Alabama's defense was letting Oklahoma players run freely downfield in the first round, but drops and bad throws kept the Sooners from punishing them too badly. Indiana won't make those mistakes. At the same time, Indiana's secondary does have a slight tendency to give up big plays too, and Alabama should put points on the board too.
Georgia had eight full possessions in the first meeting and scored points on all eight of them. Ole Miss' defense has been its biggest weakness all year, and will prove to be again here, only this time the offense won't be able to keep up as long.
Ohio State has faced two great defensive fronts this season, and struggled against both. Miami's defensive line is one of the best in the country and should slow the Buckeyes offense down enough to keep the Hurricanes in this one.
Ohio State hasn't allowed more than 16 points in a game this season. Indiana is the best team its faced, but it's also an Indiana offense that has struggled against the better defenses it's seen. And none of them are as good as Ohio State's.
Duke's defense has been horrible for the last month, and that includes Virginia putting up 31 points against it earlier despite taking its foot off the gas in the fourth quarter. The Hoos should move the ball well here again, but I expect Duke's offense to find a bit more success too.
Texas Tech's defense dominated the first meeting and should do so again. BYU's offense is built around physicality and the run game, but the Cougs cannot match the physicality of Tech's defense. Few teams can. At the same time, BYU's defense held up well considering the bad spots turnovers put it in during the first game, and should do well here again.
This doesn't strike me as a great matchup for Tulane. While North Texas was destroyed in its last spotlight game against USF, just about everything that could go wrong that night did go wrong. Now the Mean Green will bring one of the most explosive passing offenses out against a Tulane pass defense that's struggled quite a bit this season.
Josh Heupel never passes up on a chance to entertain Tennessee fans with touchdowns when given the chance.
I like Coastal Carolina on the spread and I like them on the money line for the same reasons. Coastal is the better team right now, and it has far more to play for.
This is an early start for Oregon State at 10am PT, and the Beavers are coming off a horrific home loss to Sam Houston last week. Now they have to travel for this game against a team that means nothing to them under an interim coach. Meanwhile, Tulsa sees this as an opportunity to put a win on the board.
Michigan has not been good on the road this season. They've lost to Oklahoma and USC by multiple scores, and barely survived Nebraska. They beat up on Michigan State, but Northwestern's a much better team than the Spartans. Michigan should win, but that doesn't mean it will.
This game will go one of two ways. Either USF's offense proves too much and the Bulls blow Navy out, or Navy is able to run at will on USF, control the ball and dictate the game. If that happens, I'd much rather have Navy outright than with the points.
North Carolina moves at a snail-like pace on offense and tries to win games with defense, special teams and field position. Wake Forest moves slowly on offense too, and it's offense has completely stalled in recent weeks.
Alabama's offense is one-handed and has struggled to score points in the SEC all season. Oklahoma's offense has also been horrible in SEC play, as we don't hear much about John Mateer's Heisman campaign anymore. The defenses will dictate this game.
Provo at night is a difficult place to play, and given TCU QB Josh Hoover's turnover tendencies, I can see things going sideways quickly for the Frogs.
