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Sun, May 107:30 pm UTCXfinity Mobile Arena
New York
Knicks
NY
Last 5 ATS
W/L68-31
ATS57-42
O/U46-53-0
FINAL SCORE
144
-
114
Philadelphia
76ers
PHI
Last 5 ATS
W/L50-44
ATS49-44
O/U44-50-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
68-31
Win /Loss
50-44
57-42
Spread
49-44
46-53-0
Over / Under
44-50-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NY @ PHI
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MONEYLINE
NY @ PHI
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OVER / UNDER
NY @ PHI
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72%
PUBLIC
28%
MONEY
69%
PUBLIC
31%
MONEY
Over92%
PUBLIC
Under8%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PTS + AST + REBJoel Embiid Under 38.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -111
WIN
Unit1.0
+1734
92-62 Last 154 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

Joel Embiid is probable to play despite his hip injury. But he's coming off an ineffective 35 minutes Friday. In two games this series, Embiid is 10 for 28 from the field while averaging five rebounds and three assists. He sat out Game 2 and it was Philly's best performance vs. New York. With his team facing elimination, I'm confident Embiid will try to play. But I'll bet against the combination of minutes and efficiency he'll need to clear this prop total.

Pick Made: May 10, 6:32 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineNew York -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+400
4-1 Last 5 NBA
+900
7-0 Last 7 NBA ML
Bob's Analysis:

OG Anunoby is officially ruled out for the game this afternoon. The line is slightly moving back to the Sixers favor for them to keep their season alive. However, if New York wants to legitimately make a run at the title, they have to win today. That would give Anunoby more time to rest for the ECF’s as the Pistons/Cavs could, possibly, go six/seven games. Yeah, make the 6/7 joke. Even without Anunoby, New York is the much deeper team. Paul George starts out hot then fades away as the game progresses and Embiid will get tired which leaves the Sixers with few scoring options. Jalen Brunson is on a mission, biased or not, get the brooms out.

Pick Made: May 10, 6:15 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineNew York -120
WIN
Unit1.0
Zack's Analysis:

The New York Knicks have now rolled six straight playoff wins. Postseason is all about timing, and the Sixers used so much energy to take down the Celtics that they have ran out of gas. Both games two and three they had nothing in the tank with low output fourth quarters. As rare as it is to see a fourth seed complete a sweep, the Knicks do so here today. Back them on the moneyline.

Pick Made: May 10, 5:53 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
3PT Field GoalsMiles McBride Under 1.5 Total 3pt Field Goals +142
LOSS
Unit1.0
Bob's Analysis:

Miles ‘Deuce’ McBride is still dealing with his pelvic injury. He has yet to score more than eight points in each of the last five games but his defensive presence is still there. Deuce has only hit more than one three once in his last five games while also hitting just one shot, total, in four of the same five games as well. You can expect Landry Shamet to get some more time this afternoon since he was the one who gave the Knicks energy when down big early in game three, taking away minutes from Deuce.

Pick Made: May 10, 5:40 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PointsMitchell Robinson Over 4.5 Total Points +100
WIN
Unit1.0
Bob's Analysis:

Mitchell Robinson has gone over four points in five of the last seven games. Joel Embiid is listed as probable which is better for Robinson to get over this number. Embiid isn’t at 100% while Robinson is and is more capable of grabbing boards and even another poster on Embiid as well. Even if the Sixers bring out hack-a-Mitch, Robinson should be able to get over this low number as he’s be another x-factor with New York over the last few playoffs.

Pick Made: May 10, 5:40 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PointsMikal Bridges Over 15.5 Total Points -104
LOSS
Unit1.0
Bob's Analysis:

Mikal Bridges has went under on his points total in 10 of the last 15 games. However, he’s gone over that number in four straight. With OG Anunoby most likely out this afternoon, Bridges usage and shot attempts should increase. Small forwards have seen success against the Sixers as the last five SF’s they’ve faced have gone over 17 points in five straight games.

Pick Made: May 10, 5:30 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PTS + AST + REBMiles McBride Under 13.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -121
LOSS
Unit1.0
+251.5
32-23 Last 55 NBA Player Props
Adam's Analysis:

Miles McBride got a Game 3 start with OG Anunoby out, and it didn’t go great. In 21 minutes, he registered a PRA of 5. In Game 2, he played 21 minutes off the bench and had a PRA total of 6. Landry Shamet replaced him in G3, got more minutes and was far more productive. It’s possible Shamet gets the bulk of action again, it’s even possible (as of this writing) that day-to-day Anunoby plays. McBride’s season PRA average was a solid 15, but it’s not going well at the moment and stars take over in the playoffs.

Pick Made: May 10, 2:25 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PointsMikal Bridges Over 14.5 Total Points -126
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1839
141-103 Last 244 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

With a 3-0 series lead in hand, there is no reason for the Knicks to push OG Anunoby (hamstring) to play Sunday. Mikal Bridges stepped up with him out during Game 3, scoring 23 points over 37 minutes. Bridges had turned things around before Anunoby went down, scoring at least 17 points in each of the previous three games. This is a favorable spot for him to score at least 15 points.

Pick Made: May 10, 12:29 pm UTC on DraftKings
Money LinePhiladelphia +102
LOSS
Unit1.0
Matt's Analysis:

Human nature for the Knicks to let up a bit -- I'll admit thought they would lose Game 3 without OG Anunoby. Can't imagine he plays today with a 3-0 lead. That would be stupid. I'm already so (pre) tired of hearing all these Knicks clowns with them in the East Finals much less if get to NBA Finals. That would be a disaster and I'll cancel ESPN for a month so I don't have to listen to Stephen A. just scream at the camera (I'll watch one of those shows maybe if you give me $5 million but only with ear muffs) when that dude gets every single prediction wrong. Not a fan. Bayless even less so if it's possible to go below zero.

Pick Made: May 10, 10:15 am UTC on DraftKings
SpreadPhiladelphia +1.5 -109
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1823
103-71 Last 174 NBA
+285
4-1 Last 5 NBA ATS
+637
25-17-1 Last 43 NBA ATS
Larry's Analysis:

It's hard to get in the way of a surging Knicks team that has won six in a row while going 5-1 ATS. But the 76ers moved the ball well in Game 3 at home and created tremendous, open looks. They just didn't make them, shooting 43 percent overall and 28 percent from deep. With the series all but over, Philly won't be feeling the pressure. Look for the 76ers to show some pride and avoid getting swept on their home floor.

Pick Made: May 10, 2:46 am UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
AssistsKarl-Anthony Towns Over 4.5 Total Assists -167
WIN
Unit1.0
+828
21-11 Last 32 NBA Player Props
David's Analysis:

We are going to continue riding Karl-Anthony Towns' assist prop as he is hitting it even in games in which he plays limited minutes due to foul trouble. KAT has 46 assists over the last six games, an average of 7.7 per game. He has 20 in 3 games in this series, not playing more than 27 minutes in any of the games, due to one blowout and two games with foul issues. Dating back to April 1 (13 games), he is averaging 6.3 a game, hitting 5+ in 9 of the 13 games.

Pick Made: May 09, 5:29 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
PointsMikal Bridges Over 14.5 Total Points -118
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1973
38-17 Last 55 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Walking this line up a bit, but for good reason - Mikal Bridges looks like himself, and has been thrust into a role where his touches and shot attempts are up significantly for the Knicks. With New York leading 3-0, I doubt they have OG Anunoby play, and Karl-Anthony Towns has struggled to stay on the floor due to foul trouble. Bridges has served as the scoring complement to Jalen Brunson, the latter of whom will undoubtedly be the focal point of the Sixers defensive adjustments in Game 4. I have Bridges closer to 17 points in this one, so I’m very ok playing this line at over 15.5 for a full unit.

Pick Made: May 09, 2:41 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

New York Knicks
No Player Injuries
Philadelphia 76ers
No Player Injuries
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