS
    +400 4-0 IN LAST 4 DEN ATS PICKS
    +273 20-14 on NBA Props Picks

    NBA | Miami 103 @ Boston 84 | 05/30 | 12:30 AM UTC

    Max Strus UNDER 4.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -139

    LOSS

    ANALYSIS: Max Strus just stopped getting rebounds and assists on the road. In Game 1 of the Knicks series, Strus finished with five rebounds and assists. He hasn't had more than three in a road game since. In three games in Boston in the series, he's had five total. If he's only had five combined in three road games, it doesn't make much sense to bet on him getting five tonight.

    +300 3-0 IN LAST 3 NBA PICKS
    +273 20-14 on NBA Props Picks