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Sun, May 1112:30 am UTCChase Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Minnesota
Timberwolves
MIN
Last 5 ATS
W/L56-35
ATS46-44
O/U48-40-0
FINAL SCORE
102
-
97
Golden State
Warriors
GS
Last 5 ATS
W/L54-41
ATS47-47
O/U45-44-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
56-35
Win /Loss
54-41
46-44
Spread
47-47
48-40-0
Over / Under
45-44-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIN @ GS
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
MIN @ GS
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
MIN @ GS
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

64%
PUBLIC
36%
MONEY
49%
PUBLIC
51%
MONEY
Over94%
PUBLIC
Under6%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total PointsBrandin Podziemski Over 12.5 Total Points -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+269
34-27 in Last 61 NBA Player Props Picks
Zack's Analysis:

The Golden State Warriors problems against the Timberwolves may continue in game three, but I’m expecting a better output offensively from Golden State. In game two, Jonathan Kuminga stepped up, and next in line is Brandin Podziemski. He has scored 11 points or less in seven out of his last eight games, but did he get his last two shots to go in game two. Look for his best offensive game since game four against the Rockets.

Pick Made: May 10, 6:38 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total PointsAnthony Edwards Over 26.5 Total Points -105
WIN
Unit1.0
+269
34-27 in Last 61 NBA Player Props Picks
Zack's Analysis:

Coach Steve Kerr of the Golden State Warriors is searching for lineups that are going to work without Steph Curry. This will give Anthony Edwards more flexibility to take over in game three. Game one he did not know how to attack the Warriors defensively, and game two he missed a key six minute stretch in the second quarter. After three straight playoff games of under performing points wise, look for Edwards to clear his points prop in game three.

Pick Made: May 10, 6:37 pm UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadGolden St. +6 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1985
131-101-2 in Last 234 NBA Picks
+935
59-45-1 in Last 105 NBA ATS Picks
+182
4-2-1 in Last 7 MIN ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

When shorthanded, Warriors games either go pear-shaped (as in Game 2) or turn into grinders, where they can flourish. What do we get in Game 3 tonight? With Steph Curry apparently out at least these next two games at Chase Center because of his hamstring tweak, Steve Kerr's troops are going to try to grind again as in Game One. Ant Edwards, playing on a sore ankle, might be at less than 100% for Minnesota as well. Kerr's secret weapon on Saturday might be Jonathan Kuminga, who saw his most floor time in the postseason in Thursday's 117-93 loss, and contributed a team-high 18 points. Now-Batman Jimmy Butler is looking for someone to assume his Robin role, and it could be Kuminga. Play Warriors

Pick Made: May 10, 4:15 pm UTC on Caesars
Total Home PointsGolden St. Under 97.5 Total Pts -110
WIN
Unit1.0
Tim's Analysis:

This game is a hard handicap for me on who's going to win. But I know this, with no Steph Curry, this entire Warriors team changes! Both games so far in this series, the Warriors have yet to break the 100-point plateau. I can't see that happening in Game 3 either.

Pick Made: May 10, 4:11 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
Total PointsBuddy Hield Over 13.5 Total Points -128
WIN
Unit0.5
+2387.25
96-41 in Last 137 NBA Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

We barely cashed Golden State's Buddy Hield Over 14.5 points in Game 2 and he is slowing down a bit as expected. But Hield got 14 shot attempts in just 29 minutes without Steph Curry in there and that should continue tonight as Steph is out again. Our model has him at 15.1 points.

Pick Made: May 10, 1:38 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total ReboundsAnthony Edwards Over 7.5 Total Rebounds -104
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2898
165-116 in Last 281 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Given that Anthony Edwards averaged 5.7 rebounds per game this season, this line might seem high. However, he has grabbed at least eight rebounds in six of seven playoffs games. That included him recording 14 rebounds in Game 1 and nine rebounds in Game 2 of this series. The Warriors play a lot of small lineups and should have a less efficient scoring attack with Stephen Curry (hamstring) out. That should leave a lot of rebounding opportunities for Edwards again.

Pick Made: May 10, 1:21 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total PointsBuddy Hield Over 13.5 Total Points -128
WIN
Unit1.0
+2898
165-116 in Last 281 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The Warriors remain without their top scorer in Stephen Curry (hamstring). With him playing just 13 minutes before suffering the injury in Game 1, Hield scored 24 points across 40 minutes. He only played 29 minutes because of the lopsided score in Game 2, but Hield still scored 15 points. The key was, he attempted 14 shots in the game. Of those 14 attempts, nine came from behind the arc. Hield has scored at least 15 points in all five playoff games in which he has logged at least 29 minutes. Expect him to handle a similar workload in Game 3.

Pick Made: May 10, 1:12 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total PointsBuddy Hield Under 14.5 Total Points -112
WIN
Unit1.0
+1217
138-101 in Last 239 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Buddy Hield has struggled from a consistency standpoint throughout his career, particularly in high leverage/clutch situations. This game has a minuscule total, is going to be paced down, and Minnesota possesses an elite defense. It wouldn’t shock me in Gary Payton Jr absorbed some of his minutes if Hield is struggling shooting.

Pick Made: May 10, 1:08 pm UTC on BetRivers
Point SpreadMinnesota -5 -110
PUSH
Unit1.0
+1233.5
97-76-1 in Last 174 NBA Picks
+90
2-1-1 in Last 4 NBA ATS Picks
+295
13-9-1 in Last 23 GS ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Warriors need to fill another 48 non-Steph minutes and its a major problem offensively and defensively. Himmy Butler is caught in between facilitator and shot-taker and their lack of another true PG on the roster is a big problem. Wolves get up for road games, ANT feeds off the opposing crowd and this is a ridiculous stretch with Warriors off a 7-game series getting no real rest and just a travel day between games. Steve Kerr can't figure out his rotations and, as I suspected, Wolves figured out using size advantage and driving to rim can lead them to 120 points; don't have to settle for iffy 3s.Wolves were great on road in playoffs and have covered 7 of last 10 overall.

Pick Made: May 09, 2:55 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Rebounds + AssistsAnthony Edwards Over 12.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+876
54-36 in Last 90 NBA Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Anthony Edwards missed time with an ankle injury in Game 2, but still finished with nine rebounds and five assists. That marked the sixth time in seven playoff games he has cleared this 12.5 prop total. WIth a more competitive game expected in Golden State, I look for Edwards to play 40 minutes and go Over on combined rebounds and assists.

Pick Made: May 09, 2:54 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Minnesota Timberwolves
No Player Injuries
Golden State Warriors
Thursday, May 15, 2025
Avatar
PG
Stephen Curry
HamstringOut
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