The Dodgers are finding new and creative ways to lose games, just look at last nights outing. It’s not easy to go against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who owns 2.17 road ERA. But, Brandon Pfaadt has been great since coming back from his back injury as Arizona has won seven straight when he takes the mound. The Diamondbacks have also won five straight against Los Angeles.

Logan Gilbert has recorded seven home wins thus far but owns a 4.12 ERA and has allowed three runs, or more, in four straight outings. Seattle has struggled offensively at home against right-handers, hitting .230 on the season. All-Star Drew Rasmussen has been having a great season with a 3.07 road ERA. He has a favorable matchup as the Rays are the much better team against right-handers in average, OBP., and slugging.

There’s a lot of uncertainty surrounding both starters. This is only Kohl Drake’s fourth start of the season as his first three starts have seen at least 11 runs in each outing. Walker Buehler has allowed three runs, or more, in four of his last six starts while owning a 5.74 road ERA. In three of Buehler’s last four starts, those games have also seen at least 11 runs as well. These have been two of the best producing offenses over the last 30 days with the both teams in the top five of OPS and top three in average.

Still no Byron Buxton for Minnesota. The game has gone under the total in five of the last seven meetings between these two divisional opponents. Bailey Ober owns a 7.15 road ERA but has progressed of late, holding three of his last four opponents to two runs, or less, in three of four, including holding the Royals to two runs last week. Michael Wacha has had success in his career against Minnesota while owning a 3.57 ERA and should have more success against a struggling Twins lineup hitting .205 over their last 15 days.

Ryan Johnson owns 9.55 road ERA, allowing a combined 12 runs over his last 7.2 innings. Los Angeles also sent a healthy amount of their relief pitchers packing before the deadline as their bullpen is near the bottom of the AL, 4.66 ERA. Luckily for Johnson, the Orioles have struggled offensively over their last 15 days, hitting .212 as a team. Brandon Young has pitched well at home for Baltimore, 3.19 ERA, and should be able to limit an Angels team hitting .179 over their last seven days.

San Diego sends out newly acquired Casey Mize, for his Padre debut. He owns a 2.71 ERA while allowing seven earned runs over his last 28 innings pitched.  Arizona's Mitch Bratt makes his second home start for the season, owning 5.35 ERA, and allowed 12 earned runs over his last 20 innings pitched. Bratt has had control issues, and the Padres offense has averaged six runs per game over their last three outings. 

Still no Bryon Buxton for Minnesota but the Royals got Bobby Witt Jr. back. Dean Kremer makes his Minnesota debut while owning a 6.50 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and he’s allowed 30 hits and 21 runs in his last 25 innings. Noah Cameron owns a 5.76 home ERA but has held his last two opponents scoreless in his last 15 innings. Kremer has also struggled with giving up home runs, allowing 12 over his last 36 innings. Minnesota has also struggled against lefties on the year, hitting .226 on the year. 

Tarik Skubal, the two-time defending AL Cy Young winner, makes his Los Angeles debut. The Dodgers have lost four straight games and have not had a five-game losing streak this season. Chicago is second in the majors in hitting left-handers at home, hitting .287. Obviously there’s a lot of conversations about Skubal in LA, the Cubs have been the better team, at the moment, and have won eight of Javier Assad’s last nine starts. Chicago is also 7-3 ATS as home dogs.

Shota Imanaga has pitched well in July, holing his opponents to a combined three runs in 22.2 innings. He also has a favorable matchup against a Yankees squad hitting .232 against lefties on the road. However, Imanaga’s consistent issue have been allowing home runs and we all know New York is, typically, homer or strikeout. Will Warren owns a 5.00 road ERA and 7.85 ERA over his last six starts. He faces one of the best offenses in the majors, scoring over five runs per game. The forecast is calling for a decent amount of wind blowing out to get this one up and over the total.

Pittsburgh has won six of its last eight games against the Reds, including the last two meetings on the road. Rhett Lowder has struggled this season, posting a 5.61 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP while allowing 23 earned runs over his last five starts. The Pirates continue to be one of the most improved offenses against right-handed pitching, batting .261 on the road. It will be a bullpen game for Pittsburgh, whose relief staff owns one of the worst ERAs in the National League, though Cincinnati's bullpen ranks right behind it. Despite the bullpen concerns, Pittsburgh's offense should be able to generate enough production against a vulnerable Reds pitching staff.

St. Louis has lost four straight games when Dustin May takes the mound. The Cardinals have struggled against left-handed pitching this season, hitting just .235, and now face Matthew Boyd, who has continued to improve after a rocky start to the year. St. Louis' bullpen has been a liability, posting a 4.31 ERA, while the Cubs have shown more consistency throughout their lineup, hitting .332 over their last seven days.

Relief pitcher Randy Dobnak gets the start tonight and owns a 1.42 ERA and 1.37 WHIP across 19 innings this season. He will face Joe Ryan, who is coming off his worst outing of the season after allowing eight runs in four innings against Cleveland. Ryan has a favorable matchup against one of the worst lineups in baseball, as the Royals are hitting just .221 against right-handed pitching and are still without Bobby Witt Jr. The Twins have been held to three runs or fewer in seven of their last 10 games and may be without Byron Buxton once again.

New York has won six of their last seven games against the White Sox. Gerrit Cole has allowed three runs, or more, in four of his last six starts and the line has been moving in Chicago’s favor. Anthony Kay has allowed two runs, or less, in four straight starts but struggled the last time he faced the Yankees, four runs in four innings. New York’s offense took another hit with Cody Bellinger heading to the IL with a hamstring injury. Kay is due for regression but he has enough strikeout ability to limit tonight’s weaker Yankee lineup.

Brandon Pfaadt has been excellent since returning from injury, winning all five of his starts. The Pirates have won five of the last six meetings against Arizona and have also taken the last three matchups in Pittsburgh. Bubba Chandler has been one of the weaker starters for the Pirates this season, posting a 4.62 ERA at home. While Pittsburgh has been one of the stronger home offenses against right-handed pitching, Arizona has been swinging the bats well, averaging just over six runs per game against right-handers over its last 10 games.

Atlanta hasn't performed well against left-handed pitching on the road this season, batting just .232 as a team. Zac Thornton has pitched only 23.1 innings in his major league career and may lack the experience needed to navigate the depth of the Braves' lineup. Martin Pérez has pitched well this season, posting a 3.38 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Yes, this game is essentially a coin flip, but despite Atlanta's limited success against left-handers, New York has been even worse, hitting just .222 at home against them. The absence of Juan Soto also hurts an already struggling Mets offense.