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Tom Fornelli
Tom Fornelli
#TrustTheProcess
A CBS Sports writer since 2010, the entertaining Fornelli is perhaps best known for his college football expertise. Now he's spreading his wings on SportsLine, demonstrating his prowess in every single sport. You'll get maximum access to Fornelli's picks only on SportsLine. For Tom Fornelli media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
LAST 27 NFL PICKS
+795
Record: 18-9
# 3 nfl Expert
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Houston @ Cincinnati | 12/04 | 9:00 PM UTC

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ANALYSIS: Cincinnati looks to earn a CFP berth on Saturday against Houston... Join SportsLine now to see the full pick!

+1395 42-26-2 IN LAST 70 CFB PICKS

Alabama 24 @ Auburn 22 | 11/27 | 8:30 PM UTC

Auburn +19.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: I can't help but believe the absence of Bo Nix at quarterback is affecting this line, but the truth is, I don't see much of a drop-off for the Tigers. The gap between Nix and backup T.J. Finley is insignificant, and we've seen all season long that the Alabama defense isn't the same shutdown unit we're used to seeing. Plus, you know, this rivalry is a big deal. While we sometimes see blowouts when the game is in Tuscaloosa, it's rarely the case in Auburn. Give me all those points.

+1395 42-26-2 IN LAST 70 CFB PICKS
+560 10-4 IN LAST 14 BAMA ATS PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 AUBURN ATS PICKS

Arkansas 35 @ Alabama 42 | 11/20 | 8:30 PM UTC

Alabama -21

LOSS

ANALYSIS: While I'm a big fan of what Sam Pittman has done at Arkansas in a short amount of time, I also remember what the Hogs looked like when they went against Georgia. I'm also aware of how their defense has been torn apart by good quarterbacks this season, and that Alabama has one of the best QBs in the country, as well as some excellent receivers. Finally, Nick Saban was pleased with his team last week, and this is a man who finds things to be mad about in 80-point wins. If he's happy, how good must this team look?

+1395 42-26-2 IN LAST 70 CFB PICKS
+560 10-4 IN LAST 14 BAMA ATS PICKS

Philadelphia 30 @ Denver 13 | 11/14 | 9:25 PM UTC

Philadelphia +2.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: One of the strange side effects of the Eagles being without Miles Sanders is they've become a much more effective offense in the red zone without him. I don't know if it's that defenses don't respect Miles Sanders ability to run between the tackles or what, but it's opened things up a bit, which has helped Philly's overall performance improve. I'm going to rely on that continuing against a Denver team being overvalued following a surprising upset of the Cowboys.

+795 18-9 IN LAST 27 NFL PICKS
+192 3-1 IN LAST 4 DEN ATS PICKS
+183 4-2 IN LAST 6 PHI ATS PICKS

Seattle @ Green Bay 17 | 11/14 | 9:25 PM UTC

Seattle +3.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I know he's Aaron Rodgers and it shouldn't matter too much, but there has to be some kind of negative impact from Rodgers not being able to spend any time with the team before Saturday. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are getting both Russell Wilson and Chris Carson back this week, and will be as close to full strength as they have been in a while.

+795 18-9 IN LAST 27 NFL PICKS
+80 2-1 IN LAST 3 SEA ATS PICKS