Tom Fornelli

#TrustTheProcess

A CBS Sports college football writer since 2010, Tom Fornelli is a consistent winner when it comes to ATS picks. He's a wallet-fattening 108-79 in his popular "Six Pack" column the past two years. And his renowned "Twitter Tips" are 105-76 in college football the past three seasons, 57-39 in all other sports. Basically, he crushes every single sport. Look for increased access to Fornelli's picks on SportsLine. For Tom Fornelli media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

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Tom's
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Arkansas +12 ARK +12

Arkansas 56 @ Auburn 79
2/21
ARK 56 @ AUBURN 79
2/21
LOSS
Wed 2/20

Auburn has been an hard team to get a handle on this season, as they always seem to be better than their record indicates, yet there are times when they look much worse. KenPom has it ranked as the No. 16 team in the country, yet it's only 6-6 in conference play. The reason for this is likely that Auburn is so reliant on the three-pointer. They attempt them with greater frequency than any other team in the country, and when the Tigers make them, they're difficult to beat. When they don't, it's not so hard. I guess you could say that I'm banking on tonight being one of those nights in which the Tigers struggle from outside.

W. Illinois +10 WILL +10

W. Illinois 63 @ Neb.-Omaha 77
2/21
WILL 63 @ NEBOM 77
2/21
LOSS
Wed 2/20

Omaha is battling South Dakota State for the regular season crown in the Summit League, but I like Western Illinois to cover here, even if it's only 3-9 in conference play. Omaha just doesn't play defense well enough to trust them with spreads this large. Even though the Mavericks are 10-2 in conference play, only two of those wins have come by more than 10 points. Five of them have come by five points or fewer.

Tulane +17.5 TULANE +17.5

Tulane 76 @ Memphis 102
2/21
TULANE 76 @ MEMP 102
2/21
LOSS
Wed 2/20

I just don't trust Memphis' defense enough to cover a spread this large, even against a Tulane team that's 0-12 in conference play. The Tigers went to Tulane earlier this season and beat the Wave, but did so only 83-79 despite the fact Tulane was only 3/22 from three in the game.

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