I pretty much agree with everything Josh Nagel said in his pick. We are getting a mega-discount because no Jayson Tatum. If this were away? Nope. But I'm sure Joel Embiid will trip on a Twizzler or something and basically even that out. And I just don't have faith in the Sixers. At all. Why would we? If someone says Playoff Paul George again, I shall heave like a hungover college student who made the mistake of having beets the night before. So, yeah, Dwight Schrute.

DraftKings. Even with Jayson Tatum ruled out, I don’t see that changing Derrick White’s role in terms of rebounds. His job defensively is to guard Tyrese Maxey, which he’s done for over 62% of his matchup minutes this series. The result has been 2.8 rebounds per game, on 5.5 chances. Plus, in full games without Jayson Tatum and with Jaylen Brown this season, White averaged 4.6 rebounds per 36 minutes. Against the Joel Embiid led 76ers (which leads to less rebound chances due to more turnovers and more free throws), I like White to stay under. I’d bet this to -152.

We'll take the 4-point discount offered on the Celtics amid the late-breaking news of Jayson Tatum's injury scratch. Boston's 43-23 record without Tatum this year suggests he is one of the more expendable NBA stars relative to his team's success and there's a history of such instances in which a team rallies in the absence of a key player in a big game.

Jaylen Brown had a terrific regular season capped off by averaging just shy of 29 PPG. The Celtics will need his scoring today as Jayson Tatum was ruled out, however I think this number should be between 28.5-29.5. The Sixers are playing very good defense in this series and I expect them to make life really difficult for Brown.

It’s Game 7 with the 2026 version of the Sixers-Celtics rivalry. The loser goes home for the summer. The Celtics have lost the last two games badly, but they’re at home for this one. The Sixers look like they want it more. The two squads have gone under in eight of their last nine meetings, including five of six in this series. The total of the last game was 213.5, and it still went under. Playoff basketball sees more situational defense, but when the numbers are too low, like this one at 204.5, I have to go over.

Caesar’s. The Sixers are peaking, both in their play, but most importantly, their health. Joel Embiid looks fully recovered from his appendectomy, and Philadelphia has quickly re-calibrated with their big man back in the fold. And while the Celtics role players have been commended for stepping up this season, they’ve largely been outplayed by Philly’s trio of Paul George, VJ Edgecombe and Kelly Oubre. Hanging over this game will also be Jayson Tatum’s health, as he left Game 6 early with a calf issue, and is now questionable with knee stiffness. I’ll ride the momentum here and take the points with the underdog, especially in a Game 7 atmosphere where points and possessions will be at a premium.

The Celtics were in control of this series until they went cold from three. This is similar to the New York series from last season. Not saying that Philadelphia is going to win this one but they’re playing the better basketball out of the two. If the three’s are falling, then this could be a blowout, but with how the Sixers are currently playing, and in an elimination game, this seems like too many points. Boston gone back-to-back games scoring fewer than 100 points as the Sixers have confidence following two straight wins and are the underdog is 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings against the Celtics.

Despite facing one of the best defenses in the league, Paul George is shooting 48.7% from the field in this series. That includes him shooting 54.3% from three. The result was him scoring at least 16 points in all six games. Another stat you like to see is that he has averaged 36 minutes a game. The Celtics can’t focus on slowing him down with Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid also on the floor, so with George likely to get plenty of quality shot attempts, I like this over.

FanDuel. VJ Edgecombe leads the 76ers in total rebounds these playoffs, averaging 7.0 per game, and clearing this line in four of six games. It’s a great matchup for the rookie as the Celtics shoot a ton of three-pointers, which typically produce longer rebound chances, a plus for wings, such as Edgecombe. VJ is also not typically matched up defensively against Jayson Tatum or Jaylen Brown, leaving him free to crash. Look for the rookie to contribute on the glass in Game 7.

I’m not entirely convinced that Boston wins this one outright. Philly has a three-headed monster going on right now: Tyrese Maxey had 30 in Game 5, Joel Embiid had 33 in Game 6, even Paul George had 23 in one of them and 16/9/7 in the other. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown aren’t shooting well right now, Philly has really shortened its bench, Boston seems like it’s trying to figure it out.